Odds To Win The 2014 MLB World Series (Kansas City Vs San Francisco) + Prediction Time
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I awoke this morning to a text stating that the Giants were the longshots in the MLB World Series this year at +100 when I placed my wager.
Kansas City was a -120 Favorite in the early morning Friday.
I exclaimed ‘yes’ because I was hoping for a nice odd for the NLCS Champs.
Chuck Booth and I stand to win $1477.50 on KC to win the World Series based on a $20 (50/1 Bet) and a $6 (80/1 Bet).
San Francisco was also the subject of my 1st bet on the Fall Classic to start the year. It was a 25/1 Odd back in January of this year, and we threw down $14 each.
Now since we could win $1477 on the Royals, and just $389 on the Giants, came the hedge bet for $500 on SF at Even money.
So we can win $1389.00 each on the Giants, and now $1477 still on KC.
The difference being, that we only had to wager $25 aggregate on the ALCS Champs.
The bet assures us of over $1000 each profit for the year.
Already, since the morning line, the odds have shifted to SF -105, to KC -115. I am not surprised, as the Sharps have spoken.
Cincinnati, Cleveland and Tampa Bay were the only other teams that we could have won more money on than the Royals.
We also had the Tigers and Orioles on nice odd bets. Only Detroit was our big wager at $75 at a 11/1 Odd.
Of the 2 Wild Card Games, 4 LDS Round series and 2 LCS rounds, all 8 underdogs have won. I see no reason to think it will be any different in the World Series.
Having Madison Bumgarner is the edge in this series, and for once, KC will have home field advantage.
Of course I have been wrong on wagering versus the “Junior Circuit” Pennant Winners all playoffs.
Getting to the World Series is a lot different than winning the whole kit and caboodle.
I liken the Royals to the 2007 Colorado Rockies that won 21 of 22 games before taking a week off to play the World Series – in which they were swept by the Boston Red Sox.
There is no question that Kansas City has been playing to their full extent of their talent this postseason. They have squeezed every ounce out of every player to make it here.
The Giants have knocked out the best team in the NL, and most depth wise club in the Nationals, and then had enough to plow through the St. Louis Cardinals.
Even winning the WildCard Game in the hornets nest that is PNC Park.
The Giants are 8 – 2 in these playoffs. More importantly though, the franchise has won 9 straight series since the 2010 postseason.
Starting the Fall Classic in Kansas City is perfect for the Giants. Bumgarner wins on the road all of the time, and has pitched far superior there all year.
James Shields hasn’t fared as well in the postseason.
The Bullpens are pretty close for a change, with the ‘Dark Horse’ master of Yusmeiro Petit, giving the Giants something in their arsenal not matched up against from the KC side.
There is no doubt the lockdown arms of the Relief Core in Kansas City, of Kelvin Herrera, Wade Davis and Greg Holland are awesome, however the trio of Jeremy Affeldt, Sergio Romo and Santiago Casilla are playoff battle tested, and should give them a run for their money.
I favor the bench of the Giants, especially if Michael Morse can stay healthy. Adding him to Kauffman Stadium as the DH could be a boost to the offense they need.
Really, the Royals will be fine without having the DH at AT @ T Park. Losing Billy Butler is not big deal here. Having him for a Pinch Hitter is not a bad alternative.
Kansas City will have no problem playing in San Francisco, with a spacious park. The big caveat here is that their power may evaporate a little.
Nobody has more runs without a hit than the San Fran club. I think they have done their own version of “14 different ways to score in this postseason.
The main reason I would place my cabbage on the Giants over the Royals is they pay more for the series win. It has worked 8 times straight so far
Kansas City has won 5 straight playoff rounds and 11 straight playoffs games dating back to 1985.. SF has won 9 straight series.
Madison Bumgarner has not dealt a run in 26.2 IP straight worth of work since 2010.
Something has to give here.
Please note that it is illegal in most U.S. States to gamble
Odds are courtesy of www.bet365.com
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Posted on October 17, 2014, in gambling 101, Playoffs and tagged 2010 World Series, 2012 world series, 2014 ALCS, 2014 MLB Fall Classic, 2014 MLB Playoffs, 2014 MLB World Series Predictions, 2014 NLCS, American league, at and t park, billy butler, buster posey, Game #1 2014 World Series, greg holland, james shields, Jeremy Affeldt, kauffman stadium, kelvin herrera, madison bumgarner, Mike Morse, national league, ned yost, odds to win the 2014 World Series, pablo sandoval, pnc park, san francisco giants, santiago casilla, sergio romo, st louis cardinals, wade davis, www.bet365.com. Bookmark the permalink. Comments Off on Odds To Win The 2014 MLB World Series (Kansas City Vs San Francisco) + Prediction Time.