Advertisements

Category Archives: gambling 101

Daily Fantasy MLB DFS Picks For Fanduel & DraftKings 4/17/17

Dailyrotohelp.com is back for this 10 game Monday 4/17/17 slate. Let’s take a look at some plays we like in the form of Top and Value Pitching, Value bats, and some Top BVP plays to go along with some pitchers we think you should avoid today as well.

Fanduel Daily Fantasy Baseball Lineup Picks (4/17/17): MLB DFS Advice

DraftKings Daily Fantasy Baseball Lineup Picks (4/17/17): MLB DFS Advice

DailyRotoHelp.com wants to help you win a ton of cash while also allowing you to feel like you’re making it yourself. You may not agree with all of our picks, but that’s what makes a DFS player a GREAT DFS Player.

Our daily plays are from a collection of experts and a ton of research that goes into them. We have spent countless hours a day crunching the numbers from a dozen different aspects of each sport and bring you the best options each day.

If you take away from our articles the ability to build your own lineups that’s great! If you are still wanting some help definitely subscribe to our Optimal NBA and NFL DFS, or MLB Lineups for both Fanduel and DraftKings for that added boost! Good Luck and bring home that bacon.


Like us on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/FantasySportsGuru22

Follow us on Twitter: @FantasyAdvice22

Blog: http://fantasysportsadvice.sportsblog.com

Site: http://www.dailyrotohelp.com

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/c/dailyrotohelp

Want to win more money at FanDuel and DraftKings? CLICK HERE TO VIEW OPTIMAL DFS LINEUPS for MLB.

Daily Matchups for 4/17/2017

Pitchers To Target:

Jordan Montgomery- With no actual stud pitching in today’s slate, it’s going to be a day with value pitching everywhere. Obviously Montgomery hasn’t faced this White Sox team due to the fact that he just made his ML debut 5 days ago and we loved him then and he didn’t disappoint. In his debut against the Rays he only pitched 4.2 innings (5 H, 2 BB, 7 SO, 2 ER and 29 FP on Fanduel.) If he’s given more than 4.2 innings he could be in store for 40+ output.


Ivan Nova- It’s true that we suggested him last time out against Cincy and he pitched 6 innings and gave up 8 hits, with only 1 K and 16 FP. Not sure what happened there but his first start against ATL he ended up with 40 FP. Absolutely think his match-up tonight against the lackluster Cardinals will be more like his ATL start and a lot less like his Cincy start. He’s capable of striking out 6+, hell that’s what CC did on Saturday and Nova is more consistent/potent than Sabathia now a days anyways. He obviously hasn’t seen much of the Cardinals’ bats since he was with the Yankees his whole career up until last trade deadline but he should fair well tonight.

Career vs Current Cardinals Roster

AVG: 0.250 [5 for 20], BABIP: 0.417, K%: 40.0, BB%: 0.0
FIP: 0.00 Strikeout: 8 Groundout: 5 Single: 4Pop Out: 2 Double: 1

Click HERE to see the rest of the article!

Advertisements

Daily Fantasy MLB DFS Picks For Fanduel & DraftKings 4/14/17

We’ve got 15 games on this 4/14/17 slate of MLB DFS slate. It seems every ACE is on the mound as well tonight. Let’s take a look at some plays we like in the form of Top and Value Pitching, Value bats, and some Top BVP plays to go along with some pitchers we think you should avoid today as well.

Fanduel Daily Fantasy Baseball Lineup Picks (4/14/17): MLB DFS Advice

DraftKings Daily Fantasy Baseball Lineup Picks (4/14/17): MLB DFS Advice

DailyRotoHelp.com wants to help you win a ton of cash while also allowing you to feel like you’re making it yourself. You may not agree with all of our picks, but that’s what makes a DFS player a GREAT DFS Player.

Our daily plays are from a collection of experts and a ton of research that goes into them. We have spent countless hours a day crunching the numbers from a dozen different aspects of each sport and bring you the best options each day.

If you take away from our articles the ability to build your own lineups that’s great! If you are still wanting some help definitely subscribe to our Optimal NBA and NFL DFS, or MLB Lineups for both Fanduel and DraftKings for that added boost! Good Luck and bring home that bacon.


Like us on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/FantasySportsGuru22

Follow us on Twitter: @FantasyAdvice22

Blog: http://fantasysportsadvice.sportsblog.com

Site: http://www.dailyrotohelp.com

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/c/dailyrotohelp

Want to win more money at FanDuel and DraftKings? CLICK HERE TO VIEW OPTIMAL DFS LINEUPS for MLB.

Daily Matchups for 4/14/2017

Top Pitchers

Kyle Hendricks:

Career vs Current Pirates Roster

AVG: 0.238 [25 for 105], BABIP: 0.303, K%: 24.8, BB%: 3.7
FIP: 2.59 Groundout: 27 Strikeout: 27Single: 17 Flyout: 10 Double: 6 Forceout: 5Pop Out: 5 Walk: 4 Lineout: 3 Home Run: 2Field Error: 2 Double Play: 1


Stephen Strasburg:

Career vs Current Phillies Roster

AVG: 0.216 [24 for 111], BABIP: 0.314, K%: 33.9, BB%: 6.6
FIP: 2.10 Strikeout: 41 Groundout: 19Single: 16 Pop Out: 9 Walk: 8 Lineout: 8Double: 6 Flyout: 6 Sac Bunt: 2 Home Run:2 Field Error: 1 Forceout: 1 Grounded Into DP: 1 Bunt Groundout: 1


Masahiro Tanaka:

Career vs Current Cardinals Roster

AVG: 0.500 [1 for 2], BABIP: 0.500, K%: 0.0, BB%: 0.0
FIP: 3.20 Flyout: 1 Single: 1


Noah Syndergaard:

Career vs Current Marlins Roster

AVG: 0.245 [25 for 102], BABIP: 0.349, K%: 34.5, BB%: 3.6
FIP: 2.21 Strikeout: 38 Groundout: 22Single: 13 Double: 9 Flyout: 6 Forceout: 5Walk: 4 Lineout: 3 Home Run: 3 Pop Out: 2Hit By Pitch: 2 Field Error: 1 Sac Bunt: 1Sac Fly: 1

Other Stud Pitchers: Clayton Kershaw, Chris Archer, Johnny Cueto


Value/Sleeper Pitchers:

Danny Duffy

Julio Teheran

Click HERE To See The Rest!

Money Lines For MLB Games Played Wednesday Apr 5, 2017

It is simple.  ALL year we are betting $1 on all the underdogs for as many of the 2430 Games we can.

We are trying to validate a point that daily wagering is decent to follow this formula.

Each day we intend to update the results on this page.

On the mainpages of the site, where the blog posts go in timely order, we also are going to post the daily MLB Schedule and all Open Lines available at the time of publishing.

In addition to the DFS daily posts for FanDuel, DraftKings, and overall player selection posts daily, there will be that post of morning lines.

Once a week the Odds to win the World Series will be done on a post, and once every 2 weeks the Pennant Winner Odds, and Division Odds will be posted.

At the ALL – Star Break we will have a great breakdown blog of the HR Derby.  We have won money on this contest four years in a row.

We have you covered for wagering all year long.

Yearly Bankroll Start: $500 – To Date (Apr 5, 2017) – $496.07) = Loss of $3.93)

See Results at our MLB Master Schedule Games Page here Read the rest of this entry

MLB Shutout Survivor 2017: Rays + Dodgers Share 5 – 0 Losses To Be Elminated

Not even Longoria;s career mastery over CC Sabathia could stop the Rays from being blanked on Tuesday night Tampa Bay was never a favorite to win this competition, but i didn’t think they would be stopped on this night while facing Sabathia.

MLB Shutout Survivor 2017:

Each year we run the list as it comes down in order.  From Opening Day until the last club is blanked, we see which squad can hold off getting zeroed  the longest.

Last year, the Pittsburgh Pirates lasted into June to win the honors. 

You always have to go with the favorites to win this category. This would be the Colorado Rockies and Boston Red Sox considering their potent offenses and home venue for their ball games.

The Dodgers continued their trend not to fare well against LHP, despite the fact the have Lefty killer Franklin Gutierrez now, and bowed out of this competition one day after hanging 14 runs on the Padres.

Maybe there is a reason for optimism yet is San Diego.

The Rays couldn’t figure out CC Sabathia either, and I am surprised that Evan Longoria didn’t hit at least a wall ball versus the Yankees veteran  Maybe Sabathia will pitch good to start in 2017 too. Read the rest of this entry

Daily Fantasy MLB DFS Player Picks For DraftKings – 4/5/17

One of the biggest blunders made by many gamblers is betting against themselves.  We are going to simplify the process, so if you win, you can really win – none of this barely break even nonsense.

Our new Draft Strategy is now here.  Please read after the post.

Please Read more about Stacking and Pitchers from our FanDuel Post today

Now here is what we are going to do for today’s MLB DFS Draft Kings style. Read the rest of this entry

Daily Fantasy MLB DFS Player Picks For FanDuel 4/5/17

fanduel

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer/Part Owner) 

One of the biggest blunders made by many gamblers is betting against themselves.  We are going to simplify the process, so if you win, you can really win – none of this barely break even nonsense.

Our new Draft Strategy is now here.  Please read after the post.  You can use our formula for your own wanted and given stacks and pitchers.  This process wheels them all in alignment.

Fanduel – 4/5/17 ( 12 Game Main Slate)

What We Will Give You – Daily During The Season

3 – 7 team stacking options ( We are going to draw most of our players from these squads)

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Trevor Cahill

Washington Nationals vs Dan Straily

SF Giants vs Taijuan Walker

Boston Red Sox vs Jameson Taillon

3 – 7 Pitching candidates (High level, midlevel and budget).

Chris Sale, PIT @ BOS, $11, 400

Jacob deGrom, ATL @ NYM, $9800

Rich Hill, SD @ LAD, $9600

Cole Hamels, CLE @ TEX, $9300

Tanner Roark, MIA @ WSH, $8600

Garrett Richards, LAA @ OAK, $8600

Tyler Chatwood, COL @ MIA, $7600 Read the rest of this entry

Daily Fantasy MLB DFS Picks For Fanduel and DraftKings 4/5/17

Fanduel Daily Fantasy Baseball Lineup Picks (4/5/17): MLB DFS Advice

DraftKings Daily Fantasy Baseball Lineup Picks (4/5/17): MLB DFS Advice

DailyRotoHelp.com wants to help you win a ton of cash while also allowing you to feel like you’re making it yourself. You may not agree with all of our picks, but that’s what makes a DFS player a GREAT DFS Player.

Our daily plays are from a collection of experts and a ton of research that goes into them. We have spent countless hours a day crunching the numbers from a dozen different aspects of each sport and bring you the best options each day.

If you take away from our articles the ability to build your own lineups that’s great! If you are still wanting some help definitely subscribe to our Optimal NBA and NFL DFS, or MLB Lineups for both Fanduel and DraftKings for that added boost! Good Luck and bring home that bacon.


Want to win more money at FanDuel and DraftKings? CLICK HERE TO VIEW OPTIMAL DFS LINEUPS for MLB.

Daily Matchups For 4/5/2017

Value/Sleeper Pitchers:

Ian Kennedy I think this will be a name that goes under the radar on a full slate of games. He gets to face a Twins team that really hasn’t improved that much from last year when they were horrible.

Kennedy has faced 91 Ray’s batters and given up only 22 hits which comes to a .242 BA. Kennedy isn’t a sexy name by any means but he has a 25.2 K% and only a 7.8 BB% while only giving up 5 HRs to go along with 26 strikeouts. He could be the sneaky yet effective tournament option.

John Lackey This is a more riskier play than others on the slate because of Lackey’s age and so many miles on his arm. He’s facing the Cub’s foe, his old team, the Cardinals. He’s seen them a lot to the tune of 139 ABs and in those he’s only given up 31 hits for a .223 BA. Lackey has struck out 35 batters with a 23 K% and only given up 2 HRs.

J.A. Happ This one might be a little surprising for you but people will probably be off of Happ since he’s going up against a semi-potent offense in the Orioles. Oddly enough, Happ has held them to 32 hits in 149 ABs (.215 BA) with a 29.2 K% and only a 6.2 BB%. He has 47 strikeouts while giving up 6 HRs and could be that middle-tier priced pitcher you need to take down a GPP.

Want to see the rest? Click MLB DFS 4/5/17 Plays

Daily Fantasy MLB DFS Player Picks For DraftKings – 4/4/17

One of the biggest blunders made by many gamblers is betting against themselves.  We are going to simplify the process, so if you win, you can really win – none of this barely break even nonsense.

Our new Draft Strategy is now here.  Please read after the post.

Please Read more about Stacking and Pitchers from our FanDuel Post today

Now here is what we are going to do for today’s MLB DFS Draft Kings style. Read the rest of this entry

MLB Shutout Survivor 2017: Braves + M’s Eliminated On Opening Day

Barring a Shutout in the game with the Tigers and White Sox today exceeding 6 runs, than Atlanta will finish 30th in this contest this season.

MLB Shutout Survivor 2017:

Each year we run the list as it comes down in order.  From Opening Day until the last club is blanked, we see which squad can hold off getting zeroed  the longest.

Last year, the Pittsburgh Pirates lasted into June to win the honors. 

You always have to go with the favorites to win this category. This would be the Colorado Rockies and Boston Red Sox considering their potent offenses and home venue for their ball games. Read the rest of this entry

Money Lines For MLB Games Played Tuesday Apr 4, 2017

It is simple.  ALL year we are betting $1 on all the underdogs for as many of the 2430 Games we can.

We are trying to validate a point that daily wagering is decent to follow this formula.

Each day we intend to update the results on this page.

On the mainpages of the site, where the blog posts go in timely order, we also are going to post the daily MLB Schedule and all Open Lines available at the time of publishing.

In addition to the DFS daily posts for FanDuel, DraftKings, and overall player selection posts daily, there will be that post of morning lines.

Once a week the Odds to win the World Series will be done on a post, and once every 2 weeks the Pennant Winner Odds, and Division Odds will be posted.

At the ALL – Star Break we will have a great breakdown blog of the HR Derby.  We have won money on this contest four years in a row.

We have you covered for wagering all year long.

Yearly Bankroll Start: $500 – To Date (Apr 4, 2017) – $502.15) = Profit of $2.15

See Results at our MLB Master Schedule Games Page here

 

ALL TIMES  DISPLAYED IN EASTERN TIME ZONE

WEEK 1 (Includes Season Opener Sunday Apr 2, 2017)

INTERLEAGUE GAMES IN MAROON

APR  2017

Tuesday Apr 4  (9 Games):

Tigers @ White Sox 2;10

-123 Justin Verlander vs Jose Quintana +112

DET 6 CWS 3

$1 Loss

Yankees @ Rays 7:10

-108 CC Sabahia vs Jake Odorizzi -102

NYY 5 TB 0

$1 Loss

Rockies @ Brewers 7:40

-109 Tyler Anderson vs Zach Davies -101

COL 6 MIL 5

$1 Loss

Indians @ Rangers 8:05

-156 Carlos Carrasco vs Martin Perez +141

CLE 4 TEX 3

$1 Loss

M’s @ Astros 8:10

+153 Hisashi Iwakuma vs Lance McCullers Jr.  -170

HOU 2 SEA 1

$1 Loss

Cubs @ Cardinals 8:15

-144 Jake Arrieta vs Adam Wainwright +129

CHC 2 STL 1

$1 Loss

Giants @ D’Backs 9:40

-156 Johnny Cueto vs Patrick Corbin +141

SF 8 ARI 4

$1 Loss

Angels @ A’s 10:05

-117 Matt Shoemaker vs Sean Manaea +106

Padres @ Dodgers 10:10

+192 Clayton Richard vs Kenta Maeda -215

SD 5 LAD 0

$1.92 Profit

$8.00 in Losses

$6.08 loss for the day

ODDS courtesy of  betdsi.com

The Rookie Bookie

By Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer/Part Owner) 

*** The views and opinions expressed in this report are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of mlbreports.com and their partners***

A big thanks goes out to our ‘Chief Writer/Part Owner’ Hunter Stokes for preparing today’s featured post.

Daily Fantasy MLB DFS Picks For Fanduel – 4/3/17

fanduel

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer/Part Owner) 

One of the biggest blunders made by many gamblers is betting against themselves.  We are going to simplify the process, so if you win, you can really win – none of this barely break even nonsense.

Our new Draft Strategy is now here.  Please read after the post.  You can use our formula for your own wanted and given stacks and pitchers.  This process wheels them all in alignment.

What We Will Give You – Daily During The Season

3 – 7 team stacking options ( We are going to draw most of our players from these squads).

Washington Nationals vs Edinson Volquez

Toronto Blue Jays vs Kevin Gausman

Colorado Rockies vs Junior Guerra

Cincinnati Reds vs Jeremy Hellickson

Philadelphia Phillies vs Scott Feldman

3 – 5 Pitching candidates (High level, midlevel and budget).

Noah Syndergaard, ATL @ NYM, $11, 900

Stephen Strasburg, MIA @ WSH, $9700

Jon Gray, COL @ MIL, $8200

If you are looking for more players themselves than stacking options (as oppose to full lineup cards with a lot of advance for both FD/DK, plus the additional website of www.fanpicks.com) – please visit we refer you to dailyrotohelp.com (for player picks all day) Read the rest of this entry

DraftKings DFS Picks For Apr 3, 2017

zz draft kings

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer/Part Owner) 

One of the biggest blunders made by many gamblers is betting against themselves.  We are going to simplify the process, so if you win, you can really win – none of this barely break even nonsense.

Our new Draft Strategy is now here.  Please read after the post.

With a limited schedule for both Sunday Apr 2, 2017 & Monday Apr 3, 2017 – we are running some light DFS lineups, but will really ramp it up beginning Tuesday Apr 4, 2017.

Now here is what we are going to do for today’s MLB DFS Draft Kings style.

 

Read the rest of this entry

Daily Fantasy MLB DFS Picks For FanDuel – 4/2/17

fanduel

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer/Part Owner) 

One of the biggest blunders made by many gamblers is betting against themselves.  We are going to simplify the process, so if you win, you can really win – none of this barely break even nonsense.

Our new Draft Strategy is now here.  Please read after the post.  You can use our formula for your own wanted and given stacks and pitchers.  This process wheels them all in alignment.

What We Will Give You – Daily During The Season

3 – 7 team stacking options ( We are going to draw most of our players from these squads).

3 – 5 Pitching candidates (High level, midlevel and budget).

If you are looking for more players themselves than stacking options (as oppose to full lineup cards with a lot of advance for both FD/DK, plus the additional website of www.fanpicks.com) – please visit we refer you to dailyrotohelp.com (for player picks all day) Read the rest of this entry

DraftKings DFS Lineups For Apr 2, 2017

zz draft kings

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer/Part Owner) 

One of the biggest blunders made by many gamblers is betting against themselves.  We are going to simplify the process, so if you win, you can really win – none of this barely break even nonsense.

Our new Draft Strategy is now here.  Please read after the post.

With a limited schedule for both Sunday Apr 2, 2017 & Monday Apr 3, 2017 – we are running some light DFS lineups, but will really ramp it up beginning Tuesday Apr 4, 2017.

Now here is what we are going to do for today’s MLB DFS Draft Kings style.

At first glance you may say to use Chris Archer vs the Yankees – as he usually has a sparkling home ERA, however the BVP numbers suggest he could be hit well by the Pinstipers.

Jacoby Ellsbury kills him (19 – 34, .449 BA- 1.370 OPS) and with 3 games to pick from, we are going to stack the Yankees and the Cubs.  Our pitchers will be Masahiro Tanaka and Madison Bumgarner.
Read the rest of this entry

MLB Money Lines For Sun Apr 2, 2017 + Mon Apr 3, 2017

It is simple.  ALL year we are betting $1 on all the underdogs for as many of the 2430 Games we can.

We are trying to validate a point that daily wagering is decent to follow this formula.

Each day we intend to update the results on this page.

On the mainpages of the site, where the blog posts go in timely order, we also are going to post the daily MLB Schedule and all Open Lines available at the time of publishing.

In addition to the DFS daily posts for FanDuel, DraftKings, and overall player selection posts daily, there will be that post of morning lines.

Once a week the Odds to win the World Series will be done on a post, and once every 2 weeks the Pennant Winner Odds, and Division Odds will be posted.

At the ALL – Star Break we will have a great breakdown blog of the HR Derby.  We have won money on this contest four years in a row.

We have you covered for wagering all year long.


Read the rest of this entry

Officlal Bets For The MLB Reports In 2017

At the MLB Reports, we put our money where our mouth is.  We have won over $2100 in the last 3 years from all bets.  We have made several wagers to begin the season in 2017.

Keep in mind these are not official predictions in any regard, however they are best value picks, and we often hedge bets later on with position of strength projected wins. 

Do yourself a favor and go to betdsi.com and find some props to play for yourself, along with several future bets and over/under win season totals for the campaign.

Read the rest of this entry

Atlantis Casino Wagers For 2017 MLB Win Totals

over-under

The old adage here is ‘you want to know the truth, follow the money.

We have been talking projections for win totals in the upcoming MLB Year on a all offseason basis here at the MLB Reports. While we agreed a lot with the fangraphs.com prognostications, we had a problem with Baseball Prospectis’s PECOTA System yet again.

In the 1st total listed below are the official Win/Loss Over/Unders For All 30 MLB Clubs posted by Atlantis Casino.

We have to say that they pretty much mirrored what we have on the board for our projections.

Casino’s have a vested interest since it will cost them serious money if there are poor predictions.

In the last week, we have seen the Royals ink Travis Wood, but more importantly Alex Reyes was lost for the season by the Cardinals due to his upcoming Tommy John Surgery. Read the rest of this entry

5 MLB Teams That Could Be Real Contenders – Or Real Pretenders In 2017

tbrays1

Each year we are enlightened to a few surprises in the MLB we were not expecting.  This year there are 5 teams that seem could flip either way based on the talent coming to fruition.

We tried to pick a club for each Division here, but simply couldn’t come out with a AL Central team.

Tampa Bay Rays:

With Alex Cobb potentially coming back healthy to the rotation that features Chris Archer and Jake Odorizzi already. the Rays will have decent chuckers to start this campaign.

Add Blake Snell, Matt Andriese and recently acquired Jose DeLeon (who should contribute quality innings this campaign and all of a sudden this club doesn’t look too shabby for depth.

The Relief Core is also solid if Brad Boxberger can reclaim his form, and see a similar year for Alex Colome.

Evan Longoria,  and Brad Miller both put forth 30 HR seasons in 2016, and Matt Duffy may prove to be a decent Batting Average guy at Shortstop now.

The Rays Outfield will feature Kevin keirmaier, Mallex Smith, Corey Dickerson and Steven Souza, while one of those guys may also see some time at Designated Hitter. Read the rest of this entry

Projected Win Totals In 2017 By Other Sites: Good Job Fangraphs – Bad Job Baseball Prospectus

The O's have averaged 89 wins per year since 2012,but the folks at Baseball Prospectus are throwing down a projection of 73 wins in 2017 for Baltimore?? That wasn't even the biggest disparity from our picks..

The O’s have averaged 89 wins per year since 2012, but the folks at Baseball Prospectus are throwing down a projection of 73 wins in 2017 for Baltimore?? That wasn’t even the biggest disparity from our picks..

The MLB Reports is not composed of several writers or analysts.  We have about a half a dozen participants who account for 90% of the content featured on our website.

From the time I joined the website in late 2013, we have had a nice track record of projections.  That is not to say we are perfect.

If all of us could predict the future – we would be sipping alcohol on rooftops of  the hotels in Las Vegas counting our cabbage.

One thing we are going to do is have an opinion when and where we see fit.

Fangraphs has done an exceptional job in their forecasting.  I agree with 87 – 90% of their team placements on their team win projections and Division standings.

Read the rest of this entry

2017 MLB Regular Season Player Prop Bet Odds Part 1

On this list of player over/unders it may be worth a well solution to wager over on all bets across the board and go for about a 60 percent win factor. I did bet a few unders on the board.

On this list of player over/unders it may be worth a well solution to wager over on all bets across the board and go for about a 60 percent win factor. I did bet a few unders on the sheet towards the end.  I continue to find value on the whole gambling aspect of listed odds.  I will throw down some more money on these selections.  I am just hoping that I don’t become too over-confident for my own good.

With less than 2 months until the regular season begins, we are starting to see some prop bets show up online and in Las Vegas.

Come back by the start of March to see Over/Under wins for all 30 MLB clubs, and also when they decide to implement individual player prop bets.

With so many MVP candidates and Cy Young type pitchers, we are favoring Over a lot more than Under yet again in 2017.

We compiled a 6 – 0 individual player bet prop record, and were not so hot on these props listed, but we still managed a .500 record even for those.

part 2 will be at the end of February.. Read the rest of this entry

Odds To Win The 2017 MLB Home Run Crown

Manny Machado joins his teammates back in the lineup at home on Friday, where they mash everyone at Camden Yards, and in particular have great power numbers against LHP Matt Moore of the Tampa Bay Rays.. A great stacking option, and the O's are part of 4 So for four years in a row a Baltimore Orioles players has led the overall MLB in Homers. This year could be the 5th straight year if Chris Davis, Mark Trumbo or Manny Machado lead the league in homers. These 3 O's player cracked a combined 122 big flies in 2016. Trumbo clubbed 47 to lead all of the Majors. I had boldly said last year that Baltimore may challenge the ALL - time HR Record of 264 in a season held by the 1997 Seattle Mariners. The same could be said this year.

 So for four years in a row a Baltimore Orioles players has led the overall MLB in Homers. This year could be the 5th straight year if Chris Davis, Mark Trumbo or Manny Machado lead the league in homers. These 3 O’s player cracked a combined 122 big flies in 2016. Trumbo clubbed 47 to lead all of the Majors. I had boldly said last year that Baltimore may challenge the ALL – time HR Record of 264 in a season held by the 1997 Seattle Mariners. The same could be said this year.

On the top of the odds board is Giancarlo Stanton yet again.  The 2016 MLB ALL Star Game HR Derby Champ, amassed 27 HRs in 413 AB during 2016, but that was way down from 27 HRs in 279 AB during 2015.

The problem with Stanton is he always suffers and injury during a season.  He did lead the NL in 2014 with 37 HRs in his only full year in the last 5 seasons.  I may have eve picked him if he was not the favorite.  I will take a pass on him this year.

The 1st good odd that stands out to me is Nolan Arenado at +1500.  The Rockies premiere player has led the NL in HRs for the last 2 campaigns, smacking 42 HRs and 41 HRs respectively. 

It is not foreign to think he could approach 50 with this his Age 26 year forthcoming.

Read the rest of this entry

Odds To Win The 2017 MLB League Pennants: You Will Never Guess Who May Have The Best Value

No teams in the AL would be faoored against the Cubs should they face the reigning Champs, so it mau be easier to bet them just to win the Pennant

No teams in the AL would be favored against the Cubs should they face the reigning Champs, so it may be easier to bet them just to win the AL Pennant.

There is a reason why these odds value favorites are not any real difference for the Odds To Win The World Series and these will be any different. 

Basically, you could just go ahead with a World Series bet for anyone you think that can win the Title, and then simply hedge when it comes  to the Fall Classic.

I always say that MLB Power Rankings should have a lot to do with odds to win any type of Division, League Pennant or World Series.

The 1st thing that jumped out to me here was that the LA Angels are at 35/1 for the Junior Circuit.  Should they face any of the Senior Circuit’s top clubs, they would probably all be +150 underdogs.

If you were to pick the Angels at +3500, and then parlay that into a +150 wager in the World Series, than the overall odd shoots +8750 rather than the +7500.

Personally, the Angels have had a great winter to shore up the defense – and have addressed a few roster spots with a deeper bench. 

Is it that foreign to think that the Los Angeles Angels could jump out quickly if Mike Trout can carry them?

In their 1st 60 games of the season, the Halo's effectively miss the Indians and Red Sox on the docket, and only have to play 3 games versus the Tigers as well. Yes, they play a huge chunk of their games vs the AL West, but they have improved against all of the clubs as of right now. Mike Scioscia's squad gets to play 4 games at Tampa - and 4 games vs the Twins, 3 vs Toronto and Atlanta at home, with 3 at Kc and Miami. The club are slated to host the Braves for 3 games. Did I mention they play the A's 10 times in their 1st 60 contests as well? I could see them with 34 or 36 wins at the 60 game mark In an exhausting stretch from Apr 3, to May 15, the team also plays 43 games in 46 nights, with 20 of them at home, but that is a great itinerary to kick off the campaign.

In their 1st 60 games of the season, the Halo’s effectively miss the Indians and Red Sox on the docket, and only have to play 3 games versus the Tigers as well. Yes, they play a huge chunk of their games vs the AL West, but they have improved against all of the clubs as of right now. Mike Scioscia’s squad gets to play 4 games at Tampa – and 4 games vs the Twins, 3 vs Toronto and Atlanta at home, with 3 at KC and Miami. Did I mention they play the A’s 10 times in their 1st 60 contests as well? I could see them with 34 or 36 wins at the 60 game mark In an exhausting stretch from Apr 3, to May 15, the team also plays 43 games in 46 nights, with 20 of them at home, but that is a great itinerary to kick off the campaign.

Lets say they are 8 or 10 games over at that point, I could actually see the organization spending a little bit more money in the 2nd half to acquire talent. 

Also if they can withstand until Albert Pujols gets back healthy everyday as the permanent DH.

Don’t get me wrong, I like the Astros, M’s and Rangers still better for the Division, but the gap is not that much….Particularly if the Astros don’t add a Starting Pitcher, the Mariners don’t add a slugging First Baseman, and Texas is hesitant to spend more money on payroll.

The Angels did win 98 Games in 2014 and 85 games in 2015, before receding to 74 victories last campaign. 

Mike Trout is due for one of those just carry the club on his back seasons, (not that he hasn’t been awesome individually in that time span.

If the Cubs make the World Series, than only the Boston Red Sox or Cleveland Indians may even come close to an even match for an opponent, with the reigning champs still holding a distinct advantage.

Boston’s +270 is a brutal look at an odd for the AL.  I am not infatuated with the odd of +600 for the World Series either.  They play in a tough AL East where all 5 teams could compete.

Both the Indians and Astros are fairly pitted for their odds towards the AL Pennant.

Texas continues to be the oddball 2nd favorite in the AL West despite having a poor winter thus far. 

News that they will probably sign Mike Napoli should buoy some spirits, and I am willing to acknowledge that when it happens, yet I feel they still need more.

If the Rangers also swing a Jurickson Profar for a Tampa Bay starter like Jake Odorizzi, then I could par them up with Houston.  As of right now, they are two players short.

I still love the odds for the Nationals even though I wish they wouldn’t have come to near Spring Training without a proven Closer.

The more we draw near to the regular season, the less I like the Yankees too in 2017.  They are going to be way too dependent on Gary Sanchez setting the world on fire to contend in my opinion.

New York’s rotation does not instill confidence despite having a lock down Relief Core.  Jacoby Ellsbury and Brett Gardner are in their mid 30’s now – where the speed doesn’t play as good.

Starlin Castro and Didi Gregorius clubbed 20 HRs each in 2016, but so did 116 other players last campaign. 

These guys never walk either with OBP’s of .300 and .304 respectivelY.  Chase Headley is average at best.

For the Bronx Bombers to duplicate even their 84 win season last year, I think Sanchez will have to destroy 40 – 50 Jacks into the seats. 

Detroit has better Starting pitching and a world-class offense compared to the Pinstripers, yet are behind them in the odds?

Speaking of Detroit.  For being the 2nd favorite team in the AL Central, they possess the 6th place odd out of all 2nd place listed clubs. 

The Tigers can beat up the White Sox and Twins all years, and the Royals are all of a sudden not looking as good either,  I am all over the Motown Boys.

St. Louis, for the record, are the 5th out of 6th 2nd place listed odds, and are fully valued at +1250.

The Cubs are the cream of the crop, but wagering the club for +180 is not worth it.  You are better off wagering them to win the Fall Classic at +370 instead. 

There is no AL team that Chicago would be an underdog against.  Having said that, the money is not there to plunk down any cabbage for this.

I only wish you could bet the field in the NL vs the Cubs.  The Dodgers are also not a good at +435, mostly because Chicago sits in their path.

If I were to bet the Mets ever to win the NL Pennant, it would be in the mid season when I could see their rotation in action and remain healthy.

Odds To Win The American League

Blue Bold Means Good Vale with #value confidence in parenthesis

Maroon Bold Means Bad Vale with # value confidence in parenthesis

Boston Red Sox +270 (3)

Cleveland Indians +445

Houston Astros +680

Texas Rangers +900 (1)

Toronto Blue Jays +960 (3)

Seattle Mariners +1250

NY Yankees +1350 (2)

Detroit Tigers +1550 (5)

Baltimore O’s +1550

KC Royals +1850

LA Angels +3500 (1)

TB Rays +3700

Oakland A’s +7000

Minnesota Twins +7000

Chicago White Sox +7000

Odds To Win The Nationals League

Chicago Cubs +180 (5)

Dodgers +435 (4)

Washington Nationals +600 (2)

NY Mets +735

SF Giants +740

St.Louis Cardinals +1250 (4)

Colorado Rockies +2400

Pittsburgh Pirates +2400

Miami Marlins +3800

Arizona D’Backs +5000

Philadelphia Phillies +6000

Cincinnati Reds +7500

Atlanta Braves +9000

Milwaukee Brewers +10000

SD Padres +10000

Odds courtesy of betdsi.eu

AL vs NL

*** The views and opinions expressed in this report are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of mlbreports.com and their partners***

A big thanks goes out to our ‘Chief Writer/Part Owner’ Hunter Stokes for preparing today’s featured post.

To Subscribe and listen daily to  ‘Our Lead Personality’  Sully’s 20 Minutes Daily (every day since Oct.24, 2012) Podcast click here.  Guaranteed listening to the Sully Baseball Daily Podcast will be the best time you invest in online!

Odds To Win The 2017 MLB Divisions

chicago-cubs-logo

It is coming to that time where we all start making our predictions, and also plunk down more cabbage on the yearly bets. The 1st week of the February usually will come out with Player Prop Bets, and Teams Win Totals of Over and Under.

I don’t need to remind our long term readers that we have excelled in this foray since the beginning of introducing Gambling 101 as a category to mlbreports.com.

We look to continue our 70% best bet percentage.  I am looking to bounce back in the regular season in particularly as I made up the most of the money in player props, HR Derby and World Series Odds.

Today we are focusing on the MLB Divisions.

The AL East is the strongest Division in the game as 4 clubs are at least half decent. and even Tampa Bay is not that bad. Read the rest of this entry

Odds To Win The 2017 MLB World Series:

world2520series2520trophy

Last time we did these odds we talked more about why clubs should be wagered on, and now I will explain how we listed our top 5 bad value bets.

The New York Yankees head the category for this one.  There is no rhyme or reason this club should be parallel with their crosstown rivals the Mets – and ahead of the Cardinals, Rangers or Mariners for their odd.

Quite simply, the club is not as good as those other squads right now.  The direction of the organization to the youth movement may change that scenario in the near future – however can you really bank on any of their Starting Pitchers in a playoff series?

Also if you have the Blue Jays and Red Sox already ahead of you on the list, a lot of other 2nd place clubs in each of the other Divisions may hav a better leg up on you to snare the 2nd Wild Card Spot.

I like the Detroit Tigers as more of a chance to make the playoffs the Bronx Bombers in 2017. I will say that if they are in contention, that the money is always there to  acquire guys midway through the year (hopefully all on expiring contracts.) Read the rest of this entry

Who Will Win The 2017 American League Divisions Polls? Your Chance As A Reader To Vote

american league

Since it is the middle part of January, we will offer these polls for all teams in all of the Divisions.

Who Will Win The 2017 National League Divisions Polls? Your Chance As A Reader To Vote

The National League is a very top heavy league with the Nats, Dodgers, Cardinals and Pirates having the best odds to qualify for the postseason in 2015. With parity at an all time high in the Senior Circuit, we may a squad break the worst record ever to qualify for the playoffs as a Wild Card seed this campaign.

The National League is a very top heavy league with the Nats, Dodgers, Cubs Mets, Giants and Cardinals and  having the best odds to qualify for the postseason in 2016. With 6 teams possibly challenging the 100 loss barrier in the Senior Circuit (Padres,  Reds, Brewers, Braves and Phillies),

Since it is the middle part of January, we will offer these polls for all teams in all of the Divisions.

Top 5 Projected Save Leaders For The MLB In 2017

Aroldis Chapman appeared in 31 Games for the Yankees in 2016, holding 20 Saves and a crisp 2l01 ERA and WHIP of .867

Aroldis Chapman appeared in 31 Games for the Yankees in 2016, holding 20 Saves and a crisp 2l01 ERA and WHIP of  .867.  This was done in just over 3 months.  With the Yankees kickstarting him up from Spring Training, and without the aid of Andrew Miller as a fallback option, I expect the flamethrowing southpaw to have one of his best seasons ever out of the pen in 2017.

What  a scene it will be at 1600 Pennsylvania Ave NW in he District today where Aroldis Chapman and Joe Maddon will reunite to celebrate their 2016 World Series Championship.

The big Lefty Cuban should be the favorite to win the 2017 Saves Title for the entire MLB.  It is not that the Yankees will lead the league in wins – heck they may finish 4th in the AL East.  I just believe that with the pop gun offense (say for Gary Sanchez) that the victories will all be closely contested.

I highly thought of Kenley Jansen and Craig Kimbrel for this honor as well, however I like their managers to give them the odd day off ans Save Opportunities.

As of today, we have the Cubs nearing the 100 in plateau again, but just like the aforementioned players above, I think Maddon will use several guys to register Saves for Chicago in 2017 – like Wade Davis, Hector Rondon and Carl Edwards JR.

The reigning World Series Champs are also a lot more prone to blow out teams in a weakened National League where 6 clubs may lose 90 Games or more.

For the sake of preserving arms and fatigue, I would also not be surprised to see a few more SVO’s going to Andrew Miller in lieu of Cody Allen for the AL Pennant winners Cleveland.

(RELATED – Top 5 Home Runs Hitters Projected For The MLB in 2017) Read the rest of this entry

MLB Teams Taking A Powder In 2017 So Far

Some MLB Teams have had a tough winter so far, and we take a look at why this is. We understand that not all clubs have to be in win mode, and some mabe rebuilding, however the process and mindset is what we are questioning here

Some MLB Teams have had a tough winter so far, and we take a look at why this is. We understand that not all clubs have to be in win mode, and some maybe rebuilding, however the process and mindset is what we are questioning here.  For a team that is not going all in and should be based on their limited window of winning opportunity, we also call them to the carpet.  Stop taking a powder in 2017 and give your head a shake!

MLB Teams Taking A Powder In 2017 So Far

There are certain clubs who have done a nice job improving their clubs year over year, some that have done nicely in maintaining, well, and there are teams that are not looking so hot in 2017.

Let me also qualify this in saying that the Toronto Blue Jays are dangerously close to falling into this pegging themselves.  You guys can’t seriously think that you can enter into the 2017 campaign with the Outfield trio of Melvin Upton Jr., Kevin Pillar and Ezequiel Carrera can you?

Give Jose Bautista a 1 Year Deal worth $15 MIL – with a 2nd year Team Option of $19.4 MIL – or a Buyout Clause of $2.2 MIL  The Player could also opt out if he wants to after 2017.  You may risk losing a Draft Pick at all with the way this is going Toronto.

With the 1st ED pick attached to Joey Bats. and the looming future QO’s never receiving as much again,  how could a team justify losing that high of Amateur Draft Selection for an aging 36 year old slugger.

Here is the thing though Blue Jays brass:  You need him..Both at the turnstiles and in the lineup.  He doesn’t cost you anything but money – and the guy still carried out a .815 OPS despite a rough down year.

With a chip on his shoulder, I think he will bounce back big time.  You can defensive replace him every night if you wish, or use Kendrys Morales at First, and let Justin Smoak ride pine for some DH AB to open up for Bautista.

Losing Edwin Encarnacion, Bautista and Michael Saunders is not made up by Morales and Steve Pearce fellas!  You drew 3.4 Million Fans in 2016.  Toronto will keep the faith if you bring back #19 for one more year. Read the rest of this entry

Odds To Win The 2017 MLB World Series: Detroit + Seattle Best Value Right Now

Mariners-web-logo

I have been preaching the Mariners as a bet for a couple of months now.  I was able to grab them at +2800 for a $50 bet already, and this was my 2nd bet to the $100 I plunked down on the Nationals at +1200.

Jerry DiPoto has been wheeling and dealing to the tune of 11 trades already this offseason. 

With the exception of the Outfield not possessing not much power (but a ton of speed that could round out the bottom of the order with SB), and the First Base position being manned by unproven commodities, the rest of the roster is pretty solid.

We noted that the Mariners threesome of Kyle Seager, Robinson Cano and Jean Segura combined for 99 HRs and then the prime DH Nelson Cruz clubbed 43 Bolts.  These guys will make up enough power to compensate for that.

While I still feel they should upgrade at 1B or another OF (Guys such as Mark Trumbo, Chris Carter or Mike Napoli) this team should have enough offense to compete in the American League.

With acquiring Yovani Gallardo and Drew Smyly in the last week, the club has added depth = and have the best 1 – 5 rotation in the AL West now.

I believe that James Paxton may also see a breakout season similar to what Danny Duffy did for the Kansas City Royals in 2916.  The LHP can reach 98 – 99 MPH on his fastball, and he has great movement.

The Relief Core has also been added to with great numbers.  Seattle’s brass has definitely robbed the Minor League System, yet this is the window of winning.

Houston deserves to be slightly favored in the AL West with the rosters as currently constructed – however if the Mariners pick up another big bat then I would give the nod to them as the Division favorite. Read the rest of this entry

Projected Top 5 Home Run Hitters In Major League Baseball For 2017

Having nothing to do with the ALL - Star Game, and a ton to prove after inviting himselfto the HR derby in San Diego, we placed a $125 bet on Stanton to win the event at +325 odds. He destroyed the field, This was the difference in us turning a small little profit for the year. ).

Having nothing to do with the ALL – Star Game, and a ton to prove after inviting himself to the HR derby in San Diego, we placed a $125 bet on Stanton to win the event at +325 odds – and he won the whole thing.  Now only if he could refrain from beingthe DL for 1 campaign.  It was another injury plagued season for the veteran in 2016, but I still claim he will lead the league in HRs one of these years and possibly challenge 50 HRs in the process.  He is our #1 pick to win the overall MLB HR crown in 2017.

With apologies to the pending Free Agents who cracked 40+ HRs in Mark Trumbo (47) and Chris Carter (41), I just don’t see them duplicating their 2016 campaigns. 

I also foresee a bunch of changes to the top 6 Home Run hitters in the American League in 2017. 

Newly signed Indians player Edwin Encarnacion is quite possibly the only returning top 5 guy that will be in there back to back seasons for the Junior Circuit.

Chris Carter. actually tied was the co-leader for the HR title with Nolan Arenado in 2016. and then was promptly non-tendered by the Brewers for his efforts. 

Mark Trumbo hasn’t been able to parlay his HR title into a Free Agent deal either.  I think this may play a huge factor in a 2017 regression of sorts.

Don’t get me wrong. i fully expect these gentlemen to eclipse 30+ HRs each still in 2017.

Since the top 5 overall Major League HR totals all resided in the AL in 2016 – I suspect this won’t be the case next year.

Ultimately, career years from Khris Davis and Brian Dozier will be hard to do again.

(RELATED – Top 5 Saves Leaders Projected For The MLB in 2017) Read the rest of this entry

%d bloggers like this: