Forget Prospects When Your Window Is Open To Win With Good (To ALL – Star) MLB Players Available!
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I can’t stand it when I hear that ready to win Major League Clubs are holding off on good Free Agent Signing because of a pending Draft Pick in the coming MLB Amateur Draft being forfeited.
For current organizations like the Texas Rangers, Toronto Blue Jays, Los Angeles Angels, Pittsburgh Pirates, New York Mets, Detroit Tigers, KC Royals, Washington Nationals, Arizona Diamondbacks and San Francisco Giants – all of them project to be contenders in 2016 except the O’s, and the last 6 clubs listed here are acting on that – while the 1st 4 are not.
Let me kind of qualify that. The Jays did in 2015 – and may do so in 2016. The real truth will be told by the August.1 Trade Deadline. Not picking up a top end rotation guy by then will hurt their chances to win in the last few months and definitely in the playoffs.
Texas has obvious needs to help the Starting Pitching, and are banking on to many health problems.
The Angels, don’t get me started, but they need to spend some money!
The Pirates, while it is noble they are playing the little engine that could, still may be without enough chuckers to win the NL Central, and may fall victim to having to play in a 4th straight Wild Card one and done, or worst – miss the postseason altogether.
Then there is the Baltimore Orioles – who are rumored to be in the running to sign both Yovani Gallardo and then Dexter Fowler. This kind of aggression we have not seen from 86 year old Peter Angelos since the late 90’s, but I love it.
Baltimore may have signed Chris Davis for 7 years, but there window is certainly not that long. Adam Jones has a couple of years left, Matt Wieters is gone for sure after 2016 (as is pick up Mark Trumbo). Manny Machado and Jonathan Schoop are not expensive yet either.
This forthcoming year represents the best chance for the franchise to win for a while, and it looks like the brass is realizing this now.
If they were to add Gallardo and Fowler, than the pitching would be on par with what the 2014 squad had, and the offense would be decisively better than the 2015 team.
It is conceivable with a healthy Wieters, full year from Schoop, and a bit of a bounce back from J.J. Hardy, that these boys could begin raking the ball around the yard.
We are not saying that the Jays, Tigers and Red Sox are not better offenses here, but the O’s are right behind those clubs, and they should trust in Buck Showalter to maximize on his roster of players.
The reluctance on a lot of teams is to covet the Draft Picks, which is utterly absurd when your club may be ready to win right now.
Canada’s only team may have been better served for 2016 in re-signing David Price for $31 MIL per year, instead of doling out that dough to J.A. Happ, Drew Storen and Marco Estrada all combined. It is a 3 – 1 swap that helps depth, but maybe not for quality.
The truth of the matter is that Draft picks rarely work out, cost you several million in slotting dollars, and would take 3 – 4 years to reach your club – unless they are exceptional players.
Baltimore realizes that the 14th pick won’t be worth jack if he gets there when Wieters and Jones aren’t there anymore on the squad, and Davis may not be as productive as he is now.
Texas should be thinking the same way with potentially wasting away Adrian Beltre‘s last year on his contract. Prince Fielder could have an exponential drop in any season (his dad Cecil really fell off his production once he hit his early 30’s). Shin-soo Choo isn’t getting any younger either.
To be clear here, I am not berating the Jays management for going about it this way. I am simply stating that if they were to spend on a Free Agent like Fowler right now, it would be an awesome idea as an improvement in LF.
Just for fun go to the 2011 draft right now. Out of the list of these guys, Gerrit Cole, Jose Fernandez and Sonny Gray are ace pitchers, with Anthony Rendon, Francisco Lindor, Joe Panik, George Springer and Javier Baez all having potential still, but that is only 8 guys out of the to 30 making a difference with a MLB club within 4 years of being drafted.
You can’t even count Cole, Rendon, Lindor and Baez would have been exempt because the top 10 players are protected from a Free Agent who was given a Qualifying Offer, so now we are at 5 of 20 teams have had significant help from a 2011 draft selection.
2013’s 11th – 30th picks have no one who is earth changing their roster for them in 2016.
2014’s 11th – 30th picks are in the same boat as the 2013 class.
It takes time to make an impact all the way back to the draft. The odds are more in favor of your pick not turning out while the proven MLB’er can help your squad at the big level right now.
Add in several years of waiting than it is pointless.
Some of the St. Louis Cardinals best work over the last 20 years has been beyond the 1st RD. if a team’s scouts can’t find players past that round they will have a problem anyways. Draft Picks should never be a stopper for a team going for it now. EVER!
Even if Baltimore were to sign Gallardo and Fowler, and have it blow it against them, they have waited it out long enough it won’t cost them a fortune. It may just cost $65 – 70 MIL for the two combined for 3 and 2 years respectively.
I would gladly take that concept over 5 years of an Ian Kennedy.
Without doing any moves to the roster, the O’s are certain for a 4th or 5th place finish. With these guys in the mix, I peg them for an 86 – 87 win club. That may be enough.
You think the fans are going to come flocking to Camden Yards if this club is out of contention? No way.
If the season goes bad from the onset, Wieters, Matusz and Trumbo are all tradeable commodities worth value on the trade market.
I want an owner like Mike Ilitch and Ted Lerner, who are willing to spend any amount of money to win. I am not saying you have to keep forking out cash like that forever either. You are doing it while your window is open. Scaling back can follow going all out.
Guaranteed the Cubs won’t be able to sign all of their world-class talent in 5 – 6 years when they all hit the open market at the same time, yet right now they are locking up help with Jason Heyward and John Lackey, and will probably add more players throughout the season to make their playoff run.
Especially in an era where the MLB is not doing enough to stop tanking. The Orioles could always gut the franchise years down the road like the Phillies and Braves have done recently. Or like Houston and the Chicago Cubs did of recent times as well.
I give full credit to the O’s brass here too. They are potentially doing some late bargain shopping like in 2014, when they swept in to ink Nelson Cruz so late. Fowler is going to be a great value – and Gallardo should have garnered more $ on the open market too.
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Posted on February 12, 2016, in Free Agency and tagged adam jones, adrian beltre, AL East, anthony rendon, baseballreference.com, Batimore Orioles, buck showalter, cecil fielder, chicago cubs, chris davis, corey seager, dan duquette, david price, Dexter Fowler, drew storen, Francisco Lindor, george springer, gerrit cole, ian kennedy, j.a. happ, jason heyward, Javier Baez, Joe Panik, john lackey, Jonathan Schoop, josh donaldson, kc royals, los angeles angels, manny machado, marcus stroman, mark trumbo, michael wacha, Mike Trout, mlb draft 2011, mlb draft 2012, mlb draft 2013, mlb draft 2014, mlb draft 2015, MLB Qualifying Offer, new york mets, pittsburgh pirates, prince fielder, seattle mariners, sonny gray, toronto blue jays, washington nationals, wei-yin chen, yovani gallardo, yu darvish More stats. Bookmark the permalink. Leave a comment.
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