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2016 Fantasy Baseball Dynasty League Trade Analysis (Part 2)

Now that the season is over, I wanted to go through my dynasty league trades throughout the 2016 season and give my analysis. I gave the analysis of my team earlier last week, but this analysis is for a very different team. This team is currently rebuilding and had by far the biggest roster turnover during the 2016 season. Austin, the owner of the team, asked me to analyze his team, so I figured I would share my analysis of his deals (there is A LOT of them). Before going into the trades, let me give you a quick overview of the rules and regulations of the league:

 

-16 team dynasty league founded 1.5 years ago

-Head to head categorical scoring (offensive categories include: Runs, RBIs, HRs, SBs, Slugging, OBP, Strikeouts for hitters, Total Bases…. Pitching categories include: H/IP, BB/9, Total Strikeouts, ERA, WHIP, Quality Start %, Saves, and Holds)

-Roster: 19 active on the roster (C, 1B, 2B, SS, 3B, LF, CF, RF, UTL, 5 SP, 5 RP), 12 bench players, and 21 minor league prospects

-Active salary cap (max of $20 million per player) of $168 million based on actual MLB contracts

-Annual amateur draft for the most recent MLB amateur draft during the offseason (if I mention a draft pick in a trade, that is what it is referring to)

 

SEE THE REST OF THE ARTICLE AND THE TRADE ANALYSIS

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2016 Fantasy Baseball Dynasty League Trades Analysis

Following a 2nd place finish in 2015, this is the active roster I ended the year with:

C– Travis d’Arnaud

1B– Brandon Belt

2B– Robinson Cano

3B– Anthony Rendon

SS– Brandon Crawford

LF– Yoenis Cespedes

CF– David Peralta

RF– Bryce Harper

UTL– Daniel Murphy

Starting Pitchers– Madison Bumgarner, Matt Harvey, Noah Syndergaard, Sonny Gray, Justin Verlander

Relief Pitchers– Ken Giles, Daniel Hudson, Jonathan Papelbon, David Robertson, Shawn Tolleson

Off. Bench– Robinson Chirinos, Justin Bour, Jonathan Schoop, Alex Rodriguez

P. Bench– Nick Martinez, Carlos Rodon, Arquimedes Caminero, Jenrry Mejia, Drew Pomeranz, Tom Koehler

Offensive Prospects– Chance Sisco, A.J. Reed, Kean Wong, Tim Anderson, Jorge Mateo, Eloy Jimenez, Manuel Margot, Bradley Zimmer, Brett Phillips

Pitching Prospects– Edwin Diaz, Anderson Espinoza, Michael Fulmer, Taylor Guerrieri, Pierce Johnson, Yoan Lopez, Francis Martes, Alex Reyes, Jack Flaherty, Casey Meisner, Luis Ortiz

 

While I did finish the season in 2nd, my roster needed some serious improvements. I had a lot of faith in my ability to scout prospects, so I figured it was time to unload some prospects for win-now talent and trust my ability to refill my minor league system with less publicized talent. You can see all of the trades I made in the offseason and during the 2016 season in order from oldest to most recent below (all trades made prior to the season are in bold and in season is in italics):

 

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Daily Fantasy MLB DFS Picks For DraftKings 9/4/16

P- Carlos Martinez (vs. Cincinnati Reds): $10,600. Martinez is coming off one of his best starts of the season after striking out 13 Brewers hitters on Monday. Over his last three starts, he has a 2-0 record, 1.29 ERA, and 25 strikeouts in 21 innings pitched. In 70 career at bats against Martinez, the Reds’ offense is hitting .229 with a .289 OBP and 17 strikeouts.

P- Eduardo Rodriguez (vs. Oakland A’s): $6,500. The Oakland A’s have really struggled over the past week hitting only .184, with a .260 OBP, and a .278 slugging percentage. On the other hand, Rodriguez has been very good recently. In his last three starts, he has a 3.31 ERA, and 14 strikeouts. Since being called up from Triple-A, E-Rod has given up three or less earned runs in seven of his eight starts. Sunday will be his first start against the A’s.

 

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Daily Fantasy MLB DFS Picks For DraftKings 8/29/16

P- Carlos Martinez (vs. Milwaukee Brewers): $10,300. Carlos Martinez has been an incredibly reliable option in daily fantasy throughout the 2016 season. Over his last three starts, C-Mart has a 2-0 record, 2.14 ERA, and 16 strikeouts in 21 innings pitched. He has won both of his starts against the Brewers this season, allowing one run on nine hits in 13 innings pitched.

P- Matt Boyd (vs. Chicago White Sox): $6,700. Boyd has been really good since joining the starting rotation. He is now 5-0, with a 2.38 ERA in eight starts. Over his last three starts, he has a 2-0 record, 1.89 ERA, and 14 strikeouts in 19 innings pitched. If he can pitch like he has been recently, I don’t think the Chicago White Sox offense can touch him.

 

SEE THE REST OF THE ARTICLE

Daily Fantasy MLB DFS Picks For DraftKings 8/27/16

P- Jameson Taillon (vs. Milwaukee Brewers): $9,900. Taillon has been incredibly consistent all year long. He is coming off one of his best performances on the mound this year after throwing eight innings of two run ball against the Houston Astros. His last eight outings have been quality starts. In two starts against the Brewers this season, Taillon has thrown 12 innings while giving up only three runs.

P- Marcus Stroman (vs. Minnesota Twins): $9,100. Stroman struggled mightily throughout the first half of the season, but he has done quite well recently. Over his last six starts, he own a 2.45 ERA and 47 strikeouts over 40.1 innings pitched. He has been racking up the strikeouts over his last few starts, which is obviously great for daily fantasy. Minnesota’s offense has been absolutely terrible over the last few weeks, so this should be great for Stroman.

 

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Daily Fantasy MLB DFS Picks For DraftKings 7/29/16

P – Collin McHugh (vs. Detroit Tigers): $8,600. McHugh struggled to start the season, but he has been very reliable in the month of July. In four starts this months, he has a 2.66 ERA and 28 strikeouts. He is pitching in a pitcher favorable ballpark as well, which is also to his favor. Over his last four starts, he is averaging 20.5 points on DraftKings. There is a chance of rain at the start of this game, so keep an eye on the weather forecast.

P – Ivan Nova (vs. Tampa Bay Rays): $8,300. Over his last four starts, Nova has been a great option for daily fantasy. He is averaging 19.9 points on DraftKings in that timespan. Tampa Bays’ offense has been brutal all season, specifically over the last seven days, so this should be a great matchup for Nova.

SEE THE REST OF THE ARTICLE

Daily Fantasy MLB DFS Picks For DraftKings – 7/27/16

PJon Gray (vs. Baltimore Orioles): $10,500. The Orioles have been horrendous over the last seven games. They are ranked last in OPS with a .599. Meanwhile, Jon Gray has been absolutely filthy over his last few starts. In his last three starts, Gray has struck out at least eight batters and he has only given up three runs in 20.1 innings pitched. Over his last 11 starts, he owns a 2.93 ERA.

P – Matt Moore (vs. Los Angeles Dodgers): $7,500. Over his last nine starts, Moore has thrown at least six innings. He is facing a Dodgers’ lineup who has struggled mightily against left-handed pitching. In 831 at bats against lefties, the Dodgers are batting .218, with a .295 OBP, and a .350 slugging percentage.

SEE THE REST OF THE PICKS

Daily Fantasy MLB DFS Picks For DraftKings 6/15/16

P- Corey Kluber (vs. Kansas City Royals): $13,100. This matchup almost looks too good to be true. Kluber has been very successful as of late. He is coming off his second complete game of the season, in which he gave up only three hits, with eight strikeouts against the Angels. He has gone at least six innings in his last six starts. He has also dominated the Royals throughout his career. In 240 career at bats against Kluber, the Royals’ offense is batting .204, with 60 strikeouts, and a .235 OBP.

 

P- Sonny Gray (vs. Texas Rangers): $7,100. Gray has really excelled in his first two starts since returning from the disabled list. In his first start, he threw five innings against the Astros giving up five hits, one run, and five strikeouts. In his second outing, he faced the Reds, in which he gave up five hits, two runs, and four strikeouts in 7.2 innings pitched. Gray does face a tough offense, but he is pitching at his home park, which is always a good sign. In 176 career at bats against Gray, the Rangers’ lineup is batting .210, with 34 strikeouts, and a .291 OBP.

 

To see the rest of  the picks, click the link below:

 

SEE THE REST OF THE PICKS

Daily Fantasy MLB DFS Picks For DraftKings 6/14/16

P- Madison Bumgarner (vs. Milwaukee Brewers): $13,800. Bumgarner is the top pitcher on the slate for Tuesday and for good reason. First of all, he is facing the 21st ranked offense of the Brewers. Second, he is 7-2 this season, with a 1.88 ERA, and 99 strikeouts in 86 innings pitched. Third, he is pitching in his home park. Fourth, he will probably hit a home run to bolster his lead at some point in the game. This guy can do it all.

 

P- Brandon Finnegan (vs. Atlanta Braves): $8,100. Finnegan has been on a roll as of late. In hist past four starts, he has thrown at least 6.1 innings in each start. He now has seven quality starts in his 13 total outings this season. He will be facing one of the worst offenses in baseball on Tuesday, so this shouldn’t pose a threat to Finnegan’s hot streak.

 

To see the rest of the picks, click the link below:

 

SEE THE REST OF THE PICKS

Daily Fantasy MLB DFS Picks For DraftKings 6/5/16

Typically I post a lineup that fits the cash limits of DraftKings, but I will be on a plane to Los Angeles today (going to see Clayton Kershaw pitch!), so I have decided to post an article with multiple options.

 

P- Jose Fernandez (vs. Miami Marlins): Fernandez has been on fire recently. So far in 2016, he has thrown 67.2 innings, with an 8-2 record, 2.53 ERA, 50 hits against, 96 strikeouts, and 25 walks. The Mets are currently ranked 27th overall in run production, so Fernandez shouldn’t have any problems shutting down their offense.

 

P- Corey Kluber (vs. Kansas City Royals): In 216 career at bats against Kluber, the Royals’ lineup is batting .218, with four home runs, 22 RBIs, 52 strikeouts, and a .245 OBP. Kluber did struggle in his last start (7 IP, 6 ER, 6 Ks), but prior to that start, he had two quality starts. Based on his past success against the Royals, he could be a very solid option on Sunday.

 

To see the rest of the picks, click the link below:

 

SEE THE REST OF THE PICKS

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