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Daily Archives: June 27, 2016

Daily Fantasy MLB DFS Picks For DraftKings – 6/28/16

zz draft kings

Elite P – Corey Kluber (vs. Atlanta Braves): $13,400

Elite P – Jon Lester (vs. Cincinnati Reds): $11,700

Elite P – Zack Greinke (vs. Philidelphia Phillies): $10,600

 

Bargain P – Ubaldo Jimenez (vs. San Diego Padres): $4,800

Bargain P – Lucas Giolito (vs. New York Mets): $6,400

Bargain P – Matt Harvey (vs. Washington Nationals): $6,500

 

To view the rest of the picks, click the link below:

 

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MLB DFS Daily Fantasy Picks For FanDuel – 6/28/16

fanduel

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer/Part Owner) 

One of the biggest blunders made by many gamblers is betting against themselves.  We are going to simplify the process, so if you win, you can really win – none of this barely break even nonsense.

Our new Draft Strategy is now here.  Please read after the post.

Now here is what we are going to do for today’s MLB DFS FanDuel style.

We Will Give You – Daily

5 team stacking options ( We are going to draw most of our players from these 5 squads).

3 Pitching candidates (High level, midlevel and budget). Read the rest of this entry

Daily Fantasy MLB DFS Picks For Fanduel, DraftKings, and Fanpicks – 6/28/16

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Daily Matchups for 6/28/2016

Pitcher

Corey Kluber–  Kluber comes into this matchup with an extra days rest after he dominated the Rays for 9 innings and 9 Ks where he threw 115 pitches. In that matchup he had 66 FP on Fanduel and 44.3 FP on DraftKings. Kluber has fared well against the Braves in his lifetime as he’s only given up a .242 BA (15 for 62) with 15 Ks, and 5 walks against the current Braves roster. He’s the highest priced pitcher on DK and 2nd highest on FD. He’s expensive, but has a terrific matchup on paper.

Jon Lester Lester is coming off of a matchup against Miami where he pitched 7 innings, 7 Ks, and had 36 FP on FD and 21 FP on DK.  He’s held this Reds’ rost to a .238 BA (29 for 122) while striking out 31 and only walking 2. He makes a better matchup on FD but he is the most expensive pitcher on the slate over there. He’s averaging 42.13 FP on FD and we love him over there tonight.

Jose Quintana He makes a terrific play against the Twins who were dominated by Yankees’ pitching over the weekend. As both of these teams are in the AL Central, they see a ton of each other. Quintana has held the Twins to a .238 BA (39 for 164) while striking out 38 and walking 14. He’s coming off of a terrible outing against Boston last Wednesday where he pitched 5.1 innings givine up 8 hits, 6 walks, 1 K and only 1 FP on FD. This very reason should leave him very under-owned and a terrific mid-priced play to avoid some bats.

Rick Porcello Porcello has been extremely surprising this season as he’s had some terrific games. He’s coming off a 10 FP performance against the White Sox so people will see that and probably shy away a little bit. Although, he is facing a terrible Rays team. Lifetime Porcello has given up a .274 (32 for 117) BA with 28 Ks but that was when the Rays were doing well. He’s a great cash-game play tonight.

Lucas Giolito Giolito is the number 3 prospect in all of baseball. He’s making his debut against a lowly Mets team that strike out a ton. He’s actually faced the Mets 1 time in Spring Training and actually got 21 FP on FD. Obviously these numbers don’t mean anything since it was Spring Training but we like him as a GPP play tonight.

Kyle Gibson This is a name that could surprise you but Gibson has been able to hold the White Sox to a .190 BA (20 for 105) lifetime and comes in a $5600 on FD. He’s had back to back 20+ FP games and I wouldn’t be surprised if he was less than 10% owned tonight. Extremely cheap means you can afford almost any big bat you want.


Catcher

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We’re in a Golden Age of the Lefty Fastball

The 2016 baseball season is well underway and we’re seeing an even more drastic version of the trends that we saw last year: There are more strikeouts, more homeruns, and more challenges. And, notably, there has also been a steady increase in velocity across the league, assisted by the guys I’ll be highlighting here.

A “steady increase in velocity” might not be reason to stop the presses, but just soak in this Tweet real quick:

We’re basically seeing twice as many pitches thrown 95+ as we were in 2008. ¡2008!

Even left handers, typically a step behind (always a bit of a quirky species, lefties), are chucking it. Across the league, lefties are throwing the ball 95+ mph just around 7.5% of the time. That’s way more often the stereotype of the Tom Glavine-type, soft-tossing, corner-nibbler would have you believe, but it’s 2016 and elite velocity isn’t just left to the elite pitchers anymore (Chris Sale is joined in that 95+ lefty fastball club by some guy named Buddy Boshers out of the bullpen for the Twins).

So… I’m not just interested in guys that throw hard; I want guys who throw hard and make the ball move, and I want them to be left handed. (Truth: that lefty requirement is mostly an excuse so I can hopefully talk about Danny Duffy more, James Paxton for the first time, and because I already covered the right handed side of things with my Charlie Morton post from the start of the season (The Unbelievable Emergence of Charlie Morton), and basically because lefty’s are more fun.)

A common refrain among pitching coaches is that movement is just as important as velocity. Velocity can get you to the majors, but big league hitters will turn around 95+ fast if it’s straight. But when combined with some movement (and even better, control/command) 95+ is a high value commodity.

I’m after what I want to dub the best lefty fastball. Let’s start with the simple stuff: Who out there is throwing it 95+ most frequently? Note that the percentages here are for all pitches thrown, including the off-speed stuff.

To Continue Reading About the golden age of the lefty fastball, visit Off The Bench.

Why FanDuel Is My Preferred Game Of Choice For Our MLB DFS Strategy

The MLB Reports knows it is hard to put together a lineup when you receive your 'best' information so late from so called 'experts' in the industry. We intend to be innovators of doing this the earliest. Sure stuff changes overnight, however the base knowledge is there, and you can flip the intel around until lineup lock sets in.

The MLB Reports knows it is hard to put together a lineup when you receive your ‘best’ information so late from so called ‘experts’ in the industry. We intend to be innovators of doing this the earliest. Sure stuff changes overnight, however the base knowledge is there, and you can flip the intel around until lineup lock sets in.

BY Hugh Hawkins:

It is not a lie that I like the scoring system at Fanduel a lot better for how we run our rosters each day of 9, 15, 21, 50 or 63 rosters.  The key is to make sure you plunk down your money early on the $1 and $3 Sac Fly – in order to fulfill your entries limit needs.  We always go back when we have the time to fill each one out.

FanDuel also only makes you have one Starting Pitcher in the mix, while DraftKings makes you win 2.  Based on our formula, it is derived more off positional players going off, than it is for Starting Positions.  Anyways, with using 3 or 5 pitchers also has you roster 40 – 60 % of the a pitcher on the slate.  Should one pitcher blow up – it sinks all of your awesome work done on stacking teams.

If we have 3 pitchers – than one pitcher only represents 33.33% of our rosters, 5 pitchers is only 20% and 7 pitchers is about 14.3%.  It puts more onus on the hitters determining if you win or not, the whole reason to throw down on so many entries.

There are many of us implementing our system each day now, and we have been on the verge of raking in some big time prizes.  Since we use all of the guys on a team we stack for, if a lower named player goes off, or even 2 guys. that may be the difference in making a killing in a GPP tournament, as opposed to just doubling your money.

Yesterday was not a great day for us a group –  but we had Jose Fernandez on all of our $3 Sac Fly (21 Rosters) and our longshot TB stack had a lot of clubs with Oswaldo Arcia and Desmond Jennings.  We had those with Victor Martinez (2 HR’s), and Jose Fernandez’s 69 PTS he brought in.  We were siting in the top 10 all afternoon long until a late 0 for a combined 18 ABs at the end stifled us from winning a huge amount of dough. Read the rest of this entry

The Washington Nationals Reynaldo Lopez on fire in Double-A

Wayne Cavadi

Reynaldo Lopez has been one of the more exciting prospects on the Washington Nationals pipeline for a few years now. The problems that plagued him were in showing consistency in his electric stuff, leaving many to wonder in Lopez had a future in the rotation or as a back-end of the bullpen weapon.

He may finally be figuring it out, and answering that question in 2016.

Lopez was signed out of the Dominican Republic in 2012, when he was just 18-years old. His 2013 full-season debut was cut short after just 5.1 innings pitched with arm soreness. Unfortunately, those 5.1 innings weren’t pretty to hang hope on, as he was shellacked for 10 runs on 15 hits, seeing his fastball velocity drop to the 80s.

2014 would see Lopez break out between two levels. Starting in Auburn and finishing in Hagerstown, he posted a 7-3 record behind a 1.08 ERA…

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New York Yankees prospect on the rise: Nestor Cortes

Wayne Cavadi

The New York Yankees have an interesting pitching prospect developing in the far depths of their farm system. He isn’t on anyone’s top prospect charts. He doesn’t blow you away with awe-inspiring stuff. But he also doesn’t allow runs to score; it is time to take notice of Nestor Cortes.

(UPDATE from the author: This article ran at Today’s Knuckleball over the weekend. Cortes was called up to Double-A Trenton on Sunday, skipping over High-A Tampa in what appears to be an as needed situation in the bullpen. He recored an four inning save, allowing two runs while striking out five. He is still slated to pitch in Charleston this week, so he may still return to Low-A. The analysis remains the same below, as Cortes is an exciting under-the-radar prospect.)

Cortes is the 21-year old left-handed Yankees pitching prospect making a name for himself in the Low-A Charleston…

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Sully Baseball Daily Podcast – June 27, 2016

BavesField

 

I visited Nickerson Field on the campus of Boston University. Part of the stadium was the home of the Boston Braves.

At one point this was considered to be one of the crown jewels of baseball. Now it is almost totally forgotten.

It is a remember a forgotten past episode of The Sully Baseball Daily Podcast.

Tyler Duffey, Jose Fernandez, Lonnie Chisenhall, Freddie Freeman, Bartolo Colon, Odubel Herrera and Oswaldo Arcia all added to their totals for Who Owns Baseball yesterday.

See the updated listing of WOB on MLB Reports

Read the rest of this entry

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