Blog Archives

The Padres May Never Compete With the Dodgers Financially, But They Are Making Strides

Tuesday November 27th, 2012

Jake Dal Porto (Baseball Writer):

The Padres seem poised to eventually become mild-spenders. For an organization that’s highest payroll since 2002 has been roughly $73 million (in 2008), moving up in the spending chain would certainly be good for a change. This transformation could come as soon as 2013 or maybe a few years down the road.

But let’s be sure of something—the Padres have a steep hill to climb before they can compete with the Los Angeles Dodgers in terms of financial freedom. This doesn’t necessarily mean that they won’t be able to compete with the newly labeled ‘Yankees’ of the West coast, but it surely prevents them from signing talented free agents. The A’s and Orioles are a pair of most recent teams to win on a cheaper payroll, while the Rays have been the very definition of that over the past few years. Read the rest of this entry

MLB Reports Monthly Power Rankings: September 2012

Monday, September.3/2012

Chuck Booth (Lead Baseball Writer):   To say that this year has been a good year for baseball is an humongous understatement.  I thought after last years finish, that nothing was going to duplicate the experience.  Everyone forgets (or maybe not) that there should not even have been many races last year with Atlanta and Boston having such substantial leads on playoff spots.  The Red Sox and Braves collapsed like a couple of bowling pins with King Kong Bundy splashing down on them!  

This year, there are 15 teams still vying for 10 playoff spots.  So far the only probable locks are Washington for a playoff spot-and Cincinnati to probably win their division  The player races for all of the categories is almost as fascinating.  Will Andrew McCutcheon catch Melky Cabrera for the Batting title? Or will 2012 be forever cemented in baseball folklore by a stained player like Cabrera?  He could still end up determining who wins the World Series in the Fall Classic by his Testosterone filled antics in his MVP ALL-Star Game.  The big question is, will the San Francisco Giants fans cheer for him if he comes back in the playoffs?  They cheered for another league leader before when it was obvious he was guilty.  Right now if you are the Giants, you will take an opportunity to boo or cheer for Cabrera because that means you would  be in the playoffs.

Will the spending happy Dodgers have to wait another year to capitalize on their new plan to make the playoffs? If they ultimately  miss the playoffs outright, are they going to buy every player they can in the off-season?  I sure hope Magic knows that there are Luxury Tax penalties for spending over 178 Million Next Year.  1st year fine is 22.5%, 2nd year is 30%, 3rd year and beyond is 40%.  So if they plan on having a 250 Million Dollar Payroll in 2013 (by adding 2 or 3 more top Free Agents) will the Dodgers just forego the worry of any financial penalties on a yearly basis– just to dominate the whole National League (plus baseball for that matter.) Every other team has to consider the urgency in cashing out a World Series right now while the Dodgers have not had a full off season with the new management yet.  Can Oakland and their ‘New Money Ball philosophy’ make it to the playoffs for the first time since 2006? 

The Best Players over the last month were:  Buster Posey, Prince Fielder, Giancarlo Stanton, Adrian Beltre, Josh Hamilton, Yovani Gallardo, Kris Medlen, Adam Wainwright, Aroldis Chapman and Felix Hernandez.  The best teams have been Oakland, Washington, San Francisco, San Diego, Baltimore and Texas.  The worst teams have been Houston (at least its better to go down hard and stockpile #1 Draft Picks guys.)  I have a feeling you will be there for a while with the division you are heading into and may even challenge the 120 Loss Single Season Record.  At least you are not going into the NL West  to compete with the LA Dodgers!  The Cleveland Indians have fallen to an epic drop-off as well.  Toronto misses their top sluggers.  What has happened to the Minnesota Twins? The Mets have ownership and payroll problems, so at least they have an excuse.  Plus they lead the world in guys being hurt.  When David Wright has been your healthiest player, you know the season has been backwards!  So sit back, get your notebook and popcorn ready for this Month’s Rankings! Read the rest of this entry

Pittsburgh Pirates: Do they Have Enough to Stay in the Playoff Race?

Saturday August 4th, 2012

Jake Dal Porto:  The Pittsburgh Pirates have been one of the many surprising teams in baseball this season. Led by perennial MVP candidate Andrew McCutchen, they trail the first place Reds by just four and a half games in the National league Central division and retain the third best record in the entire N.L. If the playoffs started today, the Pirates would be playing postseason baseball for the first time since 1992. While they made a push at the playoffs last season as well, an August collapse ultimately diminished their chances of playing October baseball for the first time in over two decades.

However, an August breakdown doesn’t seem to be in the cards for these 2012 Pirates. Players like Andrew McCutchen, Neil Walker, Pedro Alvarez, Jose Tabata, and Garrett Jones were all on the 2011 team that plummeted from first place on July 25th to 16 games back of first place on August 25th. Nearly a year later, the same core group has the Pirates back in the thick of the playoff chase, but their mentalities have significantly changed with the experience they garnered in 2011. Why? It’s cliche, but the more experience a player or team can refer to, the better they will perform. And in this case, that team is the Pirates. Read the rest of this entry

Mat Latos to the Reds: Former Padres Ace Proving to be a Key Acquisition

Wednesday August 1st,  2012

                                                                                                                                

                                                                (Image Courtesy of Bigstory.ap.org)

Brendan Henderson: 

                The Reds made a big trade involving 5 players in the offseason (one player coming from the Padres and four from the Reds.) This deal benefited both teams in my opinion, as the Reds got an “ace material” starting pitcher in Mat Latos and the Padres got four players including proven MLB pitcher Edinson Volquez and solid prospects in Yonder Alsonso, Yasmani Grandal, and Brad Boxberger. Just how much has this trade benefited each team and who has benefited more so far? I will analyze that below. Read the rest of this entry

Toronto Blue Jays: 2012 Trade Deadline Predictions

Friday July 13th, 2012

Alexander McWilliams (MLB reports Intern Candidate):  As of yesterday, the Toronto Blue Jays and their fans can completely throw out the idea of trading the surging Edwin Encarnacion at the trade deadline on July 31st. General Manager Alex Anthopoulos locked up the 1st basemen/Designated Hitter to a 3-year deal worth $27 million, with a club option in 2016 worth a reported $10 million. With this deal taking place some 19 days before the trade deadline, what can fans expect to happen with their beloved Blue Jays? Many say they will be sellers, and others say buyers. Buy why can’t they be both?

                  The Blue Jays have developed, arguably, the best farm system in the MLB ever since Alex Anthopoulos took over as GM. Not only do they possess some of the best pitching prospects, but position players as well. All teams across the league are more than aware of the injuries that Toronto has suffered over the past few months, and could look to exploit said farm system in order to provide an immediate need for the team north of the border. Names such as Justin Upton, Carlos Quentin, Matt Garza, and Cole Hamels are the big names being talked about by a lot of teams these past few months. All are huge impact players which could benefit any team that acquired their services, but at what cost? Read the rest of this entry

Padres to Sign or Trade Carlos Quentin: Decision Time in San Diego

Tuesday June 12, 2012

John Burns:  The Padres who are in last place in the NL West and 18.5 games back of the first place L.A. Dodgers have obviously struggled tremendously in the 2012 season so far.

The Padres have seen some positives in this awful season and the most notable is the emergence of Carlos Quentin. The San Diego native Quentin has been on a tear since being activated from the Disabled List; in 10 games, Quentin is hitting .429 with 5 homers. Quentin has quickly become one of the Padres best players and a hot trade commodity.

Carlos Quentin is making $7 million for the 2012 season and becomes a free agent in 2013. So if the Padres want to lock up there “hometown hero”, it will have to be fairly soon. With the trade deadline coming up in July, Quentin has been a commonly referred to name on the trade block since coming back from knee surgery.

San Diego will have to make a tough decision in the coming weeks on the future of Carlos Quentin. With Petco Park being such a harsh park for power hitters, the Padres might want to lock up their superstar while he’s producing. It is very hard for the Padres front office to convince power hitters to sign with San Diego because of the unforgiving dimensions of Petco Park. So it may be easier for the Padres to get Quentin because he is a native of San Diego and is a fan favorite. Plus, his swing seems to be tailor-made for Petco, as one of the few hitters to enjoy hitting in San Diego. If the Padres were serious on signing the 29 year-old star outfielder it could cost between $45-60 million and 4-6 years.

There are plenty of ball clubs that would inquire on Quentin if he was made available at the deadline. His trade value keeps rising the more games he plays and his power numbers stay consistent. Quentin has struggled to stay healthy in his career; He hasn’t played in more than 130 games since 2010 with the Chicago White Sox. If the Padres were to trade Quentin it would be for 1 to 2 top prospects. Some teams would view Quentin much like the San Francisco Giants did last year with Carlos Beltran, the best hitter available at last year’s deadline as a rental player. If Quentin gets traded his new team though would not receive compensation if he leaves, which could further hurt his trade value.

In my opinion Carlos Quentin’s days in San Diego are numbered. The Padres are currently in a rebuilding stage, so it would not make much sense if San Diego signed Quentin who is 29-year-old when they could easily trade him for a pair of top prospects. The Padres could acquire better prospects trading Quentin then they had to give up to acquire Quentin in the first place. Contending ball clubs will keep a very close eye on Quentin as the season progresses and if he continues to play very well his value will just continue to rise.

Meet our newest Baseball Intern – John Burns:  I am a highschool junior, play 1st base and catcher. I am a diehard Phillies fan. I  was born in Philadelphia but now live in Virginia. I come from a huge baseball family and just love the game. My cousin was drafted by the New York Mets in the 2008 MLB draft. My favorite players are Shane Victorino, Carlos Ruiz, and Ryan Howard. I tweet all the time andyou can follow me on twitter (@JohnBurns_MLB)

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Rate the GM: The Kenny Williams Report Card

Friday March 2nd, 2012

 

Rob Bland:  How long does a GM have job security after winning a World Series?  I get asked this fairly often, as teams tend to stick with a general manager for longer than they should, especially when they have won a championship in the past.  Even though a team may struggle and writers, experts and all of the pundits question every move they make, owners often stick with a GM if he has won “the big one”.  Assembling a Major League quality team is not an exact science, even if the sabermetricians will have you believe it is.  Sure, calculating OPS and WAR and FIP can help put you in a position to win, but there is something to be said about the culture of an organization.  It may be a myth, but you always hear about winning teams having winning attitudes.  They exude confidence. For example,  is often said that there is an aura about the New York Yankees and Yankee Stadium.  That being said, there has to be a mixture of personalities in a clubhouse.  A general manager’s job is to put the best ballplayers on a roster, and the manager’s job is to utilize those players in ways that will maximize their talents and win games.  A winning record should not directly reflect a GM’s performance. But then after all, he chose the players and hired the manager. Read the rest of this entry

NL West: Value Picks, Up-and-Coming Players and Red Flags in Fantasy Baseball

Tuesday February 14th, 2012


Peter Stein (Fantasy Baseball Analyst – MLB reports): As part of a six series installment to prepare for fantasy drafts, I examine the National League West from a strictly fantasy perspective. Instead of your run of the mill position-by-position rankings, I identify players who fall into the following three categories: value pick, buyer beware, and up-and-coming. The traditional rankings often do a disservice and give owners too close-minded of an approach, particularly in the ROTO format. An owner cannot have a clear-cut strategy and ranking system, as one must adapt to the circumstances on draft day. Remember that you are often building a team for five categories, and you cannot predict which categories you will need to target to offset weaknesses as the draft progresses. Therefore, the key to success is to understand which player’s are over and undervalued, by looking at determinants such as: performance trends, offseason movement, and skill development. We are all aware of the fantasy studs, but the way to build a winning roster is to identify players who provide sneaky good value. Read the rest of this entry

Ask the Reports: Sunday January 1st, 2012

Sunday January 1, 2012


Jonathan Hacohen:  Posted every Weekend: Your top baseball questions from the past week are answered. E-mail all questions to mlbreports@gmail.com, message us on Twitter and post on our Facebook Wall!

Let’s get to your top questions of the week:

 


Q:  With just 7 weeks until spring training, which teams are looking really good for the 2012 season?  Heather

MLB reports:  Great question Heather.  I presume you mean which teams are playoff contenders for 2012.  At this point, I really like the Rays, Tigers, Angels and Rangers in the AL.  These teams have the best balanced rosters that are built to make it to the playoffs.  In the NL, it’s the Phillies, Reds, Dbacks and Braves (maybe Cards).  Those are the strongest 8 teams that I am projecting for playoff positions at this point.  There will be many improved teams to keep an eye on.  The Jays continue to be on the rise in Toronto.  The Royals are slowly preparing to make their move.  I like what the Nationals are building in Washington.  The Pirates are slowly putting together a nice stable of young prospects.  The Padres are going to be a serious force very soon, perhaps as soon as this year.  The common theme is good pitching and depth within the lineup.  The above teams are the ones that are getting it right in my book.

 

Q:  Will the Baseball Writers snub Tim Raines once again?  David

MLB reports:  Raines since 2008 has his percentage of votes rise from 24% to 37.5%.  This is a tough one for the voters.  I have studied the numbers and I don’t give Raines a vote.  He was very good…but not Hall of Fame good in my book.  Ultimately Raines will get in, as he is more deserving that say Jim Rice in my opinion.  But he is one of those slow candidates that will climb every year and get to 75% in the last couple of years of eligibility.  Raines is a fringe hall of fame candidate and it shows in his vote totals.  Keep in mind it is the hall of fame, not the hall of very good.  If we are going to put only the best of the best in the hall, Raines should not be in.  But considering the track records of some recent inductees, then yes, Raines should be in. But don’t expect it anytime soon and definitely not in 2012.  Raines will have to play the waiting game like many other fringe candidates.

 

Q:  Any chance the Mets sign Prince Fielder? I know- I doubt the money is there, but still… I’d also like to think they can win the WS…  Jon

MLB reports:  All I have to say is…huh? You must really love your Mets, but you need to get a reality check on their chances.  To answer your questions: firstly, no chance the Mets get Prince Fielder.  For so many reasons.  They cannot afford him.  Given the Wilpon financial issues and the fact that the team is looking for a minority owner for a bailout, the team cannot take on Fielder’s salary.  All the money in the budget has already been spent, so the team will go with Ike Davis again at first base.  Davis has been a pleasant surprise and should continue to develop.  Secondly, no way that Prince will want to go to the Mets.  The team is not a contender and has too many black eyes from an image perspective.  Prince would not want to get caught in the Mets mess right now.  Plus, even with the outfield dimensions changing, I doubt Prince will want to play in that ballpark.  As far as winning the World Series, pop in a DVD and watch the glory year of 1986.  It should give you some comfort until the team returns back to glory, sometime in the next 5-10 years.  I don’t mean to be hard on you Jon, but sometimes in baseball the fans need some tough love.  I am being honest because I care.  Don’t stop supporting your Mets: just be realistic so that you are not in for a letdown.  Expect nothing and you will have your expectations exceeded!!!

 

Q:  What’s your opinion on how my Kansas City Royals will fair this season? Michael

MLB reports:  Better than many people think Michael.  The Royals will not make the playoffs, but they will be a .500 squad.  The hitting is really coming together and could get the boost of Wil Myers in mid-2012 if he gets the call.  Things are on the rise in Kansas City.  The Royals will be finishing in 3rd place, behind the Tigers and Indians.  I could even see a 2nd place finish if everything falls into place.  The team just has so much talent at every position, with the rotation being the only question mark for me.  Perez, Butler, Hosmer, Giavotella, Escobar, Moustakas, Gordon, Cain and Francoeur.  A bullpen stacked by Soria, Broxton, Crow, Collins, Mijares, Wood and Holland.  On the field and in the pen, the Royals have the power to succeed.  The rotation is a little more of a patchwork job.  The team needs Danny Duffy to put it together and top pitching prospect John Lamb to return to form after a lost year to injury.  I see 2013-2015 being the Royals time to shine.  But with the team set to host the All-Star game this coming year, they should have an exciting product on the field.  This will not be their year, but the first real step towards respectability.  Enjoy this young team, if nothing else they will be fun to watch.

 

Final Question:  What are the chances of any of these guys coming to Boston: Oswalt(P) Garza(P) Saunders(P) Spilborghs(RF) Quentin(RF)? Rick

MLB reports:  Great question Rick. Fans are wondering what the Red Sox have up their sleeve.  Unfortunately, I don’t think you will like the response on this one.  Matt Garza comes at a big price of prospects that the Red Sox will not likely pay. Plus considering how long it took for Theo to make the jump to the Cubs and the negotiation of compensation and movement of front office staff, I don’t see the teams matching up well for a trade.  Roy Oswalt will have many options considering that he will only get a 1-2 year deal.  I don’t think he will be that excited to play in Boston. I see him more likely ending up back in the NL, or going to Texas or the Jays.  Carlos Quentin is already in San Diego and will be the team’s new cleanup man.  A native son, Quentin could stay long-term in San Diego.  Whether the BoSox get Ryan Spilborghs or not is irrelevant for me.  He just doesn’t excite me as a player with much potential.  I could see Joe Saunders heading to Boston as a middle of the rotation starter.  He would be an innings eater more than anything, not a real impact guy.  It looks to me like the BoSox are going with what they have for the most part, with only minor tweaks coming.  The team has the talent, so the bigger question is how the players respond to new manager Bobby Valentine.  How Bobby V gets his players prepared and focused will decide if the BoSox can return to their glory days.

 

 

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Jonathan Hacohen is the Lead Baseball Columnist & Editor for MLB reports:  You can follow Jonathan on Twitter (@JHacohen)