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San Francisco Giants Payroll In 2016 + Contracts Going Forward

The Giants have won the World Series in 2010, 2012 and 2014 recently. A lot of the core is still intact for 2016 - and they could add in Free Agency over the winter, while the Dodgers may not be as formidable in 2016 either. With some flexibility coming in the forms of finances, the San Fran club should spend what they can in 2016 - go for another few premiere players, before trying any form of rebuilding afterwards. The Giants finished the 2015 season a disappointing 83 - 79 - which continued their odd curse.

The Giants have won the World Series in 2010, 2012 and 2014 recently. A lot of the core is still intact for 2016 – and they added Johnny Cueto, Jeff Samardija and Denard Span as key Free Agency overs the winter, while the Dodgers may not be as formidable in 2016 either.  The Giants finished the 2015 season a disappointing 84 – 78 – which continued their odd year curse. Already at about a total team salary of $176 MIL in 2016 – with an AAV of about $189 MIL – and may be over it before the season ends.  They would just be 1st time abusers, so they should go for it if a deal can be struck to improve the club. 

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer) 

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Yep.  The Giants are heading into an even year this decade – and will try for a fourth time in a row to become World Champions.

The 1st thing we look at when it comes to payroll is how much a team has in guaranteed contracts.  This franchise is looking at $176 MIL in 2016.

Jake Peavy, Angel Pagan, Santiago Casilla and Javier Lopez are on the last year of their individual pacts and are not on the payroll beyond this year.

Brian Sabean may consider this when he makes some midseason moves for guys who may be on the last year of their contracts elsewhere. 

The Giants spent almost $40 MIL on Disabled List stints in 2015 – and it may have cost them a chance to make the playoffs. 

They are the 2nd favored team (+900) to win the World Series (in overall MLB and the NL) to the Cubs (+650)

San Fran has a chance to win 4 rings in 7 seasons, and should not be dissuaded from going over the $189 MIL Luxury Tax Threshold either.  The club has paid off all of its debt – and is raking in the cash.

The Giants routinely sellout AT & T Park, and will continue to do so.  This venue is considered the #1 stadium by most of the percentage of people who have seen all 30 MLB Parks. 

Bumgarner is the latest ace of the franchise to arrive to the organization that was drafted by the club. While it is unlikely he will pull down a Cy Young Award with Clayton Kershaw residing in the same League, the 27 Year Old LHP is establishing himself h established himself as a premiere playoff performer. When you add his Game 1 World Series win stats to his totals, the man has a 2.54 ERA and 0.969 WHIP, while fashioning a record of 6 - 3 in his postseason career. Sabean had the smarts to lock him up through the 2019 season, meaning San Francisco will have considerable value for his return based on his contract.

Bumgarner is the latest ace of the franchise to arrive to the organization that was drafted by the club. While it is unlikely he will pull down a Cy Young Award with Clayton Kershaw residing in the same League, the 27 Year Old LHP has established himself as a premiere playoff performer.  Sabean had the smarts to lock him up through the 2019 season back before 2014, meaning San Francisco will have considerable value for his return based on his contract the next 4 campaigns.  Which is great the wa  Matt Cain’s deal has gone.

Matt Cain‘s 2 years remaining for sure with the team – and will cost a minimum of $49.5 MIL.  This is not looking so hot, but it is offset by the value Madison Bumgarner‘s deal.

MadBum will only make $35.5 MIL over the next four years, which is an absolute steal.

This club has to spend money to compete with the LA Dodgers.  Last year the Giants edged just underneath the Luxury Tax Threshold of $189 MIL – with a mark of $187.1 MIL.  The organization will likely spend somewhere near that clip again in 2016.

Perhaps they will still re-sign Tim Lincecum to a one year deal with a lot of incentives attached to it.  Although I am thinking they would rather see him as a late-inning arm, and he may want to Start.

This team now has $155 MIL on the books for 14 player contracts in 2017 – and would be without their top 3 Relief Core chucker.

Brian Sabean has been the architect behind the Giants brilliant 6 year run.  His attention to building a Pitching Staff has to be noted, with several winning draft selections, mixed with key Free Agent signings, and waiver claims.  With all of the hype surrounding the other "Bay Area" GM, it is time that this man is giving his due.

Brian Sabean has been the architect behind the Giants brilliant 6 year run. His attention to building a Pitching Staff has to be noted, with several winning draft selections, mixed with key Free Agent signings, and waiver claims.  If he acquires any additional players in 2016 – it will put them over the Luxury Tax Threshold.  A penalty of 17.5% will be added per $1 spent.  This should not prevent them with San Fran being one of the richest franchises. 

The team signing Denard Span (3 YRs/$31 MIL guaranteed, or 4 YRs/$39 MIL) was brilliant.  This does give them an effective 3 OF (Pagan, Pence and Span  -with Blanco and Belt having the ability to also play LF) – and in particular when you see Pagan and Pence spent so much time on the DL last year.

With Cain eventually coming off the books (after 2017 if the team declines his 2018 Option), the club also needs to position itself beyond that year without him.

Inking both Johnny Cueto (6 YRs/$132 MIL) and Jeff Samardzija (5 YRs/$90 MIL) was made possible by the awesome AAV they have on Bumgarner.

They are also going to be playing against Clayton Kershaw for the next half a dozen years or so too.  A #1 ace is essential.  With these 3 guys in the fold, all have capable talent to be #1’s.

The club has Bumgarner until 2019, Samardzija’s deal runs through 2020 and Cueto is inked until 2021.

It is important to look at the AAV of the three key FA’s – with Crawford’s extension ($12.5 AAV, but just $6 MIL in 2016) – as $62.83 MIL instead of the $40.6 MIL all four will combine to earn for their 2016 contracts. 

The Giants are probably going to be over the Luxury Tax Threshold already – even with the few MIL they save on Posey’s AAV being around 18.2 MIL and his 2016 sum being at $20 MIL. 

Matt Cain’s lower AAV then 2016 cash ($20 MIL to about $18.5 MIL) is also slightly offset by Pagan making more than his AAV of his deal ($11.3 MIL to $10.00 AAV). 

The Giants are drawing well over 3.5 Million Fans per year, and another championship run in the next four years is possible with Posey, Bumgarner, Cueto, Samardzija Pence, Panik, Span and Brandon Crawford all being on the teams payroll until at least 2019.

Really the 2016 winter going into 2017 will consist of the team trying to find more Bullpen help by signing their own pending Free Agent guys, or looking on the open market again.

Johnny Cueto is 97 - 70 (.578) career with a 3.30 ERA however he has put forth a 2.71 ERA since the start of the 2011 year.  Much like his new team, Cueto has performed better in the even years of this decade, where he finished 2nd in Cy Young Voting in 2012 and 4th in 2014 Cy Young Voting.  He stands to make $132 MIL over the next 6 years (or $154 MIL if the club picks up his 2022 Team Option for a 7th year).  The 30 year old also has an opt out clause after 2017 - that would let him make $42.6 MIL for the next 2 years - and then hit the open market.

Johnny Cueto is 97 – 70 (.578) career with a 3.30 ERA however he has put forth a 2.71 ERA since the start of the 2011 year. Much like his new team, Cueto has performed better in the even years of this decade, where he finished 2nd in Cy Young Voting in 2012 and 4th in 2014 Cy Young Voting. He stands to make $132 MIL over the next 6 years (or $154 MIL if the club picks up his 2022 Team Option for a 7th year). The 30 year old also has an opt out clause after 2017 – that would let him make $42.6 MIL for the next 2 years – and then hit the open market again for 2018.

Guaranteed Contracts/POS/AGE:

Johnny Cueto SP (30):  The former Red and Royals player makes $15.8 MIL in 2016 and $21.8 MIL in 2017, and also has a $5 MIL Buyout after that year.  So he is guaranteed $42.6 MIL for the next 2 campaigns.

If Cueto remains from 2018 – 2021, he is deal goes like this respectively:  $21.8 MIL from 2018 – 2021.  There is also a Team Option for 2022 that comes with a $22 MIL price tag – or $5 MIL Buyout.

Matt Cain SP (31):  Makes $20.8 MIL for each of the next 2 years, before there is a Team Option for $21 MIL in 2018 – or a $7.5 MIL Buyout.

Buster Posey C/1B (29):  The Catcher/1B makes $20 MIL in 2016, and will earn $21.4 MIL in each season between 2017 – 2021, with a Buyout stipulated for 2022 at $3 MIL that acts like a bonus.

Jeff Samardzija  SP (31):  “The Shark” makes just $10.8 MIL in 2016 – before equal sums of $19.8 MIL (2017 – 2020) follow that for his total of $90 MIL over 5 seasons. 

Hunter Pence OF (33);  Pence will earn $18.5 MIL for the next 3 years each.

Jake Peavy SP (35):  The two time World Series winner makes $15 MIL this upcoming year before he hits Free Agency next winter.

Angel Pagan CF (34): Pagan makes $11.3 MIL in 2016 and is a Free Agent in 2017.

Madison Bumgarner SP (26):  MadBum is vastly underpaid at $10 MIL in 2016 and $11.5 MIL in 2017. Unless disaster strikes there are two straight Team Options for 2018 and 2019 at $12 MIL per year.

The Nationals were 36 - 25 in the games that Denard Span appeared in for the 2015 year.  He is going to help some offense as a legitimate leadoff man in 2016 who can play a decent CF.  HIs pending departure will be felt significantly more if Jayson Werth has another injury riddled year - or if Michael Taylor can't take the next step in 2016.

The Nationals were 36 – 25 in the games that Denard Span appeared in for the 2015 year. He was going to help some offense as a legitimate leadoff man in 2016 who can play a decent CF.  He led the NL in hits during 2014 – with 184 base knocks, and also led the Senior Circuit for triples in 2013 – with 11.  The man 3 slashed .295/.345/.404 for the Nats in the last 3 years – while swiping 63 bags. 

Denard Span CF (32):  The new leadoff hitter earns $5 MIL in 2016, before consecutive seasons of $11 MIL each in 2017 and 2018. 

There is a $12 MIL Team Option in 2019 that calls for a total of $12 MIL.  If he plays the 4th year, it will cost the franchise just $39 MIL over 4 campaigns.  If he is bought out. the deal is worth 3 Years/$31 MIL.

Sergio Romo RP (33):  $9.5 MIL in 2016 and a Free Agent in 2017.

Santiago Casilla CL (35): $6.5 MIL in 2016 and a Free Agent in 2017.

Brandon Crawford SS (29): The SS just signed a 6 YRs/$75 MIL deal this winter.  Breakdown goes:  $6 MIL in 2016. $8.2 MIL in 2017 – and for every year between 2018 – 2021 he will earn $15.2 MIL per season.

Javier Lopez RP (38):  $5.0 MIL in 2016 and a Free Agent in 2017.

Gregor Blanco OF (32):  $3.9 MIL in 2016 and a Free Agent in 2017

Total Money for this Category – $158.8 MIL

Arbitration Eligible/POS/AGE

1st Year

George Kontos RP (31):  Makes $1.2 MIL in 2016 – and 3 years of Arbitration and is eligible to be a Free Agent in 2020.

Hector Sanchez C (26): Is projected to make 900K in 2016. Has 3 years of Arbitration and is eligible to be a Free Agent in 2019.

Total Money for this Category – $2.1 MIL:  Total Team Salary – $160.9 MIL

2nd Year

Brandon Belt 1B/LF (28):  Makes $6.2 MIL in 2016 – has one more year of Arbitration in 2017 – before hitting the open market in 2018.

Total Money for this Category – $6.2 MIL:  Total Team Salary – $167.4 MIL

Dead Money POS/AGE:

Nori Aoki RF (34):  Buyout of 700K and will not be on the payroll past this year.

Daniel Carbonell OF (24):  Buyout of 350K in 2016 and 450K in 2017 and will not be on the payroll beyond that.

Total Money for this Category – $1.1 MIL:  Total Team Salary – $168.5 MIL

Entry Level Contracts POS/AGE

Cory Gearrin RP (30): Is Arbitration Eligible for four years between 2016 – 2019 and will become a Free Agent in 2020.

Ehire Adrianza UT (26):  Is Arbitration Eligible from 2018 – 2020 and a Free Agent in 2021.

Joe Panik 2B (25):  Is Arbitration Eligible from 2018 – 2020 and a Free Agent in 2021.

Andrew Susac C (26):  Is Arbitration Eligible from 2018 – 2020 and a Free Agent in 2021.

Matt Duffy UT (25):  Is Arbitration Eligible from 2018 – 2020 and a Free Agent in 2021.

Chris Heston SP (28):  Is Arbitration Eligible from 2018 – 2020 and a Free Agent in 2021.

Hunter Strickland RP (27):  Is Arbitration Eligible for four years between 2017 – 2020 and will become a Free Agent in 2021.

Josh Osich RP (27):  Is Arbitration Eligible from 2019 – 2021 and a Free Agent in 2022.

Kelby Tomlinson 2B (25):  Is Arbitration Eligible from 2019 – 2021 and a Free Agent in 2022.

Michael Broadway RP (29):  Is Arbitration Eligible from 2019 – 2021 and a Free Agent in 2022.

Jarrett Parker OF/PH (26): Is Arbitration Eligible from 2019 – 2021 and a Free Agent in 2022.

Cody Hall RP (28):  Is Arbitration Eligible from 2019 – 2021 and a Free Agent in 2022.

Trevor Brown C (24):  Is Arbitration Eligible from 2019 – 2021 and a Free Agent in 2022.

Mac Williamson LF (25): Is Arbitration Eligible from 2019 – 2021 and a Free Agent in 2022.

Total Money for this Category – $7 MIL:  Total Team Salary – $175.9 MIL.

Sergio Romo, Javier Lopez and Santiago Casilla are all on the last year of their contracts. With one of the best Bullpens still in the game for 2016 - the club should allocate its dollars towards a few Starting Pitchers and one premiere outfielder.

Sergio Romo, Javier Lopez and Santiago Casilla are all on the last year of their contracts. With one of the best Bullpens still in the game for 2016 – the club should allocate 2016 winter dollars towards Relief help in going forward.  Others in the last years of their deals with the club are Angel Pagan and Gregor Blanco.

*** The views and opinions expressed in this report are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of mlbreports.com and their partners***

A Big thanks goes out to our chief writer Hunter Stokes for preparing today’s feature post.

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About hunterstokes21

I Played NCAA Baseball at Liberty University in the 90's with Sid Bream's kid Sheldon. Once Hit a Home Run by hitting a hot air balloon that was coming over 2nd base (It was agreed that if a balloon was hit before game by the umpires and coaches - even though they were setting up in LF/CF Bleachers). I believe in the "Church Of Baseball". Come in for worship anytime.

Posted on March 6, 2016, in MLB Payroll and Contracts and tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , . Bookmark the permalink. Comments Off on San Francisco Giants Payroll In 2016 + Contracts Going Forward.

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