Ten years ago today, the 3-game series between the Cleveland Indians and Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim, scheduled to be played at Jacobs Field April 10-12, moved to Miller Park. The Indians had already started the season on the road against the Chicago White Sox, winning 2 of 3 games. When they came home to Cleveland, Mother Nature had plans that would interrupt their festivities and the next several games.
P- Tanner Roark (vs. Philadelphia Phillies): $9,300. Roark has dominated the Phillies this year. In four starts against Philadelphia, Roark has a 0.64 ERA. In his last start against the Phils, he went seven scoreless innings. Over his last three starts, he has a 1-2 record, 3.18 ERA, and 12 strikeouts in 17 innings pitched.
P- Yordano Ventura (vs. Chicago White Sox): $8,600. Over Ventura’s last three starts, he has a 2-0 record with a 2.20 ERA. He has struggled with control at times, but if he can limit his walks, he has the potential to put up a huge game on Friday. In 115 career at bats against Ventura, the White Sox offense is batting .209, with a .264 OBP, and 29 strikeouts.
P- Gio Gonzalez (vs. Washington Nationals): $9,300. Over his last three starts, Gio is 2-0 with a 3.06 ERA, and 17 strikeouts in 17.2 innings pitched. He has yet to win against the Braves this season, but he has a 2.31 ERA against them in his two starts. Atlanta’s offense has actually been pretty successful over their past seven games, but they rank 28th in OPS against left-handed pitchers in 2016. Based on their struggles against lefties and Gio’s career success against the Braves, I think he is a no brainer.
P- Jason Hammel (vs. Milwaukee Brewers): $7,500. Hammel has struggled a bit over the last few starts, but he got back on track after throwing six innings of one run ball against the Pirates his last time on the mound. In 107 career at bats against Hammel, the Brewers’ offense is batting .243, with a .327 OBP, and a .432 slugging percentage. These stats are average, but I think Hammel can take care of business on Tuesday. The main reason I’m starting him is because I think his price is very fair and brings about a lot of value. In three starts against the Brewers this season, Hammel has thrown 18 innings, giving up six runs, and he has struck out 18 batters.
P- Masahiro Tanaka (vs. Toronto Blue Jays): $9,900. In 127 career at bats against the Blue Jays, Tanaka has a .197 opposing batting average, 36 strikeouts, and a .246 OBP. Over his last five starts, he owns a 4-0 record, 1.93 ERA and 34 strikeouts in 32.2 innings pitched. Toronto has been hitting fairly well recently, but Tanaka has been dominant on the mound, which should counteract the Blue Jays’ bats.
P- Ian Kennedy (vs. Minnesota Twins): $9,100. Prior to his last start, Kennedy was 3-0 with a 1.14 ERA over his previous six starts. He did give up four runs over 6.1 innings in his last start, but as you can tell, Kennedy has been very reliable recently. The Twins offense has been decent recently, but I don’t think that will stop Kennedy from succeeding.
P- Carlos Martinez (vs. Cincinnati Reds): $10,600. Martinez is coming off one of his best starts of the season after striking out 13 Brewers hitters on Monday. Over his last three starts, he has a 2-0 record, 1.29 ERA, and 25 strikeouts in 21 innings pitched. In 70 career at bats against Martinez, the Reds’ offense is hitting .229 with a .289 OBP and 17 strikeouts.
P- Eduardo Rodriguez (vs. Oakland A’s): $6,500. The Oakland A’s have really struggled over the past week hitting only .184, with a .260 OBP, and a .278 slugging percentage. On the other hand, Rodriguez has been very good recently. In his last three starts, he has a 3.31 ERA, and 14 strikeouts. Since being called up from Triple-A, E-Rod has given up three or less earned runs in seven of his eight starts. Sunday will be his first start against the A’s.
P- Tanner Roark (vs. New York Mets): $9,100. Roark has thrown seven or more scoreless innings in eight starts this season, which is the most in Major League Baseball. Over his last three starts, he has a 1-1 record, 3.44 ERA, and 12 strikeouts. In 80 career at bats against the Roark, the Mets’ offense is batting .187, with a .261 OBP, and a .258 slugging percentage.
P- Ivan Nova (vs. Milwaukee Brewers): $8,900. Nova is coming off a start in which he dominated the Brewers. Well, guess who he is pitching against on Saturday? You got it, the Brewers. He went six innings, giving up three hits, and only one run. In his five starts with the Pirates, he has a 4-0 record, 2.87 ERA, and 22 strikeouts in 31.1 innings pitched.
P- Madison Bumgarner (vs. Atlanta Braves): In his last seven starts against the Braves since 2013, Bumgarner has won six of them. He has held their offense to a .209 batting average throughout his career. He has struggled some over his last two starts, but I don’t foresee Bumgarner struggling in three starts in a row.
P- Ivan Nova (vs. Milwaukee Brewers): $8,000. Nova is coming off his best start of the season, which he threw a complete game against the Houston Astros. Since joining the Pirates rotation, Nova is 3-0 with a 3.20 ERA, 18 strikeouts, and one walk in four starts. The Brewers’ offense hasn’t faced Nova in a few years.
P- Jameson Taillon (vs. Milwaukee Brewers): $9,900. Taillon has been incredibly consistent all year long. He is coming off one of his best performances on the mound this year after throwing eight innings of two run ball against the Houston Astros. His last eight outings have been quality starts. In two starts against the Brewers this season, Taillon has thrown 12 innings while giving up only three runs.
P- Marcus Stroman (vs. Minnesota Twins): $9,100. Stroman struggled mightily throughout the first half of the season, but he has done quite well recently. Over his last six starts, he own a 2.45 ERA and 47 strikeouts over 40.1 innings pitched. He has been racking up the strikeouts over his last few starts, which is obviously great for daily fantasy. Minnesota’s offense has been absolutely terrible over the last few weeks, so this should be great for Stroman.
P- Justin Verlander (vs. Los Angeles Angels): $10,400. Verlander has been absolutely dominant since the All-Star break. Over his last three starts, he has a 1-1 record, 2.25 ERA, and 17 strikeouts in 20 innings pitched. In 72 career at bats against Verlander, the Angels’ offense is batting .153, with a .247 OBP, and a .256 slugging percentage. In his last start against the Angels, Verlander went 7.1 innings, giving up four runs, and he struck out seven batters.
P- Bartolo Colon (vs. Philadelphia Phillies): $7,600. Colon has been very consistent all year long. During his starts in August, he owns a 2.25 ERA. In three starts against the Phillies this season, Colon has held them to a .206 batting average. In 117 career at bats against Colon, the Phillies’ lineup is batting .231, with a .272 OBP, and a .372 slugging percentage.
P- Robbie Ray (vs. Atlanta Braves): $10,400. Over Ray’s last three starts, he has been absolutely dominant. Those starts include 19 innings pitched, 2-0 record, 0.95 ERA, and 22 strikeouts. He is facing a mediocre Braves lineup, so this shouldn’t be a tough matchup for the left-handed pitcher. His hot streak and opponent makes me believe he is the best top-tier pitcher available on Thursday.
P- Tom Koehler (vs. Kansas City Royals): $7,100. Koehler has been great since the All-Star break. Since July 21st, the righty has thrown 39 innings, with a 1.62 ERA, 26 hits allowed, and 30 strikeouts. Kansas City’s offense has been very average all year long, so it shouldn’t pose a huge threat for Koehler.
P- Jon Lester (vs. San Diego Padres): $12,500. Just to warn you, Monday could be a brutal day for pitching match-ups. Some of the top tier starters who find themselves on the bump have been struggling recently (Strasburg and Carrasco specifically). Lester has been very consistent this season though and he is facing a pretty mediocre offense. Over his last three starts, he has a 2-0 record, 2.29 ERA, and 21 strikeouts in 19.2 innings pitched. Over the last seven days, San Diego has the worst OPS in baseball.
P- Zack Godley (vs. Atlanta Braves): $5,500. Like I said, the pitching match-ups are brutal, so I’ve decided to start a pitcher just based off of his opposing team. The Braves offense has been brutal all year long and they have been exceptionally bad over the last seven days with a .236/.305/.380 slash line. Godley hasn’t been spectacular this year, but he is coming off a very good start his last time out against the Mets. He went 7.1 innings, giving up two runs on five hits. This cheap play really opens up the rest of the offensive picks.
P- Jose Quintana (vs. Oakland A’s): $9,900. Unfortunately for Quintana, his team doesn’t give him much run support, which doesn’t lead to a lot of wins. Of course that isn’t great for DraftKings scoring, but he has still been dominant on the mound. He has made six straight quality starts, which is obviously a great sign for Sunday. In 68 career at bats against Quintana, the A’s lineup is batting .162, with 21 strikeouts, and a .239 OBP.
P- Julio Urias (vs. Cincinnati Reds): $5,600. This is a high risk, high reward pick for Saturday. If you are looking for a safer pick, take a look at someone like Ervin Santana (more expensive option) or Matt Garza (cheaper option). Cincinnati’s offense has struggled against left-handed pitching this year (ranked 26th in OPS, 26th in slugging, 30th in OBP, and 28th in batting average). Their offense has also struggled over the last seven days. If Urias can put up six or seven innings of work, his strikeout potential could make for a huge game in daily fantasy.
P- Max Scherzer (vs. Atlanta Braves): $13,600. Everyday is a good day to start Max Scherzer, unless he isn’t starting of course. In 162 career at bats against Scherzer, the Braves’ lineup is batting .204, with a .267 OBP, and a .358 slugging percentage. As you can tell by the numbers, they have not faired well against this righty. Over the last seven days the Braves’ offense has a .717 OPS, which ranks 26th in Major League Baseball.
P- Matt Moore (vs. New York Mets): $8,400. Over his last 13 starts, Moore has gone at least six innings, which is great for any daily fantasy league. Over the last seven days, the Mets have a .740 OPS, which ranks 24th in Major League Baseball. They also rank in the bottom third of the league in almost every offensive category against left-handed pitchers in 2016. The Mets have struggled offensively all year long, so hopefully that continues against Moore on Saturday.
P- Tanner Roark (vs. Atlanta Braves): $10,600. In nine career starts against Atlanta, Tanner Roark has a 1.77 ERA. In fact, his last start was against the Braves, where he went seven innings giving up five hits, one earned run, and he struck out three. In his two starts against Atlanta this year, Roark has given up one earned run in 14 innings pitched.
P- Adam Wainwright (vs. Philadelphia Phillies): $6,600. This pick does scare me a bit, but I’m going to stick with it. Over Wainwright’s last two starts, he has not been effective at all. Luckily, the Cardinals are giving Wainwright an extra two days of rest because he believes he has found the issue in his windup. This pick is risky, but the other options that are affordable are very risky as well.
P- Homer Bailey (vs. Miami Marlins): $8,900. Bailey looked really good in his last start. He went six innings, giving up three hits, one walk, and 11 strikeouts. He will be facing the Marlins on Wednesday, who just recently lost Giancarlo Stanton for the year. Over the last seven games, the Marlins have a .686 OPS, which ranks 26th in Major League Baseball.
P- Yordano Ventura (vs. Detroit Tigers): $7,800. In his three starts against the Detroit Tigers in 2016, Ventura has put up 15.85, 24.65, and 18.35 points in DraftKings. He has also not allowed more than three runs in a start since July 3rd. In his last three starts, he has a 2-0 record, 2.89 ERA, and 15 strikeouts. Over the last seven games, Detroit has a .693 OPS, which ranks 24th in Major League Baseball.
P- James Paxton (vs. Los Angeles Angels): $9,400. Over Paxton’s last four starts, he has a 1.59 ERA. Unfortunately, is last time out he was hit in the elbow, and he hasn’t pitched since. Luckily he is coming back on Tuesday against a team he has dominated throughout his career. In seven starts against the Angels, he has a 3-2 record and a 2.17 ERA. Keep an eye on his injury status heading into this game just in case he doesn’t start.
P- Ervin Santana (vs. Atlanta Braves): $9,000. Over Santana’s last three starts, he has a 2-1 record, 2.11 ERA, and 18 strikeouts in 21 innings pitched. In 185 career at bats against Santana, the Braves’ lineup is batting .222, with a .243 OBP, and 37 strikeouts. The Braves offense has struggled this year, so hopefully Santana’s recent success can shut them down.
P- Drew Smyly (vs. San Diego Padres): $9,000. The slate for pitchers is very weak for Monday. With that said, I’ve decided to go cheap on pitching and hope for the best. Smyly has been very good recently. He has thrown four straight quality starts, with a 2-0 record, and a 2.52 ERA. Over the last seven days, the Padres have a .669 OPS, which ranks 27th in Major League Baseball.
P- Bartolo Colon (vs. Arizona Diamondbacks): $6,800. This play doesn’t excite me, but hopefully Colon can repeat his performance from Wednesday. In his last start, he faced the Diamondbacks, and he did quite well. Over seven innings of work, he gave up one run, and struck out eight batters. At only $6,800, he provides the rest of the lineup with a great amount of cash.
P- Jake Odorizzi (vs. New York Yankees): $8,200. Odorizzi entered his last start with a 20.2 inning scoreless streak. Unfortunately, he lost that streak, but he still pitched decent. In his last three starts, he is 2-0, with a 1.00 ERA, and 15 strikeouts in 18 innings pitched. In two starts against the Yankees in 2016, he has a 1-1 record, 1.12 ERA, and 11 strikeouts.
P- Tom Koehler (vs. Chicago White Sox): $8,600. Koehler has been lights out recently. Over his last three starts, he has a 2-0 record, 0.47 ERA, and 18 strikeouts in 19 innings pitched. With that said, he is going up against a pretty weak Chicago White Sox lineup. Over the last seven days, the White Sox have a .695 OPS, which ranks 20th in Major League Baseball.
P- Tyler Anderson (Philadelphia Phillies): $9,500. Anderson is coming off a very strong start, which he gave up one run, on two hits, and five strikeouts over seven innings pitched against Rangers. Over his last three starts, he has given up a total of four runs (1.80 ERA) with 16 strikeouts in 20 innings pitched. Philadelphia has the worst OPS and OBP against left-handed pitching this season, which is clearly favorable for Anderson.
P- Zach Davies (v. Cincinnati Reds): $7,600. Davies has faced Cincinnati twice this season, which has has done quite well in those starts. In 12.2 innings, he has given up only two earned runs to the Reds. Over his last three starts, he has a 2-0 record, 3.32 ERA, and 12 strikeouts in 19 innings pitched.
P- Jameson Taillon (vs. San Diego Padres): $8,600. Taillon has been the definition of consistent. Over his last five starts, he has thrown exactly six innings, with a 2.40 ERA, and 28 strikeouts. Each one of those outings led to a quality start. He will be facing the Padres on Thursday, who doesn’t have a very impressive lineup.
P- Matt Garza (vs. Atlanta Braves): $5,700. In 120 career at bats against Garza, the Braves’ lineup is batting .217, with a .280 OBP, and a .331 slugging percentage. Garza has been very effective in his last three starts, which is a great sign for hopeful success against the Braves on Thursday. Over those starts, he is 2-0, with a 3.12 ERA, and 10 strikeouts.
P- Jose Quintana (vs. Kansas City Royals): $10,300. Over his last three starts, Quintana has a 1-0 record, with a 1.74 ERA, and 16 strikeouts in 20.2 innings pitched. He is one win away from his 10th win, so he should be amped to succeed. Over the last 10 games, the Royals rank 26th in OPS with .654, so clearly they are struggling offensively. Quintana should have no problem taking care of business on Wednesday.
P- Jason Hammel (vs. Los Angeles Angels): $8,000. In 66 career at bats against Hammel, the Angels’ offense is batting .212, with two XBH, and a .286 OBP. Over Hammel’s last 21 starts, he has given up one or zero runs in 10 of those starts. He is also very effective at home this season, which is a plus for Wednesday night.
P- Gerrit Cole (vs. Cincinnati Reds): $9,200. Cole has been on fire recently. Over his last three starts, he has only given up one earned run in each start. During that time, hitters are only batting .219 against Cole. The Reds’ offense has been pretty lackluster in 2016, so Cole should be able to take care of business.
P- Adam Wainwright (vs. Atlanta Braves): $8,000. Over Wainwright’s last six starts, he has a 1.99 ERA. He will be facing the Braves’ offense, which shouldn’t pose a huge threat to the righty. At only $8,000, Wainwright provides a lot of value to this lineup.
P- Aaron Sanchez (vs. Kansas City Royals): $10,800. Over the last seven games, Kansas City has struggled at the plate. They have a .202 batting average, .251 OBP, and a .300 slugging percentage. Sanchez has been dominant all year long and it shouldn’t be any different on Saturday as he faces this mediocre Royals’ offense.
P- Jose Berrios (vs. Tampa Bay Rays): $7,100. Tampa Bay’s offense has been lackluster in 2016. Berrios has struggled in his rookie season, but he continues to rack up the strikeouts. In 2016, the Rays have struck out 971 times, which is ranked 26th in baseball. Berrios has the potential to put up a huge game on Saturday if he can stay ahead in counts and keep the Rays lineup off balanced.
P- Jeremy Hellickson (vs. San Diego Padres): $9,300. Many people believed Hellickson was going to be traded at the trade deadline, but the Phillies decided to hang on to him. He has been dominant on the mound recently. Over his last three starts, he has a 2-0 record, 1.83 ERA, and 11 strikeouts in 19.2 innings pitched.
P- Blake Snell (vs. Minnesota Twins): $8,700. Snell has been fantastic on the mound since the All-Star break. His last three starts have come against very tough opponents and he has faired very well. In that time span, he threw 18 innings, with a 2-0 record, 2.00 ERA, and 22 strikeouts.
P- Matt Moore (vs. Philadelphia Phillies): $8,400. Thursday is an absolutely brutal day for potential starting pitcher choices in daily fantasy. I decided to go with Matt Moore as he makes his debut for the San Francisco Giants. Over his last three starts with the Rays, he has a 2-1 record, 2.14 ERA, and 12 strikeouts. Over the last seven games, the Phillies have a .694 OPS, which is ranked 20th in baseball. They also rank 28th in OPS against left-handed pitchers this season, which is a great sign for Moore. If Moore can limit his walks, he could go very deep into this game.
P- Nathan Eovaldi (vs. New York Mets): $7,300. Eovaldi had a terrible June, but he has been very sharp recently. Over his last six appearances, he has only allowed six runs. The New York Mets’ offense has been very lackluster this year, so hopefully Eovaldi shows more success. I would typically go with a more “for sure” option, but the pitching slate is very slim on Thursday.
P- Cole Hamels (vs. Baltimore Orioles): $11,100. Hamels is red hot and the Orioles’ bats are ice cold, seems like a good combination. Over the last seven games, Baltimore is batting .203, with a .272 OBP, and a .332 slugging percentage. Meanwhile, over Hamels’ last three starts he has a 0.84 ERA and a 3-0 record. He has lasted eight innings in two of his last three starts. He has also been absolutely dominant on the road this year, going 8-1 with a 1.71 ERA.
P- Jake Odorizzi (vs. Kansas City Royals): $9,100. Just when you thought Baltimore was ice cold, Kansas City is even worse. Over their last seven games, the Royals are batting .202, with a .255 OBP, and a .304 slugging percentage. Odorizzi has not allowed a run over his last 14.2 innings pitched, so clearly he is throwing the ball well.
P – Stephen Strasburg (vs. Arizona Diamondbacks): $12,900. With such a small slate today, Strasburg is easily the best option at pitcher. He is averaging 10.93 strikeouts per nine innings this year, which is huge for daily fantasy. The Diamondbacks offense has struggled over the past seven days, so hopefully Strasburg can take advantage.
P – CC Sabathia (vs. New York Mets): $7,600. In 116 career at bats against Sabathia, the New York Mets are only batting .216, with a .248 OBP, and 35 strikeouts. In his last outing, he was pretty impressive against a very tough Astros lineup, so the Mets should be a cake walk.
P – Anthony DeSclafani (vs. San Diego Padres): $9,400. DeSclafani has been incredibly reliable this season when he is healthy. He is 6-0 on the year, with a 3.09 ERA, and 46 strikeouts in 55.1 innings pitched.
He is pitching in San Diego’s home stadium, which is a much better pitcher’s park than what DeSclafani is used to in Cincinnati. If this righty continues to pitch like he has over the last two months, the Padres’ offense shouldn’t pose a problem on Saturday..
P – Jeremy Hellickson (vs. Atlanta Braves): $8,900. Now is Hellickson’s time to shine if he wants to get dealt to a competing team. Over his last seven starts, he has a 2.20 ERA, which is obviously very appealing to teams looking to acquire pitching around the trade deadline.
He will be facing one of the worst offenses in baseball, so this should be a great matchup for the righty.
P – Collin McHugh (vs. Detroit Tigers): $8,600. McHugh struggled to start the season, but he has been very reliable in the month of July. In four starts this months, he has a 2.66 ERA and 28 strikeouts. He is pitching in a pitcher favorable ballpark as well, which is also to his favor. Over his last four starts, he is averaging 20.5 points on DraftKings. There is a chance of rain at the start of this game, so keep an eye on the weather forecast.
P – Ivan Nova (vs. Tampa Bay Rays): $8,300. Over his last four starts, Nova has been a great option for daily fantasy. He is averaging 19.9 points on DraftKings in that timespan. Tampa Bays’ offense has been brutal all season, specifically over the last seven days, so this should be a great matchup for Nova.
P- Cole Hamels (vs. Kansas City Royals): $9,900. Hamels is coming off a successful start against the Royals his last time out. He threw 5.1 innings, giving up only one unearned run. He has won both his starts since the all-star break, giving up only two runs in 13.1 innings pitched.
P- Tyler Anderson (vs. New York Mets): $7,700. Anderson is facing an offense who has struggled all season long. Over the last seven days, the Mets are ranked 28th in OPS and 29th in runs scored. Over Anderson’s last eight starts, he has given up no more than three runs in seven of those starts. He has also walked two or fewer batters in those starts, which is great for daily fantasy.