Category Archives: gambling 101

MLB Runs Survivor 2014: 11 Different Run Totals For Each Team – Results Thus Far

The Dodgers have already played 3 games and put up 3 different run totals, tonight's 4th game, will give them the chance to move ahead of their Australian and Division opponent Arizona, with 4 different run totals to start the year.  Will they be the 1st team to score 11 different run total ranging from 0 - 10 (or 10+)?

The Dodgers have already played 3 games and put up 3 different run totals, tonight’s 4th game, will give them the chance to move ahead of their Australian and Division opponent Arizona, with 4 different run totals to start the year. Will they be the 1st team to score 11 different run total ranging from 0 – 10 (or 10+)?

By Chuck Booth (Lead Baseball Analyst/Website Owner):

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This should turn out to be quite fun.  A lot of gambling establishments have this sort of deal, and it will be fun to see the results.

What Runs Survivor is, a MLB team scoring 0,1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9, 10 or (10+) in different games throughout the course of the season.

Once a club has one of these run totals once, you cross it off and keep going until they complete the 11 different variations.

Breakdown of the 14 – 10 Win for the Phillies on Opening Day @ Rangers

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Current Odds To Win The 2014 MLB World Series

By Chuck Booth (Lead Baseball Analyst/Website Owner):

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Odds To Win The 2014 World Series

1.  LA Dodgers +600

2.  Washington Nationals +750 

3. Boston Red Sox +850

T4. St. Louis Cardinals +1000

T4.  Detroit Tigers +1000 Read the rest of this entry

Current Odds To Win Each MLB Division 2014

 This club often reminds me of an aging heavyweight fighter.  You may beat on them for a time, but there is always that chance the team will land a haymaker on you.  2007 was one of their days in the sunshine.  2014 may see them at least make the postseason again.  With a 20 - 1 odd for the club, the value is there for a longshot pick.

This club often reminds me of an aging heavyweight fighter. You may beat on them for a time, but there is always that chance the team will land a haymaker on you. 2007 was one of their days in the sunshine. 2014 may see them at least make the postseason again. With a 20 – 1 odd for the club, the value is there for a longshot pick.  I mean the Dodgers could always run into injuries as well.

By Chuck Booth (Lead Baseball Analyst/Website Owner):

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The season is upon us this weekend for real.

The LA Dodgers have a chance to do some serious damage with the North America Opener versus the San Diego Padres, as part of a 3 game series.

If they win 2 out of 3 in that set, this will go a long way in burying the San Diego team early.

In the NL West, since LA is 2 – 0 already, the Rockies are now paying 20 – 1 odds to win the Division.

While I am not saying this will happen, the value is there.

Also I can’t believe how the injuries have not effected the odds on the Tigers. Read the rest of this entry

The Game Odds Are Posted For Opening Series MLB 2014 in Sydney: Dodgers Vs Dbacks + Picks

Clayton Kershaw gets the nod in Sydney, Australia for the MLB opener.  He may also pitch the MLB North American Opener next Sunday in San Diego, before potentially throwing 5 days later for the Dodgers Season Opener.  This could mean he Starts 3 of the clubs 6 games.  If Greinke follows him in SD, that could mean 5 Starts for these guys in the teams first 8 games, with potentially Ryu also throwing 2 matches.

Clayton Kershaw gets the nod in Sydney, Australia for the MLB opener. He may also pitch the MLB North American Opener next Sunday in San Diego, before potentially throwing 5 days later for the Dodgers Season Opener. This could mean he Starts 3 of the clubs 6 games. If Greinke follows him in SD, that could mean 5 Starts for these guys in the teams first 8 games, with potentially Ryu also throwing 2 starts in.  For those people who don’t think this season starter in Australia could benefit the Dodgers, think again.  They could lead the NL West for every day of the 2014 season, and could net 3 wins before anyone in the NL West or MLB in total has their 1st victory.

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

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Chuck Booth gave me this mission to kick of the year writing this article.  We both come from a long history of predicting outcomes of games.

Some years we have done well, and some years have not been okay.

It has been researched and studied that Doubleheaders have a high probability of seeing a split for the 2 games.

You throw in the neutral site factor of this series, and all home field advantage is thrown out the window.

Chuck nailed the prediction of what they would put the game odds for the 2 games – based on the Starting Pitchers. Read the rest of this entry

Odds To Win Each Division In Major League Baseball 2014 Change With TJ Surgeries

Medlen was only 2nd to Clayton Kershaw for ERA in the NL since mid 2012.  Unfortunately for the RHP, he is on his way for a 2nd Tommy John Surgery recovery.  Medlen injured himself earlier this week in Spring Training.  He was projected to be Atlanta's #1 Starting Pitcher,

Medlen was only 2nd to Clayton Kershaw for ERA in the NL since mid 2012. Unfortunately for the RHP, he is on his way for a 2nd Tommy John Surgery recovery. Medlen injured himself earlier this week in Spring Training. He was projected to be Atlanta’s #1 Starting Pitcher,

By Chuck Booth (Lead Baseball Analyst/Website Owner):

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The theme of the week is Tommy John Surgery . It has affected the Athletics, Braves and Diamondbacks on the odds board all over.

Brandon Beachy and Kris Medlen moved the line for the Braves from a +120 Mark to +140.  Arizona went from +650 to +700 on the heels of Patrick Corbin being lost.

The Athletics have 60% of their rosters on injury watch.  Jarrod Parker is gone for the 2014 year because of a torn UCL.  A.J. Griffin has a UCL strain – and Scott Kazmir has triceps soreness. Read the rest of this entry

2 And A Hook Podcast #16: 2014 MLB Preview + Predictions – Over/Unders + Post Season + Opening Series in Sydney

’2 And A Hook’ is an expression from Baseball:  ‘Throw the guy 2 Fast balls and then a Hook’ (AKA Curve Ball, Wiggly one, Chair etc..)

By Chuck Booth (Lead Baseball Analyst/Website Owner): & TBWS Podcast Host James Acevedo

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WE ARE BACK!! On this podcast I have on the owner & head writer of www.mlbreports.com, Chuck Booth as we go over first the Australian series to start the 2014 MLB season with a double header with the Dodgers & the Diamondbacks!!

Then we go over each division in the American League & the National League with our division predictions!!

But not only do we do that but we also give our wild card & championship series predictions for both leagues!!

Plus we gave our World Series & World series winner predictions to put the cherry on this baseball podcast sundae.

so go check it out baseball fans & SPREAD THE WORD!!! Thank you all for your continuous support!!! Read the rest of this entry

The MLB Opens On Saturday With ARI/LAD Playing In Sydney: Opening Series Prediction

The Dodgers open up the year against the DBacks in the MLB Opening Series.  For those hardcore home fans, the games start at 1 AM PST and 7 PM PST on Saturday.  Look for an article on Friday that will have an in depth look at some of the bets that will be available for this 2 game set.  This series does scream a split between the feel of a Doubleheader, and the weirdness of the neutral site and country.

The Dodgers open up the year against the DBacks in the MLB Opening Series. For those hardcore home fans, the games start at 1 AM PST and 7 PM PST on Saturday. Look for an article on Friday that will have an in depth look at some of the bets that will be available for this 2 game set. This series does scream a split between the feel of a Doubleheader, and the weirdness of the neutral site and country.

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

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It should have been Clayton Kershaw vs Patrick Corbin in Game #1, and Zack Greinke and Trevor Cahill in Game #2 in Sydney this Saturday.

While technically it is two different days in Sydney, the games are held at 4:00 AM and 8 PM EST on Saturday Mar.22.

For those brave enough to watch the early game, it is listed as Kershaw vs TBD (MLB.com not listing it, although Miley has been named., and Game #2 is listed as Hyun-jin Ryu vs Trevor Cahill. Read the rest of this entry

MLB Odds To Win Both Of The AL And NL Pennants In 2014: Awesome Bet Idea For The TB Rays

Because of a statistical oddity in the website of the Rays, I present you an awesome chance to win some money if the Rays have a great year.  If they don't, chances are great you could still break even.  The Rays have won 90 games or more 5 out of the last 6 years. It is my contention, if they win 90 games this year, they win the Division.  From there, if. Who knows, the winner out of this tough Division might win 86 or 87 games.  Heck, that may even be a Wild card game with how parity is going.  I present you the Ray of Cash Opportunity.

Because of a statistical oddity in the website of the Rays, I present you an awesome chance to win some money if the Rays have a great year. If they don’t, chances are great you could still break even. The Rays have won 90 games or more 5 out of the last 6 years. It is my contention, if they win 90 games this year, they win the Division. From there, if. Who knows, the winner out of this tough Division might win 86 or 87 games. Heck, that may even be a Wild card game with how parity is going. I present you the Ray of Cash Opportunity.

By Chuck Booth (Lead Baseball Analyst/Website Owner):

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This is so crazy…it may just work..  Every once in a while, I see an anomaly in the odds of a website.  I will go through this in great detail here.

Lets just say the Rays are offering great odds on the board, yet the website has them as co-favorites in one odd (Regular season wins with Boston).  I take this fact and twist the fork in it, to present my idea.

Ray Of Cash Opportunity

Rays Odds on the board at http://www.bet365.com

Division Odds + 250 (to win the AL East)

ALCS Win +900

World Series + 1800

Regular Season Over/Under 88.0: Over -110, Under -120

Once again the Rays don’t receive any respect.  If someone were to bet the Tampa club on a Divisional win, ALCS win and a World Series win, they may cash in severely at the ticket wicket.

Bet Details Date/Time Stake Return
Under 88 @ -120
$120.00  Single
Reg Year Wins
03/14/2014 10:36:50 120.00 220.00
TB Rays @ +250
$63.00  Single
AL East
03/14/2014 10:36:50 63.00 220.50
TB Rays @ +900
$22.00  Single
ALCS
03/14/2014 10:36:50 22.00 220.00
TB Rays @ +1800
$12.00  Single
WS
03/14/2014 10:36:50 12.00 228.00
Total for this period 217.00 0.0

Read the rest of this entry

Odds For Regular Season Wins Over/Unders 2014 MLB Year

By Chuck Booth (Lead Baseball Analyst/Website Owner):

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Last Week, Hunter Stokes (MLB Reports Chief Writer) picked through http://www.bovada.com – and what value was to be had in their odds sheet for regular year win over/unders.

This time, I am looking at bet365.com for some of the same.

Hunter and I both come from the handicapping landscape, and have done quite well in the last few years. 

While I predicted a Detroit and Cincinnati World Series pre 2012, Hunter picked the Giants and Yankees.  That was a much better year than the 2013 season.

In 2013, I did say it was going to be Los Angeles Dodgers versus the Angels in a freeway Series, and Hunter picked Detroit and Atlanta.  You do okay if you can have a final 4 participant.

This year, it looks like we both have the LA Dodgers to win in the Fall Classic, but I have them beating the Tigers, while Mr. Stokes likes the Rangers to faceoff against them.

We could be wrong mind you. but at least we are putting our necks on the line for it.  Read the rest of this entry

Odds To Win The MLB 2014 World Series

By Chuck Booth (Lead Baseball Analyst/Website Owner):

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Just to reset this, we will be bringing you this column once a week during the regular season.

This is worth paying attention to.  Think of them as power rankings as put forth by the website.

For the love me, I can’t understand how the Red Sox have climbed to +850, while the Rays are sitting at +1800 for the WS.  It also boggles my mind why bettors don’t take stock in Strength of Schedule. Read the rest of this entry

Current Odds Over/Under Wins For All 30 MLB Teams In 2014: Best Bets On The Board

The regular season over/unders have been updated yet again.  While most of them are right in the realm of where they should be - about 20% of the numbers scream out for me to bet some cabbage on.

The regular season over/unders have been updated yet again. While most of them are right in the realm of where they should be – about 20% of the numbers scream out for me to bet some cabbage on.

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

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Yes these are my predictions for the current state of the MLB.

Right beside the wins and losses, is the over.under totals and odd.

Next to that will be whether that would make it Over/Under based on my selections.

If I think an odd is worthy of plunking down some pesos, I will highlight it. Read the rest of this entry

MLB 2014 Bold Division + Post Season Predictions, And Gambling Tips For Experts

By Chuck Booth (Lead Baseball Analyst/Website Owner):

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The 2014 season is quickly coming, and many people are putting together their yearly MLB Record predictions for both of the AL and NL.

One of the things people must remember to do, is to have their teams all equal 2430 wins. Since they are that many games in any given campaign (at least to start with before any cancellations are never played).

This is the 1st thing to look for.

Obviously every team should add to 162 games in the W – L columns of each squad.

Furthermore, you also have to account for the record in Interleague play between the AL in NL (this represents 290 games out of the 2430 game schedule.)

The AL and NL Records will also mirror reflect each other, as that determines a won – loss differential among the leagues. 

If you played all games without interleague all teams would perfect match up even – even on the W-L when you added up all teams in the American League.

Read the rest of this entry

Odds To Win Each Division In Major League Baseball 2014

The Rays have one of the 2 best Starting Pitcher staffs in the American league, and have averaged over 90 wins for the last 6 years.  Bringing back Price, and having Myers and Archer for a full year should make the team even better in 2013.  Keep in mind they have also added Heath Bell and Grant Balfour to anchor the Bullpen, an obvious upgrade over the inconsistent Fernando Rodney.  They have been more consistent than the Red Sox and Yankees the last 2 years.  As such should not be the 3rd favorite in the Division,

The Rays have one of the 2 best Starting Pitcher staffs in the American league, and have averaged over 90 wins for the last 6 years. Bringing back Price, and having Myers and Archer for a full year should make the team even better in 2013. Keep in mind they have also added Heath Bell and Grant Balfour to anchor the Bullpen, an obvious upgrade over the inconsistent Fernando Rodney. They have been more consistent than the Red Sox and Yankees the last 2 years. As such should not be the 3rd favorite in the Division.

By Chuck Booth (Lead Baseball Analyst/Website Owner):

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We have gone through several weeks and months in the off year for gambling odds, and now with the Dodgers and Diamondbacks Opening MLB Series less than 3 weeks away, it is the Division Winners.

Much like my predictions are for the National League and the American League Winners, along with the World Series Winners, I love the Rays, Rangers and Giants for the value.

The worst dollars won for teams being favorites are the Tigers at -270, and Dodgers at -275.  I am picking both of these teams to crush it this season, but I will not be wagering on the high favorites prices.

Like I have said before, the LA Dodgers are a couple of injuries away from opening up the NL West.  Even the Arizona Diamondbacks at +650 are worth a stab. Read the rest of this entry

Odds To Win The MLB 2014 World Series: Tigers Best Value Of The Week

The Tigers are my pick of the week for value.  They were the AL favorite just two weeks ago outright, before being tied with Boston last week.  This odd is favorable for sure.  The AL Central provides the Tigers with an easier path to the World Series because of 76 games within the Division.  The AL East had 4 teams over 85 wins last year.  Baltimore and New York are better than they were, and Boston plus Tampa should maintain.  The AL East has 5 of the top 13 odds for the World Series (5 of the top 8 clips for the AL.)  The AL West is also going to beat up each other a little.  Take the team that has appeared in 3 straight League Championships, and has the best Pitching Staff in the American League.

The Tigers are my pick of the week for value. They were the AL favorite just two weeks ago outright, before being tied with Boston last week. This odd is favorable for sure. The AL Central provides the Tigers with an easier path to the World Series because of 76 games within the Division. The AL East had 4 teams over 85 wins last year. Baltimore and New York are better than they were in 2013, and Boston plus Tampa should maintain. The AL East has 5 of the top 13 odds for the World Series (5 of the top 8 clips for the AL.) The AL West is also going to beat up each other a little. Take this AL Central team that has appeared in 3 straight League Championships, and has the best Pitching Staff in the American League.

By Chuck Booth (Lead Baseball Analyst/Website Owner):

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Well, it is nice to be vindicated on the market again.  Just like I said when the Mariners roamed up from +4000 to +2800 after the Cano signing.  I told people to pounce on that odd.

Last week, I posted in this column, that your bet of the week for value as the Orioles.

I have also been calling for the Rays to be higher on the oddsmakers list, and while they have passed the Jays finally, how come they are so far behind the Yankees and Red Sox?  Market correction is needed there.

For the record, I called the Yankees a great value at +1500 in December, before they signed Masahiro Tanaka.  If you have listened at home, this has worked out for you.  Don’t bet the, at +1200, tied for the 6th best odd in the AL, there is no value there.  Tampa at +1800 is still a better option. Read the rest of this entry

MLB Odds To Win Both Of The AL And NL Pennants In 2014

The Rays have one of the 2 best Starting Pitcher staffs in the American league, and have averaged over 90 wins for the last 6 years.  Having them to win the American league previously at +1200 (8th favorite among the clubs) was a steal - if you grabbed it 2 weeks ago.  The club

The Rays have one of the 2 best Starting Pitcher staffs in the American league, and have averaged over 90 wins for the last 6 years. Having them to win the American league previously at +1200 (8th favorite among the clubs) was a steal – if you grabbed it 2 weeks ago. The club jumped to +900 for the League Pennant and +1800 for the World Series.  This just happened overnight as they were also +2000 to win the Fall Classic as of yesterday.  TB as the 7th favorite in the AL is still great value even with the less money to win now – as opposed to just 24 hours ago.  The Yankees are not good value as the 3rd favorite in the AL now.

By Chuck Booth (Lead Baseball Analyst/Website Owner):

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Just as I predicted would happen, someone hammered the Tampa Bay Rays enough for them to switch spots with the Toronto Blue Jays on the odds list. 

The Rays shot up from +1050 to win the AL, and +2000 to win the World Series, to now +900 to win the AL, and +1800, while the Jays have gone to +1100 and +2000 overall, from +1000 and +1800 in for the AL Pennant and World Series respectively.

Most of the odds favor the American League to win in any Fall Classic Matchup versus the National League still.

The NL features heavy favorites of the both the LA Dodgers, Washington Nationals and St. Louis Cardinals.  These 3 teams are best not to pick them to win the NL as the odds are brutal.

If it is your intention to wager on them, pick them to win the World Series, as their odds exponentially increase. 

If you are picking ATL/CIN/PIT/SF/PHI/ARI/MIL and COL, pick them to win the NL, as they pay less than +100 (-105  to – 130) in the translation between NLCS Winner and World Series Winner. Read the rest of this entry

Odds To Win The MLB 2014 World Series As Of Right Now

If you have read any of these odds listed prior, I had mentioned the M's were great value at +4000 (even after Cano, in which I said pounce, they have since jumped to +3300 in January, and now are at +2800).  However this team is suffering from early injury trouble, can't seem to land an additional bat to the roster, and are banking on too many variables at the new odd.  Stay clear.

If you have read any of these odds listed prior, I had mentioned the M’s were great value at +4000 (even after Cano, in which I said pounce, they have since jumped to +3300 in January, and now are at +2800). However this team is suffering from early injury trouble, can’t seem to land an additional bat to the roster, and are banking on too many variables at the new odd. Stay clear.

By Chuck Booth (Lead Baseball Analyst/Website Owner):

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It has been a tough week for the Seattle Mariners.  1st a freak injury to  Hisashi Iwakuma – has him out 4 – 6 with a bad finger that was caught into a batting cage net.

While Franklin Gutierrez being hurt is not a surprise, it still comes at a bad time.

To make matters worse, Nelson Cruz seems to balking at signing a deal with the PAC NW club.

At this point, the Mariners might want to just think about whether they really want that guy anyway.

Read the rest of this entry

MLB Futures (Regular Season Prop Specials): Gambling 101

Get set for another season of throwing some cash around when it comes to baseball.  MLB Reports will have you ready with what we are looking at as well.

Get set for another season of throwing some cash around when it comes to baseball. MLB Reports will have you ready with what we are looking at as well.

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

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We all love to see if we can be a good gambler right?

Of course some of it is just bragging rights with our buddies, and of course no one is allowed to gamble in the USA, unless you are living in a state that allows it either.

So, whether you want to just play for winning amongst friends, or actually want to risk some sheckels, here are some fun specials to wager on in 2014 Read the rest of this entry

Regular Season Over And Unders For MLB Wins Per Club 2014: Gambling 101

It is time for all of the predictions to come forth for the MLB season.  Just a note here, make sure your totals equal 2430 games worth of wins and losses.  As you can see in this articles, I broke it down also for Division Records.  Remember when betting on futures, that the AL usually holds a decisive Interleague record over the National League.  In 2014, I believe the AL will register 32 more wins than the NL.  Many of the top FA sluggers headed to the Junior Circuit.

It is time for all of the predictions to come forth for the MLB season. Just a note here, make sure your totals equal 2430 games worth of wins and losses. As you can see in this articles, I broke it down also for Division Records. Remember when betting on futures, that the AL usually holds a decisive Interleague record over the National League. In 2014, I believe the AL will register  32 more wins than the NL. Many of the top FA sluggers headed to the Junior Circuit.  You must also have 810 games each for divisional record (5 x 162).

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

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These are my predictions as of today for 2014.  Also the Odd Over/Under as listed by the Atlantic Casino In Reno and my ultimate pick for the year win totals.

The American League continues to reign supreme every year in Interleague.  Notice I have placed the AL Record at 1231 – 1199, versus the National League’s 1199 – 1231.

The AL has 2 of the 3 best divisions in baseball, and the AL East might feature the best out of the pack.  Even with these odds, we could see 8 out of the 10 teams in those division land records over .500

If I were to rank Divisions, I am going AL East, NL Central, Al West (don’t let the Houston Astros record take down the rest of the fleet), NL West, AL Central and NL East. Read the rest of this entry

MLB Odds To Win Both Of The AL And NL Pennants In 2014

The Rays have one of the 2 best Starting Pitcher staffs in the American league, and have averaged over 90 wins for the last 6 years.  Having them to win the American league at +1200 (8th favorite among the clubs) is still a steal.

The Rays have one of the 2 best Starting Pitcher staffs in the American league, and have averaged over 90 wins for the last 6 years. Having them to win the American league at +1200 (8th favorite among the clubs) is still a steal.  With an ace like David Price, the emergence of Wil Myers and Chris Archer for a full year, plus the acquisition of Grant Balfour, gives the team more depth and a stronger club than even last year.

By Chuck Booth (Lead Baseball Analyst/Website Owner):

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I have scoured this list and have come up with some deep recommendations.  If you are picking an AL team to go to the World Series, you are better off just picking the AL odds, and not going for a World Series win.

Virtually every team has better odds in the AL just to win the American League – as opposed to the World Series.  The Tigers are +500 to win the AL, yet are +900 to capture the World Series.

Based on the top three teams of LAD, WSH and STL likely countering the AL, the World Series is more up in the air. 

For the National League teams, it is a much better wager to just pick the World Series outright.  On these numbers, every time you pick favors the World Series odds compared to just the NL win. Read the rest of this entry

Odds To Win The MLB 2014 World Series As Of Right Now

By Chuck Booth (Lead Baseball Analyst/Website Owner):

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Odds To Win The 2014 World Series

1.  LA Dodgers +700

2.  Washington Nationals +800

3.  Detroit Tigers +900

T4. St. Louis Cardinals +1000

T4. Boston Red Sox +1000

6.  Texas Rangers +1100

7. New York Yankees +1200

T8. Oakland Athletics +1400

T8. Atlanta Braves +1400

10. Cincinnati Reds +1500 Read the rest of this entry

2014 Prognostications As Of Right Now In The MLB

The Royals may be the benefactors of a vaunted AL East Division - and a massively improved AL West this year.  I think Cleveland, Minnesota and Chicago will struggle to nail down 70 wins, and Detroit may also regress a couple of wins.  This could help Kansas City break a 29 year playoff drought.

The Royals may be the benefactors of a vaunted AL East Division – and a massively improved AL West this year. I think Cleveland, Minnesota and Chicago will struggle to nail down 70 wins, and Detroit may also regress a couple of wins. This could help Kansas City break a 29 year playoff drought – via a Wild Card Berth..

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

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Okay, yes these may very well change in the next two months, however I must report on the early front runners to how things are shaping up from where teams stand today.

It is important when you are looking over people’s predictions that the sum of all wins equals 2430 wins.  The reason is because that is the number of games played in the Majors each year.

The ‘MLB Fancave’ in New York may have been the first ones to make that mainstream knowledge, yet smart baseball handicappers have been figuring this out for years. Read the rest of this entry

Odds To Win The MLB 2014 World Series As Of Right Now

Yes it has taken years for the Mariners to build their Minor League Systems up, and begin to see the fruits of their labour, however risking all a huge chunk of their team salary on a player - who might see a harsh decline in his production - based on variant factors, is a gamble they simply shouldn't delve into.  Perhaps with the outcome of the meeting the club had with Cano, it has effectively burned the bridges between the two parties?  The M's are on the cusp of breaking through to success, but they should take the Pirates mode of getting there, instead of trying to jump the shark too early.

Yes it has taken years for the Mariners to build their Minor League Systems up, and begin to see the fruits of their labor, however risking  a huge chunk of their team salary on a player – who might see a harsh decline in his production – based on variant factors, is a gamble they simply shouldn’t have delved into.  The M’s are on the cusp of breaking through to success, but they should take the Pirates mode of getting there, instead of trying to jump the shark too early.  While the ramifications of the Cano deal might blow up long-term, look for this team to be better for the next couple of years.  They also make our ‘good valued teams’ for Winning the 2014 World Series.

By Chuck Booth (Lead Baseball Analyst/Website Owner):

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The Oddsmakers have finally dropped the Angels in the rankings.  At +1600, they are still not down as far as I would put them, however they are outside the top 10 now.

As you will see in a post this weekend done by Hunter Stokes, I am still surprised to see the Yankees more of an underdog than the Boston Red Sox.

In his report, Hunter will show you the age of both teams is similar – while the lineups are more comparable in 2014 then they were in 2013.

Tampa Bay is still the class of the bunch at +2000.  In some Vegas Casino’s – this club may be posted as more of a favorite, but at http://www.bet365.com, they are still at that mark. Read the rest of this entry

Odds To Win The MLB 2014 World Series As Of Right Now

With spending $503 MIL on contracts this winter, the Bronx Bombers have gone from an odd of +1500 to +1200.  They are still behind Detroit, Boston and Texas in the odds.

With spending $503 MIL on contracts this winter, the Bronx Bombers have gone from an odd of +1500 to +1200. They are still behind Detroit, Boston and Texas in the odds and are 7th overall in the MLB.

By Chuck Booth (Lead Baseball Analyst/Website Owner):

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Right on cue with the Masahiro Tanaka signing, the Yankees jumped from +1400 to +1200 to win the World Series.  if you heeded my advice, you received them at the 1st odd.

it was the 2nd recommendation that came in really nicely.  I also said the Mariners were great value at +4000, and once they signed Robinson Cano, they vaulted to +3300.

So who is a bigger longshot to win the World Series now.  The Gambling Pundits, dropped the Rays to +2000 now.  It is now one of the best value picks on the board.

I finally decided to put my money where my mouth is with a wager.  After the Superbowl, I will likely throw down so more cash.

Read the rest of this entry

Odds To Win The MLB 2014 World Series As Of Right Now

Odds To Win The 2014 World Series

1.  LA Dodgers +700

2.  Washington Nationals +800

3.  Detroit Tigers +900

T4. St. Louis Cardinals +1000

T4. Boston Red Sox +1000

6.  Texas Rangers +1100

T7. Oakland Athletics +1400

T7. Atlanta Braves +1400

T7. New York Yankees +1400

T10. LA Angels +1500

T10. Cincinnati Reds +1500

T12. Tampa Bay Rays +1800

T12. Toronto Blue Jays +1800

T14. Kansas City Royals +2500

T14. Cleveland Indians +2500

T14. San Francisco Giants +2500

T14. Pittsburgh Pirates +2500

T14. Baltimore Orioles +2500

T19.   Arizona Diamondbacks +3300

T19. Seattle Mariners +3300

21.   Philadelphia Phillies +3500

22. Milwaukee Brewers +4000

23.   Chicago White Sox +4500

T24.  Chicago Cubs +5500

T24. Colorado Rockies +5500

26.   San Diego Padres +6600

T27.   Minnesota Twins +8000 (+7700)

T27.   New York Mets +8000 (+7700)

29.   Miami Marlins +10000 (+10000)

30.   Houston Astros +25000 (+25000)

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Updated Odds To Win The 2014 MLB World Series As Of Right Now: A – Rod Suspension Could Affect These

People so egotistical as Rodriguez can't be humble enough to realize that playing MLB Baseball is a privilege not a right.  He has sullied the game, alienating teammates, and now has sent his lawyers on a stupid campaign versus the MLB and the Yankees.  It was time to make an example out of him.  They did just that when the Arbitrator reduced his suspension from 211 games to 162 games.  While it wasn't the full amount of games, it was 97 more than Ryan Braun's previous record of a 65 game ban.  The Yankees will save $22 - $23 MIL on the ordeal, and will either sign Tanaka or stay under the $189 MIL mark to reset their penalty for the 2015 season.  Patrick Smith - Getty Images

People so egotistical as Rodriguez can’t be humble enough to realize that playing MLB Baseball is a privilege not a right. He has sullied the game, alienating teammates, and now has sent his lawyers on a stupid campaign versus the MLB and the Yankees. It was time to make an example out of him. They did just that when the Arbitrator reduced his suspension from 211 games to 162 games. While it wasn’t the full amount of games, it was 97 more than Ryan Braun’s previous record of a 65 game ban. The Yankees will save $22 – $23 MIL on the ordeal, and will either sign Tanaka or stay under the $189 MIL mark to reset their penalty for the 2015 season. Patrick Smith – Getty Images

By Chuck Booth (Lead Baseball Analyst/Website Owner):

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With a pretty slow week for movements in the MLB, I think the Yankees had the best news with the Alex Rodriguez suspension for the whole year on Saturday.

The worst news of the week happened for the Texas Rangers, who will be without Starting Derek Holland for half of the 2014 MLB campaign because of his freak accident.

Also, the Dodgers and Yankees are still said to be the leaders on the Masahiro Tanaka sweepstakes.

Among other news, Carlos Gonzalez also had emergency appendectomy surgery Friday Night. 

While I have recently said Colorado is decent value at their World Series odd (+5500 as a good value pick), I would hold off until the team plays in Spring Training to see how he responds.

Alex Rodriguez Suspension Announced

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Updated Odds To Win The 2014 MLB World Series As Of Right Now:

The Blue Jays were the odds on favorite to win the World Series in 2013 among oddsmakers.  After a failure of a season, these guys are still placing way too much faith in the team.  To have them listed as tied with the Rays for the 12th best odd to win the World Series is a joke.  Stay away from this bet.  The odd should be +3000 - and not +1800.  Toronto is listed as tied for the 3rd favorite in the AL East, behind Boston and New York respectively.  It could really be another last place finish in the Division for the Canadian franchise.

The Blue Jays were the odds on favorite to win the World Series in 2013 among oddsmakers. After a failure of a season, these guys are still placing way too much faith in the team. To have them listed as tied with the Rays for the 12th best odd to win the World Series is a joke. Stay away from this bet. The odd should be +3000 – and not +1800. Toronto is listed as tied for the 3rd favorite in the AL East, behind Boston and New York respectively. It could really be another last place finish in the Division for the Canadian franchise.

By Chuck Booth (Lead Baseball Analyst/Website Owner):

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The top 12 clubs have opened up a little lead on all of the guys tied for 14th, which includes the Royals and Indians (more of a longshot, but +300 and +200 more respectively.

The Dodgers continue to be the current leaders to take home the prize.  If they are able to land Masahiro Tanaka for any reason, their +700 will be even lower.

I still think the Rangers are a bit of a bargain at +1100. They are behind Boston and Detroit in the AL leaderboard.

I would wait for to place a bet on the Boston Red Sox, if you are so inclined, because they are said to be out of the running.  Since this is the case, whomever shall acquire the NPB superstar, their odds will lower – and Boston may rise after.

The AL East is reigning supreme in this with 4 of the top 12 spots being positioned by them.  The worst Division is the AL Central who only possess 1 member in the top 12.

The Yankees were +1500 last week, and now have moved up to +1400 with the A’s and the Braves.

Again, if they are to bring Tanaka in the fold, I believe they will blow the luxury tax out of the water next year.  If you want to bet this club to win, I suggest you do so now.

Next to the totals, I have weighed in on what I think the odd should be. Read the rest of this entry

Wheeling Games In Scenarios (5, 6, 7 and 8 contests: Gambling 101)

By Chuck Booth (Lead Baseball Analyst/Website Owner):

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Last time we talked about wheeling 2, 3 and 4 contests of anything respectively.

For 2 games, there are 4 possible outcomes, for 3 games there are 8 possible outcomes – and for four games there are 16 possible outcomes.

Today, I tackle 5 games, 6 games, 7 games and 8 games.  These totals carry possible outcomes of 32, 64, 128 and 256 variances.

Realistically, you can use any of these to accommodate fundraiser options.

Yes all of us love the 1 – 9, up and down the board for a Superbowl pick (or grey cup up in Canada.  For these, there are only 81 possible outcomes.

For Part 1 of Wheeling Games (2, 3 and 4) click here Read the rest of this entry

‘Gambling 101’ Is Coming To The MLB Reports!

There is a reason why our website has gone to more of a Salary based menu of topics - it runs every aspect of the game of baseball in these modern times.  You want the truth, just follow where the money lies. Our site has coverage on all 30 teams payrolls, and what lies ahead based on their current payroll structure.  We also are going to be featuring more of a look at baseball gambling lines, offer information how to run baseball charity events.  This is in addition to the info we have always written here:  MLB Team States Of The Union, Sully Baseball, Audio Podcasting, Historical Posts about the game, Ballpark Chasing and MLB Road Trips Advice

There is a reason why our website has gone to more of a Salary based menu of topics – it runs every aspect of the game of baseball in these modern times. You want the truth, just follow where the money lies. Our site has coverage on all 30 teams payrolls, and what lies ahead based on their current payroll structure. We also are going to be featuring more of a look at baseball gambling lines – and offer information how to run baseball charity events. This is in addition to the info we have always written here: MLB Team States Of The Union,  Rosters, Prospects, Sully Baseball, Audio Podcasting, Historical Posts about the game, TJ Surgery History, Ballpark Chasing and MLB Road Trips Advice.  We may be an expert on a few categories,  but we have the guys that can also range in all of these topics.

By Chuck Booth (Lead Baseball Analyst/Website Owner):

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I come from a family steeped in betting in sports.  I grew up with a Grandfather that loved the horse races.  Of course it was a natural for me with love of math involved.  Kind of like numbers that baseball also provides.

While I understand it is against the law to gamble on sports in most states in the USA (except for Vegas), what I am about to divulge can be used for a lot of different things people do

Whether it is Sudoku, or just placing a certain amount of risk at your next visit to the track, these may help you, as they have been invaluable to me as a odds expert.

I will debunk this type of thinking.  Martingale system Not good..as it leaves no outs.

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Updated Odds To Win The 2014 MLB World Series As Of Right Now: Tanaka Could Influence These Later

Masahiro Tanaka has finally been posted by his team from the NPB (Golden Lions).  Mark my words, with the exception of a crazy bid coming from the Dodgers way out West, no one will outbid the Yankees for this guys services.  Based on his age and wherewithal, the Pinstripers can alter their immediate future by landing the 25 Year Old Japanese Phenom.  If they spend the $125 MIL - $140 MIL for a 6 or 7 year total ($20 MIL post, plus player contract, look for them to blow their $189 MIL budget out of control in 2014, - and opt to reset in 2015 instead.)

Masahiro Tanaka has finally been posted by his team from the NPBL (Golden Lions). Mark my words, with the exception of a crazy bid coming from the Dodgers way out West, no one will outbid the Yankees for this guys services. Based on his age and wherewithal, the Pinstripers can alter their immediate future by landing the 25 Year Old Japanese Phenom. If they spend the $125 MIL – $140 MIL for a 6 or 7 year total ($20 MIL post, plus player contract, look for them to blow their $189 MIL budget out of control in 2014, – and opt to reset in 2015 instead.)  Tanaka was 24 – 0 – with a miniscule 1.27 ERA in 2013.

By Chuck Booth (Lead Baseball Analyst/Website Owner):

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Since nothing has changed since last week, I have two bets for you to take – and one for you to avoid.

As I mentioned last Saturday, the Rangers have confirmed on the Shin-Soo Choo signing.  In my expert opinion this should have moved the line on Texas.

Instead, they are still the 3rd favorite to win the World Series coming out of the AL.

This is not right.  Maybe I could see the Tigers still ahead of them based on the Division they are in, but the Red Sox have no business being ahead of them.

The Best Of Masahiro Tanaka

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Updated Odds To Win The 2014 World Series As Of Right Now

Grant Balfour is a fiery Aussie, and has every right to be mad at the Baltimore Orioles.  Tests have shown his arm is no different than it was a few years ago.  Baltimore clearly decided at the last minute to weasel out of the deal.  The 35 Year Old has vowed revenge on Dan Duquette.  I hope he signs on with the Rays or Yankees - because then they play the O's 19 times a year.  You think Balfour is fired up to enter games - wait till he is called upon in games versus Baltimore from this point forward.

Grant Balfour is a fiery Aussie, and has every right to be mad at the Baltimore Orioles. Tests have shown his arm is no different from it was a few years ago. Baltimore clearly decided at the last-minute to weasel out of the deal. The 35 Year Old has vowed revenge on Dan Duquette. I hope he signs on with the Rays or Yankees – because then they play the O’s 19 times a year. You think Balfour is fired up to enter games – wait till he is called upon in games versus Baltimore from this point forward.  On a side note, with the Orioles penny-pinching their way through this winter, do not pick them to win anything in 2014.  Not very smart when you a have a tepid fanbase to begin with.  If the team has a shaky start, attendance and apathy will start.

By Chuck Booth (Lead Baseball Analyst/Website Owner):

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It was a controversial week for the Baltimore Orioles, who had signed Grant Balfour to a 2 YR/$15.0 MIL contract – before backing out at the last second.

The O’s are tied with the Pirates and GIants for the 16th best odd to win the World Series.  While I believe there is great value with the other two teams stated there, Baltimore has had a brutal off-year.

My hunch is that they are going to sign Fernando Rodney instead.  Bad move fella’s.  You missed the ball on this one, not only that, i think you have pissed off your faithful fans at Camden Yards.

If this club doesn’t pull off any significant player to come into the fold, the walkup crowds will be lessened.

Balfour lights up Martinez verbally – Swearing involved here, parental guidance is advised

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