Daily Archives: November 24, 2015

Odds To Win The 2016 MLB World Series

The Twins finished 2nd in the AL Central and could be the Houston Astros type of 2015 club in 2016. If you think they can finish 2nd in the AL Central one more time, it may be enough to secure a Wild Card Spot. I think the AL East will beat each other up - and will only produce one playoff team in 2016.

The Twins finished 2nd in the AL Central and could be the Houston Astros type of 2015 club in 2016. If you think they can finish 2nd in the AL Central one more time, it may be enough to secure a Wild Card Spot. I think the AL East will beat each other up – and will only produce one playoff team in 2016.  At +3500, there is enough off an odd to work with.

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer) 

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So the offseason has started in the MLB – and the oddsmakers are doing their odds before any sweeping changes have occurred for clubs.

Some of the best bets you can do are based on your own speculation on how you think teams are going to do.

I don’t like many of the teams odds once you past the 25/1 barrier to win the World Series.  The only club I would even stab at – to hedge later – is the Minnesota Twins.

Once again the 2015 Standings don’t seem to mean much for the AL Central.  The Twinkies managed to finish second in the Division with 83 win – despite playing the 1st half without Ervin Santana and power slugging rookie Miguel Sano.

I am not suggesting the Indians don’t deserve to be the 2nd favorite in the AL Central either.  It is just the discrepancy between the Tribe and the Twins is too far.  Even the Tigers are at +2500 (which is about right). Read the rest of this entry

Cincinnati Reds Payroll In 2016 + Contracts Going Forward

Joey Votto had his best year since 2010 at the plate in 2015. It couldn't have come at a better time. The Canadian Slugger will make $199 MIL min over the next 8 years and will be counted on to help with a rebuild. Either that, or maybe he could create enough value to be traded and the club could gain some financial flexibility going forward. The Reds finished 64 - 98 in 2015 - and are in the same Division as the top three teams in the MLB.

Joey Votto had his best year since 2010 at the plate in 2015. It couldn’t have come at a better time. The Canadian Slugger will make $199 MIL min over the next 8 years and will be counted on to help with a rebuild. Either that, or maybe he could create enough value to be traded and the club could gain some financial flexibility going forward. The Reds finished 64 – 98 in 2015 – and are in the same Division as the top three teams in the MLB.  They should continue to trade veterans for as many young players as they can – and rebuild for 2 – 3 years down the road.

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer) 

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Homer Bailey was the 1st Pitcher to have a $100 Million Dollar Contract in place and undergo Tommy John Surgery.  Carl Crawford holding onto a 7 YRs/$142 MIL deal originally signed with the Red Sox was the 1st guy to go down with the TJ Surgery as a position player.

Yes insurance will pay some of the money, but it is not a given that he will comeback and be as effective as he was before he went down with the UCL surgery.

The club is on the hook for Joey Votto to the tune of $199 MIL from 2016 – 2023 – and will jump another $13 MIL if the team picks up a $20 MIL Club Option for 2024.

The Reds are thanking their lucky stars that Votto posted his best baseball season since 2010 in 2015 with a 1.000 OPS and 143 Walks. Read the rest of this entry

Figuring Out Miguel Cabrera’s Place ALL – Time When He is Done Playing: Can He Reach 4K Hits?

Whatever Cabrera ends up doing - he is already a Hall of Fame Player right now. He is a 2 time MVP, with 4 other top 5 finishes, and has won 6 Silver Slugger Awards. He has 11 100 RBI seasons, has won 2 Homerun Titles, and has won the 4 Batting Titles.

Whatever Cabrera ends up doing in the course of his next 8 – 10 years he is under contract with Detroit- he is already a Hall of Fame Player right now. He is a 2 time MVP, with 4 other top 5 finishes, and has won 6 Silver Slugger Awards. He has 11 100 RBI seasons, has won 2 Homerun Titles, and has won 4 Batting Titles in the last 5 years with the Tigers.

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer) 

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Miguel Cabrera just won his 4th Batting Title in 5 years in 2015.  It was a year thaw saw him rack up his 400th HR and saw him reach 900 Extra Base Hits for his career.

Heading into 2016, Cabrera starts his 8 YR/$240 MIL contract with the Tigers, (with a few Vesting Options in 2024 and 2025).  He will turn 33 about a week into the season.

Just how far will he go into the historical record books will be determined by the duration of this contract.  Does he have a chance at 4000 Hits and 700 HRs?

The ALL-Time list he is capable of reaching (I feel) are the ALL – Time Extra Bases mark of 1477 set by Hank Aaron, ALL – Time RBI list (also held by Aaron) at 2297 and the ALL-Time Doubles mark of 792 held by Tris Speaker. Read the rest of this entry

Top Ten Active List: Wins Leaders For Pitchers: Will Anyone Have A Chance To Win 300 Games?

For a guy who only started 47 games from the 2006 - 2009 years, has defied all odds to be one of the most durable pitchers in the last 5 years, posting a record of 65 - 51, while lugging 147 Game Starts. His career renaissance has enabled him to become the Active Leader in Pitcher Wins (218) and Shutouts (13). He will turn 43 in late May next season. Some team will probably have him in their rotation.

For a guy who only started 47 games from the 2006 – 2009 years, has defied all odds to be one of the most durable pitchers in the last 5 years, posting a record of 65 – 51, while lugging 147 Game Starts. His career renaissance has enabled him to become the Active Leader in Pitcher Wins (218) and Shutouts (13). He will turn 43 in late May next season. Some team will probably have him in their rotation.

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer) 

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While surfing through some stats the other day I came to the realization of a few things.  Tim Hudson or CC Sabathia were no longer the active Wins Leader for Pitchers, and Bartolo Colon was.

Furthermore, Colon also holds the active record for Shutouts for throwers at just (13) – which is the same total  Bob Gibson put up in one season for the Cards in 1968.  A year that concluded with the MLB deciding to lower the mound.

At 218 wins, there is no way Colon will ever achieve 300 wins.  It is ultimately too bad he lost the greater part of every year from 2006 – 2009 – only making 47 injury riddled starts.  He only managed 14 victories in those said starts. Read the rest of this entry

MLB 162 Game Format Should Be Changed To 154 Games: More Interleague + Less Division Games

For 80 years of their existence, the MLB played a 154 Game Schedule. By going back to this number of games it would ensure that no World Series may be played in November, and would give the league an alternative or two in changing the playoff format if need be. You could also revert the record book back to a 154 Games - and have Babe Ruth being the single season leader all time for HRs at 60. You can effectively rub out the steroid era.

For 80 years of their existence, the MLB played a 154 Game Schedule. By going back to this number of games it would ensure that no World Series may be played in November, and would give the league an alternative or two in changing the playoff format if need be. You could also revert the record book back to a 154 Games – and have Babe Ruth being the single season leader all time for HRs at 60. You can effectively rub out the steroid era.

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer) 

Follow The MLB Reports On Twitter 

TV Contracts aside, this will never happen.  But baseball should really grandfather in the schedule to be peeled back to 154 Games from the end of the contract of the last year on a deal with a network right now.

So why go to 154 Games?

Gone are the days when clubs sell out every single game.  Fenway Park and Citizens Bank Park both went through huge consecutive sellout steaks in recent vintage.  But recently there are not any clubs that sellout every game for a given year.

Each MLB club could easily withdraw 4 home dates on the calendar each.  I am of the opinion that most teams would not suffer many losses at the gate either. Read the rest of this entry

Sully Baseball Daily Podcast – November 24, 2015

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Harry How – Getty Images

Robinson Cano will eventually return to the Yankees. Write it in ink. The Yankees always bring their stars back.

It is what they do. The Yankees are sentimental and bringing former stars back to the Bronx is par for the course.

It is a pending reunion episode of The Sully Baseball Daily Podcast.

Read the rest of this entry

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