Yearly Archives: 2017
Sully Baseball Daily Podcast – February 13, 2017

Getty Images
The Astros need to go all in. And that means taking Zack Greinke off of the Diamondbacks’ hands. Meanwhile I have all sorts of tech issues.
Testing Testing 1…2…3 on this episode of Sully Baseball Daily Podcast.
Will Justin Verlander Be A Hall of Famer?
Earlier in the week I updated what had become an annual blog entry for me around the greatness of Miguel Cabrera, who is undoubtedly already a Hall of Fame lock. It got me thinking around looking in to Justin Verlander’s career and if there is potential to be elected to the Hall of Fame one day. Now, if you would have asked me two years ago, I wouldn’t have written anything, but the way JV reinvented himself this past season, it revitalized hopes that he could be in the Hall someday. Please bare with me as this is a little long, but a case will be made…
Before diving in to statistics and whatnot, there has always been one key milestone for pitchers that essentially ensures that they are Hall of Fame locks, and that’s 300 wins. We must acknowledge that 300 wins is really no longer feasible with today’s 5-man rotations, pitch counts, and bullpen specialist. We must also acknowledge that today’s game has changed where a slightly higher ERA is acceptable compared to the day an age where voters were looking for career ERA’s in the mid-2’s. Hitters are stronger these days; ballparks tend to be smaller, etc.
Here’s the other thing that JV and other pitchers have going against them and it all plays in to what I just wrote, only 6 pitchers have been elected to the Hall in the last seven years (Greg Maddux, Pedro Martinez, Randy Johnson, John Smoltz, Tom Glavine, and Bert Blyleven). Take it back further to 2005 and add just Bruce Sutter and Rich Gossage to that list, making it 8 in the past 12 years. What I think we are seeing is pitchers being scrutinized more highly than hitters.
With this laid out, let’s look at Justin Verlander so far…
Tommy John Surgery: All – Time MLB List Heading Into 2017 MLB Regulr Season
For all the talk of baseball players (pitchers mostly) that will be undergoing Tommy John Surgery, we will be keeping a running list! E-mail us at mlbreports@gmail.com if you have any names to add to our totals.
Follow and bookmark our tracker always here
How many players are having or had TJ in history? You are about to find out: While our list is good, we only chart MLB’ers/ .
Jon Roegele has an entire spreadsheet for anyone from every level that has ever gone under the knife no matter what level they are at here Read the rest of this entry
Feb MLB Power Rankings/2017 Win Predictions
Last Updated Feb 12, 2017
For a detailed rundown of how I compared some of the teams to other websites click here
Overall MLB Rankings in Parenthesis
American League (1235 – 1195)
AL East (425 – 385)
Boston Red Sox 90 – 72 (4)
Toronto Blue Jays 88 – 74 (9)
Baltimore Orioles 84 – 78 (14)
NY Yankees 83 – 79 (18)
Tampa Bay Rays 80 – 82 (20) Read the rest of this entry
A Look Back On HIs Career With John Halama
Some paths to the major leagues are longer and more winding than others. Just being drafted is far from a guarantee that any success will ensue. Hard work and an ability to take and adapt to instruction are just as important as having raw skill. Left-handed pitcher John Halama knows only too well what it takes to work his way up from a mid-round draft prospect to a successful major league career.
Koufax, Kershaw and the Power of Orthodoxy

Part of the Koufax orthodoxy, of course, is his legend: Retired at 30, at the height of his game, the height of his fame. And then, gone. He never hawked a book, lent his name, or became an autograph factory.Never a hint of scandal, a suggestion of bad behavior. He’d make his Spring Training visits to the Mets or the Dodgers, to see old friends and talk to the kids, and the press covered these casual afternoons like matters of state. Then he’d disappear again, go back to his life. Fifty years of repose; fifty years of grace; fifty years of dignity. Five decades, essentially, of silence. Baseball’s Garbo. All the while, his legend grew, until it overshadowed even his magnificent accomplishments on the mound. He’s not just the best pitcher in Dodgers’ history; he was—is—often mentioned among the greatest handful of pitchers of all time, more monument than man to generations of fans.
The thing is, it’s pretty clear that Clayton Kershaw, not Sandy Koufax, is the best pitcher in the history of the Dodgers’ franchise. READ MORE
Sully Baseball Daily Podcast – February 12, 2017

Peter Diana/Post-Gazette
It is Sunday and time for The Sunday Request.
This has got to be a topic on @sullybaseball #SundayRequest What is your opinion, and how could it adversely affect the game in your eyes? https://t.co/m6AuXWpTni
— Ryan Brooks (@rybrooks26) February 9, 2017
This is the stupidest idea I have heard of in a while. There are ways to improve baseball that don’t involve starting a runner on second in extra innings.
It is a “Don’t Break What Isn’t Broken” episode of Sully Baseball Daily Podcast.
Boston Red Sox Entire 2017 MLB Schedule On One Page Post.
ALL TIMES DISPLAYED IN EASTERN TIME ZONE
WEEK 1 (Includes Season Opener Sunday Apr 2, 2017)
INTERLEAGUE GAMES IN MAROON
APR 2017
Sunday, Apr 2 MLB OPENING DAY
DAY OFF Read the rest of this entry
Sully Baseball Daily Podcast – February 11, 2017

Jorge Lemus/Getty Images North America
Mike Ilitch has passed away. He was everything a fan could want in an owner and helped make the Tigers a point of pride in a difficult time for Detroit.
Now that he is gone, what will the fortunes of the Tigers be moving forward.
It is a Motor City episode of Sully Baseball Daily Podcast.
Milwaukee Brewers Research Interview: Pat McBride and Rick Napholz
When I first started thinking I’d like to write a book about the Milwaukee Brewers franchise moving from Seattle in 1970, I kept coming back to a simple question: Who were the original players, coaches, executives, and stadium workers? Not just their names, but who were they personally and what did they experience when the Brewers were in their infancy.
I started by looking at names and faces on the 1970 team photo card and decided to pursue interviewing as many of these guys as possible. I was fortunate last year to interview one of the original team bat boys and one of the ball boys. Both had interesting perspectives and memories of not just the players, but also County Stadium, and what it was like to work at Green Bay Packers games as well.
Christian Yelich Is an Under-the-Radar NL MVP Candidate in 2017
Making a name for yourself in the Miami Marlins outfield in recent years hasn’t been all that easy, but Christian Yelich has found a way to carve out some attention for himself in South Beach. Probably not enough yet, though.
It’s tough when Giancarlo Stanton grabs headlines every time he punishes a baseball, or when Marcell Ozuna‘s name is either swirling in trade rumors or being called out at the All-Star game.
Yelich quietly goes about his business on a daily basis, and while he may not generate the most headlines, he’s probably the most valuable outfielder on the Marlins’ roster.
After posting a 4.5-fWAR season in 2014, he didn’t progress like Miami hoped in 2015, producing just 2.4 fWAR. He flipped the script back in a positive direction last year, though.
He didn’t earn an All-Star selection, but posted a 4.4 fWAR, won his first Silver Slugger award and placed 19th in National League MVP voting. Climbing up the ranks in this award category won’t necessarily be a walk in the park — after all, that Kris Bryant guy is still pretty good, as is his teammate in Anthony Rizzo, along with other studs like Corey Seager and Freddie Freeman, just to name a few.
Although he’s fresh off a career year, Yelich is exactly the kind of player that can come out of nowhere to be a legitimate candidate for the award in 2017 because there’s still a ton of room for improvement in his game.
Sully Baseball Daily Podcast – February 10, 2017

Rob Foldy/Getty Images North America
Will Jeffrey Loria sell the Marlins? It looks like he might! And if it happens, maybe the Marlins will finally have a chance to grow a fan base.
I take my talents to South Beach on this episode of Sully Baseball Daily Podcast.
Projected Win Totals In 2017 By Other Sites: Good Job Fangraphs – Bad Job Baseball Prospectus

The O’s have averaged 89 wins per year since 2012, but the folks at Baseball Prospectus are throwing down a projection of 73 wins in 2017 for Baltimore?? That wasn’t even the biggest disparity from our picks..
The MLB Reports is not composed of several writers or analysts. We have about a half a dozen participants who account for 90% of the content featured on our website.
From the time I joined the website in late 2013, we have had a nice track record of projections. That is not to say we are perfect.
If all of us could predict the future – we would be sipping alcohol on rooftops of the hotels in Las Vegas counting our cabbage.
One thing we are going to do is have an opinion when and where we see fit.
Fangraphs has done an exceptional job in their forecasting. I agree with 87 – 90% of their team placements on their team win projections and Division standings.
Toronto Blue Jays Entire 2017 MLB Schedule On One Page Post.

Rogers Home Opener will be on Tuesday Apr 111, 2017, to kick off the 29th year the ballpark has been playing games there. Last year the Jays drew 3.4 Million Fans. and that is the biggest total since the World Series Years – or the 1st 5 years of the venue.
ALL TIMES DISPLAYED IN EASTERN TIME ZONE
WEEK 1 (Includes Season Opener Sunday Apr 2, 2017)
INTERLEAGUE GAMES IN MAROON
APR 2017
Sunday, Apr 2 MLB OPENING DAY
DAY OFF
Monday, Apr 3
Blue Jays @ O’s 3:05 Oriole Park (Camden Yards) Home Opener, Baltimore, MD (Baltimore Orioles)
Tuesday Apr 4
DAY OFF
Overlooked, but not for Long…

From my perspective, the best indicator for future success is past success. We had some tremendous performances in 2016 by guys relegated to teams tanking their way to a high draft pick. I don’t want to just run through a list of all-star players who played on bad teams. Instead, let’s look at guys who meet the following criteria:
- Good performance in 2016
- Played for a bad team…
- …at an underappreciated position.
That third criteria effectively eliminates the star positions: Shortstop, starting pitcher, and closer all have a sense of glamour even if their squad wasn’t that great. For that matter, the star quality of merely playing first base or center field is also too bright for our exercise. So given these restrictions, these are guys whose 2016 performance was overlooked due to things well outside of their control: READ MORE
Sully Baseball Daily Podcast – February 9, 2017

Doug Pensinger/Getty Images North America
The Giants wonderful bullpen was kept together for probably one season too long. But as it is broken up, salute the 4 rings of Javier Lopez, bid farewell to Sergio Romo and possibly welcome back Brian Wilson.
Even year or Odd year, it is a San Francisco episode of the Sully Baseball Daily Podcast.
The Greatness of Miguel Cabrera; 2017 Edition
What is now the third installment of looking at Miguel Cabrera’s greatness (Pre-2015 season & Pre-2016 Season), it’s become fun to look at what Miggy had accomplished in the previous season and what to look forward to now in 2017.
The original reason for the first post was that I wasn’t sure if Miggy was being taken for granted in Detroit and definitely was not getting the exposure he should have been nationally. I believe that’s changed a bit over the last couple of years now, however it is still worth pointing out that when is all said and done, we may be possibly looking at one of the ten greatest right-handed hitters of All-Time.
With that, Cabrera finished up his age 33 season, one of which we saw Miggy play in 158 games, which was great sign after his injury prone 2015 season. Cabrera tallied a .316 batting average, collected 188 hits, score 92 runs, gathered 31 doubles, a triple, and 38 homers, while knocking in 108, and walking 75 times. This was all good for an OPS of .956 and a WAR of 4.9. Mix in an All-Star game, a Silver Slugger Award, and finishing 9th in MVP voting, and I’d call it another successful season. This is the 9th time in 14 seasons, that Cabrera has hit at least .300, hit 30 homers, and knocked in 100 runs.
Colorado Rockies Missed a Golden Opportunity With Mike Napoli
The Colorado Rockies haven’t experienced a winning season since 2010 and haven’t participated in the playoffs since 2009, but that hasn’t stopped them from making some bold moves this winter.
Bringing Bud Black on as manager to replace Walt Weiss was the first domino to fall before they did some free-agent spending. Colorado then signed Ian Desmond to a five-year, $70 million deal to further bolster the offense, along with fortifying the bullpen with Mike Dunn (three years, $19 million) and Greg Holland (one year, $7 million).
Combine this with a young core that includes Jon Gray, Nolan Arenado, DJ LeMahieu, Trevor Story and a few others, and the Rockies are indeed set up to attempt making a run at the postseason in 2017. With Spring Training approaching quickly, the heavy lifting of their offseason is done.
However, given the state of this winter’s free agent market, they missed out on a unique opportunity to acquire a veteran player who’d help them both on the field and in the clubhouse.
No, I’m not talking about catcher Matt Wieters — they could’ve really used first baseman Mike Napoli, who finally just agreed to a one-year deal with the Texas Rangers.
Sully Baseball Daily Podcast – February 8, 2017

Justin Edmonds/Getty Images North America
The Cardinals may have missed the post season last year (barely) and have flown under the radar this off season. But sleep on this team at your own peril. They have a combination of veterans, young players, and a bunch of comeback candidates poised to make 2017 fun for the Red Birds.
Two little birds are perched on a bat for this episode of the Sully Baseball Daily Podcast.
Oakland Athletics Top Prospects
Look out for other talents still yet that could emerge on the list in the future. Tyler Ramirez has a strong hitting pedigree and multiple potentially exciting tools just drafted out of UNC. Sandber Pimentel has the brute strength right now that makes his upside relevant. Skye Bolt has worn out his stay on many scouts minds but still has a lot of pure talent to counter that initiative. All in all the Athletics top prospects are in a questionable state with many question marks moving forward. That doesn’t mean that they will not have a significant impact, as the organization is built to support that notion.
Oakland Athletics Top Prospects 2017
Sully Baseball Daily Podcast – February 7, 2017

AP
Atlanta has become a city synonymous with sports suffering, especially after this Super Bowl. Maybe a rebuilt Braves team can turn that around.
It is a George Peach edition of the Sully Baseball Daily Podcast.
Danny Goodwin: The Most Can’t Miss Prospect of All-Time

Only one player in the history of major league baseball was good enough to be selected first in the draft… twice. He was chosen ahead of some of the best players in baseball history. And his story shows that extraordinary talent doesn’t guarantee extraordinary success at the Major League level.
2017 MLB Regular Season Player Prop Bet Odds Part 1

On this list of player over/unders it may be worth a well solution to wager over on all bets across the board and go for about a 60 percent win factor. I did bet a few unders on the sheet towards the end. I continue to find value on the whole gambling aspect of listed odds. I will throw down some more money on these selections. I am just hoping that I don’t become too over-confident for my own good.
With less than 2 months until the regular season begins, we are starting to see some prop bets show up online and in Las Vegas.
Come back by the start of March to see Over/Under wins for all 30 MLB clubs, and also when they decide to implement individual player prop bets.
With so many MVP candidates and Cy Young type pitchers, we are favoring Over a lot more than Under yet again in 2017.
We compiled a 6 – 0 individual player bet prop record, and were not so hot on these props listed, but we still managed a .500 record even for those.
part 2 will be at the end of February.. Read the rest of this entry
Detroit Tigers Land Two Prospects On ESPN Top 100 List
Keith Law, a senior baseball writer for ESPN, former writer for Baseball Prospectus, and former front office member of the Toronto Blue Jays, along with one of the most respected prospect scouts around, has released his Top 100 prospects list for 2017. This list is full of names the common fan has not heard of and isn’t related necessarily to impact a player may make in the Majors this season, but their total impact once they reach the Major’s.
The Tigers who rank 24th (out of 30) as far as farm systems go, have landed two players on the list. The first is…
Sully Baseball Daily Podcast – February 6, 2017

The Super Bowl was so boring and such a blow out that I decided to do the dishes and record a podcast while my sons made their lunch.
With such a lackluster post season, I realized that baseball’s worst post season in MY lifetime was 1989.
And with the Falcon’s title, the Braves were taken off the hook and can rebuild at their own pleasure.
Little did I know that while I was recording that, the Patriots were staging a comeback for the ages.
Guess I should know better than to count my chickens before they hatch. Everything I said in the podcast became obsolete. But I am going to share it anyway!
I try to guess sports and fail in the process on this episode of The Sully Baseball Daily Podcast.
Odds To Win The 2017 MLB Home Run Crown

So for four years in a row a Baltimore Orioles players has led the overall MLB in Homers. This year could be the 5th straight year if Chris Davis, Mark Trumbo or Manny Machado lead the league in homers. These 3 O’s player cracked a combined 122 big flies in 2016. Trumbo clubbed 47 to lead all of the Majors. I had boldly said last year that Baltimore may challenge the ALL – time HR Record of 264 in a season held by the 1997 Seattle Mariners. The same could be said this year.
On the top of the odds board is Giancarlo Stanton yet again. The 2016 MLB ALL Star Game HR Derby Champ, amassed 27 HRs in 413 AB during 2016, but that was way down from 27 HRs in 279 AB during 2015.
The problem with Stanton is he always suffers and injury during a season. He did lead the NL in 2014 with 37 HRs in his only full year in the last 5 seasons. I may have eve picked him if he was not the favorite. I will take a pass on him this year.
The 1st good odd that stands out to me is Nolan Arenado at +1500. The Rockies premiere player has led the NL in HRs for the last 2 campaigns, smacking 42 HRs and 41 HRs respectively.
It is not foreign to think he could approach 50 with this his Age 26 year forthcoming.
Sully Baseball Daily Podcast – February 5, 2017
For this week’s Sunday Request, I am going to answer multiple Tweets.
@sullybaseball ive been listening to ur October shows and noticed that ur stance re Chapman ended up having u spend more time talking 1/2
— TheStartingBloc (@thestartingbloc) January 11, 2017
@sullybaseball about him more than any other player who did have a positive influence on the game. 2/2
— TheStartingBloc (@thestartingbloc) January 11, 2017
@sullybaseball that way you can spend more time focusing on players that positively impact the game
— TheStartingBloc (@thestartingbloc) January 11, 2017
Yes, I could have just focused on the positive. But sometimes you need to shine the light on the negative.
And seeing the cavalier and dismissive attitude we see towards domestic violence, especially by the coverage of Aroldis Chapman, the shrugs by Hal Steinbrenner and the covering up by the NFL shows that too many people are on the wrong side of history.
That and a few Super Bowl Sunday thoughts and admiring those practicing softball in February on this episode of The Sully Baseball Daily Podcast.
Odds To Win The 2017 MLB League Pennants: You Will Never Guess Who May Have The Best Value

No teams in the AL would be favored against the Cubs should they face the reigning Champs, so it may be easier to bet them just to win the AL Pennant.
There is a reason why these odds value favorites are not any real difference for the Odds To Win The World Series and these will be any different.
Basically, you could just go ahead with a World Series bet for anyone you think that can win the Title, and then simply hedge when it comes to the Fall Classic.
I always say that MLB Power Rankings should have a lot to do with odds to win any type of Division, League Pennant or World Series.
The 1st thing that jumped out to me here was that the LA Angels are at 35/1 for the Junior Circuit. Should they face any of the Senior Circuit’s top clubs, they would probably all be +150 underdogs.
If you were to pick the Angels at +3500, and then parlay that into a +150 wager in the World Series, than the overall odd shoots +8750 rather than the +7500.
Personally, the Angels have had a great winter to shore up the defense – and have addressed a few roster spots with a deeper bench.
Is it that foreign to think that the Los Angeles Angels could jump out quickly if Mike Trout can carry them?

In their 1st 60 games of the season, the Halo’s effectively miss the Indians and Red Sox on the docket, and only have to play 3 games versus the Tigers as well. Yes, they play a huge chunk of their games vs the AL West, but they have improved against all of the clubs as of right now. Mike Scioscia’s squad gets to play 4 games at Tampa – and 4 games vs the Twins, 3 vs Toronto and Atlanta at home, with 3 at KC and Miami. Did I mention they play the A’s 10 times in their 1st 60 contests as well? I could see them with 34 or 36 wins at the 60 game mark In an exhausting stretch from Apr 3, to May 15, the team also plays 43 games in 46 nights, with 20 of them at home, but that is a great itinerary to kick off the campaign.
Lets say they are 8 or 10 games over at that point, I could actually see the organization spending a little bit more money in the 2nd half to acquire talent.
Also if they can withstand until Albert Pujols gets back healthy everyday as the permanent DH.
Don’t get me wrong, I like the Astros, M’s and Rangers still better for the Division, but the gap is not that much….Particularly if the Astros don’t add a Starting Pitcher, the Mariners don’t add a slugging First Baseman, and Texas is hesitant to spend more money on payroll.
The Angels did win 98 Games in 2014 and 85 games in 2015, before receding to 74 victories last campaign.
Mike Trout is due for one of those just carry the club on his back seasons, (not that he hasn’t been awesome individually in that time span.
If the Cubs make the World Series, than only the Boston Red Sox or Cleveland Indians may even come close to an even match for an opponent, with the reigning champs still holding a distinct advantage.
Boston’s +270 is a brutal look at an odd for the AL. I am not infatuated with the odd of +600 for the World Series either. They play in a tough AL East where all 5 teams could compete.
Both the Indians and Astros are fairly pitted for their odds towards the AL Pennant.
Texas continues to be the oddball 2nd favorite in the AL West despite having a poor winter thus far.
News that they will probably sign Mike Napoli should buoy some spirits, and I am willing to acknowledge that when it happens, yet I feel they still need more.
If the Rangers also swing a Jurickson Profar for a Tampa Bay starter like Jake Odorizzi, then I could par them up with Houston. As of right now, they are two players short.
I still love the odds for the Nationals even though I wish they wouldn’t have come to near Spring Training without a proven Closer.
The more we draw near to the regular season, the less I like the Yankees too in 2017. They are going to be way too dependent on Gary Sanchez setting the world on fire to contend in my opinion.
New York’s rotation does not instill confidence despite having a lock down Relief Core. Jacoby Ellsbury and Brett Gardner are in their mid 30’s now – where the speed doesn’t play as good.
Starlin Castro and Didi Gregorius clubbed 20 HRs each in 2016, but so did 116 other players last campaign.
These guys never walk either with OBP’s of .300 and .304 respectivelY. Chase Headley is average at best.
For the Bronx Bombers to duplicate even their 84 win season last year, I think Sanchez will have to destroy 40 – 50 Jacks into the seats.
Detroit has better Starting pitching and a world-class offense compared to the Pinstripers, yet are behind them in the odds?
Speaking of Detroit. For being the 2nd favorite team in the AL Central, they possess the 6th place odd out of all 2nd place listed clubs.
The Tigers can beat up the White Sox and Twins all years, and the Royals are all of a sudden not looking as good either, I am all over the Motown Boys.
St. Louis, for the record, are the 5th out of 6th 2nd place listed odds, and are fully valued at +1250.
The Cubs are the cream of the crop, but wagering the club for +180 is not worth it. You are better off wagering them to win the Fall Classic at +370 instead.
There is no AL team that Chicago would be an underdog against. Having said that, the money is not there to plunk down any cabbage for this.
I only wish you could bet the field in the NL vs the Cubs. The Dodgers are also not a good at +435, mostly because Chicago sits in their path.
If I were to bet the Mets ever to win the NL Pennant, it would be in the mid season when I could see their rotation in action and remain healthy.
Odds To Win The American League
Blue Bold Means Good Vale with #value confidence in parenthesis
Maroon Bold Means Bad Vale with # value confidence in parenthesis
Boston Red Sox +270 (3)
Cleveland Indians +445
Houston Astros +680
Texas Rangers +900 (1)
Toronto Blue Jays +960 (3)
Seattle Mariners +1250
NY Yankees +1350 (2)
Detroit Tigers +1550 (5)
Baltimore O’s +1550
KC Royals +1850
LA Angels +3500 (1)
TB Rays +3700
Oakland A’s +7000
Minnesota Twins +7000
Chicago White Sox +7000
Odds To Win The Nationals League
Chicago Cubs +180 (5)
Dodgers +435 (4)
Washington Nationals +600 (2)
NY Mets +735
SF Giants +740
St.Louis Cardinals +1250 (4)
Colorado Rockies +2400
Pittsburgh Pirates +2400
Miami Marlins +3800
Arizona D’Backs +5000
Philadelphia Phillies +6000
Cincinnati Reds +7500
Atlanta Braves +9000
Milwaukee Brewers +10000
SD Padres +10000

Follow @stokes_Hunter21 @mlbreports
*** The views and opinions expressed in this report are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of mlbreports.com and their partners***
A big thanks goes out to our ‘Chief Writer/Part Owner’ Hunter Stokes for preparing today’s featured post.
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Sully Baseball Daily Podcast – February 4, 2017

John G. Zimmerman
One of the most intriguing “What Ifs” in baseball history is the question “What if the Reds did NOT trade Frank Robinson to Cincinnati?”
Truth be told, while it was a HORRIBLE trade for the Reds, it is hard to see them having a BETTER decade in the 1970’s with him as they had without him.
Oiling the Big Red Machine on this episode of The Sully Baseball Daily Podcast.






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