Odds To Win The 2017 World Series: Nats/Giants/Astros Great Value – Bounce On KC/NYY
Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer/Part Owner)
The Nationals are really making noise about trying to land Andrew McCutchen and Chris Sale. Even if they don’t fulfill the need, I still think they will add more depth via trade for another good Starting Pitcher and also add an impressive CF, and reliever.
We shall wait and see whether or not that could be the likes of Dexter Fowler or a reunion with Ian Desmond to play CF, Aroldis Chapman or Kenley Jansen to be added to for late inning work. At +1200 the Nats are full value for the best odd of the week.
The NL East may be easier to win than the NL West and NL Central if you think the way that most good handicappers are right now. The Mets are dreaming if they think they can contend with 3 Infield Starters with bad backs, and a declining metrics Shortstop, added to not a true CF, and a horrible Catcher offensive situation.
I am trying not to bag on the Mets too much here, as I think they could still rally to win 85 – 90 wins again next year based on the strength of the rest of the Division, it is just the health concerns that would frighten me to pieces.
Can you name one Starter that wasn’t threatened to have serious arm/elbow or shoulder problems in 2016? Not all of these will be corrected in time for 2017.
I seriously believe the Cardinals have a better shot of running down the Cubs for the NL Central Division in 2017 – rather than New York reeling in the DC club.
You have to look the progression of the winter here as well. Washington is talking about adding a perennial CY Young Candidate in Chris Sale, and a former NL MVP in ‘Cutch’. This is not withstanding they already possess 5 – 6 players that could win significant hardware already on their 25 Man Roster.
The Mets do have Yoenis Cespedes, and Noah Syndergaard looks filthy at times as well, but even those gentlemen spent some time on the shelf. Quite frankly. Cespedes always playing golf despite injuries should not be tolerated. and should have been put into his new deal – that he can’t do that.
When you are a handicapper, you look at the little things like this at all times.
Again, I am not dumb enough to not say the Cubs aren’t the ironclad favorites right now, however you will never see any good odd for them either.
I would actually propel the Nats beyond them if they were to land both McCuthen and Sale, without the Chicago putting forth any big additions of their own.
Odds To Win the 2017 World Series
Blue color means best value favorite with odd in parenthesis
Maroon color means worst value with odd in parenthesis
Chicago Cubs +350
Cleveland Indians +1200 (4)
I don’t like that the Tribe is the highest rated AL club here. It is so hard to make it back to the World Series after losing the previous one. Yes. the Royals did that just in 2014 and 2015, however the new CBA rules are killing the smaller market teams with the Luxury Tax Thresholds favoring the middle class teams. The Astros and Mariners stand to gain traction on this landscape by far.
Washington Nationals +1200 (1)
This is our 1st wager of the winter. Take the Nats for $100!
Boston Red Sox +1200
LA Dodgers +1200
Houston Astros +1500 (2)
With already adding Brian McCann, Carlos Beltran and Josh Reddick without giving up anyone from the Major League Roster, the ‘Stros are decisively better than they were to end the 2016 campaign. After starting 7 – 17, the club then played to a record of 77 – 61 down the last 138 contests.
NY Mets +1500
Texas Rangers +2000
SF Giants +2000 (4)
Keeping up with theme of all teams that have a nice roster, have the finances, and can hold a payroll between $180 – $215 MIL, and would only be 1st time Threshold abusers, the Giants fit this mold. Not only does the 95% penalty stop the Dodgers potentially from spending a dollar more than $235 MIL (where they have averaged $300 MIL over the last 2 seasons), but it also brings the Cubs down a peg on the list too for the coming year. The Giants can revamp their entire Bullpen and add a bat in the OF with the budget they have for the winter.
NY Yankees +2000 (2)
I absolutely hate the odd the Pinstripers have here. Their offense is not that strong – and they have not added of ALL – Star Caliber yet anyone yet. This is all based on speculation the Bronx Bombers will be spending some serious money on their roster before 2017 begins.With the new CBA Luxury Tax Limit Threshold, they will not spend the type of money needed to compete out of the get go.
St. Louis Cardinals +2500
Detroit Tigers +2500 (5)
There is too much talk of trimming payroll – and dealing valuable members of their current squad. To further elaborate on this point. This roster will be subtracted from – and not added too. Add in the loss already of Cameron Maybin from 2016. and we are just not their with a club that failed to make the playoffs.
Seattle Mariners +3000 (3)
If Texas doesn’t replenish their departing talent, their loss could be the M’s gain here. Houston has already improved in their winter season, however their Starting Pitching is a lot more suspect than the Mariners. Buoyed by an awesome middle lineup of Robinson Cano, Nelson Cruz and Kyle Seager should produce a playoff spot soon.
Baltimore Orioles +2500
KC Royals +3000 (1)
The Royals were bitten badly by injuries in 2016 – and still should have a pedigree of players all looking for their next contract in Eric Hosmer, Lorenzo Cain , Danny Duffy, Wade Davis and Mike Moustakas. Perhaps not one team had its balloon burst with the new Compensation Picks for outgoing players that have rejected Qualifying Offers. 1 RD Draft reimbursement now will be 2nd or 3RD round, as such KC should start their rebuild right now and blow up the current roster.
Pittsburgh Pirates +4000
Chicago White Sox +4500
Miami Marlins +5000 (3)
The unfortunate death of Jose Fernandez has left the club void of the pitching it needs to contend.
TB Rays +7000 (5)
A full season back with Alex Cobb, and the young staff should be better with another year from Jake Odorizzi, plus the internal improvement of Blake Snell. It may be worth the long shot I also could foresee that the Jays/Yankees and Orioles may not be as good in 2017 as they were in 2016. Its is a long shot at best, but may be worth some cabbage.
Colorado Rockies +7000
LA Angels +11500
Philadelphia Phillies +11500
Arizona D’Backs +11500
Atlanta Braves +11500
Oakland A’s +11500
Milwaukee Brewers +11500
Minnesota Twins +11500
Cincinnati Reds +11500
SD Padres +11500
*** The views and opinions expressed in this report are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of mlbreports.com and their partners***
A big thanks goes out to our ‘Chief Writer/Part Owner’ Hunter Stokes for preparing today’s featured post.
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Posted on December 5, 2016, in gambling 101 and tagged al central, AL East, AL West, All 30 MLB Teams, American league, Andrew McCutchen, arizona diamondbacks, aroldis chapman, Atlanta Braves, baltimore orioles, boston red sox, carlos beltran, chicago cubs, chicago white sox, chris sale, cincinnati reds, cleveland indians, colorado rockies, Danny Duffy, detroit tigers, Dexter Fowler, houston astros, ian desmond, josh reddick, kansas city royals, kenley jansen, kyle seager, la angels, la dodgers, lorenzo cain, miami marlins, mike moustakas, milwaukee brewers, minnesota twins, MLB Futures in 2017, national league, new york mets, new york yankees, NL Central, NL east, nl west, Noah Syndergaard, oakland athletics, odds to win the 2017 MLB World Series, odds to wint the 2017 world series, philadelphia phillies, pittsburgh pirates, robinson cano, san diego padres, san francisco giants, seattle mariners, St. Louis Cardinals, tampa bay rays, texas rangers, toronto blue jays, wade davis, washington nationals, yoenis cespedes. Bookmark the permalink. Leave a comment.