How The Sharks Rip Your MLB DFS Dollars Away From You (Especially On Coors Field + Kershaw Game Slates): What You Can Do About It

With New York recently bringing back MLB DFS under new guidelines, and with the gaming commission giving a serious look at lower player entries per contest, they hope to give the allusion that the games are all playing fair the average player...But will it work?? Hell no...There is a section of guys that rig the contests based on their bankroll, and it is a guarantee they have aligned themselves with other 'sharks' to just get more creative - in order to tip the deck in their favor. we take a look at how the biggest high stakes rollers in MLB DFS take your money.

With New York recently bringing back MLB DFS under new guidelines, and with the gaming commission giving a serious look at lower player entries per contest, they hope to give the allusion that the games are all playing fair for the average player…But will it work?? Hell no!!…There is a section of guys that rig the contests based on their bankroll, and it is a guarantee they have aligned themselves with other ‘sharks’ to just get more creative – in order to tip the deck in their favor. we take a look at how the biggest high stakes rollers in MLB DFS take your money.

BY Hugh Hawkins:

With New York being involved in with DraftKings and FanDuel, coming soon to a theater near you is new rules on maximum entries.  Those are said to be 150 Max Rosters (per contest), or the equivalent of 3% of the total entries (Whichever one is the lowest common denominator).  As of right now, you can still get in to contests and rule with slightly over 5% of the field.

While this new news should be considered a win for the average fan, THIS WILL NOT STOP THE SHARKS!!  THEY WILL JUST GET MORE CREATIVE!!

Listen.  If I had the kind of bankroll these guys are playing with. chances are I may know a friend or 2 who may have the same dollars to wager.  Heck, my friends and family could all be players (with accounts) even though I am rigging the whole contests myself.

The only way to level the playing field entirely is to make up more “Single Entry” contests.  Guaranteed that DraftKings and FanDuel will never go all that format, because they need the dollars spent for the GPP’s.

As said by many other XM Satellite shows, the Sharps (guys who maxing out the contest limits) don’t even have to know that much about baseball as the average fan.  It is all about playing the percentages, and wheeling against the house.

In the coming weeks we are going to focus a hell of a lot on how you can be start wheeling team stacks yourselves.  If you have friends who also play Fantasy. we can teach you how to implore “The Buddy System” in order to bring back your best possible outcome in prizes.

The best wagerers should use FanDuel for their breeding ground, as they are not as stringent with rules, and their slow processing of dynamic player pricing is costing tonnes of money to be wasted by the average guy just looking to plunk down a few dollars.

Coors Field is still a hitting haven. While the averages have all dipped approximately 10% since the Humidor was placed into the facility over a decade ago, it still remains the premiere place for any of the MLB'ers to bat. Some of the organizational players will not hit as good on the road, with playing in the NL West, in cavernous parks like Dodger Stadium, Petco Park and AT & T Park, however the weight will only affect their overall numbers away from the thin air. Historic players like Larry Walker and Todd Helton displayed good road numbers, despite their gawdy home statistics, however they will never be looked in the same eye.

Coors Field is still a hitting haven. While the averages have all dipped approximately 10% since the Humidor was placed into the facility over a decade ago, it still remains the premiere place for any of the MLB’ers to bat. If you were actually being legitimate for all of the people in contests, you would outlaw this stadium from any contests that are in MLB DFS, or just have a separate tournament where all players could bet on this venue by itself.  Maybe lump the current series they are in for 3 or 4 games, and have it away from the rest of the field.  Just like the Clayton Kershaw days, you almost feel obliged to roster a few teams with this park in consideration.  The problem is the Sharks all bet the most money on days where Coors Field is in action.  With many of them playing 8 – 50 of the same lineups in Roster Trains – that can both deflate and crush the entire field of players they are competing against in Guaranteed Prize Pools.

If I were in charge of operations of the Gaming Commission to monitor these establishments, I would insist the very first rule of a player not being able to use the same roster 2x in a tournament.  This would eliminate Roster Trains.

If you are familiar at all with the ‘term’, you know what I am talking about.  Some fantasy handle doling out the max entries, and then using the same roster for the max limit.  These can wipe out anyone in the area of the leaderboard if this said player has a decent night at all.

It has happened to my friends and I countless times on both sites.  Here you are with a wicked team for the night, and a brilliantly constructed roster, and some guy with 50 – 75 to 250 entries comes zooming by you – and knocking you out of serious top prize cash.

This sucks entirely for the rest of the players in this regard.  There are several players who are doing this.  Their favorite is to bet the biggest sum of money throughout all of the contests when it is Coors Field  night, or when Clayton Kershaw is pitching.

A few weeks ago I set an awesome Coors Field stack in a game with the Rockies vs Reds, only to be trounced by a player named gamorris76, and his 50 rosters of Colorado and Cincinnati stacks.  This guy took 37 out of 46 top prize payout spots – including the top 18 prize slots in a row.   BTW.. I don’t blame him, he is still playing within the rules set forth by DraftKings.  Ever since that day I switched my allegiance to FanDuel.

I also vowed that day to never play in a day where Coors Field has a game.  These guys with bankroll are just waiting for this days to run their trains out there like this.

For anyone that doesn’t know of the Coors Field effect – they should read this article written this site a few years ago.  Colorado always leads the NL for home Batting Average, and visitors Batting Average.  While te HRs are down a lot from the Larry Walker, Vinny Castilla and Andres Galarraga days, the Batting Average for positional players is routinely .305 – .315 across the board for hitters 1 – 8.  This is a massive advantage for team stacking.

I personally believe that the games at Coors Field should be omitted from any night or day game slates, and that if they want to have a daily Coors Field contest by themselves, than that should be an option.

While DraftKings has done a decent job in blasting up the prices for hitters when games are played there, the sharks just use another method.

They use a team arsenal of about 6 or 7 pitchers that are in the midlevel to bargain basement rate to give them salary relief, and only need half of them to pitch decently to create the advantage in their favor again.  Besides, with the winning pitcher only receiving 4 points in DK, the separation of PTS from to bottom isn’t as much as it lies with FanDuel.

It is simple to have a set of 3, 4, 5, 6 guys in the lineup from each club. and throw out scenarios with cheap pitchers to surround them with.

Lets say the 6 pitchers are Steven Wright. Aaron Sanchez. Archie Bradley, Chris Tillman, Danny Duffy and Brandon Finnegan.  All you have to do is use the 21 different scenarios for the two pitchers (with the roster of Reds and Rockies hitters to make this happen.

Wright/Sanchez, Wright/Bradley, Wright/Tillman, Wright/Duffy, Wright/Finnegan, Sanchez/Bradley, Sanchez/Tillman, Sanchez/Duffy, Sanchez/Finnegan, Bradley/Tillman, Bradley/Duffy, Bradley/Finnegan, Tillman/Duffy, Tillman/Finnegan and Duffy/Finnegan.

Meanwhile the rosters of hitters is all the same.

Surely there is software that could prevent this.  Since they are not going to outlaw this format, we at the MLB Reports are going to teach you how to do this yourself.

The worst part about all of these high stakes players entering their rosters, is that they will put their money in lower stakes contests as well.  They will go so far as to enter every darn Quarter Arcade contest in Draft Kings.

Kershaw starts are even worse.  They just have to trot out their lineups with max entries.  Except this time, they can rig all of the teams stacks with Kershaw to do this.

In a 150 max entry contests, they can run 8 or 9 team stacks wheeled, with every possible scenario to cover these two clubs in a stack.  Believe me, they have 5 or 6 hours to go through every single roster to make subtle changes.  All using Kershaw as the Starting Pitcher.

So with this in mind, I do not enter any of the tournaments in either FD or DK, unless I can buck up the cash for at least 60% of the max entries you are allowed to do.  I then use team stacks and pitchers theory that is being championed on this site.

One of the 1st things FanDuel tells you about winning strategies are the team stacks.  This is exactly why I will do this.

I honestly love some of the contests that carry 1o or 15 max entries tournaments, over even the single entry GPP’s.  I always build out rosters for the team stacks, and will just one of my many rosters (that wheel the field of the team stacks), and hope that maybe the collection of players that is my best chance to win money.

Playing head to head just gives FanDuel and DraftKings a ton of profit.  All they do is take out their 10 or 15% and a player wins only 85 – 90%, which is not even doubling their money.

The only way I say to do this, is to increase your bet if you lose, by more than just the $1.  I would counter a loss with a $3 bet in H2H the next day, and then jump to $10 the day after that. Once you win. you reset the dollars back to $1. It is progressive build up like “Martingale’s System“.

I digress though.

The whole point for this article is to inform you that the sharks pivot their most money during Coors Field Game Slates, and Kershaw Game Starts.  If you have both of them fall on the same day, then you can really forget it.  At least in FanDuel, having the one pitcher eat up a lot of your money might make it tougher for a train of rosters to take you down.

STAY AWAY from Coors Field and Clayton Kershaw fields and save your money for more winnable tournaments.  If you have to get your buzz on. there are some alternatives..

My advice to the casual players is to join the single entry contests – or head on to fanpicks.com, and play there – where the sharks haven’t infiltrated that site yet.  As stated by our friends at dailyrotohelp.com (use the PROMO CODE: HELP25) and get $25 free dollars to play with to kick off, in addition to many other chances for great early promotions, including a chance to win a $1 Million Dollars.

Look for many more articles coming forth on this website pertaining to MLB DFS strategy.

Clayton Kershaw is a DFS player god, and most of the sharps roster him on days where he takes the bump. Quite often, these guys will wheel him as the SP1 with several mid-tier and bargain basement 2nd tier SPs - and then workout some of their favorite team stacks with maximum entries While the advantage isn't as great on FanDuel because you only trot one pitcher. the top bettors will still search and locate every value play they can to offset, and kill the field with maximum entries.

Clayton Kershaw is a DFS player god, and most of the sharps roster him on days where he takes the bump. Quite often, these guys will wheel him as the SP1 with several mid-tier and bargain basement 2nd tier SPs – and then workout some of their favorite team stacks with maximum entries While the advantage isn’t as great on FanDuel because you only trot one pitcher – the top bettors will still search and locate every value play they can to offset this, and kill the field with maximum entries.

*** The views and opinions expressed in this report are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of mlbreports.com and their other partners.***

.the rookie bookie

A big thanks goes out to Hugh Hawkins for preparing today’s featured post.  Hugh is the author of the novel ‘The Rookie Bookie” – which he has graciously donated as the backdrop of our homepage, and also has a new book coming out called “The Rookie Bookie 2: Rigged”. 

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Posted on June 22, 2016, in gambling 101 and tagged , , , , , , , , . Bookmark the permalink. 9 Comments.

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