P- Masahiro Tanaka (vs. Toronto Blue Jays): $9,900. In 127 career at bats against the Blue Jays, Tanaka has a .197 opposing batting average, 36 strikeouts, and a .246 OBP. Over his last five starts, he owns a 4-0 record, 1.93 ERA and 34 strikeouts in 32.2 innings pitched. Toronto has been hitting fairly well recently, but Tanaka has been dominant on the mound, which should counteract the Blue Jays’ bats.
P- Ian Kennedy (vs. Minnesota Twins): $9,100. Prior to his last start, Kennedy was 3-0 with a 1.14 ERA over his previous six starts. He did give up four runs over 6.1 innings in his last start, but as you can tell, Kennedy has been very reliable recently. The Twins offense has been decent recently, but I don’t think that will stop Kennedy from succeeding.
P- Jose Quintana (vs. Minnesota Twins): $10,700. There is only four games on Thursday, so the pitching match-ups are very limited. With that said, Quintana is by far the best option available. He pitched great in his starts in August, so hopefully he will continue his success. He has now thrown eight straight quality starts. In 191 career at bats against Quintana, the Twins’ offense is batting .246, with a .308 OBP, and a .377 slugging percentage.
P- Jacob deGrom (vs. Miami Marlins): $9,000. deGrom has really struggled recently, but the Mets gave him a few extra days of rest to work on his mechanics. Considering there are so few options to choose from on Thursday, deGrom’s price and upside are really attractive. In 131 career at bats against deGrom, the Marlins’ offense is batting .282, with a .294 OBP, and a .345 slugging percentage.
P- Corey Kluber (vs. Minnesota Twins): $11,300. Kluber has been dominant all year long. Over his last nine starts, he is 6-0, with a 1.75 ERA. Over his last three starts, he is 2-0, with a 1.93 ERA, and 22 strikeouts in 18.2 innings pitched. In 215 career at bats against Kluber, the Twins’ lineup is batting .223 with a .282 OBP.
P- Gio Gonzalez (vs. Philadelphia Phillies): $8,400. Gonzalez struggled midway through the season, but he has bounced back quite nice recently. Over his last nine starts, Gonzalez has a 3.20 ERA and opposing batting average of .219. In 123 career at bats against Gonzalez, the Phillies’ offense is batting .187, with a .248 OBP, and a .240 slugging percentage.
P- Kyle Hendricks (vs. Pittsburgh Pirates): $10,800. Over the last 17 starts, Hendricks has given up three or fewer earned runs. Included in those starts is his sole start against the Pittsburgh Pirates, which he threw six innings, giving up one earned run, and 12 strikeouts. The Pirates offense has been very mediocre recently, which is in favor of the right-handed pitcher.
P- Adam Wainwright (vs. Milwaukee Brewers): $6,900. Wainwright has gone through some struggles recently, but he has been very successful against the Brewers’ lineup throughout his career. In 122 career at bats against Waino, the Brewers are batting .230, with a .264 OBP, and a .321 slugging percentage. In his only start against the Brewers in 2016, Wainwright threw seven innings, giving up seven hits, and he struck out seven.
P- Carlos Martinez (vs. Milwaukee Brewers): $10,300. Carlos Martinez has been an incredibly reliable option in daily fantasy throughout the 2016 season. Over his last three starts, C-Mart has a 2-0 record, 2.14 ERA, and 16 strikeouts in 21 innings pitched. He has won both of his starts against the Brewers this season, allowing one run on nine hits in 13 innings pitched.
P- Matt Boyd (vs. Chicago White Sox): $6,700. Boyd has been really good since joining the starting rotation. He is now 5-0, with a 2.38 ERA in eight starts. Over his last three starts, he has a 2-0 record, 1.89 ERA, and 14 strikeouts in 19 innings pitched. If he can pitch like he has been recently, I don’t think the Chicago White Sox offense can touch him.
P- Justin Verlander (vs. Los Angeles Angels): $10,400. Verlander has been absolutely dominant since the All-Star break. Over his last three starts, he has a 1-1 record, 2.25 ERA, and 17 strikeouts in 20 innings pitched. In 72 career at bats against Verlander, the Angels’ offense is batting .153, with a .247 OBP, and a .256 slugging percentage. In his last start against the Angels, Verlander went 7.1 innings, giving up four runs, and he struck out seven batters.
P- Bartolo Colon (vs. Philadelphia Phillies): $7,600. Colon has been very consistent all year long. During his starts in August, he owns a 2.25 ERA. In three starts against the Phillies this season, Colon has held them to a .206 batting average. In 117 career at bats against Colon, the Phillies’ lineup is batting .231, with a .272 OBP, and a .372 slugging percentage.
P- Tanner Roark (vs. Atlanta Braves): $10,600. In nine career starts against Atlanta, Tanner Roark has a 1.77 ERA. In fact, his last start was against the Braves, where he went seven innings giving up five hits, one earned run, and he struck out three. In his two starts against Atlanta this year, Roark has given up one earned run in 14 innings pitched.
P- Adam Wainwright (vs. Philadelphia Phillies): $6,600. This pick does scare me a bit, but I’m going to stick with it. Over Wainwright’s last two starts, he has not been effective at all. Luckily, the Cardinals are giving Wainwright an extra two days of rest because he believes he has found the issue in his windup. This pick is risky, but the other options that are affordable are very risky as well.
P- Homer Bailey (vs. Miami Marlins): $8,900. Bailey looked really good in his last start. He went six innings, giving up three hits, one walk, and 11 strikeouts. He will be facing the Marlins on Wednesday, who just recently lost Giancarlo Stanton for the year. Over the last seven games, the Marlins have a .686 OPS, which ranks 26th in Major League Baseball.
P- Yordano Ventura (vs. Detroit Tigers): $7,800. In his three starts against the Detroit Tigers in 2016, Ventura has put up 15.85, 24.65, and 18.35 points in DraftKings. He has also not allowed more than three runs in a start since July 3rd. In his last three starts, he has a 2-0 record, 2.89 ERA, and 15 strikeouts. Over the last seven games, Detroit has a .693 OPS, which ranks 24th in Major League Baseball.
P- James Paxton (vs. Los Angeles Angels): $9,400. Over Paxton’s last four starts, he has a 1.59 ERA. Unfortunately, is last time out he was hit in the elbow, and he hasn’t pitched since. Luckily he is coming back on Tuesday against a team he has dominated throughout his career. In seven starts against the Angels, he has a 3-2 record and a 2.17 ERA. Keep an eye on his injury status heading into this game just in case he doesn’t start.
P- Ervin Santana (vs. Atlanta Braves): $9,000. Over Santana’s last three starts, he has a 2-1 record, 2.11 ERA, and 18 strikeouts in 21 innings pitched. In 185 career at bats against Santana, the Braves’ lineup is batting .222, with a .243 OBP, and 37 strikeouts. The Braves offense has struggled this year, so hopefully Santana’s recent success can shut them down.
P- Drew Smyly (vs. San Diego Padres): $9,000. The slate for pitchers is very weak for Monday. With that said, I’ve decided to go cheap on pitching and hope for the best. Smyly has been very good recently. He has thrown four straight quality starts, with a 2-0 record, and a 2.52 ERA. Over the last seven days, the Padres have a .669 OPS, which ranks 27th in Major League Baseball.
P- Bartolo Colon (vs. Arizona Diamondbacks): $6,800. This play doesn’t excite me, but hopefully Colon can repeat his performance from Wednesday. In his last start, he faced the Diamondbacks, and he did quite well. Over seven innings of work, he gave up one run, and struck out eight batters. At only $6,800, he provides the rest of the lineup with a great amount of cash.
P- Stephen Strasburg (vs. Atlanta Braves): $12,400. In two starts against Atlanta this year, Strasburg owns a 1.98 ERA. He is 15-2 on the year, with a 2.80 ERA, and 169 strikeouts. He is putting up a Cy Young caliber season and the Braves won’t stand in his way on Friday.
P- Joe Musgrove (vs. Toronto Blue Jays): $8,300. As many of my readers well know, I am quite a fan of Joe Musgrove. He is incredibly efficient on the mound, issues very few walks, and has an above average strikeout rate. Over the last seven games, the Blue Jays have struck out 70 times (4th worst in baseball) and have a .686 OPS (ranked 19th in baseball).
P- Jake Odorizzi (vs. Toronto Blue Jays): $9,900. In 99 career at bats against Odorizzi, the Blue Jays’ offense is batting .141, with a .274 OBP, and a .341 slugging percentage. This includes a .053 batting average from Jose Bautista, .214 from Josh Donaldson, .091 from Edwin Encarnacion, .083 from Russell Martin, and a .143 batting average from Troy Tulowitzki. Not only have the Jays struggled against Odorizzi, but they have also struggled over the last seven games, with a .201/.276/.370 slash line. Odorizzi has not allowed a run in 20.2 consecutive innings, so clearly he is on a roll.
P- Zach Davies (vs. Atlanta Braves): $8,600. Davies has been incredibly consistent over his last few starts. He has won his past three starts and holds a 2.45 ERA in that time span. He hasn’t allowed more than two earned runs since June and he owns a 1.97 ERA over that stretch of starts. The Braves’ offense isn’t overpowering, so Davies should be able to take care of business.
P- Matt Moore (vs. Philadelphia Phillies): $8,400. Thursday is an absolutely brutal day for potential starting pitcher choices in daily fantasy. I decided to go with Matt Moore as he makes his debut for the San Francisco Giants. Over his last three starts with the Rays, he has a 2-1 record, 2.14 ERA, and 12 strikeouts. Over the last seven games, the Phillies have a .694 OPS, which is ranked 20th in baseball. They also rank 28th in OPS against left-handed pitchers this season, which is a great sign for Moore. If Moore can limit his walks, he could go very deep into this game.
P- Nathan Eovaldi (vs. New York Mets): $7,300. Eovaldi had a terrible June, but he has been very sharp recently. Over his last six appearances, he has only allowed six runs. The New York Mets’ offense has been very lackluster this year, so hopefully Eovaldi shows more success. I would typically go with a more “for sure” option, but the pitching slate is very slim on Thursday.
P- Cole Hamels (vs. Baltimore Orioles): $11,100. Hamels is red hot and the Orioles’ bats are ice cold, seems like a good combination. Over the last seven games, Baltimore is batting .203, with a .272 OBP, and a .332 slugging percentage. Meanwhile, over Hamels’ last three starts he has a 0.84 ERA and a 3-0 record. He has lasted eight innings in two of his last three starts. He has also been absolutely dominant on the road this year, going 8-1 with a 1.71 ERA.
P- Jake Odorizzi (vs. Kansas City Royals): $9,100. Just when you thought Baltimore was ice cold, Kansas City is even worse. Over their last seven games, the Royals are batting .202, with a .255 OBP, and a .304 slugging percentage. Odorizzi has not allowed a run over his last 14.2 innings pitched, so clearly he is throwing the ball well.
P – Stephen Strasburg (vs. Arizona Diamondbacks): $12,900. With such a small slate today, Strasburg is easily the best option at pitcher. He is averaging 10.93 strikeouts per nine innings this year, which is huge for daily fantasy. The Diamondbacks offense has struggled over the past seven days, so hopefully Strasburg can take advantage.
P – CC Sabathia (vs. New York Mets): $7,600. In 116 career at bats against Sabathia, the New York Mets are only batting .216, with a .248 OBP, and 35 strikeouts. In his last outing, he was pretty impressive against a very tough Astros lineup, so the Mets should be a cake walk.
P – Anthony DeSclafani (vs. San Diego Padres): $9,400. DeSclafani has been incredibly reliable this season when he is healthy. He is 6-0 on the year, with a 3.09 ERA, and 46 strikeouts in 55.1 innings pitched.
He is pitching in San Diego’s home stadium, which is a much better pitcher’s park than what DeSclafani is used to in Cincinnati. If this righty continues to pitch like he has over the last two months, the Padres’ offense shouldn’t pose a problem on Saturday..
P – Jeremy Hellickson (vs. Atlanta Braves): $8,900. Now is Hellickson’s time to shine if he wants to get dealt to a competing team. Over his last seven starts, he has a 2.20 ERA, which is obviously very appealing to teams looking to acquire pitching around the trade deadline.
He will be facing one of the worst offenses in baseball, so this should be a great matchup for the righty.
P- Cole Hamels (vs. Kansas City Royals): $9,900. Hamels is coming off a successful start against the Royals his last time out. He threw 5.1 innings, giving up only one unearned run. He has won both his starts since the all-star break, giving up only two runs in 13.1 innings pitched.
P- Tyler Anderson (vs. New York Mets): $7,700. Anderson is facing an offense who has struggled all season long. Over the last seven days, the Mets are ranked 28th in OPS and 29th in runs scored. Over Anderson’s last eight starts, he has given up no more than three runs in seven of those starts. He has also walked two or fewer batters in those starts, which is great for daily fantasy.
P- Felix Hernandez (vs. Pittsburgh Pirates): $8,600. The Pirates offense has struggled over the last seven days. In that time span they are batting .237, with a .297 OBP, and a .678 OPS. In 109 career at bats against Felix, the Pirates offense is batting .165, with a .229 OBP, .249 slugging percentage, and 35 strikeouts. He is coming off an injury and a rough first start, but his career numbers against the Pirates makes me very confident in this pick.
P- Ervin Santana (vs. Atlanta Braves): $7,800. In 139 career at bats against Santana, the Braves’ lineup is batting .223, with .251 OBP, .454 slugging percentage, and 28 strikeouts. Santana has been on a great hot streak recently. Over his last six starts, he owns a 2-1 record, and a 2.03 ERA.
P- Carlos Martinez (vs. New York Mets): $11,400. Martinez has been very reliable in daily fantasy all year long. In fact, he hasn’t allowed more than three runs in a start since late May. He continues to pitch deep into games, which is great in DraftKings. The Mets offense has been brutal all season long and they have struggled to produce runs over the last seven games, so this should be very favorable for Martinez.
P- Jeremy Hellickson (vs. Miami Marlins): $8,300. In 139 career at bats against Hellickson, the Marlins’ lineup is only batting .216, with a .243 OBP, and a .365 slugging percentage. Hellickson should be on his A-game with the trade deadline right around the corner if he wants to be dealt to a competing team. In his last start against the Marlins, he held them to one earned run, on five hits in eight innings pitched.
P- Jon Lester (vs. Milwaukee Brewers): $10,600. In four career starts against the Brewers, Lester holds a 2.22 ERA with a 2-2 record. Lester has been impressive all year long. He currently owns a 10-4 record, with a 2.89 ERA, and 111 strikeouts in 118.1 innings pitched. Milwaukee ranks in the bottom third in the MLB against left-handed pitching this year, so this favors Lester on Sunday.
P- Rick Porcello (vs. Minnesota Twins): $9,200. Porcello has been on fire over his last four starts as he is unbeaten. In his last time out against the Twins, he gave up only one earned run over seven innings pitched. Throughout the last five years, Porcello has dominated every hitter in the Twins’ lineup, so I don’t see anything different happening on Sunday.
P- Max Scherzer (vs. San Diego Padres): $13,100. In 112 career at bats against Scherzer, the Padres’ lineup is batting .134, with four RBIs, and a .190 OBP. Over his last nine starts, Scherzer owns a 1.61 ERA, with 81 strikeouts, and 13 walks in 61.1 innings pitched. Needless to say, he is a great start on Saturday.
P- Kendall Graveman (vs. Tampa Bay Rays): $7,900. Over his last seven starts, Graveman owns a 4-0 record, with a 2.64 ERA. While he hasn’t faced the Rays’ lineup very much throughout his career, he has shown some success by holding them to a .213 batting average and a .368 slugging percentage.
Thank you for taking the time to view my daily fantasy picks. You can find my picks for pitcher for tomorrow and a link that forwards you to the rest of the picks. If you have any questions or comments, please send me a message on Twitter (@dynasty_digest).
P – Trevor Bauer (vs. Baltimore Orioles): $8,900
P – Gerrit Cole (vs. Philadelphia Phillies): $7,400
P – Adam Wainwright (vs. San Diego Padres): $10,400. First of all, Thursday’s slate is brutal for pitching match-ups because there are only nine games. With that said, Wainwright is by far the hottest pitcher taking the mound. Over his last three starts, he owns a 0.39 ERA, 3-0 record, and 19 strikeouts in 23 innings pitched. In his last start, he shutout the Marlins while only giving up three hits. In his first start against the Padres this season, he went six innings and gave up three earned runs.
P – Matt Moore (vs. Oakland A’s): $7,600. The Athletics have been very mediocre against left-handed pitcher this season (.737 OPS), so Moore should have an advantage. Moore’s strikeout numbers have been down over his last three starts, but he has gone very deep into game recently to make up for the lack of K’s. During his last start, Moore threw eight innings against the Orioles.
I’m sorry for getting these picks out so late. I was unfortunately involved in a small car accident, which took forever to sort out. I am completely fine and so is my truck, but it has been a long night. Due to the late post, I’m not going to post explanations for each pick. If you have any specific questions about players, please feel free to reach out to me on social media.
P – Felix Hernandez (vs. Chicago White Sox): $10,100
P – Jaime Garcia (vs. San Diego Padres): $7,900
P – Chris Sale (vs. Seattle Mariners): $12,200. In 78 career at bats against Sale, the Mariners’ lineup is batting .205, with 27 strikeouts, and a .254 OBP. Sale leads the majors with 14 wins this season. He also owns a 3.38 ERA, with 104 hits against, 123 strikeouts, and only 26 walks in 125 innings pitched.
P – Mike Fiers (vs. Oakland Althletics): $5,500. This pick scares me a little bit, but in order to afford my stack against Ivan Nova, this was a necessary play. Fiers has been hit or miss this season. He owns a 6-3 record, with a 4.36 ERA 64 strikeouts, and 21 walks in 93 innings pitched. He is playing in a pitcher friendly stadium against a division rival, so I’m hoping he will be on his “A” game.
P- Johnny Cueto (vs. San Diego Padres): $13,100. To say that Cueto has dominated the Padres this season would be an understatement. In his three of his starts against San Diego this year, Cueto has thrown a complete game in every one. In 116 at bats against the righty, the Padres’ offense is batting .259, with 31 strikeouts, and a .293 OBP.
P- Zach Davies (vs. Cincinnati Reds): $6,400. Over his last eight starts, Davies owns a 2.90 ERA. He isn’t going to put up elite numbers in daily fantasy, but he should be able to put up above average statistics against a below average Reds’ offense.
P- Lance McCullers (vs. Seattle Mariners): $9,800. McCullers has been on fire recently. Over his last three starts, he has a 1-1 record, 2.70 ERA, and 22 strikeouts in 16.2 innings pitched. In his last time on the mound against the Mariners, he struck out 10 over seven innings.
P- Jerad Eickhoff (vs. New York Mets): $7,800. The Mets offense has struggled with run production all season long. In 18 starts this season, Eickhoff has a 6-10 record, 3.80 ERA, 94 strikeouts, and 29 walks in 109 innings pitched. He doesn’t get great run support, but he is a steal for only $7,800.
P- Madison Bumgarner (vs. San Diego Padres): $11,100. In 161 career at bats against Bumgarner, the Padres’ offense is batting .174, with 51 strikeouts, and a .235 OBP. He has been dominant all season long, so it shouldn’t be any different on Friday.
P- Yovanni Gallardo (vs. Tampa Bay Rays): $6,700. In 69 career at bats against Gallardo, the Rays’ offense is batting .203, with 15 strikeouts, and a .267 OBP. This is a risky pick based on Gallardo’s performance in 2016, but he has a favorable matchup. The Rays offense is ranked in the bottom third of the MLB in runs scored, OBP, slugging percentage, and OPS in 2016.
Due to the amount of time dedicated to the analysis of my midseason top 100 prospect rankings analysis, which you can find on my blog, I will not be providing reasonings behind my DFS picks for the next few days.
I can assure you my picks below have been chosen using the same research methods I use on a daily basis. These methods include weather, B v. P stats, recent success, splits, stacks and much more. If you have any questions or comments, I will be glad to answer via social media (@dynasty_digest).
P- Carlos Carrasco (vs. New York Yankees): $11,600
P- A.J. Griffin (vs. Minnesota Twins): $7,000
Due to the amount of time dedicated to the analysis of my midseason top 100 prospect rankings analysis, which you can find on my blog, I will not be providing reasonings behind my DFS picks for the next few days. I can assure you my picks below have been chosen using the same research methods I use on a daily basis. These methods include weather, B v. P stats, recent success, splits, stacks and much more. If you have any questions or comments, I will be glad to answer via social media (@dynasty_digest).
P – Lance McCullers Jr. (vs. Oakland A’s): $9,700
P – Carlos Martinez (vs. Milwaukee Brewers): $9,300