Category Archives: gambling 101
MLB Shutout Survivor 2015, 5 Teams Blanked On Monday, 24 Teams Remain
Miller Park is an underrated sneaky wicked park. Yesterday’s sellout watched a 10 – 0 drubbing by the Colorado Rockies.
MLB Shutout Survivor 2015: Which Team Do You Have Last To Be Blanked This Year?
Last Year the D’Backs, A’s, Braves and Cubs were the 1st teams to be blanked before March was even over. To their credit, Arizona was in their 3rd game while the others were in their season openers.
Last night, 5 teams took the bagel, and are officially out. Milwaukee had the worst loss at 10 – 0, and therefore finish in dead last for this competition.
Also gone are the Phillies and Rangers who took 8 – 0 losses. Ironically these 2 clubs both faced each other during last years opening day series, and they had the highest scoring contests of day 1.
The Twins did not score a run against David Price for their 1st game skipper Paul Molitor in a 4 – 0 loss, and the Indians couldn’t solve Dallas Keuchel and the Astros to plate a guy either. And then there were 24 teams left..
MLB Runs Scored Survivor 2015 Day 2
Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer) Follow @stokes_hunter21
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This should turn out to be quite fun. A lot of gambling establishments have this sort of deal, and it will be fun to see the results.
What Runs Survivor is, a MLB team scoring 0,1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9, 10 or (10+) in different games throughout the course of the season.
Once a club has one of these run totals once, you cross it off and keep going until they complete the 11 different variations. As the runs come in on a daily basis, we will keep erasing the numbers beside the team until the last team wins. The Yankees lost the for the year, finishing much after August had started. An obvious blight on their offense last year.
Last year the Giants were the 1st team to complete the 11 variation trek, so maybe their is a method to our madness after all. The 1st AL club to do the 11 run totals were the Tampa Bay Rays. Who do you have to complete all 11 1st in 2015? Read the rest of this entry
MLB Shutout Survivor Night 1 2015: Cubs Are Blanked By Cards And Eliminated
Jon Lester towed the hill in the season opener for the Cubbies, but was ineffective on the contest. Chicago took a blanking for the 2nd straight year in their 1st game of the campaign. Let’s hope it is not a sign of things to come
Adam Wainwright showed no signs of not having an entire Spring Training. His effort helped eliminate the Cubs from the 2015 Shutout Survivor. They are also in danger of finishing last in the competition
MLB Shutout Survivor 2015: Which Team Do You Have Last To Be Blanked This Year?
Last Year the D’Backs, A’s, Braves and Cubs were the 1st teams to be blanked before March was even over. To their credit, Arizona was in their 3rd game while the others were in their season openers. Read the rest of this entry
Official MLB Reports 2015 Baseball Predictions w/Audio (Includes Post Season + Interleague)
Below is the 90 minute 2015 MLB Triple Play Podcast Preview. Patrick Beaulieu, Chris Leitch and Chuck Booth chop up the forthcoming year. Season overs/division winners, and a few cities will not like some of the chatter! Click the link below this picture
Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer) Follow @stokes_hunter21
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Another year, and it is time for all of us experts to predict the future. Keep in mind, that I haven’t seen anyone else do a prediction set like we do. We don’t throw numbers out blindly.
First off, the number of wins allocated must equal 2430 for all 30 teams, and 2430 Losses. If this is not done, you fail. Read the rest of this entry
MLB Player Futures Bets In 2015: Player Performance Props
What are your best Over/Under Bets for player performances in the upcoming campaign. We delve deep into the numbers and have given you our selections. Its time to throw down some cabbage!
Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer) Follow @stokes_hunter21
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Fantasy Playes are dusting off their notes, and getting ready for the 2015 year. If we did not accompany a guys total with a picture and quick blurb, it means we think the total is fair. Injuries may play a factor, as a guys age and surrounding teammates, or the Division he plays in.
Some guys have contracts to play for, or have shown up out of shape.
Total by Cole Hamels (PHI)
Over 11½ Wins +100
Under 11½ Wins -130
Total by Adam Wainwright (STL)
Over 14½ Wins +100
Under 14½ Wins -130
Total by Andrew Cashner (SD)
Over 10½ Wins +105
Under 10½ Wins -135 Read the rest of this entry
2015 Odds To Win MLB Divisions: Best And Worst Value Bets
Buck Showalter’s club are the Rodney Dangerfield act “They Get NO RESPECT”. Having Baltimore not closer to Toronto for the AL East Division is not wise. Take advantage of this odd while it presents itself. Remember that Boston did only win 71 games last year while the 2014 AL East champs did take home 96 victories. Their odds should vaguely resemble each other heading into the 2015 campaign.
Photo Credit – Jonathan Dyer – USA Today Sports
Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer) Follow @stokes_hunter21
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The forthcoming season has seen the gambling establishments starting to post their opening lines for Division play. I like the way they constructed the AL West, NL West (except San Diego) and NL East. They are pegged perfectly, and would not advise in plunking any money down for those.
The real good bets are within both Central Divisions, and of course the Baltimore Orioles.
Part of being a good handicapper is watching and predicting the trends as they go up and down.
Red Highlighted Picks are my favorites
Blue Highlighted Selections are odds to stay away from
Parenthesis is slated from 1 – 5 designation for best/worst value by color
AL
AL East
Boston +190
Toronto +250
New York +425
Baltimore +375 (2)
Tampa Bay +700 (3)
Read the rest of this entry
MLB Shutout Survivor 2015: Which Team Do You Have Last To Be Blanked This Year?
2014’s Shutout Survivor Winners were the Angels. The club nearly made it all the way to Memorial Day before they were shutout last year. The team had a great offense, and rode it to an MLB Best record last year. I would still put the Jays, Red Sox and O’s ahead of them in 2015 with those team’s respective lineups all being strong, and playing in a less pitcher friendly Division with the AL East.
Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer) Follow @stokes_hunter21
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Last Year the D’Backs, A’s, Braves and Cubs were the 1st teams to be blanked before March was even over. To their credit, Arizona was in their 3rd game while the others were in their season openers.
The winner of the competition last year were the Los Angeles Angels who almost made it all the way to Memorial Day weekend without being bageled.
It was between them and the Rockies (NL Winner) for the overall win, and the Halo’s won out.
Despite a depleted lineup early, the Rangers made it all the way to 3rd place in the category, and their pitching staff also took the most other clubs by hanging a zero on them.
In 2015, I still believe the favorites, if doing a betting line, would have to be the Colorado Rockies again. Not only do they play exceedingly well every first 6 weeks of the year, and they play at Coors Field, but they start the campaign at least with Carlos Gonzalez and Troy Tulowitzki. Read the rest of this entry
MLB Runs Survivor 2015: 11 Different Run Totals For Each Team
Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer) Follow @stokes_hunter21
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This should turn out to be quite fun. A lot of gambling establishments have this sort of deal, and it will be fun to see the results.
What Runs Survivor is, a MLB team scoring 0,1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9, 10 or (10+) in different games throughout the course of the season.
Once a club has one of these run totals once, you cross it off and keep going until they complete the 11 different variations. As the runs come in on a daily basis, we will keep erasing the numbers beside the team until the last team wins. The Yankees lost the for the year, finishing much after August had started. An obvious blight on their offense last year.
Last year the Giants were the 1st team to complete the 11 variation trek, so maybe their is a method to our madness after all. The 1st AL club to do the 11 run totals were the Tampa Bay Rays. Who do you have to complete all 11 1st in 2015?
The 2nd Wild Card Team In The NL For 2015 Could Be Right Near .500
The National League is a very top heavy league with the Nats, Dodgers, Cardinals and Pirates having the best odds to qualify for the postseason in 2015. With parity at an all time high in the Senior Circuit, we may see a squad break the worst record ever to qualify for the playoffs as a Wild Card seed this campaign. The AL is not as big with the dominant clubs, and as such will have many teams hover around 90 wins that make the postseason. With the AL winning the Interleague matchup for 10 years consecutive, you also have to factor in a few more W’s per team.
Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): Follow @stokes_hunter21
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With all due respect to the rest of the Senior Circuit clubs, the Nationals and Dodgers are heads above the rest of the league. I am also throwing in stalwart franchise St. Louis and Pittsburgh (94 wins and 88 wins in the last 2 years) as other teams that should lock down the NL Central and the other 1 to win the 1st Wild Card – to round out the top 4 seeds in the NL.
Then there are the rest of the clubs.
From the surface odds wise, the gambling pundits are saying the Padres and Giants would be next on the list for wins, followed by the Mets, Cubs and Marlins.
Just below those last 5 teams, you have the fight for competing coming from Milwaukee, Cincinnati, Atlanta, and finally the teams most thought to struggle this campaign are the Rockies, D’Backs and the Phillies.
I believe Washington is going to run away from the rest of the league – and near 100 victories. The Dodgers while not as talented as they have been the last few seasons, should not have a problem topping 90 wins again with their Starting Rotation being so strong.
The Pirates did lose Russell Martin and Edinson Volquez, but you have to think bringing A.J. Burnett back replaces Volquez, and the internal improvements from Gregory Polanco, and a return to power from Pedro Alvarez should be enough to compensate for that.
When it comes down to my final prognostication for the Division, I may just jot the Bucs down to win the Division. Josh Harrison and Neil Walker at 3B and 2B, and if they receive anything from their Starting Catcher and Shortstop then look the hell out.
Andrew McCutchen and Starling Marte also help Polanco round out the Outfield, and I think by the end of the year, they will be pronounced the best trio of players beyond the Infield, rather than the Marlins or Padres. Read the rest of this entry
Odds To Win The MLB 2015 World Series + Best Bets
Yu Darvish had exceeded expectations in his 1st 3 seasons with the club. Based on his 6 YRs/$56 MIL contract, he was considered seriously underpaid in the last three years of his contract. Since that value created cash for other deals, the team was able to sign Fielder and Choo last winter, but those two sustained massive injuries in 2014 (along with the RHP – and about 57 others lin 2014) in what was a losing season, Darvish finished 2nd in AL Cy Young Voting with a 2.83 ERA and an AL Leading 277 for the 2013 season, but he has a torn UCL now – and will probably have to go under the knife for Tommy John Surgery, I call this a season ender for the Rangers playoffs chances even before we hit the MLB opener on April.5th. Oddsmakers are on board with what I have said, with the team tied for the 22nd worst odd to win it all this campaign.
Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): Follow @stokes_hunter21
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With yesterday’s grim news on the 2015 season of Yu Darvish. I think it is safe to say the Rangers will have a tough campaign this year as well.
It was one thing having all of their top players coming back from injury already, but now you lose one of the true aces left in the American League. This is a doomsday special. I don’t think Yovani Gallardo will take on Darvish’s type of role and thrive. If anything, the Rangers might be able to flip him later in the year.
Jon Daniels should not trade for another pitcher either. This Division is the best in baseball, and if he were to do that, it would be bad money spent. Hopefully Prince Fielder and Shin-soo Choo can have bounce back seasons for you, and at least the future will look up beyond 2015. Read the rest of this entry
MLB Power Rankings March 2015
Once again, the National League is very top-heavy. with the Nationals, Dodgers and Cards reeling in 3 of the first 5 rankings spots. The American League has more parity in the league this year. and could feature several new entrants into postseason play. This includes the two longest playoff drought teams in the Toronto Blue Jays (the last team to make the playoffs since the Strike/Lockout in 1994 and 1995 – and the M’s haven’t since their 116 win campaign in 2001. The Marlins own the longest such dry spell in the NL<- with their last playoff berth coming in their 2003 World Series win. You also have many young franchises like the Houston Astros and Minnesota Twins having several of their young studs coming into the fold, and teams like the Rangers trying to be relevant again following a league record for DL Stints in 2014. This will mean there are no easy wins on the J’unior Circuit’ this campaign.
Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): Follow @stokes_hunter21
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1. Washington Nationals – This team is so far above the rest of the MLB, they should be everyones unanimous pick to win the best record in the MLB. Their Division is weaker the NL West, and the teams in the NL Central are a lot closer in parity.
2. LA Dodgers – Too many changes will take the club time to gel. Emphasis on Joc Pederson to do well may be too much to ask. Not enough is being said about the club losing the offense of Matt Kemp and Hanley Ramirez. Any club with Clayton Kershaw and Zack Greinke as their top 2 starting pitchers will never be to far from the top ranking.
3. Detroit Tigers – This is all based on the American League Central. While I believe the team is not as strong as last year in the pitching department with Max Scherzer, they may be better in the lineup with Yoenis Cespedes. Read the rest of this entry
Odds To Win The MLB 2015 League Pennants
Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): Follow @stokes_hunter21
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Yesterday we went over the World Series Odds. Since I have the Nationals as a heavy favorite, I think the best way to receive a win for any AL clubs, is to bet the team to win the Pennant.
The Angels are listed as the #1 favorite to win the American League at +500. If you like them (even though I wouldn’t wager on them), this is a much better risk, than the +1000 mark for the World Series. If the Dodgers or Nationals are their adversary in the Fall Classic, that is at least a +125 odd for the Halo’s to reel in their 1st Title in 13 years.
Since I love the Mariners more in the AL West, obviously I love the +700 odd they have right now to win the Junior Circuit.
Pulling up the rear in the AL, are the Twins at +5000 to win the Pennant. If you like the Royals to play good in 2015 as well, they are +1200 to win the American League in 2015 on this site, while bet365.com was offering just +1800 for a World Series triumph. That is good value. Read the rest of this entry
Odds To Win The MLB 2015 World Series + Best Bets
One of these years the absolute favorite of the preseason will take the home the World Series. I think 2015 will be that year. I am calling for the last 2 franchises not to make the Fall Classic, end up facing off in this year championship series. That would make it Washington vs Seattle. I believe the Nationals will win that series.
Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): Follow @stokes_hunter21
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Last year’s opening 3 wagers for the World Series netted us an eventual winner. I plunked almost $14 down on a 25/1 bet for the Giants (and failed with Rangers and Rays bets). Throughout the year, I was able to secure odds of 50/1 and 80/1 for the Royals during down times, and then hedged those bets in the playoffs. It was a thousand dollar profit year for the selections.
In the next few weeks I will finalize the Over/Under Best bets that I put down yesterday. Again, last season I was 3 out of 3 for top Over/Under picks, and will likely pick the same 3 teams (KC and WSH over their opening regular season wins of 81.5 and 93.5, while I picked SD under 84.5) out of the 10 total wagers I go for this campaign).
But this article is about the Fall Classic Winner in 2015. Read the rest of this entry
2015 Regular Season Win Over/Unders In The MLB + Best Bets
What are your best Over/Under Bets for the upcoming 2015 MLB Season? We have selected our top 10.
Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer) Follow @stokes_hunter21
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Over/Unders for the year, based on odds given by http://www.bovada.com sports book
Arizona – 71.5 (over is -115) (under is -115)
I gotta go with the under. San Diego, LA and SF are all much better, and even Colorado is tough on the road. Like them at just around 70 wins. Is a rebuilding year, and they might fetch a heavy ransom if Mark Trumbo can have a bounce back 1st half. 2016 maybe the year the can contend again.
Atlanta – 73.5 (over is -115) (under is -115)
I like the over on this one big time. This club lost a ton of offense, yet I like their run prevention more than ever. Shelby Miller was a great acquisition, and they still have a nasty Bullpen. I am not as bullish on the rest of the NL East as a lot of clubs are too. Wouldn’t call this a best bet, however, like them to win 75 – 77 games. Read the rest of this entry
Odds To Win The 2015 World Series (Don’t Bet The Cubs Despite Of Back To The Future 2 Prediction)
Max Scherzer now is in the front of the best Starting Rotation in the National League in some time. His signing has made the Nationals the leading favorite to win the 2015 World Series This would mean the Expos/Nats franchise would make and win their 1st Fall Classic since Montreal joined the Major Leagues in 1969. Only their franchise and the Mariners have yet to make an appearance in the World Series.
Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): Follow @stokes_hunter21
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Max Scherzer has tipped the scale to the Nats being the World Series favorite, whereas we left them in December, with them being tied with the Dodgers as the lowest odds to win the Fall Classic in 2015.
Not only did he affect his new team, he affected his old team of the Tigers to drop from +950 to +1100 now. The Mets also dipped from +3300 to +3500 on the news yesterday.
There is no doubt the Nationals are the best team in the National League now, and could very well improve on their 2014 win total of 96. Look for them to continuously punch the Phillies in the neck this year, and should beat up the Atlanta Braves pretty well across the board too.
There is no doubt in my mind this should be Washington’s season to go to the dance. I don’t think the Dodgers are as strong with their offense losing Dee Gordon and Hanley Ramirez, while adding Joc Pederson potentially, and stalwart 2B Howie Kendrick.
The Cardinals best 3 players of Adam Wainwright, Yadier Molina and Matt Holliday are another year older, and one of these years someone will take them out in the playoffs. When you add in all 5 NL Central teams being competitive, it could beat them up over the regular season a little,
After all, it also an odd year, do don’t expect the Giants to make the Post Season. But seriously, San Francisco has lost Pablo Sandoval and Michael Morse, while adding Nori Aoki and Casey McGehee. I can’t see this being an upgrade at all. Don’t forget the club also will not have Ryan Vogelsong either, while there are massive question marks surrounding the health of Matt Cain and pitching effectiveness of Tim Lincecum.
Tim Hudson is another year older, and Jake Peavy looked like he was hanging from a thread to finish the playoffs. Read the rest of this entry
Odds To Win The 2015 World Series (CWS Best Value Currently)
Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): Follow @stokes_hunter21
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We are back from an extended period of not writing articles here at the MLB Reports to weigh in on the World Series Odds for next campaign.
As we did last year, we will update this as a weekly segment for the next 10 months until the winner is crowned.
I can tell you right now, the favorites based on so-called “winning the offseason” hardly ever pay off. If that were the case, the Yankees would have been crowned last year, with spending $503 MIL on 10 Free Agents, or also the Rangers would have been second with bringing in Prince Fielder and Shin Soo-Choo.
The odds doled out for free wheeling Padres and Cubs are my top two picks to stay clear of wagering with the value currently constituted. There are two teams in a similar view, not given enough credit.
The White Sox are looking decent in the AL Central, and play in the fairest of the Division in the American League, boast a 1 – 2 that can battle you with Chris Sale and Jeff Samardzija, while inking Free Agents Adam LaRoche and David Robertson gives the team nice depth all around,
The ‘Southsiders’ are definitely much improved in every facet heading into 2015., To say the Cubs, with their exuberant youth has more of a chance to win the 2015 title is not justified without seeing them perform on the field yet. Read the rest of this entry
Odds To Win The 2015 MLB World Series
The combatants of the 2014 World Series (KC vs SF) are tied with the Baltimore Orioles for the 6th best odd to win the 2015 title. I like the odd for the Giants, however I hate it for the Royals.
Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): Follow @stokes_hunter21
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There is no time for resting on the winter hotstove, there is however time to sit back and digest the odds of who is going to win next year’s title.
I was surprised to see that the Royals have been giving such a low odd to go back to the Fall Classic and win. They are tied with the Giants/Orioles for the 6th best odd to win a championship.
Hate those odds, just wait until the season starts if you want those teams.
I couldn’t believe the Cubs were rated so high either. Apparently, the oddsmakers think these guys are going to take a quantum leap – or maybe they like the Back to the Future 2 prognostication of the Cubbies winning the World Series.
Looking at the list, I initially think there is fantastic value in every team 12 – 21, except take out the Marlins, Cubs and Mets out of that lot. Read the rest of this entry
World Series Betting, MLB Reports SOTU + Happy 2nd Anniversary To Sully Baseball’s Daily Podcast
By Chuck Booth (Lead Baseball Analyst/Website Owner): Follow @chuckbooth3024
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Okay..It has been a trying month here at the MLB Reports..Damaged electronics, power outages, I moved (while working every single day) – and all of this in the eye of the Postseason. But we are finally 100% back, and all systems at go.
First off, I wanted to acknowledge Sully for his incredible work on his 20 minute daily podcast, and his ironman streak for a couple of different things.
Sully has done a brand new podcast every day for 732 days straight. That is incredible to say the least. We are ecstatic to have partnered with him for all but about 3 months of that time. If you don’t currently listening to it, you are missing out.
Paul Sullivan “Sully” is a walking historical book on the game of baseball, but he presents it in a way that anyone can be a fan of the game.
My girlfriend can even easily spend 20 minutes a day downloading his show on Soundcloud, because he makes it easy to follow – and entertaining.
He doesn’t beat you over the head with stats and spends a lot of time telling stories on the narrative, or just his personal views.. It is a gift to be able to translate the game to any specter of age or gender in audio fashion for 20 minutes a day.
Subscribe to The Sully Baseball Daily Podcast.
Another thing Sully does, is watch every single game of the 2430 game regular season schedule, and all of the playoffs.
At the completion of the 2014 Postseason, he will have listed a daily MVP for the AL and NL Games for 2 years straight as well.
Much like his podcast, he posts these articles every day there was baseball the previous day of action.
You are talking about 200+ more posts per year. The guy doesn’t miss a day. That kind of devotion is and will become even more legendary as the season’s pile up.
Thank you Sully, looking forward to many more years of featuring your work on our website.
So because Paul Sullivan does these baseball posts every day, we are guaranteed at least an article of the Daily MVP, and also his podcast.
For those of you who have been lucky enough to become a follower, spread the word out there so we can make this daily show a huge paying gig for Sully one day. Read the rest of this entry
Based On The World Series Odds Today – Bet The Royals To Win
Getty Images
By Chuck Booth (Lead Baseball Analyst/Website Owner): Follow @chuckbooth3024
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We said it before the World Series started, if you were going to bet KC for the “Fall Classic” wait until after Game 1, when a loss to Madison Bumgarner was well within the realm.
The Royals jumped from a -120 favorite, to a +170 underdog on the completion of last night’s game. Clearly the website is working out formula’s without human’s listing the odds before this series began.
It still baffles me how the Giants weren’t favored to win this series to begin with.
Having said this, the time to bet the American League Champions is right now if you were going to bet them at all. I still believe the Giants will win the series, however the odd has jumped so far in their favor, it doesn’t have enough value to throw some cabbage down on.
Tonight’s matchup (Jake Peavy +106 @ Yordano Ventura -116) favors Kansas City slightly. But it is more than that.
The young flamethrowing rookie (Ventura) has great hit and miss stuff, and has never faced the Giants lineup, this ultimately is in Ned Yost squad’s favor.
Peavy on the other hand, spent numerous years and season series opposing the Royals as a member of the Chicago White Sox formerly. He has struggled mightily, owning a 5 – 7 record, with a 4.97 ERA and 1.38 WHIP in 14 game starts against Kansas City lifetime.
Billy Butler has had a field day on the RHP. Hitting .500 with 3 HRs for his career versus the former Red Sox champ. Read the rest of this entry
Odds To Win The 2014 MLB World Series (Kansas City Vs San Francisco) + Prediction Time
Kansas City is making the most of their 1st playoff appearance since winning the World Series in 1985. The club has won 8 straight games over 3 series, and have shown they have power in their lumber, homering in most of their games. They have a slight advantage with their Relief Core, and must amp up their speed game again versus the Giants in order to win the 2014 Fall Classic. KC has home field advantage with the AL having won the ALL – Star Game. I personally think this is a hinderance, based on the way the team plays on the road. Whatever I feel, the oddsmakers have listed them as the Favorite.
Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): Follow @stokes_hunter21
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I awoke this morning to a text stating that the Giants were the longshots in the MLB World Series this year at +100 when I placed my wager.
Kansas City was a -120 Favorite in the early morning Friday.
I exclaimed ‘yes’ because I was hoping for a nice odd for the NLCS Champs.
Chuck Booth and I stand to win $1477.50 on KC to win the World Series based on a $20 (50/1 Bet) and a $6 (80/1 Bet).
San Francisco was also the subject of my 1st bet on the Fall Classic to start the year. It was a 25/1 Odd back in January of this year, and we threw down $14 each.
Now since we could win $1477 on the Royals, and just $389 on the Giants, came the hedge bet for $500 on SF at Even money.
So we can win $1389.00 each on the Giants, and now $1477 still on KC.
The difference being, that we only had to wager $25 aggregate on the ALCS Champs.
The bet assures us of over $1000 each profit for the year.
Already, since the morning line, the odds have shifted to SF -105, to KC -115. I am not surprised, as the Sharps have spoken.
Royals Win Game 1 Of The ALCS And Are The New World Series Favorite: Betting Lines For Postseason Wagering
Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): Follow @stokes_hunter21
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The Royals continue to shock the world with newfound power and late inning heroics, Based their 5th straight playoff win, they took a 1 – 0 ALCS advantage on the Baltimore Orioles in last nights contest for the ALCS.
I woke up this morning to see they are the new favorite to win the World Series at +210. The Cards are 2nd at +250, Giants are 3rd at +280, and bringing up the rears are the O’s at +333.
Furthermore to our point of drastic odds change with one game, the Royals are now -170 favorites to the win the American League Championship Series, compared to the Orioles +150 odd.
If you wanted to bet Baltimore, the time for value is right now. Kansas City will lose a game eventually, and the time to pounce is probably today. Of course I have been saying that about the Royals all postseason, but the odd is inviting for Baltimore. Read the rest of this entry
Full Disclosure Of Bets For 2014 MLB Wagers
In colloborative effort between our Chief Writer “Hunter Stokes” and I, we have guaranteed to turn a profit of no less than $650, with the more likelihood of more than that coming our way. Not bad for a 1st year – (even though we haven’t predicted the playoffs well on the prognostications side for postseason play). We always bet with the value, and not necessarily who we think is really going to win. Besides, you can always hedge bet with a favorite team you like, once they are trailing, and you still picked them to win the Series, Rounds, Playoffs or LCS or World Series.
Okay, so at the MLB Reports, we have been tackling a different vantage point for the 2014 year. I saw a rising number of people who want to know about gambling.
There are several factors to acknowledge here.
It is illegal for most Americans to gamble (unless you are in a state that allows it like Las Vegas).
However, Canadians are allowed to wager freely under the ‘capital gains clause;.
Still, everyone has a friend in the Desert city of Las Vegas right? So we have been running with a theme.
I have had my main chief writer “Hunter Stokes” take a look at the odds all year. and surmise a game plan to throw some cabbage down on it.
If he couldn’t make it to Nevada (he flies there a lot, and goes about 1 per week) from Bakersfield, CA. It is only 286 Miles, and he likes to make the trek a lot.
But if he is unable to pry himself away from his tattoo parlor, I double down on my wagers for his picks. I am happy to have followed his selections all year. Read the rest of this entry
NLCS Preview: Cardinals vs Giants In A Battle For Decade Supremacy!
It’s all about the Pennants in the LCS Round, The Cards are competing in their 4th straight NLCS, and 9th out of 14 years, while the GIants are in the series for the 3rd time in 5 years, and have never lost a playoff series under head coach Bruce Bochy.
Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): Follow @stokes_hunter21
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I am not going to preview this from an analyst angle because our “Lead Podcast Personality” Paul Francis Sullivan ‘AKA Sully’ does a brilliant 20 minute podcast that he does daily, and he has described this matchup beautifully.
I will post the podcast at the end of the article.
Instead, I am looking at this series as a professional handicapper sense.
Opening Odds
STL -135
SF, +115
I have to give the nod to the Giants for value on this one. If you go down the rosters, the St. Louis franchise is a smidge better on the talent level, however how can you bet against San Francisco when they have won 8 straight playoff series from 2010 – 2014.
The Giants have also won 4 of 5 games in this year’s playoff. Read the rest of this entry
Odds To Win The 2014 ALCS + NLCS In The MLB
Camden Yards will see home games in the ALCS for the 1st time since the 1997 season. Buck Showalter has a decisive edge in the managerial department over the Royals skipper Ned Yost. The O’s are the new owners of home field advantage all the way throughout the postseason now, as the top seed left in the American League.
Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): Follow @stokes_hunter21
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The Dog Days Of October
The 4 teams in the League Championship Series were all underdogs in the last round.
When you also factor the Wild Card Games were both won by the Giants and Royals, (both not being the favorite), it marks the 1st 6 rounds of this postseason go to the “Dogs”.
Baltimore defeating the Tigers was probably the least surprising as the other clubs winning against their opponents. Again via a sweep of the 3 straight Cy Young Winners is impressive though.
The Nationals and Cards losing to the Giants and Cardinals had a lot to do with playoff pedigree with the teams moving on, as they handled the pressure better than the two upstart clubs. Read the rest of this entry
Odds To Win The 2014 MLB World Series For The Final Four In The MLB Playoffs
The Orioles are the favorite to win the World Series among the last 4 remaining teams. The O’s will have Chris Davis back in Game #4 of the ALCS, and have to be happy they are playing the Royals. It has lined up nicely for Baltimore to take out the ‘Cinderella’ KC Squad.
Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): Follow @stokes_hunter21
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After licking my wounds for the last rounds 0 – 4 predictions of series, I am laughing all the way to the bank.
While I still picked the Nationals, Tigers, Angels and Dodgers because I thought they would win their last round best of 5’s, I never took the bait to bet any of these clubs.
I was sitting on bets I made earlier in the year. Back in January, I wrote an article proclaiming the Giants at 25/1 (Can win $400) a great steal. I bet the Royals at 50/1 and 80/1 (I can win $1500 if they take the WS) and I bet the O’s at 50/1 and 20/1 (with a potential win total of $720).
So even though I took a header on my picks, I have put myself in a great position of profit for the remainder of the playoffs..
To hedge the series, I have wagered the Baltimore Orioles and Cards to win the LCS’s for $134 wager, that pays +213 or $414. It ensures me to make a profit regardless of the outcome. Read the rest of this entry
Odds To Win The 2014 MLB World Series Oct.3, 2014
The Orioles last won the World Series in 1983, and were closest next in the 1997 ALCS, before being ousted by the Indians. With having a 1 – 0 series lead on the Tigers, they have tied the Washington Nationals as the co-favorites for the World Series odds. Stay clear of betting them or Washington. The value is bad.
Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): Follow @stokes_hunter21
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With Baltimore taking a 1 – 0 advantage on the Tigers yesterday, the oddsmakers now have them tied with the Nationals for the best odds to win the World Series.
I don’t agree with this at all. If you still like the Detroit club, the time to bet is right now. Justin Verlander has a proven playoff track record, and the squad has David Price and Max Scherzer in Games 3 and 4, with Max Scherzer back for a potential game #5.
You always see these swings on a 1 game basis in the postseason.
The Dodgers will only be at this clip for 1 day too. If you want to put some cabbage on them, do it before Clayton Kershaw takes the hill and wins tonight.
The Angels are trailing their series vs the Royals, and are +145 underdogs as opposed to KC holding a LDS odd of -175 over LAA. Despite this, the Royals are not favored higher than the “Halo’s” on the odd for the World Series. Keep in mind the Royals are a better road team, while the Angels won 46 games on the road and 52 at home. Take the odd of +145 for this series versus Kansas City. They throw Matt Shoemaker tonight, and will still be able to throw Jered Weaver one more time. Tonight’s game has the Angels are a -152 favorite – whereas the Royals pay +135 if they win tonight.
Kansas City is favored to win the series versus the Angels at -175, to LAA’s +145, but are still a bigger longshot to win the World Series.
My advice: plunk some money down on the LAA for the ALDS series at that mark. It was a close game last night, and the Royals will not make it easy on themselves in the series.
I would still wait on the St. Louis team if you wish to bet them at all, as well as the Giants. Both teams have a tough nature to knock off, as their World Series in 3 of the last 4 years indicates.
You think the odds are high now, wait if they lose tonight’s games. It will jump to near +1400 or +1600. Wait a day for those guys.
Updated Odds To Win The World Series For All 9 Playoff Clubs.
T1. BAL +400
T1. WSH +400
3. LAD +425
4. LAA +650
5. KC +700
6. DET +750
T7. STL +900
T7. SF +900
Please note that it is illegal in most U.S. States to gamble
Odds are courtesy of www.bet365.com
*** The views and opinions expressed in this report are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of mlbreports.com and their partners***
A Big thanks goes out to our chief writer Hunter Stokes for preparing today’s feature post.
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Odds To Win The 2014 MLB World Series, LDS Odds + NLWC Odds (All 9 Playoff Teams)
J
Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): Follow @stokes_hunter21
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Man Alive what a game last night. I was torn in so many directions, I may need an x-ray to make sure I have no ligaments busted up this AM, like Coco Crisp and Geovany Soto experienced.
Last evening was a perfect example of how betting with a hedge can totally benefit your plight, when you are sitting nice with some favorable bets made from a good value standpoint..
I have published many articles on this site, raving about the Royals from even before the season began during 2014. Now I picked Oakland to win last night’s contest, but financially I had a lot to gain on the Kansas City club advancing.
You see back in May, when the squad was struggling, I posted a $20 wager on them to win the World Series for a 50/1 odd. I then put some more cabbage on them at 80/1 a few months later amidst a losing streak.
In all, I stand to win the most on KC, out of any AL club I have left.
Now, I only can win $285 on the Angels to win the Fall Classic, which would only break me about even for the year.
As stated in a blog yesterday, the Tigers net me a return of $894, and the Orioles, will bounce my bank account to the tune of $804.
I was able to speculate when the teams would all be at their max peak earlier in the year.
Based on the mere fact, the A’s only paid me around $260 for the World Series, I bet them to win $50 to start the night at +100 for the Wild Card Game.. I couldn’t believe they were underdogs to start the game, but glad for it.
Once Oakland took a 2 – 0 led on Brandon Moss‘s 1st HR, I wagered $22 (In Play) on KC – for a return of $86 if they won. This would have won me my money back plus a small profit. This continued all night…. Read the rest of this entry
Odds To Win The 2014 MLB World Series (All 10 Playoff Teams)
The Washington Nationals/Montreal Expos franchise still has never appeared in the World Series. That didn’t stop the oddsmakers from giving them the #1 favorite status heading into the playoffs today. They are the deepest team on both offense and defense, and only lack postseason experience. The Stephen Strasburg ‘decision’ of a few years back, will never be put to rest until this club wins a title. Despite them being favored, I am not sure the ranking is justified, as the Dodgers reside in the same league.
Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): Follow @stokes_hunter21
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It is time to place your bets on the World Series. The Washington Nationals are your favorites to win the whole thing at +450. The Tigers, Angels and Dodgers are both next at all tied for +500.
To round out the teams in sequence…5 – Baltimore is at +700, 6 – St. Louis at +900, 7 – Oakland at +1100, 8 – San Fran at +1400, and the Royals and the Bucs are the biggest odds on the board at +1600 for 9th.
At first glance I see the pattern. The Nationals are the most deep team across the board, with having all 4 starters as potential aces in Stephen Strasburg, Jordan Zimmermann, Gio Gonzalez and Doug Fister.
Each one of the players in the positional lineup, were over right near of plus.400 for Slugging Percentage, and this doesn’t even include Ryan Zimmerman – who will be an awesome bat off the bench at least to start. Read the rest of this entry
MLB Reports Playoff Predictions 2014
Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): Follow @stokes_hunter21
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The playoffs are upon us, and since we had such a great year predicting a lot of stuff, both Chuck Booth and I are putting our postseason prognostications up.
In other blogs we will take a look at the series and everything, but this is just pure bets.
American League
American League Wild Card Game
Oakland -104 @ Kansas City -106 (Jon Lester @ James Shields)
Chuck – Oakland, Hunter, Oakland
ATR (Ask The Reports) Sept.20, 2014: World Series Betting + MVP Talk!
Chuck Booth (Owner/Lead Analyst) Follow @chuckbooth3024
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Every once in a while we will air the (ATR special, like our founder Jonathan Hacohen used to do every week). Sometimes a lot of good questions are asked, all at the same time.
Rather than go on for days on social twitter, it is easier writing in a format that doesn’t limit you to 140 characters:
We had 2 such questions that were good enough to write an article about.
Q: Who do you think should be the MVP in both the AL and NL this year?
A: This one is easier in the AL than the NL, but I would like to point out that the clear-cut favorite (Mike Trout) is not having as good of a year that he did in 2012 and 2013, however this trophy is going his way with the year LA has had.
Will finish with 35 HRs and 110+ RBI, with over 110 Runs scored, (currently has 81 Extra Base Hits for huge MLB Lead) and his stellar defense is definitely the difference separating him from Martinez (a primary DH) and Cabrera.
I will also point out that Victor Martinez (.970 OPS, 30 HRs and 104 RBI) would certainly be right up there if he weren’t playing on the Tigers.
His numbers, contact rate, and overall professionalism as a hitter have saved Detroit’s bacon this year.
V-Mart is hurt by the fact Cabrera is on the same club. For as much as the two time reigning MVP has been dealing with injury,. his so-called “down year” still has him with a 3 Slash Line of .318/.380/.527 with 104 RBI.
The big 1B for Detroit has seen his HRs cut nearly in half, but he is still leading the league in Doubles with 49 – and has 73 Extra Base Hits are even more than he had last year.
The Tigers never running away with the competition also is a drawback for both players. Read the rest of this entry
MLB Reports 
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