Figuring Out Miguel Cabrera’s Place ALL – Time When He is Done Playing: Can He Reach 4K Hits?
Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer) Follow @stokes_hunter21
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Miguel Cabrera just won his 4th Batting Title in 5 years in 2015. It was a year thaw saw him rack up his 400th HR and saw him reach 900 Extra Base Hits for his career.
Heading into 2016, Cabrera starts his 8 YR/$240 MIL contract with the Tigers, (with a few Vesting Options in 2024 and 2025). He will turn 33 about a week into the season.
Just how far will he go into the historical record books will be determined by the duration of this contract. Does he have a chance at 4000 Hits and 700 HRs?
The ALL-Time list he is capable of reaching (I feel) are the ALL – Time Extra Bases mark of 1477 set by Hank Aaron, ALL – Time RBI list (also held by Aaron) at 2297 and the ALL-Time Doubles mark of 792 held by Tris Speaker.
I think Cabrera would need to play for those 10 years to break these 1st 2 records. Any failure to do that, would make it tougher to pass Aaron.
At 1445 RBI, he is 852 RBI behind for 1st ALL – Time. The Tigers 1B had his 1st non full year of not registering 100 RBI+ ever in 2015.
It is also fair to point out that Cabrera missed 43 Games in 2015 though. Had he played in those games, it is likely he would have reached the mark for the 12th straight year.
Yes Detroit is not as skillful in their lineup the next few years as they were the last few years, but Miggy has a .326 BA career for the Tigers, and I see him being able to rack up nearly 100 RBI for at least the next 3 – 4 seasons.
The last thing to figure out is where he will end up on the ALL – Time hit chart. At just 33, he has 2331 Hits. It is really realistic that the man will be able to reel in 1669 Hits over the next decade should he play that long.
If Cabrera can average 185 hits a year for the next 4 years, he surge past 3000 hits, and still only be at Age 37 heading into the 2020 season will nearly 3100 Hits. If he can average 150 hits for the next 6 years after that, he could challenge the 4000 Hits mark.
I don’t think that Cabrera will be anything other than a DH for the second half of his new extension. This may bode well for his health after that.
I believe the Cabrera could play until 43 based on his bat speed and pure hitting style.
At worst, I think he will challenge Aaron for 3rd ALL – Time in the hits category at 3771 (he is 1440 base knocks away already.) I also see him passing Willie Mays for 5th in the Home Run category by smacking at least another 253 big flys in his career.
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Posted on November 24, 2015, in MLB Player Profiles and tagged active batting leaders, alex rodriguez, All Time batting average leaders, ALL-Time Hits Leaders, babe ruth, comerica park, detroit tigers, hank aaron, miami marlins, miguel cabrera, pete rose, tris speaker, ty cobb. Bookmark the permalink. Comments Off on Figuring Out Miguel Cabrera’s Place ALL – Time When He is Done Playing: Can He Reach 4K Hits?.