MLB Odds To Win Both Of The AL And NL Pennants In 2014: Awesome Bet Idea For The TB Rays
By Chuck Booth (Lead Baseball Analyst/Website Owner): Follow @chuckbooth3024
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This is so crazy…it may just work.. Every once in a while, I see an anomaly in the odds of a website. I will go through this in great detail here.
Lets just say the Rays are offering great odds on the board, yet the website has them as co-favorites in one odd (Regular season wins with Boston). I take this fact and twist the fork in it, to present my idea.
Ray Of Cash Opportunity
Rays Odds on the board at http://www.bet365.com
Division Odds + 250 (to win the AL East)
ALCS Win +900
World Series + 1800
Regular Season Over/Under 88.0: Over -110, Under -120
Once again the Rays don’t receive any respect. If someone were to bet the Tampa club on a Divisional win, ALCS win and a World Series win, they may cash in severely at the ticket wicket.
|Under 88 @ -120
$120.00 Single Reg Year Wins
|TB Rays @ +250
$63.00 Single AL East
|TB Rays @ +900
$22.00 Single ALCS
|TB Rays @ +1800
$12.00 Single WS
|Total for this period||217.00||0.0|
The bet of the week is to place a $120 Bet on the Rays under 88 (this acts as a hedge). The odd was -120 (Bet pays $220, which nets $100 profit.)
Here is the thing, if TB wins over 88 games, they should make the playoffs though. In a tough and vaunted AL East, I would think they would be right near the Division win.
From there place $63 on them to win the AL East Division (pays $220.5).
Wager $22 on them to win the ALCS @+900 (pays $220).
Place a bet of $12 on them to win the World Series @+1800 (Pays $228.00).
So if the Rays don’t win 88 games, (if 88 you push your wager and it is a no contest bet = $63 returned).
If the Rays go over 88 wins, I think they win the Division. I think 90 wins will do it.
If they win the AL East, and then are eliminated in the LDS or ALCS – you break even.
If they go under 88 wins for the year (not making the playoffs, you are even.)
If they are a wild card team, then win the ALCS before losing the WS, you profit $3.
if they are a wild card team, then win the World Series, you profit $228.
If they win the Division and the ALCS, but lose the World Series, you profit $220.
If they win the Division, the ALCS and the World Series, you profit $428.5.
If somehow they win the Division with 88 exactly wins, win the ALCS – and win the World Series, you win $491.5
If somehow they win the Division with 88 exactly wins, and the ALCS, and lose the World Series, you profit $263.5.
If somehow they win the Division with 88 exactly wins, and lose in the LDS or ALCS, you still profit $63.5.
If they win 88 games exactly, are a wild card team, and you lose in the LDS or LCS round, that is a $154 loss.
if they win 88 games exactly, are a wild card team, and you win the ALCS, before losing in the WS, you profit $66
If they win 88 games exactly, are a wild card team, and you win the ALCS, and WS , you will profit $294.
If they win the division with 87 wins or less, and lose in the ALDS or ALCS, you profit $203.5.
If they win the division with 87 wins or less, win the ALCS, before losing the World Series, you will profit $423.5.
If they win the division with 87 wins or less, win the ALCS and the World Series, you will profit $651.5.
If you want to alter the $ wagered, that is entirely up to you. Use a percentage of $ for each bet I put forth out of the $217 and assess it to your own.
Now that that has been fulfilled, the rest of the odds for the League.
American League Winner Odds (World Series Odds in Parenthesis)
. 1. Boston Red Sox +475 (+850)
Doesn’t it stand to reason that Boston would be favored over other NL clubs, except for the Dodgers? If you like them to win the WS, bet this odd (AL) more, as it is better than the WS odd for value.
2. Detroit Tigers +500 (+1000)
Pick the Tigers to win the World Series vs the ALCS move here. They will not be a +100 underdog against any other team in the World Series.
3. New York Yankees +650 (+1300)
4. Texas Rangers +700 (+1200)
Another favorable odd for the ALCS, this is great value, should be tied with the NYY for odd, I mean they are listed higher for the World Series odd why not the ALCS?
5. Oakland Athletics +800 (+1500)
I think the A’s would be the underdog versus, STL, WSH and LAD – so if you like them for WS, pick them for the ALCS instead. Then you could receive at least a +100 for the Fall Classic.
T6. LA Angels +900 (+1700)
Same rule as Oakland, however I don’t like the selection.
. T6. Tampa Bay Rays +900 (+1800)
The Rays are not receiving any love. Again, I brought it up that if Tampa is the 3rd favorite in the AL East, then why are they and Boston listed on the Over/Unders as 88 for the year? Wouldn’t it stand to reason they would be at 87 like the Yankees are? or maybe even 86.5 considering the Yankees are favored over them in any Division, AL or WS odd? The Rays have better pitching than the Yankees and Red Sox, which usually translates into Series wins in the Post Season.
T8. Toronto Blue Jays +1100 (+2200)
T8. Baltimore Orioles +1100 (+2200)
Same odd for Baltimore or Toronto for the WS. I would stay away from both clubs.
10. Kansas City Royals +1400 (+2800)
This is the same as the Oakland A’s and Angels, pick them for the ALCS if you want to, as the World Series odd will be higher than +100 in the Fall Classic
T11. Cleveland Indians +1500 (+2800)
While I don’t like the Tribe’s chances for any of this, the odds still resides better than picking them for the World Series should you throw some cabbage down on Cleveland.
12. Seattle Mariners +1500 (+2800)
Same As #11.
13. Chicago White Sox +3000 (+5500)
The odds are always stacked higher for plowing through the ALCS, and for all of the teams, it is simply best to wager on them to win the American League as oppose to placing a wager on them to win the World Series.
14. Minnesota Twins +5000 (+8000)
15. Houston Astros +17500 (+35000)
National League Winner Only (World Series Odd To win)
1. LA Dodgers +290 (+700)
Almost 2.5 times better for the World Series, LAD would hold their own and potentially win versus any AL Team.
2. Washington Nationals +375 (+800)
This is the best NL odd out of top 4, still better for the World Series odd. If Washington makes it to the Classic, I say they will nail it down.
3. St. Louis Cardinals +450 (+1000)
You have it about a +120 from NL to World Series translation, Cards are always a good bet. If it were +500 for the NL mark, I would have said pick the LCS.
4. Atlanta Braves +650 (+1400).
The top 4 teams are all better to wager on the World Series odd for value for sure, as the NL Odds don’t pay enough. While the top 3 teams are likely to be the Division winners, the League Champ payouts are feeble. Atlanta’ stock will fall with injured Starters.
5. Cincinnati Reds +900 (+1800)
NL Is better, will be higher than a +100 in the WS.
T6. Pittsburgh Pirates +1200 (+2500)
NL Wager is better.
T6. SF Giants +1200 (+2500)
World Series Wager is stronger (Pitching matches up good w/experience.)
8. Arizona Diamondbacks +1600 (+3300)
NL Wager is better.
9. Philadelphia Phillies +1700 (+3500)
NL Wager is better.
10. Milwaukee Brewers +2000 (+4000)
NL wager is better.
11 Colorado Rockies +2800 (+5500)
NL Wager is better.
12. San Diego Padres +3300 (+6600)
T13. Chicago Cubs +3300 (+6600)
T13. New York Mets +4500 (+8000)
15. Miami Marlins +5000 (+10000)
Once you pass the Rockies, I think these last 4 squads don’t register 70 wins at all.
odds brought to you by www.bet365.com
Please note that it is illegal for US citizens to gamble in most States.
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Posted on March 14, 2014, in gambling 101 and tagged @MLBreports on twitter, @mlbreports.com, al central, AL East, AL West, ALCS 2014, All 30 MLB Teams, American league, american league championship series, arizona diamondbacks, Atlanta Braves, baltimore orioles, boston red sox, chicago cubs, chicago white sox, Chuck Booth, cincinnati reds, cleveland indians, colorado rockies, detroit tigers, houston astros, jason hammel, julio teharan, justin masterson, kansas city royals, la angels, la dodgers, miami marlins, milwaukee brewers, minnesota twins, mlb, national league, National League Championship Series, new york mets, new york yankees, NL Central, NL east, nl west, NLCS 2014, oakland athletics, odds to win the 2014 MLB World Series, philadelphia phillies, pittsburgh pirates, san diego padres, san francisco giants, seattle mariners, st louis cardinals, tampa bay rays, texas rangers, toronto blue jays, washington nationals, www.bet365.com. Bookmark the permalink. Comments Off on MLB Odds To Win Both Of The AL And NL Pennants In 2014: Awesome Bet Idea For The TB Rays.