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MLB Odds To Win Both Of The AL And NL Pennants In 2014: Awesome Bet Idea For The TB Rays

Because of a statistical oddity in the website of the Rays, I present you an awesome chance to win some money if the Rays have a great year.  If they don't, chances are great you could still break even.  The Rays have won 90 games or more 5 out of the last 6 years. It is my contention, if they win 90 games this year, they win the Division.  From there, if. Who knows, the winner out of this tough Division might win 86 or 87 games.  Heck, that may even be a Wild card game with how parity is going.  I present you the Ray of Cash Opportunity.

Because of a statistical oddity in the website of the Rays, I present you an awesome chance to win some money if the Rays have a great year. If they don’t, chances are great you could still break even. The Rays have won 90 games or more 5 out of the last 6 years. It is my contention, if they win 90 games this year, they win the Division. From there, if. Who knows, the winner out of this tough Division might win 86 or 87 games. Heck, that may even be a Wild card game with how parity is going. I present you the Ray of Cash Opportunity.

By Chuck Booth (Lead Baseball Analyst/Website Owner):

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This is so crazy…it may just work..  Every once in a while, I see an anomaly in the odds of a website.  I will go through this in great detail here.

Lets just say the Rays are offering great odds on the board, yet the website has them as co-favorites in one odd (Regular season wins with Boston).  I take this fact and twist the fork in it, to present my idea.

Ray Of Cash Opportunity

Rays Odds on the board at http://www.bet365.com

Division Odds + 250 (to win the AL East)

ALCS Win +900

World Series + 1800

Regular Season Over/Under 88.0: Over -110, Under -120

Once again the Rays don’t receive any respect.  If someone were to bet the Tampa club on a Divisional win, ALCS win and a World Series win, they may cash in severely at the ticket wicket.

Bet Details Date/Time Stake Return
Under 88 @ -120
$120.00  Single
Reg Year Wins
03/14/2014 10:36:50 120.00 220.00
TB Rays @ +250
$63.00  Single
AL East
03/14/2014 10:36:50 63.00 220.50
TB Rays @ +900
$22.00  Single
ALCS
03/14/2014 10:36:50 22.00 220.00
TB Rays @ +1800
$12.00  Single
WS
03/14/2014 10:36:50 12.00 228.00
Total for this period 217.00 0.0

The bet of the week is to place a $120 Bet on the Rays under 88 (this acts as a hedge).  The odd was -120 (Bet pays $220, which nets $100 profit.)

Here is the thing, if TB wins over 88 games, they should make the playoffs though.  In a tough and vaunted AL East, I would think they would be right near the Division win.

From there place $63 on them to win the AL East Division (pays $220.5).

Wager $22 on them to win the ALCS  @+900 (pays $220).

Place a bet of $12 on them to win the World Series @+1800 (Pays $228.00).

So if the Rays don’t win 88 games, (if 88 you push your wager and it is a no contest bet = $63 returned).

If the Rays go over 88 wins, I think they win the Division.  I think 90 wins will do it. 

If they win the AL East, and then are eliminated in the LDS or ALCS – you break even. 

If they go under 88 wins for the year (not making the playoffs, you are even.)

If they are a wild card team, then  win the ALCS before losing the WS, you profit $3.

if they are a wild card team, then win the World Series, you profit $228.

If they win the Division and the ALCS, but lose the World Series, you profit $220.

If they win the Division, the ALCS and the World Series, you profit $428.5.

If somehow they win the Division with 88 exactly wins, win the ALCS – and win the World Series, you win $491.5

If somehow they win the Division with 88 exactly wins, and the ALCS, and lose the World Series, you profit $263.5.

If somehow they win the Division with 88 exactly wins, and lose in the LDS or ALCS, you still profit $63.5.

If they win 88 games exactly, are a wild card team, and  you lose in the LDS or LCS round, that is a $154 loss.

if they win  88 games exactly, are a wild card team, and you win the ALCS, before losing in the WS, you profit $66

If they win 88 games exactly, are a wild card team, and you win the ALCS, and WS , you will profit $294.

If they win the division with 87 wins or less, and lose in the ALDS or ALCS, you profit $203.5.

If they win the division with 87 wins or less, win the ALCS, before losing the World Series, you will profit $423.5.

If they win the division with 87 wins or less, win the ALCS and the World Series, you will profit $651.5.

If you want to alter the $ wagered, that is entirely up to you.  Use a percentage of $ for each bet I put forth out of the $217 and assess it to your own.

Now that that has been fulfilled, the rest of the odds for the League.

American League Winner Odds (World Series Odds in Parenthesis)

. 1.  Boston Red Sox +475 (+850)

Doesn’t it stand to reason that Boston would be favored over other NL clubs, except for the Dodgers? If you like them to win the WS, bet this odd (AL) more, as it is better than the WS odd for value.

2.  Detroit Tigers +500 (+1000)

Pick the Tigers to win the World Series vs the ALCS move here.  They will not be a +100 underdog against any other team in the World Series.

3.  New York Yankees +650 (+1300)

4.  Texas Rangers +700 (+1200)

Another favorable odd for the ALCS, this is great value, should be tied with the NYY for odd, I mean they are listed higher for the World Series odd why not the ALCS?

5.  Oakland Athletics +800 (+1500)

I think the A’s would be the underdog versus, STL, WSH and LAD – so if you like them for WS, pick them for the ALCS instead.  Then you could receive at least a +100 for the Fall Classic.

T6.  LA Angels +900 (+1700)

Same rule as Oakland, however I don’t like the selection.

. T6.  Tampa Bay Rays  +900 (+1800)

The Rays are not receiving any love.  Again, I brought it up that if Tampa is the 3rd favorite in the AL East, then why are they and Boston listed on the Over/Unders as 88 for the year?  Wouldn’t it stand to reason they would be at 87 like the Yankees are? or maybe even 86.5 considering the Yankees are favored over them in any Division, AL or WS odd?  The Rays have better pitching than the Yankees and Red Sox, which usually translates into Series wins in the Post Season.

T8.  Toronto Blue Jays +1100 (+2200)

T8. Baltimore Orioles +1100 (+2200)

Same odd for Baltimore or Toronto for the WS.  I would stay away from both clubs.

10.  Kansas City Royals +1400 (+2800)

This is the same as the Oakland A’s and Angels, pick them for the ALCS if you want to, as the World Series odd will be higher than +100 in the Fall Classic

T11. Cleveland Indians +1500 (+2800)

While I don’t like the Tribe’s chances for any of this, the odds still resides better than picking them for the World Series should you throw some cabbage down on Cleveland.

12.  Seattle Mariners +1500 (+2800)

Same As #11.

13. Chicago White Sox +3000 (+5500)

The odds are always stacked higher for plowing through the ALCS, and for all of the teams, it is simply best to wager on them to win the American League as oppose to placing a wager on them to win the World Series.

14. Minnesota Twins +5000 (+8000)

15. Houston Astros +17500 (+35000)

National League Winner Only (World Series Odd To win)

1.  LA Dodgers +290 (+700)

Almost 2.5 times better for the World Series, LAD would hold their own and potentially win versus any AL Team.

2.  Washington Nationals +375 (+800)

This is the best NL odd out of top 4, still better for the World Series odd.  If Washington makes it to the Classic, I say they will nail it down.

3.  St. Louis Cardinals +450 (+1000)

You have it about a +120 from NL to World Series translation, Cards are always a good bet.  If it were +500 for the NL mark, I would have said pick the LCS.

4.  Atlanta Braves +650 (+1400).

The top 4 teams are all better to wager on the World Series odd for value for sure, as the NL Odds don’t pay enough.  While the top 3 teams are likely to be the Division winners, the League Champ payouts are feeble.  Atlanta’ stock will fall with injured Starters.

5.  Cincinnati Reds +900 (+1800)

NL Is better, will be higher than a +100 in the WS.

T6. Pittsburgh Pirates +1200 (+2500)

NL Wager is better.

T6. SF Giants +1200 (+2500)

World Series Wager is stronger (Pitching matches up good w/experience.)

8. Arizona Diamondbacks +1600 (+3300)

NL Wager is better.

9. Philadelphia Phillies +1700 (+3500)

NL Wager is better.

10. Milwaukee Brewers +2000 (+4000)

NL wager is better.

11 Colorado Rockies +2800 (+5500)

NL Wager is better.

12. San Diego Padres +3300 (+6600)

T13. Chicago Cubs +3300 (+6600)

T13. New York Mets +4500 (+8000)

15. Miami Marlins +5000 (+10000)

Once you pass the Rockies, I think these last 4 squads don’t register 70 wins at all.

odds brought to you by www.bet365.com

Please note that it is illegal for US citizens to gamble in most States. 

 *** The views and opinions expressed in this report are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of mlbreports.com and their partners***

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Chuck Booth and Larry Lucchino talk baseball in the RF reserved seats at Fenway

Chuck Booth and Larry Lucchino talk baseball in the RF reserved seats at Fenway.

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About chuckbooth3023

I played competitive baseball until 18 years old and had offers to play NCAA Division 1 University Baseball at Liberty University. Post-concussion symptoms from previous football and baseball head injuries forced me to retire by age 19. After two nearly made World Record Attempts in 2008, I set a New World Record by visiting all 30 MLB Parks (from 1st to last pitch) in only 24 Calendar Days in the summer 0f 2009. In April of 2012, I established yet another new GWR by visiting all 30 Parks in only 23 Calendar Days! You can see the full schedule at the page of the www.mlbreports.com/gwr-tracker . In 2015, I watched 224 MLB Games, spanning all 30 MLB Parks in 183 Days. Read about that World Record Journey at https://mlbreports.com/183in2015/229sked2015/

Posted on March 14, 2014, in gambling 101 and tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , . Bookmark the permalink. Comments Off on MLB Odds To Win Both Of The AL And NL Pennants In 2014: Awesome Bet Idea For The TB Rays.

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