Baltimore Orioles State Of The Union For 2016
Posted by chuckbooth3023
Chuck Booth (Owner/Lead Analyst) Follow @chuckbooth3024
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The Baltimore Orioles are in serious jeopardy of falling back into a tailspin in the AL East if they don’t turn around their winter.
Buck Showalter saw his team scramble for a .500 record – yet the season was a massive disappointment from the previous 3 years.
I am not going to give them crap either for offering Davis a 7 YR deal that is worth around $150 MIL. That is a totally fair offer.
I like that they offered Wieters the Qualifying Offer and that he accepted it. This was a mutually beneficial move that worked out for both sides.
On the surface the Orioles are not in bad shape. They have an emerging superstar in Manny Machado at 3B – and a decent uprising player at 2B in Jonathan Schoop. Adam Jones is still patrolling CF for the next few seasons as well.
So for the club also traded for Mark Trumbo – who should help alleviate some of the power loss if Davis leaves – although I am not certain he will fare any better than the production the squad received from Steve Pearce in 2015 as a DH/1B.
This organization is in desperate need for OF help. Whether that is re-signing Davis or inking another Free Agent into the mix.
The worst player they could sign would be a player like Justin Upton. He is really a hot/cold guy and the O’s already possess a guy with the same tool set in Adam Jones.
Out of the Free Agents remaining, I think that Denard Span or Dexter Fowler would be better solutions. You may even be able to free up Adam Jones to an Outfield spot that can take some wear and tear of his bones.
Another guy that would help out on both defense and provide left handed pop out of the lineup is Alex Gordon.
This team does need more of a leadoff type hitter – and that is why Span or Fowler are better fits. If the team does end up doing a deal with Davis, you could always see a mixture of Trumbo and Jimmy Paredes in RF.
Keep in mind that Trumbo will also be a Free Agent after the next season.
There is no doubt the club would love to see internal improvements from Kevin Gausman and potentially Dylan Bundy coming up. Gausman in just 25 in 2016 – and Bundy despite battling injury for the last few years is still only 23 this upcoming campaign.
If those guys can live up to the billing they had as top prospects then maybe the Orioles will not have any problems to worry about in the Starting Rotation.
The Relief Core is still solid with Closer Zach Britton being set up by O’Day, Brad Brach and Brian Matusz. The club had a of Bullpen guys carry ERA’s of over 4 in 2015 – that will need to be rectified in 2016 for them to compete.
Chaz Roe and T.J. McFarland will need to better this coming year. The organization may look to add some more pieces for the later innings through Free Agency still. They could use a flame thrower like they had in Tommy Hunter previously.
The total team salary is probably going to sit at $117 MIL after Arbitration Eligible players are paid out, so they might only have about $20 – $25 MIL more to spend after that.
Baltimore will have to figure out Matt Wieters situation by the midway point of 2016. If they are in contention they should keep him for the playoff push. If they are not near the playoff bar in July, then Trumbo, Wieters, Matusz and potentially several other players should be made available.
It is a fine line of where the team is right now with the players exponentially hitting late Arbitration years and becoming more expensive. This cycle is hitting many clubs after 2 or 3 years of decent records.
Look at the Oakland A’s, Cincinnati Reds, Cleveland Indians and Milwaukee Brewers as organizations that have has some success of late and then found it hard to keep the ship together once players were becoming Closer to Free Agency
It is tough to compete in the AL East with Boston having spent a ton on talent this year, Toronto still holding an offensive juggernaut, the Yankees are always going to be there – and the Rays having the best all around Rotation in the Division.
The window may very well have passed. If the club can retain Davis it might by them another 2 years of solid competing, however Peter Angelos will need to spend more money than he ever has for that to happen. I am just not sold he is willing to do that.
*** The views and opinions expressed in this report are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of mlbreports.com and their partners***
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About chuckbooth3023I played competitive baseball until 18 years old and had offers to play NCAA Division 1 University Baseball at Liberty University. Post-concussion symptoms from previous football and baseball head injuries forced me to retire by age 19. After two nearly made World Record Attempts in 2008, I set a New World Record by visiting all 30 MLB Parks (from 1st to last pitch) in only 24 Calendar Days in the summer 0f 2009. In April of 2012, I established yet another new GWR by visiting all 30 Parks in only 23 Calendar Days! You can see the full schedule at the page of the www.mlbreports.com/gwr-tracker . In 2015, I watched 224 MLB Games, spanning all 30 MLB Parks in 183 Days. Read about that World Record Journey at https://mlbreports.com/183in2015/229sked2015/
Posted on December 12, 2015, in MLB Teams State Of the Unions and tagged 2014 AL East, 2014 ALCS, 2016 Orioles Roster, adam jones, AL East, alex gordon, baltimore, baltimore orioles, boston red sox, buck showalter, Camden Yards, Chaz Roe, chris davis, cincinnati reds, dan duquette, darren o'day, denard span, Dexter Fowler, dylan bundy, gerardo parra, j.j. hardy, jimmy paredes, Jonathan Schoop, justin upton, kevin gausman, manny machado, matt wieters, miguel gonzalez, milwaukee brewers, new york yankees, peter angelos, steve pearce, t.j. Macfarland, tampa bay rays, tommy hunter, toronto blue jays, ubaldo jimenez, wei-yin chen, zach britton. Bookmark the permalink. 1 Comment.