MLB DFS Daily Fantasy Picks For FanDuel – 7/5/16

fanduel

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer/Part Owner) 

One of the biggest blunders made by many gamblers is betting against themselves.  We are going to simplify the process, so if you win, you can really win – none of this barely break even nonsense.

Our new Draft Strategy is now here.  Please read after the post.  You can use our formula for your own wanted and given stacks and pitchers.  This process wheels them all in alignment.

Now here is what we are going to do for today’s MLB DFS FanDuel style.

We Will Give You – Daily

3 – 7 team stacking options ( We are going to draw most of our players from these squads).

3 – 5 Pitching candidates (High level, midlevel and budget). 

This may be the only time all year I advise to stack on the Braves. They are playing the Phillies at Citizens Bank Park Tuesday night vs Zach Efflin.

This may be the only time all year I advise to stack on the Braves. They are playing the Phillies at Citizens Bank Park Tuesday night vs Zach Efflin.

July 5, 2016: All 14 Games on Main Slate

(If you want to avoid the sharps with DFS, please head to www.fanpicks.com – and use the PROMO CODE: HELP25  – to start playing against normal players that are just looking to play a few dollars)

Before we get to the rankings and selections, I wanted to thank all of our readers for quickly making us one of the go to places for MLB DFS.  The views and hits are coming in heavy, and you have come in at the right time.

If you played one of our sample lineups yesterday (and I know at least 9 of you did because there was a massive train on top of the leaderboard with one of them) then you would have had an entertaining 4th of July.

At one point, we were all sitting atop 3rd place just a few mere positions away from #1.  Unfortunately our hitters all had pretty bad last AB, and we fell all the way to 409th/11764th  by the end of play with 209.10 PTS.

I had 3 other lineups that scored higher, and made enough money back to pay for the day and make a little profit for the MLB Reports.

It was a lot of chalk yesterday but I hope you see the merits of our formula.

The clubs we had were the New York Yankees, Chicago Cubs, Boston Red Sox, Houston Astros and Chicago White Sox, with Lance McCullers, Kyle Hendricks and Matt Harvey.  Out of these picks, we did not have success with Harvey, but the other guys were solid and won their matches.  Our teams stacks hit on 3 of 5 stacks being productive.

Each day we state in our sample lineups how many rosters we are going to use, and that is legitimate.  The sample lineups are just that.  We wheel all of our stacked teams with each others, and coordinate those with 3 different starting pitchers.

This is perfect for A GPP play.  6 of the last 8 days we have played, we have sniffed the top prizes overall for spells, and broke even or turned a nice profit.  The system works.

If you don’t agree with our stacking or pitching options, we encourage you to use the formula still to your benefit.  The best part about is the roster coverage.  we had guys like Chase Headley, Addison Russell and Sandy Leon all turn out HRs on multiple rosters, and that is why we pick every single player we can off of the lineups in stacks we pick.

Simply put.  Don’t use our formulas in head to heads, or winner take double or triple.  Out of our many rosters we do daily, we should have 3 or 4 rosters that could win a GPP tournament daily.

It is all a patient game.

For Tuesday’s picks, we are going off the grid a little bit (contrarian) a little bit, and we will also go with some chalk picks.  On a 14 game slate you can do both.


The Rankings may not reflect who we think is is a great play, however it may a great value play for the dollars considered.

Toronto Blue Jays vs Chris Young (Total Chalk)

New York Mets vs Wei-Yin Chen (Chen is throwing brutally lately, and New York is scoring a pile of runs, yet are not priced high on FanDuel at all.)

St. Louis Cardinals vs Steven Brault (Cardinals are a dynamic offense, and a thrower pitching his 1st game at Busch Stadium is intimidating.)

Arizona D’backs vs Christian Friedrich (In a hitter friendly park against a pitcher that has struggled recently, with a nice bunch of D’backs hitters)

Washington Nats vs Zach Davies (Nationals offense is pistol hot (forget the crazy 11 AM day game, that is so weird to play in).

Atlanta Braves vs Zach Eflin (It’s a Zach attack day. Braves make good contact, and this guy has struggled in the Major Leagues so far)

Kansas City vs R.A. Dickey (Does anybody remember the 14 – 2 slaughter that KC levied on the Knuckleballer in the ALCS last year, we do).


Pitchers

We are fading the top 3 pitchers on this slate. Mad Bum burned us last time, and we think he has thrown too many innings, and is worrying about his offense. No seriously, he is too expensive – for a guy that has had problem with Carlos Gonzalez, Charlie Blackmon and Nolan Arenado AKA (the heart of the Rox offense).

Carlos Carrasco vs Tigers is similar, and a team that wins a lot in a row, then loses a couple in a row, can take a while to click again.

David Price has given up a .889 OPS to the Rangers in his career, and that was without pitching in Fenway Park like Tuesday night.


3 pitchers to use

Dallas Keuchel, SEA @ HOU, $8300 (with Lance McCullers giving the Mariners fits yesterday, I think Keuchel is a good play. He has pitched a lot better at home lately (more like his 15 – 0, 1.46 ERA in 2015, and beat Seattle the last time they visited Minute Maid Park, surrendering just 2 ER in 7 IP – while fanning 8.

Carlos Rodon, NYY @ CWS, $7900 (Rodon has allowed 2 ER or less in 6 of his last 8 starts, and has K’d 34 guys in his last 29.2 IP. The price point is real, and the Yankees are 10 – 16 vs LHP this season.

Mike Foltynewicz, ATL @ PHI, $6200 ( In order to roster all of your expensive bats, you will need at least one cheap pitcher. It is always great to throw against the Phillies! This guy is capable of giving you a quality start for the cheap price on the board.


Team Stacks will most likely have 3 – 4 players on each club and is preferred if they are in order of the batting lineup.  In some case ministacks of 2 – with them back to back in the Batting Order can be used in expensive player picks.


TOR/NYM ( Dallas Keuchel, Carlos Rodon, Mike Foltynewicz, = 3 Rosters)

TOR/STL ( Dallas Keuchel, Carlos Rodon, Mike Foltynewicz, = 3 Rosters)

TOR/ARI ( Dallas Keuchel, Carlos Rodon, Mike Foltynewicz, = 3 Rosters)

TOR/WSH ( Dallas Keuchel, Carlos Rodon, Mike Foltynewicz, = 3 Rosters)

TOR/ATL ( Dallas Keuchel, Carlos Rodon, Mike Foltynewicz, = 3 Rosters)

TOR/KC ( Dallas Keuchel, Carlos Rodon, Mike Foltynewicz, = 3 Rosters)

NYM/STL ( Dallas Keuchel, Carlos Rodon, Mike Foltynewicz, = 3 Rosters)

NYM/ARI ( Dallas Keuchel, Carlos Rodon, Mike Foltynewicz, = 3 Rosters)

NYM/WSH ( Dallas Keuchel, Carlos Rodon, Mike Foltynewicz, = 3 Rosters)

NYM/ATL( Dallas Keuchel, Carlos Rodon, Mike Foltynewicz, = 3 Rosters)

NYM/KC ( Dallas Keuchel, Carlos Rodon, Mike Foltynewicz, = 3 Rosters)

STL/ARI ( Dallas Keuchel, Carlos Rodon, Mike Foltynewicz, = 3 Rosters)

STL/WSH( Dallas Keuchel, Carlos Rodon, Mike Foltynewicz, = 3 Rosters)

STL/ATL ( Dallas Keuchel, Carlos Rodon, Mike Foltynewicz, = 3 Rosters)

STL/KC ( Dallas Keuchel, Carlos Rodon, Mike Foltynewicz, = 3 Rosters)

ARI/WSH ( Dallas Keuchel, Carlos Rodon, Mike Foltynewicz, = 3 Rosters)

ARI/ATL ( Dallas Keuchel, Carlos Rodon, Mike Foltynewicz, = 3 Rosters)

ARL/KC ( Dallas Keuchel, Carlos Rodon, Mike Foltynewicz, = 3 Rosters)

WSH/ATL ( Dallas Keuchel, Carlos Rodon, Mike Foltynewicz, = 3 Rosters)

WSH/KC ( Dallas Keuchel, Carlos Rodon, Mike Foltynewicz, = 3 Rosters)

ATL/KC ( Dallas Keuchel, Carlos Rodon, Mike Foltynewicz, = 3 Rosters)


These are just 4 of the 63 Lineups we will construct for the night (7 team stacks wheeled x 3 pitchers, in the end, each of the 7 teams will have 18 rosters, so each player will be listed a lot of (6 – 9) times each.  If you like the conventional way of selecting players. we refer you to dailyrotohelp.com (our partner website for a great list of player to select from, that isn’t exclusive to team stacks).


Sample Lineup 1

P – Dallas Keuchel, SEA @ HOU, $8300

C  –  Salvador Perez, KC @ TOR, $3500

1B –  Kendrys Morales, KC @ TOR, $3500

2B – Devon Travis,  KC @ TOR, $2700

3B –  Josh Donaldson, KC @ TOR, $4700

SS –  Troy Tulowitzki, KC @ TOR, $3100

OF  – Michael Saunders, KC @ TOR, $3500

OF – Alex Gordon. KC @ TOR, $2900

OF – Yoenis Cespedes, MIA @ NYM, $3200


$35, 000, 000 ($0 left)


Sample Lineup 2

P – Carlos Rodon, NYY @ CWS, $7900

C  – Welington Castillo, SD @ ARI, $2700

1B – Paul Goldschmidt,  SD @ ARI, $4100

2B –  Matt Carpenter,PIT @ STL, $400

3B –  Jhonny Peralta, PIT @ STL, $3000

SS –   Aledmys Diaz, PIT @ STL, $4000

OF  –  Yasmany Tomas, SD @ ARI, $2500

OF – Stephen Piscotty, PIT @ STL, $3600

OF – Carlos Gonzalez, COL @ SF, $2400 ( 5 HRs and 10 RBI, 1.048 OPS in 53 AB career vs MadBum)


$ 34, 700, 000 ($300 left)


Sample Lineup 3

P –  Mike Foltynewicz, ATL @ PHI, $6200

C  – Wilson Ramos, MIL @ WSH, $3300

1B – Edwin Encarnacion, KC @ TOR, $4300

2B – Derek Dietrich, MIA @ NYM, $2100

3B –  Josh Donaldson, KC @ TOR, $4700

SS –  Troy Tulowitzki, KC @ TOR, $3100

OF  – Michael Saunders, KC @ TOR, $3500

OF – Bryce Harper, MIL @ WSH, $3800

OF –  Jayson Werth, MIL @ WSH, $4000


$ 35, 000, 000 ($0 left)


Sample Lineup 4

P –  Dallas Keuchel, SEA @ HOU, $8300

C  – Travis d’Arnaud, MIA @ NYM, $2200

1B –  Freddie Freeman, ATL @ PHI, $3900

2B – Jean Segura, SD @ ARI, $3700

3B –  Josh Donaldson, KC @ TOR, $4700

SS –  Erick Aybar, ATL @ PHI, $2600

OF  – Nick Markakis, ATL @ PHI, $2900

OF – Curtis Granderson, MIA @ NYM, $3500

OF – Yoenis Cespedes, MIA @ NYM, $3200


$ 35, 000, 000 ($0 left)


If you’re not familiar with the points breakdown, here’s the format utilizing a $35 million salary cap.  

Scoring System: https://www.fanduel.com/spring-training?t=lobby

1 Starting Pitcher (SP)

1 Catcher (C)

1 First Baseman (1B)

1 Second Baseman (2B)

1 Third Baseman (3B)

1 Short Stop (SS)

3 Outfielders (OF)

Game Types: https://www.fanduel.com/how-it-works

50-50s


If you’re interested in playing DFS games, please use my Fanduel referral link to signup.

Please use the Referral Link for a signup bonus:

https://www.fanduel.com/?invitedby=bobadney&cnl=da

the rookie bookie

*** The views and opinions expressed in this report are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of mlbreports.com and their partners***

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A big thanks goes out to our ‘Chief Writer/Part Owner’ Hunter Stokes for preparing today’s featured post.

To Subscribe and listen daily to  ‘Our Lead Personality’  Sully’s 20 Minutes Daily (every day since Oct.24, 2012) Podcast click here.  Guaranteed listening to the Sully Baseball Daily Podcast will be the best time you invest in online!

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Posted on July 4, 2016, in gambling 101, Players: Fantasy Baseball Articles and tagged . Bookmark the permalink. Leave a comment.

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