Monthly Archives: February 2017

Sons of ’84 Top 100 MLB Prospects for 2017

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Welcome once again to my favorite blog entry of the year, my Top 100 Major League Baseball Prospect list for 2017. My list consists of the top prospects in baseball right now and doesn’t necessarily focus on player’s impact this season as these players are in various stages of their Minor League and and possibly Major League career.

Team breakouts for players on the list include: 8 – ATL 7 – NYY, 6 – MIL 5 – CWS, LAD, Pit, TB  4 – CHC, Col, Hou, NYM, Oak, Phi, SD 3 – Bos, Cin, Cle, Min, Tor, Was 2 – Sea, Tex 1 – Bal, Det, LAA, MIA, SF

Position breakouts for players on the list look like: C – 5, 1B – 4, 2B – 5, 3B – 4, SS – 12,  OF – 25, LHP – 13, RHP – 32

For the list, you’ll find the player’s name, their position/team/and last year’s ranking for this list…

Continue on to Sons of ’84 to see list

Sully Baseball Daily Podcast – February 16, 2017

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Marc Serota/Getty Images North America

A few days ago, I thought the Marlins were about to get a normal owner.

Now the Marlins management is somehow mixed up with the Trump Presidency and the French Embassy.

This is bananas.

Florida is nuts again on this episode of Sully Baseball Daily Podcast.

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Todd Frazier’s Goal for This Season Should Be Pretty Simple

When the Chicago White Sox acquired third baseman Todd Frazier from the Cincinnati Reds last winter, the organization’s goal was to find some lineup protection for first baseman Jose Abreu. Frazier responded with a power surge he hadn’t yet experienced during his young MLB career, but didn’t do much else outside of that, leading to a rather mediocre overall performance at the plate.

Given the lackluster free agent market this winter — especially at third base — one would assume that a player fresh off a 40-homer, 98-RBI season like Frazier would’ve been a hot commodity on the trade market.

That wasn’t the case, though, and the rebuilding White Sox still have him on their roster with the hopes he can improve from the 102 wRC+ and 2.4 fWAR he produced in 2016.

Where exactly can Frazier’s game improve? There’s not always a simple answer to a question like that, but he needs to stop hitting the ball in the air so freakin’ much.

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Satchel’s Greatest Trick

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To any qualified observer—players, coaches, even the owners who refused to grant him an opportunity to pitch in the majors—Satchel Paige was among the greatest handful of pitchers to ever take a mound. In his youth, Paige dominated with an overpowering fastball and extraordinary control. As the years and miles accumulated, he became the game’s greatest magician, flummoxing hitters with an unending variety of pitches and deliveries. Paige’s wit was a sharp as his control, his personality as big as the break on his curve. He took great pleasure in keeping people guessing, and he took his greatest secret with him to the grave… READ MORE

Sully Baseball Daily Podcast -February 15, 2017

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Dilip Vishwanat/Getty Images North America

Alex Reyes looks like he is going to have Tommy John surgery. These Tommy John surgeries are driving me crazy. Perhaps this is a case for good, clean PEDs.

Get a legal edge on this episode of Sully Baseball Daily Podcast.

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2017 Top – 400 Dynasty League Fantasy Baseball Rankings

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Below you will find my personal top-400 dynasty league baseball rankings. In order to be eligible for this list, a player must have over 200 career MLB at bats or 50 innings pitched.

1 = 100

Rank Player Position Team
1 Mike Trout CF,UT LAA
2 Mookie Betts RF,UT BOS
3 Kris Bryant 3B,LF,RF,UT CHC
4 Manny Machado 3B,SS,UT BAL
5 Bryce Harper RF,UT WAS
6 Nolan Arenado 3B,UT COL
7 Clayton Kershaw SP LAD
8 Jose Altuve 2B,UT HOU
9 Paul Goldschmidt 1B,UT ARI
10 Carlos Correa SS,UT HOU
11 Anthony Rizzo 1B,UT CHC
12 Corey Seager SS,UT LAD
13 Trea Turner 2B,CF,UT WAS
14 Francisco Lindor SS,UT CLE
15 Josh Donaldson 3B,UT TOR
16 Madison Bumgarner SP SF
17 Xander Bogaerts SS,UT BOS
18 Noah Syndergaard SP,RP NYM
19 George Springer RF,UT HOU
20 Chris Sale SP BOS
21 Starling Marte LF,CF,UT PIT
22 Max Scherzer SP WAS
23 Freddie Freeman 1B,UT ATL
24 Christian Yelich LF,CF,UT MIA
25 Giancarlo Stanton RF,UT MIA
26 Gregory Polanco LF,RF,UT PIT
27 Charlie Blackmon CF,UT COL
28 Miguel Cabrera 1B,UT DET
29 Corey Kluber SP CLE
30 Jake Arrieta SP CHC
31 Alex Bregman 3B,UT HOU
32 Rougned Odor 2B,UT TEX
33 J.D. Martinez RF,UT DET
34 A.J. Pollock CF,UT ARI
35 Brian Dozier 2B,UT MIN
36 Wil Myers 1B,UT SD
37 Miguel Sano 3B,RF,UT MIN
38 Joey Votto 1B,UT CIN
39 Daniel Murphy 1B,2B,UT WAS
40 Carlos Martinez SP STL
41 Ryan Braun LF,UT MIL
42 Jose Abreu 1B,UT CHW
43 Andrew McCutchen CF,UT PIT
44 Edwin Encarnacion 1B,UT CLE
45 Kyle Schwarber LF,UT CHC
46 Addison Russell SS,UT CHC
47 Jacob deGrom SP NYM
48 Yu Darvish SP TEX
49 Stephen Strasburg SP WAS
50 Robinson Cano 2B,UT SEA
51 Anthony Rendon 3B,UT WAS
52 Jonathan Villar 2B,3B,SS,UT MIL
53 Chris Archer SP TB
54 Yoenis Cespedes LF,CF,UT NYM
55 Buster Posey C,1B,UT SF
56 Carlos Gonzalez RF,UT COL
57 Eric Hosmer 1B,UT KC
58 David Price SP BOS
59 Carlos Carrasco SP CLE
60 Julio Urias SP,RP LAD
61 Jason Kipnis 2B,UT CLE
62 Johnny Cueto SP SF
63 David Dahl LF,UT COL
64 Jonathan Lucroy C,UT TEX
65 Trevor Story SS,UT COL
66 Stephen Piscotty CF,RF,UT STL
67 Kyle Seager 3B,UT SEA
68 Jon Lester SP CHC
69 Hanley Ramirez 1B,UT BOS
70 Justin Upton LF,UT DET
71 Matt Carpenter 1B,2B,3B,UT STL
72 Justin Verlander SP DET
73 Jose Quintana SP CHW
74 Chris Davis 1B,UT BAL
75 Danny Salazar SP CLE
76 Gerrit Cole SP PIT
77 Kyle Hendricks SP,RP CHC
78 Byron Buxton CF,UT MIN
79 Masahiro Tanaka SP NYY
80 Maikel Franco 3B,UT PHI
81 Julio Teheran SP ATL
82 Zach Britton RP BAL
83 Aaron Sanchez SP TOR
84 Gary Sanchez C,UT NYY
85 Michael Brantley LF,UT CLE
86 Jackie Bradley Jr. CF BOS
87 Jean Segura 2B,SS,UT SEA
88 Billy Hamilton CF,UT CIN
89 Kevin Gausman SP BAL
90 Rick Porcello SP BOS
91 Aaron Nola SP PHI
92 Aroldis Chapman RP NYY
93 Jameson Taillon SP PIT
94 Todd Frazier 3B,UT CHW
95 Ian Desmond LF,CF,UT COL
96 Kenley Jansen RP LAD
97 Matt Harvey SP NYM
98 Willson Contreras C,LF,UT CHC
99 J.T. Realmuto C,UT MIA
100 Dee Gordon 2B,UT MIA

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Sully Baseball Daily Podcast – February 14, 2017

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Elsa/Getty Images North America

On Valentine’s Day, I take a look at the Mets whose 2017 is totally uncertain and Terry Collins is about to have an unusual title in the team’s history.

Feeling the love on this episode of Sully Baseball Daily Podcast.

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Chicago White Sox Top Prospects

The state of the Chicago White Sox minor league system has likely never been brighter. With a huge influx of talent like Michael Kopech, Lucas Giolito, Reynaldo Lopez, and Dane Dunning the White Sox have the top prospects to truly build one of the elite pitching staffs in baseball. They also brought in young raw bats such as Luis Alexander Basabe and Yoan Moncada to potentially create franchise caliber talent in the field.

The White Sox also have done a good job of cultivating and developing talent through the draft and foreign signing classes. Alec Hansen looks to offer more promise than people him credit for while the ceiling for Zack Collins has many looking at this organization in awe. There is also an increasing amount of talent in the back end of the farm that offers some of the better upside seen in the league outside of the team’s top ten prospects.

Chicago White Sox Top Prospects

Can These 11 MLB Hitters Continue Making the Most of Their Fly Balls in 2017?

You’d be hard-pressed to find a baseball fan who doesn’t dig watching home runs. If you indeed dig them, the 2016 season was one of the best years to track the long ball in recent memory.

There were 111 different players who reached the 20-homer plateau, which is a new record and a substantial increase to 2015, where only 64 players slugged that many baseballs over the fence. The most beautiful part of it all? Not all 20-plus homer hitters are created equally, which we’ve touched upon a couple of times this winter.

While they can also happen on line drives, the home runs usually result from fly balls. Obviously, for someone to accumulate a lot of round-trippers in any given season, a healthy fly-ball rate (FB%) is necessary.

So, it makes sense as to why 100 of the above players produced a fly-ball rate in 2016 north of 30% (including 53 with a fly-ball rate of at least 40%). That also leaves us with an interesting group who didn’t put the ball in the air as frequently, and they probably wouldn’t mind it happening again in 2017.

Here are the 11 hitters who managed to enter the 20-homer club last year without a fly-ball rate above 30%.

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Sully Baseball Daily Podcast – February 13, 2017

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Getty Images

The Astros need to go all in. And that means taking Zack Greinke off of the Diamondbacks’ hands. Meanwhile I have all sorts of tech issues.

Testing Testing 1…2…3 on this episode of Sully Baseball Daily Podcast.

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Will Justin Verlander Be A Hall of Famer?

verlander-justin-surpriseEarlier in the week I updated what had become an annual blog entry for me around the greatness of Miguel Cabrera, who is undoubtedly already a Hall of Fame lock. It got me thinking around looking in to Justin Verlander’s career and if there is potential to be elected to the Hall of Fame one day. Now, if you would have asked me two years ago, I wouldn’t have written anything, but the way JV reinvented himself this past season, it revitalized hopes that he could be in the Hall someday. Please bare with me as this is a little long, but a case will be made…

Before diving in to statistics and whatnot, there has always been one key milestone for pitchers that essentially ensures that they are Hall of Fame locks, and that’s 300 wins. We must acknowledge that 300 wins is really no longer feasible with today’s 5-man rotations, pitch counts, and bullpen specialist. We must also acknowledge that today’s game has changed where a slightly higher ERA is acceptable compared to the day an age where voters were looking for career ERA’s in the mid-2’s. Hitters are stronger these days; ballparks tend to be smaller, etc.

Here’s the other thing that JV and other pitchers have going against them and it all plays in to what I just wrote, only 6 pitchers have been elected to the Hall in the last seven years (Greg Maddux, Pedro Martinez, Randy Johnson, John Smoltz, Tom Glavine, and Bert Blyleven). Take it back further to 2005 and add just Bruce Sutter and Rich Gossage to that list, making it 8 in the past 12 years. What I think we are seeing is pitchers being scrutinized more highly than hitters.

With this laid out, let’s look at Justin Verlander so far…

Continue reading @ Sons of ’84

Tommy John Surgery: All – Time MLB List Heading Into 2017 MLB Regulr Season

For all the talk of baseball players (pitchers mostly) that will be undergoing Tommy John Surgery, we will be keeping a running list!  E-mail us at mlbreports@gmail.com if you have any names to add to our totals.

Follow and bookmark our tracker always here

How many players are having or had TJ in history? You are about to find out:  While our list is good, we only chart MLB’ers/  . 

Jon Roegele has an entire spreadsheet for anyone from every level that has ever gone under the knife no matter what level they are at here Read the rest of this entry

Feb MLB Power Rankings/2017 Win Predictions

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Last Updated Feb 12, 2017

For a detailed rundown of how I compared some of the teams to other websites click here

Overall MLB Rankings in Parenthesis

American League (1235 – 1195)

AL East (425 – 385)

Boston Red Sox 90 – 72 (4)

Toronto Blue Jays 88 – 74 (9)

Baltimore Orioles 84 – 78 (14)

NY Yankees 83 – 79 (18)

Tampa Bay Rays 80 – 82 (20) Read the rest of this entry

A Look Back On HIs Career With John Halama

Some paths to the major leagues are longer and more winding than others. Just being drafted is far from a guarantee that any success will ensue. Hard work and an ability to take and adapt to instruction are just as important as having raw skill. Left-handed pitcher John Halama knows only too well what it takes to work his way up from a mid-round draft prospect to a successful major league career.

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Koufax, Kershaw and the Power of Orthodoxy

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Part of the Koufax orthodoxy, of course, is his legend: Retired at 30, at the height of his game, the height of his fame. And then, gone. He never hawked a book, lent his name, or became an autograph factory.Never a hint of scandal, a suggestion of bad behavior. He’d make his Spring Training visits to the Mets or the Dodgers, to see old friends and talk to the kids, and the press covered these casual afternoons like matters of state. Then he’d disappear again, go back to his life. Fifty years of repose; fifty years of grace; fifty years of dignity. Five decades, essentially, of silence. Baseball’s Garbo. All the while, his legend grew, until it overshadowed even his magnificent accomplishments on the mound. He’s not just the best pitcher in Dodgers’ history; he was—is—often mentioned among the greatest handful of pitchers of all time, more monument than man to generations of fans.

The thing is, it’s pretty clear that Clayton Kershaw, not Sandy Koufax, is the best pitcher in the history of the Dodgers’ franchise. READ MORE

Sully Baseball Daily Podcast – February 12, 2017

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Peter Diana/Post-Gazette

It is Sunday and time for The Sunday Request.

 

This is the stupidest idea I have heard of in a while. There are ways to improve baseball that don’t involve starting a runner on second in extra innings.

It is a “Don’t Break What Isn’t Broken” episode of Sully Baseball Daily Podcast.

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Boston Red Sox Entire 2017 MLB Schedule On One Page Post.

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ALL TIMES  DISPLAYED IN EASTERN TIME ZONE

WEEK 1 (Includes Season Opener Sunday Apr 2, 2017)

INTERLEAGUE GAMES IN MAROON

APR  2017

Sunday, Apr 2  MLB OPENING DAY

DAY OFF Read the rest of this entry

Sully Baseball Daily Podcast – February 11, 2017

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Jorge Lemus/Getty Images North America

Mike Ilitch has passed away. He was everything a fan could want in an owner and helped make the Tigers a point of pride in a difficult time for Detroit.

Now that he is gone, what will the fortunes of the Tigers be moving forward.

It is a Motor City episode of Sully Baseball Daily Podcast.

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Milwaukee Brewers Research Interview: Pat McBride and Rick Napholz

When I first started thinking I’d like to write a book about the Milwaukee Brewers franchise moving from Seattle in 1970, I kept coming back to a simple question: Who were the original players, coaches, executives, and stadium workers?  Not just their names, but who were they personally and what did they experience when the Brewers were in their infancy.

I started by looking at names and faces on the 1970 team photo card and decided to pursue interviewing as many of these guys as possible.  I was fortunate last year to interview one of the original team bat boys and one of the ball boys.  Both had interesting perspectives and memories of not just the players, but also County Stadium, and what it was like to work at Green Bay Packers games as well.

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5 MLB Teams That Could Be Real Contenders – Or Real Pretenders In 2017

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Each year we are enlightened to a few surprises in the MLB we were not expecting.  This year there are 5 teams that seem could flip either way based on the talent coming to fruition.

We tried to pick a club for each Division here, but simply couldn’t come out with a AL Central team.

Tampa Bay Rays:

With Alex Cobb potentially coming back healthy to the rotation that features Chris Archer and Jake Odorizzi already. the Rays will have decent chuckers to start this campaign.

Add Blake Snell, Matt Andriese and recently acquired Jose DeLeon (who should contribute quality innings this campaign and all of a sudden this club doesn’t look too shabby for depth.

The Relief Core is also solid if Brad Boxberger can reclaim his form, and see a similar year for Alex Colome.

Evan Longoria,  and Brad Miller both put forth 30 HR seasons in 2016, and Matt Duffy may prove to be a decent Batting Average guy at Shortstop now.

The Rays Outfield will feature Kevin keirmaier, Mallex Smith, Corey Dickerson and Steven Souza, while one of those guys may also see some time at Designated Hitter. Read the rest of this entry

Christian Yelich Is an Under-the-Radar NL MVP Candidate in 2017

Making a name for yourself in the Miami Marlins outfield in recent years hasn’t been all that easy, but Christian Yelich has found a way to carve out some attention for himself in South Beach. Probably not enough yet, though.

It’s tough when Giancarlo Stanton grabs headlines every time he punishes a baseball, or when Marcell Ozuna‘s name is either swirling in trade rumors or being called out at the All-Star game.

Yelich quietly goes about his business on a daily basis, and while he may not generate the most headlines, he’s probably the most valuable outfielder on the Marlins’ roster.

After posting a 4.5-fWAR season in 2014, he didn’t progress like Miami hoped in 2015, producing just 2.4 fWAR. He flipped the script back in a positive direction last year, though.

He didn’t earn an All-Star selection, but posted a 4.4 fWAR, won his first Silver Slugger award and placed 19th in National League MVP voting. Climbing up the ranks in this award category won’t necessarily be a walk in the park — after all, that Kris Bryant guy is still pretty good, as is his teammate in Anthony Rizzo, along with other studs like Corey Seager and Freddie Freeman, just to name a few.

Although he’s fresh off a career year, Yelich is exactly the kind of player that can come out of nowhere to be a legitimate candidate for the award in 2017 because there’s still a ton of room for improvement in his game.

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Sully Baseball Daily Podcast – February 10, 2017

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Rob Foldy/Getty Images North America

Will Jeffrey Loria sell the Marlins? It looks like he might! And if it happens, maybe the Marlins will finally have a chance to grow a fan base.

I take my talents to South Beach on this episode of Sully Baseball Daily Podcast.

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Projected Win Totals In 2017 By Other Sites: Good Job Fangraphs – Bad Job Baseball Prospectus

The O's have averaged 89 wins per year since 2012,but the folks at Baseball Prospectus are throwing down a projection of 73 wins in 2017 for Baltimore?? That wasn't even the biggest disparity from our picks..

The O’s have averaged 89 wins per year since 2012, but the folks at Baseball Prospectus are throwing down a projection of 73 wins in 2017 for Baltimore?? That wasn’t even the biggest disparity from our picks..

The MLB Reports is not composed of several writers or analysts.  We have about a half a dozen participants who account for 90% of the content featured on our website.

From the time I joined the website in late 2013, we have had a nice track record of projections.  That is not to say we are perfect.

If all of us could predict the future – we would be sipping alcohol on rooftops of  the hotels in Las Vegas counting our cabbage.

One thing we are going to do is have an opinion when and where we see fit.

Fangraphs has done an exceptional job in their forecasting.  I agree with 87 – 90% of their team placements on their team win projections and Division standings.

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Toronto Blue Jays Entire 2017 MLB Schedule On One Page Post.

Rogers Home Opener will be on Monday Apr 10, 2017, to kick off the 29th year the ballpark has been playing games there. Last year the Jays drew 3.4 Million Fans. and that is the biggest total since the World Series Years - or the 1st 5 years of the venue.

Rogers Home Opener will be on Tuesday Apr 111, 2017, to kick off the 29th year the ballpark has been playing games there. Last year the Jays drew 3.4 Million Fans. and that is the biggest total since the World Series Years – or the 1st 5 years of the venue.

ALL TIMES  DISPLAYED IN EASTERN TIME ZONE

WEEK 1 (Includes Season Opener Sunday Apr 2, 2017)

INTERLEAGUE GAMES IN MAROON

APR  2017

Sunday, Apr 2  MLB OPENING DAY

DAY OFF

Monday, Apr 3

Blue Jays @ O’s 3:05 Oriole Park  (Camden Yards) Home Opener, Baltimore, MD  (Baltimore Orioles)

Tuesday Apr 4 

DAY OFF

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Overlooked, but not for Long…

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From my perspective, the best indicator for future success is past success. We had some tremendous performances in 2016 by guys relegated to teams tanking their way to a high draft pick. I don’t want to just run through a list of all-star players who played on bad teams. Instead, let’s look at guys who meet the following criteria:

  1. Good performance in 2016
  2. Played for a bad team…
  3. …at an underappreciated position.

That third criteria effectively eliminates the star positions: Shortstop, starting pitcher, and closer all have a sense of glamour even if their squad wasn’t that great. For that matter, the star quality of merely playing first base or center field is also too bright for our exercise. So given these restrictions, these are guys whose 2016 performance was overlooked due to things well outside of their control: READ MORE

Sully Baseball Daily Podcast – February 9, 2017

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Doug Pensinger/Getty Images North America


The Giants wonderful bullpen was kept together for probably one season too long. But as it is broken up, salute the 4 rings of Javier Lopez, bid farewell to Sergio Romo and possibly welcome back Brian Wilson.

Even year or Odd year, it is a San Francisco episode of the Sully Baseball Daily Podcast.

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The Greatness of Miguel Cabrera; 2017 Edition

Cabrera, Miguel Bo Jackson Pose.jpgWhat is now the third installment of looking at Miguel Cabrera’s greatness (Pre-2015 season & Pre-2016 Season), it’s become fun to look at what Miggy had accomplished in the previous season and what to look forward to now in 2017.

The original reason for the first post was that I wasn’t sure if Miggy was being taken for granted in Detroit and definitely was not getting the exposure he should have been nationally.  I believe that’s changed a bit over the last couple of years now, however it is still worth pointing out that when is all said and done, we may be possibly looking at one of the ten greatest right-handed hitters of All-Time.

With that, Cabrera finished up his age 33 season, one of which we saw Miggy play in 158 games, which was great sign after his injury prone 2015 season.  Cabrera tallied a .316 batting average, collected 188 hits, score 92 runs, gathered 31 doubles, a triple, and 38 homers, while knocking in 108, and walking 75 times.   This was all good for an OPS of .956 and a WAR of 4.9.  Mix in an All-Star game, a Silver Slugger Award, and finishing 9th in MVP voting, and I’d call it another successful season.  This is the 9th time in 14 seasons, that Cabrera has hit at least .300, hit 30 homers, and knocked in 100 runs.

Continue reading @ Sons of ’84

Colorado Rockies Missed a Golden Opportunity With Mike Napoli

The Colorado Rockies haven’t experienced a winning season since 2010 and haven’t participated in the playoffs since 2009, but that hasn’t stopped them from making some bold moves this winter.

Bringing Bud Black on as manager to replace Walt Weiss was the first domino to fall before they did some free-agent spending. Colorado then signed Ian Desmond to a five-year, $70 million deal to further bolster the offense, along with fortifying the bullpen with Mike Dunn (three years, $19 million) and Greg Holland (one year, $7 million).

Combine this with a young core that includes Jon GrayNolan ArenadoDJ LeMahieuTrevor Story and a few others, and the Rockies are indeed set up to attempt making a run at the postseason in 2017. With Spring Training approaching quickly, the heavy lifting of their offseason is done.

However, given the state of this winter’s free agent market, they missed out on a unique opportunity to acquire a veteran player who’d help them both on the field and in the clubhouse.

No, I’m not talking about catcher Matt Wieters — they could’ve really used first baseman Mike Napoli, who finally just agreed to a one-year deal with the Texas Rangers.

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Sully Baseball Daily Podcast – February 8, 2017

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Justin Edmonds/Getty Images North America

The Cardinals may have missed the post season last year (barely) and have flown under the radar this off season. But sleep on this team at your own peril. They have a combination of veterans, young players, and a bunch of comeback candidates poised to make 2017 fun for the Red Birds.

Two little birds are perched on a bat for this episode of the Sully Baseball Daily Podcast.

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Oakland Athletics Top Prospects

Look out for other talents still yet that could emerge on the list in the future. Tyler Ramirez has a strong hitting pedigree and multiple potentially exciting tools just drafted out of UNC. Sandber Pimentel has the brute strength right now that makes his upside relevant. Skye Bolt has worn out his stay on many scouts minds but still has a lot of pure talent to counter that initiative. All in all the Athletics top prospects are in a questionable state with many question marks moving forward. That doesn’t mean that they will not have a significant impact, as the organization is built to support that notion.

Oakland Athletics Top Prospects 2017