Figuring Out Miguel Cabrera’s Place ALL – Time When He is Done Playing: Can He Reach 4K Hits?

Whatever Cabrera ends up doing - he is already a Hall of Fame Player right now. He is a 2 time MVP, with 4 other top 5 finishes, and has won 6 Silver Slugger Awards. He has 11 100 RBI seasons, has won 2 Homerun Titles, and has won the 4 Batting Titles.

Whatever Cabrera ends up doing in the course of his next 8 – 10 years he is under contract with Detroit- he is already a Hall of Fame Player right now. He is a 2 time MVP, with 4 other top 5 finishes, and has won 6 Silver Slugger Awards. He has 11 100 RBI seasons, has won 2 Homerun Titles, and has won 4 Batting Titles in the last 5 years with the Tigers.

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer) 

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Miguel Cabrera just won his 4th Batting Title in 5 years in 2015.  It was a year thaw saw him rack up his 400th HR and saw him reach 900 Extra Base Hits for his career.

Heading into 2016, Cabrera starts his 8 YR/$240 MIL contract with the Tigers, (with a few Vesting Options in 2024 and 2025).  He will turn 33 about a week into the season.

Just how far will he go into the historical record books will be determined by the duration of this contract.  Does he have a chance at 4000 Hits and 700 HRs?

The ALL-Time list he is capable of reaching (I feel) are the ALL – Time Extra Bases mark of 1477 set by Hank Aaron, ALL – Time RBI list (also held by Aaron) at 2297 and the ALL-Time Doubles mark of 792 held by Tris Speaker.

With 408 HRs, 16 Triples and 492 Doubles, he has 916 Extra Base Hits already. While I expect a decline if future years with homers, I think Cabrera can rake up 300 doubles in the 8 years of playing. This would mean he would need about 250 - 260 roundtrippers to eclipse Aaron.

With 408 HRs, 16 Triples and 492 Doubles, he has 916 Extra Base Hits already. While I expect a decline if future years with homers, I think Cabrera can rake up 300 – 350 doubles in the 8 –  10 years of playing. This would mean he would need about 210 – 240 roundtrippers to eclipse Aaron.  Cabrera averages 77 XBH per 162 Games he plays for his career.  It is not unheard of to think he can’t crack 561 Extra Base Hits in the next decade of playing.  Tris Speaker holds a 300 Doubles lead on him right now – which I think is the most attainable mark to break out of all of them.

I think Cabrera would need to play for those 10 years to break these 1st 2 records.  Any failure to do that, would make it tougher to pass Aaron.

At 1445 RBI, he is 852 RBI behind for 1st ALL – Time.  The Tigers 1B had his 1st non full year of not registering 100 RBI+ ever in 2015.

It is also fair to point out that Cabrera missed 43 Games in 2015 though.  Had he played in those games, it is likely he would have reached the mark for the 12th straight year.

Yes Detroit is not as skillful in their lineup the next few years as they were the last few years, but Miggy has a .326 BA career for the Tigers, and I see him being able to rack up nearly 100 RBI for at least the next 3 – 4 seasons.

I would be ultra surprised if he didn’t at least make it 2000+ RBI like only Aaron, Babe Ruth and Alex Rodriguez have done.

The last thing to figure out is where he will end up on the ALL – Time hit chart.  At just 33, he has 2331 Hits. It is really realistic that the man will be able to reel in 1669 Hits over the next decade should he play that long.

If Cabrera can average 185 hits a year for the next 4 years, he surge past 3000 hits, and still only be at Age 37 heading into the 2020 season will nearly 3100 Hits.  If he can average 150 hits for the next 6 years after that, he could challenge the 4000 Hits mark.

I don’t think that Cabrera will be anything other than a DH for the second half of his new extension.  This may bode well for his health after that.

I believe the Cabrera could play until 43 based on his bat speed and pure hitting style.

At worst, I think he will challenge Aaron for 3rd ALL – Time in the hits category at 3771 (he is 1440 base knocks away already.) I also see him passing Willie Mays for 5th in the Home Run category by smacking at least another 253 big flys in his career.

Cabrera is already the Active leader for Career Batting Average among players. He has a .326 Lifetime Average for the Tigers. Provided he can maintain relatively healthy, he should make it into the top 5 ALL - Time for Hits - with a chance for 4000 Hits if he can be dominant for the next 3 - 4 seasons..

Cabrera is already the Active leader for Career Batting Average among players. He has a .326 Lifetime Average for the Tigers. Provided he can maintain relatively healthy, he should make it into the top 5 ALL – Time for Hits – with a chance for 4000 Hits if he can be dominant for the next 3 – 4 seasons.  Cabrera will be chasing down Hank Aaron for the ALL – Time RBI lead as well if he plays through his Vesting Options that carry him to age 43.  Cabrera started playing in 2003 at the Age of 20.

*** The views and opinions expressed in this report are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of mlbreports.com and their partners***

A Big thanks goes out to our chief writer Hunter Stokes for preparing today’s feature post.

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Posted on November 24, 2015, in MLB Player Profiles and tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , . Bookmark the permalink. Comments Off on Figuring Out Miguel Cabrera’s Place ALL – Time When He is Done Playing: Can He Reach 4K Hits?.

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