Yes the Rays are playing terrible baseball at 15 – 21, but they are only 4 games behind the playoff bar. They always start off the year slow – and the exponentially become better as the year wears on. When Alex Cobb comes back – they have the best Starting Rotation in the AL East, and I think they are most capable of making a run at a playoff berth. At +3300, Tied for 14th longest odd, I am placing them the best value on the board, given their pedigree for strong second half’s.

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My best value picks last week I was 3 – 2,  1. The Royals dropped from +3500 – +5000, 2. Reds went from +5000 – +4000, TB went from +2500 – +3300,  as the Orioles went from +5000 – 4500, and the Cards went from +1100 – +1000. 

I still believe the Royals will turn around their season – and may beat the AL teams cannibalizing each other for a Wild Card Stretch.  They went 47 – 34 down the pike, and may just be a better 2nd half club.

The Orioles at +700 for the AL East is a better wager than the +4500 right now, as i don’t believe they have the tools to win the World Series, but they could eek out the Division.

The Reds are hanging in despite injury, and I think the Brewers will fall back, so it is just the Cards to contend with in the long run, and Cincy is just 1 Game behind those guys.  +4000 is still a great value.

The Rays are totally struggling as we speak at 15 – 21, however they are just 4 games behind the playoff bar, and should be receiving Alex Cobb back shortly. 

Out of all of the AL East teams, they are probably best suited for a 20 – 5 stretch with their pitching.  They will be the best odd this week.

Worst Odds on the Board I was right in my assessment on 2, broke even on the other 2 – and neglected to think the Jays would move up, but they did from +3000 – +2800.  SF and Oak were the draws both keeping their previous odd.

The #1 worst odd pick of last week was Boston, and they dropped from +1200 +1400.

My 2nd worst odd was Cleveland at +5500 – and they skyrocketed down the road all the way to +8000.

So for the week, I fashioned a 5 – 3 – 2 overall record for value plays.  Keep reading at the end of this post too see my picks this week.

Cleveland has gone 6 – 2 since their 6 game losing streak, and now sit at 17 – 19. They are coming around a little bit – and will play a lot of games against the White Sox and Twins, clubs they pulverized last year. Going for value alone, this team should be ranked higher than 22nd with that odd.

Odds To Win The 2014 World Series (Last Week Odd)

They have played about .500 baseball all year – and the last few weeks, yet have risen from +2800 – +1600, yet they are 4th in the AL West right now, Strikeout a ton, and are still missing Josh Hamilton. I am not saying they don’t have a chance, the odd should be somewhere where the Brewers currently reside at +2200. At least go four or five games over .500 for that odd. Kind of like the team they are tied with in Atlanta, yet the Braves have a softer schedule, and are 19 – 15.

1.   Detroit Tigers +550 (Up From +650)

2.  LA Dodgers +700 (Down From +550)

3.  Washington Nationals +750 (Up From +900)

T4. Oakland A’s +1000 (+1000)

T4. St. Louis Cardinals +1000 (UP From +1100)

T6. Boston Red Sox +1400 (Down From +1200)

T6. New York Yankees +1400 Down From +1600)

T6. San Francisco Giants +1400 (+1400)

T6.  Texas Rangers +1400 (Down From +1800)

T10. Atlanta Braves +1600 (Down from +1400)

 T10. Los Angeles Angels +1600 (Up From From +2200))

12 . Milwaukee Brewers +2200 (Down From +1800)

 13. Toronto Blue Jays +2800 (Up  From +3000)

T14. Tampa Bay Rays +3300 (Down From +2500)

T14. Colorado Rockies +3300 (Up From +3500)

T16. Cincinnati Reds +4000 (Up From +5000)

T16. Seattle Mariners +4000 (UP From +6000) 

18.  Baltimore Orioles +4500 (UP From +5000)

19. Kansas City Royals +5000 (Down From +3500)

T20. Pittsburgh Pirates +6600 (+6600)

 T20. Miami Marlins +6600 (Up From+20000)

22. Cleveland Indians +8000  (Down From +5500)

T23.   Chicago White Sox +10000 (Down From +7500)

T23.   Philadelphia Phillies +10000 (Down From +8000)

25.  New York Mets +15000 (Down From +9000)

T26.   San Diego Padres +20000 (Down From +9000)

T26. Minnesota Twins +20000 (Down From +15000)

28.   Arizona Diamondbacks + 40000 (Down From +25000)

29.  Chicago Cubs +75000 (Down from +50000)

30.   Houston Astros +200000 (Down From+ 100000)

Best Bets on the Board (Value wise)

1.  Tampa Bay +3300

2. Kansas City +5000

3. Pittsburgh Pirates +6600

4. Baltimore  +4500

5.  Cleveland +8000

Worst odds on the board this week

1. Los Angeles +1600

2. Toronto +2800

3. Oakland +1000

4, SF +1400

5.  MIA +6600

odds brought to you by www.bet365.com

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 *** The views and opinions expressed in this report are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of mlbreports.com and their partners***

A Big thanks goes out to our chief writer Hunter Stokes for preparing today’s feature post

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