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NL Trade Deadline Targets

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Monday April.8/2013

If all goes well with the team this year, the Astros could improve on their 2012 year.  If all else fails, Houston might challenge the ALL-Time Loss Record.  Whatever happens, any Veteran Player with a heartbeat will be on the trading block by June.  The Astros will continue to dissolve any of their assets (with expiring contracts) onto other teams in order to pick off some more prospects.  The Astros will also Draft 1st overall at the 2013 MLB Amateur Draft.

If all goes well with the team this year, the Astros could improve on their 2012 year. If all else fails, Houston might challenge the ALL-Time Loss Record. Whatever happens, any Veteran Player with a heartbeat will be on the trading block by June. The Astros will continue to dissolve any of their assets (with expiring contracts) onto other teams in order to pick off some more prospects. The Astros will also Draft 1st overall at the 2013 MLB Amateur Draft.  The Astros also play in the toughest Division in the Majors for pitching, plus have already put up back to back 100 Loss Seasons.  Their second half Won – Loss Records might challenge historic rates.

By Jordan Gluck (Prospects/Baseball Operations Correspondent)

Likely Mid season trade targets NL:

I’m assuming these teams will have a winning percentage of at least .475 and therefore will not be sellers although that doesn’t entirely rule out being sellers at the deadline. We are far away from the deadline but it’s nice to see who might be available. Nationals, Braves, Phillies, Reds, Cardinals, Brewers, Diamondbacks, Dodgers, Giants and Rockies (sleeper).

I believe these teams will be sellers and there are not many in the NL because of the parity. Many of these teams don’t have that much to offer so it would not surprise me if a team above (Brewers?) makes a few trades for over slot prices. Marlins, Mets, Pirates, Cubs and Padres.

Giancarlo Stanton (Formerly Mike Stanton hits it out of Dodger Stadium):

Every day that Headley sits out due to injury, it effects the entire teams record - thus potentially invoking a fire sale towards the end of the Trade Deadline.  Headley led the Padres to one of the better 2nd half's of last year, however his Service time is ticking towards Free Agency

Every day that Headley sits out due to injury, it affects the entire teams record – thus potentially invoking a fire sale towards the end of the Trade Deadline. Headley led the Padres to one of the better 2nd half’s of last year, however his Service time is ticking towards Free Agency.

Here are some players that will garner interest:

1. Giancarlo Stanton– He is caught in the mess down in Miami and would like a change of scenery. This is a player with 80 power and the potential for 50 Home Runs. To acquire him it would take a massive amount.
Probability of being traded: 75% What type of possible package will it take to get him: (Tex) Jurickson Profar, Mike Olt, Luke Jackson & Jorge Alfaro.

2. Andrew McCutchen– signed at the start of last season to a 6 yr 51.5M contract he is one of the best bargains in the game. He solely carried the Pirates for most of the season ending with a slash line of 327/400/553. He is the franchise player and the only way I see him getting traded is if Pirates GM Neil Huntington is fired before the deadline.
Probability: 15%
Possible Package: (NYY) Mason Williams, Eduardo Nunez, Tyler Austin, Manny Banuelos, & Dan Burawa.

3. David Wright– The Mets franchise player was just locked up a 7yr 122M extension and the chances of him being dealt are very slim. Dealing him though would help tremendously for a rebuild. David Wright has a career average of .301 with gold glove defense at the hit corner.
Probability: 5%
Possible Package: (LAD) Dee Gordon, Zach Lee, Stephen Fife, & Chris Reed.

4. Chase Headley– he had a breakout year last year especially in terms of power as he hit 31 HR up from his career high of 12. He has failed to get an extension done with the Friars and will probably move.
Probability: 90%
Possible Package: (Cle) Lonnie Chisenhall, Francisco Lindor, Dillon Howard, & Ronny Rodriguez.

5.  Starlin Castro: He signed a 7 YR/ 60M extension that will run through 2019 & includes an option for 2020. He is very young and cheap as of now. Trading him will allow the cubs to rebuild the farm system to compete in 2015 and beyond.
Probability: 33%
Possible Package: (Det) Nick Castellanos, Drew Smyly, & Avisail Garcia.

6.  Matt Garza– he is doubtful for the start of the season but the lat injury isn’t too serious. He is a free agent after this season and the cubs will have to get a better package than the 1st/ sup 1st picks that they will receive. There isn’t much on the pitching trade market this year so Theo should get a nice return.
Probability: 88%
Possible package: (ATL) Julio Teheran, Evan Gattis, and Alex Wood.

7. Carlos Quentin– He signed a 3 yr 27M deal before the deadline last year and has an option for 2016. He should provide for at least 20HR and has a career .349 OBP
Probability: 20%
Possible package: (Det) Drew Smyly & Tyler Collins.

8. Shaun Marcum– He signed an incentive laden contract with the mets this year and will be very valuable if he avoids injury. If he can recreate his 2010 & 2011 form he can be a extremely effective number 3.
Probability: 65%
Possible package: (Was) Brian Goodwin, Paul Demny, & Sammy Solis.

9. Jon Niese– He’s under contract through 2016 with club options in 2017 & 2018. He took a big step last year decreasing his ERA a full point to 3.40. He also set a new career high in strikeouts with 155.
Probability: 17%
Possible Package: Adalberto Mondesi, Jorge Bonifacio, & Yordano Ventura.

10. Russell Martin– he inked a 2 year pact with the Bucs this summer with hopes that he will bridge to Tony Sanchez. I think the pirates will shop him because of the lack of available Catchers this offseason.
Probability: 50%
Possible package: (LAD) Dee Gordon.

11. Wandy Rodriguez– The Astros are already eating most of the money on his contract so the salary won’t be excessive. Unfortunately his 2014 option became a player option after the Astros trade and that will be a pretty penny. He has not had an ERA of over 3.79 since 2007!
Probability: 30%
Possible package: Nick Maronde, Michael Clevinger, Austin Wood, & R.J. Alvarez.

12. Luke Gregerson– One of the most consistent relievers in the league. His highest ERA is 3.24 and he came in last year only allowing 57 hits for the second straight year. He’s a cheap Arbitration Eligible player.
Probability: 10%
Possible Package: (LAD) Zach Lee, Chris Reed , & Onelki Garcia.

Others who will be available:

Steve CishekA.J. BurnettJohan SantanaClayton RichardEdwin JacksonIke DavisEdinson VolquezJason GrilliCarlos MarmolGarrett JonesHuston StreetRicky NolascoFrancisco LirianoBobby ParnellDavid DeJesusBrandon LyonAlfonso SorianoDale ThayerPlacido PolancoFrank FranciscoJared HughesJuan PierreMark KotsayLaTroy HawkinsScott AtchisonJustin RuggianoGreg DobbsClint BarmesPedro FelicianoJon RauchJeff MathisNick HundleyJohn Buck.

The Marlins will be sure to trade any veteran player on their Major League Roster that contributes to the club before the Deadline.  Look for an absolutely horrific 2nd half for the club.  The big question still will be whether or not they trade Giancarlo Stanton

The Marlins will be sure to trade any veteran player on their Major League Roster that contributes to the club before the Deadline. Look for an absolutely horrific 2nd half for the club. The big question still will be whether or not they trade Giancarlo Stanton.

*** The views and opinions expressed in this report are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of mlbreports.com or their partners.***

A big thank-you goes out to our ‘Prospects/Baseball Operations Correspondent’ Jordan Gluck for preparing today’s featured article.  Jordan wants to be a MLB President of baseball operations one day. He has grown up in south Florida all of his life after moving there when he was two months old. Jordan grew up a FLORIDA Marlins fan but lost his devoting allegiance when they moved to Miami.  He is a senior in high school and will be going to college next year. He will have a heavy focus on roster evaluations, prospects, and the business of baseball!  You can follow Jordan on twitter  

a jordan gluck

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About jgluck777

Aspiring President of Baseball Operations for a MLB Franchise/ Venture Capitalist

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