Odds To Win The 2014 MLB World Series (Kansas City Vs San Francisco) + Prediction Time

Kansas City is making the most of their 1st playoff appearance since winning the World Series in 1985.  The club has won 8 straight games over 3 series, and have shown they have power in their lumbering, homering in most of their games.  They have a slight advantage with their Relief Core, and must amp up their speed game again versus the Giants in order to win the 2014 Fall Classic.  KC has home field advantage with the AL having won the ALL - Star Game.  I personally think this is a hinderance, based on the way the team plays on the road.  Whatever I feel, the oddsmakers have listed them as the Favorite.

Kansas City is making the most of their 1st playoff appearance since winning the World Series in 1985. The club has won 8 straight games over 3 series, and have shown they have power in their lumber, homering in most of their games. They have a slight advantage with their Relief Core, and must amp up their speed game again versus the Giants in order to win the 2014 Fall Classic. KC has home field advantage with the AL having won the ALL – Star Game. I personally think this is a hinderance, based on the way the team plays on the road. Whatever I feel, the oddsmakers have listed them as the Favorite.

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

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I awoke this morning to a text stating that the Giants were the longshots in the MLB World Series this year at +100 when I placed my wager.

Kansas City was a -120 Favorite in the early morning Friday.

I exclaimed ‘yes’ because I was hoping for a nice odd for the NLCS Champs.

Chuck Booth and I stand to win $1477.50 on KC to win the World Series based on a $20 (50/1 Bet) and a $6 (80/1 Bet).

San Francisco was also the subject of my 1st bet on the Fall Classic to start the year.  It was a 25/1 Odd back in January of this year, and we threw down $14 each.

Now since we could win $1477 on the Royals, and just $389 on the Giants, came the hedge bet for $500 on SF at Even money.

So we can win $1389.00 each on the Giants, and now $1477 still on KC.

The difference being, that we only had to wager $25 aggregate on the ALCS Champs.

The bet assures us of over $1000 each profit for the year.

Already, since the morning line, the odds have shifted to SF -105, to KC -115.   I am not surprised, as the Sharps have spoken. 

Has a better ERA on the road (2.22) than home (4.03) in 2014, plus has a career 2.96 ERA, even with the Cardinals blowing him up in the 2012 NLCS,w with 8 ER in his start there.

Has a better ERA on the road (2.22) than home (4.03) in 2014, plus has a career 2.67 playoff ERA, even with the Cardinals blowing him up in the 2012 NLCS  with 8 ER in his start there.  The LHP is 3 – 1, with a 1.42 ERA in the 2014 Post Season, having lugged 31.2 IP in his 4 Game Starts.  Bumgarner is also carrying a road Innings consecutive scoreless streak of 26.2 IP, that dates back to 2010. The Giants ace will start Game #1 at Kauffman Stadium – opposing James Shields against him.  Bumgarner should pitch at least 2 times in the series, and I think he is the difference for the Giants squad to win the World Series versus the upstart Kansas City team.

Cincinnati, Cleveland and Tampa Bay were the only other teams that we could have won more money on than the Royals.

We also had the Tigers and Orioles on nice odd bets.  Only Detroit was our big wager at $75 at a 11/1 Odd.

Of the 2 Wild Card Games, 4 LDS Round series and 2 LCS rounds, all 8 underdogs have won.  I see no reason to think it will be any different in the World Series.

Having Madison Bumgarner is the edge in this series, and for once, KC will have home field advantage.

Of course I have been wrong on wagering versus the “Junior Circuit” Pennant Winners all playoffs.

Getting to the World Series is a lot different than winning the whole kit and caboodle.

I liken the Royals to the 2007 Colorado Rockies that won 21 of 22 games before taking a week off to play the World Series – in which they were swept by the Boston Red Sox.

There is no question that Kansas City has been playing to their full extent of their talent this postseason.  They have squeezed every ounce out of every player to make it here.

The Giants have knocked out the best team in the NL, and most depth wise club in the Nationals, and then had enough to plow through the St. Louis Cardinals.

Even winning the WildCard Game in the hornets nest that is PNC Park.

The Giants are 8 – 2 in these playoffs.   More importantly though, the franchise has won 9 straight series since the 2010 postseason.

Pablo Sandoval is a hitter out of his mind for his playoff career. How does a 3 Slash Line of .325/.372/.548 sound? His OPS of .930 is 119 PTS higher than his totals in the regular season. "Kung-Fu Panda" has added 6 HRs and 16 RBI in his 126 AB. Included in his numbers, were a historical Game #1 of the 2012 World Series, where he clubbed 3 HRs en route to sweeping the Tigers and claiming the WS MVP. He and Posey are forces that are better than anyone KC can roll out.

Pablo Sandoval is a hitter out of his mind for his playoff career. How does a 3 Slash Line of .325/.372/.548 sound? His OPS of .930 is 119 PTS higher than his totals in the regular season. “Kung-Fu Panda” has added 6 HRs and 16 RBI in his 126 AB. Included in his numbers, were a historical Game #1 of the 2012 World Series, where he clubbed 3 HRs en route to sweeping the Tigers and claiming the WS MVP. He and Posey are forces that are better than anyone KC can roll out.

The skipper for SF, Bruce Bochy, has yet to taste defeat in the playoffs.  I think he has a decisive advantage over the Royals Manager Ned Yost.

Starting the Fall Classic in Kansas City is perfect for the Giants.  Bumgarner wins on the road all of the time, and has pitched far superior there all year.

James Shields hasn’t fared as well in the postseason.

The Bullpens are pretty close for a change, with the ‘Dark Horse’ master of Yusmeiro Petit, giving the Giants something in their arsenal not matched up against from the KC side.

There is no doubt the lockdown arms of the Relief Core in Kansas City, of Kelvin Herrera, Wade Davis and Greg Holland are awesome, however the trio of Jeremy Affeldt, Sergio Romo and Santiago Casilla are playoff battle tested, and should give them a run for their money.

I favor the bench of the Giants, especially if Michael Morse can stay healthy.  Adding him to Kauffman Stadium as the DH could be a boost to the offense they need.

Really, the Royals will be fine without having the DH at AT @ T Park.  Losing Billy Butler is not big deal here.  Having him for a Pinch Hitter is not a bad alternative.

Kansas City will have no problem playing in San Francisco, with a spacious park.  The big caveat here is that their power may evaporate a little.

Nobody has more runs without a hit than the San Fran club.  I think they have done their own version of “14 different ways to score in this postseason.

The main reason I would place my cabbage on the Giants over the Royals is they pay more for the series win.  It has worked 8 times straight so far

Kansas City has won 5 straight playoff rounds and 11 straight playoffs games dating back to 1985.. SF has won 9 straight series.

Madison Bumgarner has not dealt a run in 26.2 IP straight worth of work since 2010.

Something has to give here.

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Odds are courtesy of www.bet365.com

*** The views and opinions expressed in this report are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of mlbreports.com and their partners***

A Big thanks goes out to our chief writer Hunter Stokes for preparing today’s feature post.

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Posted on October 17, 2014, in gambling 101, Playoffs and tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , . Bookmark the permalink. Comments Off on Odds To Win The 2014 MLB World Series (Kansas City Vs San Francisco) + Prediction Time.

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