Odds To Win The MLB Divisions In 2016: Best Value Bets
Hunter Stokes (BBBA Featured Writer) Follow @stokes_hunter21
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Bad Value – Red Block
Good Value – Blue Block
As stated in an article this week, I am loving the value of the O’s across the board. Picking them to win the Division at +1200 should be ranked 1st, to win the American League Pennant at +2800 is 2nd – and to win the World Series at +5000 is third.
Since Baltimore would have a tough NL matchup for the Fall Classic, the best cash should be thrown on the AL East win, then to win the Pennant.
Boston and Toronto are both listed at 87.5 regular season win odds – whereas the Jays are favored to win over that amount just slightly ahead of the Sox. Here they are evenly slated.
It was a good job by BET365 handicapping the AL East
Boston Red Sox +175 (6)
Toronto Blue Jays +175
NY Yankees +350
TB Rays +800
Baltimore Orioles +1200 (1)
Speaking again on the over and under for win totals. bet365.com here has the Royals at 84.5 wins and the Indians favored higher at 85.5 wins. So how come they have KC as the better odd in here then?
I still feel that the reigning champs are solid – and that +170 play is a good one. However, all of your cabbage should be wagered on the team winning over 84.5 wins as opposed to betting this here.
Take that bet all day long, and you never have to worry about the Division at all.
KC Royals +170
Cleveland Indians +190
Detroit Tigers +375 (4)
Chicago White Sox +650 (6)
Minnesota Twins +1100
This Division is also marked correctly. Seattle has the capability to put forth a great upgrade on the 2015 team. I still hate the fact they never landed a SS instead of Ketel Marte, yet they might not need his offense.
Houston should win the most games in the American League however, with a ton of swing and miss type of guys in their lineup, they could prove to streak the wrong way at the wrong time.
Keep in mind we are going for value here. Seattle adding a consistent Adam Lind to a roster of hitters like Cano, Kyle Seager and Nelson Cruz has to help immensely. Chris Iannetta just showing up at the ballpark will almost double the inept production produced by Mike Zunino and Jesus Sucre last year.
I hope that Franklin Gutierrez can stay healthy. This guy has crushed 25 HRs and 59 RBI in his last 316 AB. The problem is that this represents all of the ABs he has had from 2013 – 2015.
The Angels are not receiving great news from their rotation this spring with Jered Weaver topping out at 80 MPH on his fastball, and C.J. Wilson being hurt. Good luck getting out of the gate in 2016 Halo’s.
Houston Astros +140
Texas Rangers +275
Seattle Mariners +340 (6)
LA Angels +475 (4)
Oakland A’s +1500
The Mets are still a decent odd at near even odds to win the NL East. Washington should give them a run for their money all year, but I favor the depth on the staff to New York.
Miami at +650 is just not worth picking up a bet. Whoever wins this Division will have to win 90+ games and I just don’t see this with the “Fish” this campaign. They may have the best offense in the Division, but beyond Jose Fernandez and Wei-Yin Chen, the rotation thins out too quickly.
NY Mets -110 (5)
Washington Nationals +115
Miami Marlins +650 (2)
Atlanta Braves +5500
The Cards are having some injury trouble, but then again, they faced a similar fate in 2015 – and won 100 games.
Pittsburgh is also a decent play at +400. People are not giving the brass enough credit for reshaping their depth. I hated their early winter moves of trading Neil Walker, while non-tendering Pedro Alvarez, but I love the last few transactions they have done to replace them.
John Jaso and David Freese will not make as much as Alvarez would have received through Arbitration, and will give them solid production. Jaso is a high OBP guy, while Freese should smack them 15 HRs, and shore up the Infield until Jung Ho Kang comes back.
Pittsburgh has done enough to ensure the club will be competitive enough again in 2016.
Chicago Cubs -210
St. Louis Cards +325 (3)
Pittsburgh Pirates +400 (7)
Milwaukee Brewers +5000
Cincinnati Reds +6600 (5)
If you bet the Dodgers all winter like I advised you to (since the Giants signed Johnny Cueto, they were favored a lot higher than the Dodgers).. Now the pundits hae swung their money all back to Los Angeles.
As of right now, this Division is pretty much a flip of the coin – so pick the underdog in that scenario always.
LA Dodgers +120
SF Giants +140 (2)
Arizona D’backs +375 (3)
SD Padres +2800
Colorado Rockies +7500
*** The views and opinions expressed in this report are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of mlbreports.com and their other partners.***
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Posted on March 18, 2016, in gambling 101 and tagged 2015 World Series, 2016 world series, al central, AL East, AL West, albert pujols, All 30 MLB Teams, American league, arizona diamondbacks, Atlanta Braves, baltimore orioles, boston red sox, c.j. wilson, chicago cubs, chicago white sox, cincinnati reds, cleveland indians, colorado rockies, daniel murphy, david price, denard span, detroit tigers, dustin pedroia, hanley ramirez, houston astros, ian desmond, jered weaver, justin verlander, kansas city royals, la angels, la dodgers, miami marlins, milwaukee brewers, minnesota twins, national league, new york mets, new york yankees, NL Central, NL east, nl west, oakland athletics, odds to win the MLB divisions 2016, pablo sandoval, philadelphia phillies, pittsburgh pirates, san diego padres, san francisco giants, seattle mariners, st louis cardinals, tampa bay rays, texas rangers, toronto blue jays, victor martinez, washington nationals, yoenis cespedes. Bookmark the permalink. Leave a comment.