Blog Archives
What to Expect from Tim Lincecum in the Second Half: The Return of the Giants Ace to Form?
Thursday July 12th, 2012
Sam Evans: Tim Lincecum has been proving doubters wrong his whole life. Despite his small frame, Lincecum has managed to win the Golden Spikes award and two N.L. Cy Young awards. However, in 2012 Lincecum hasn’t looked like the same pitcher. He has not only lost velocity on his fastball, but his numbers across the board are not what we expected from one of the best pitchers in the game. It’s hard to conclude what has caused Lincecum to struggle in his first fifteen starts. But the question on everyone’s mind is: what is next for Lincecum?
From 2007 to 2011, Tim Lincecum ranked fifth in Wins Above Replacement among all starting pitchers. He was simply dominant. In 2008 and 2009, Lincecum became the first pitcher ever to win back-to-back Cy Young awards in their first two full seasons. The Giants largely owe their 2010 World Series title to Lincecum and his 2.43 ERA in the playoffs. Heading into the 2012 season, the Giants reportedly offered Lincecum a five-year, $100 million contract, which he turned down to sign a two-year deal worth about $40 million. Looking back at it, Lincecum probably should have taken the deal which offered him long-term security. Read the rest of this entry
Will Tim Lincecum Turn it Around in 2012?
Tuesday April 24th, 2012
Rob Bland: Since he burst onto the scene as a 23-year-old rookie in 2007, Tim Lincecum has ranked 6th in fWAR. Boasting a fastball that sat around 94 mph, and plus changeup, curveball and slider, Lincecum won back to back National League Cy Young Awards in 2008 and 2009 with the San Francisco Giants. In his first four full seasons, Lincecum threw 881 2/3 innings. Listed on baseball-reference.com at a generous 5’11” and 175 lbs, Lincecum’s delivery is a little bit on the herky-jerky side. How he has been able to withstand such punishment is a bit of a mystery, as his wiry body hurls towards the plate in a violent action that result in a 94 mph fastball.
2012 has not been kind to Lincecum so far. Now, I am not one to worry about small sample sizes, as baseball is a sport of random fluctuation in statistics. Albert Pujols does not have a home run as I write this, more than 15 games into the season. Chase Headley is currently 2nd in fWAR in all of baseball. The LA Dodgers are already 8 games ahead of the San Diego Padres. The Kansas City Royals are in an 11 game losing streak. The season can change on a dime, and we are only 10% of the way through this season. Lincecum’s story, to me, is a bit of a different story. His fastball is averaging below 91 mph. His sinker has less arm side tail; 5 inches in 2012 compared to over 7 inches in 2009. Tim’s curveball and slider don’t have as much depth as they once did, also. A good changeup usually has about 8-10 mph difference off of the fastball, which is where he was in 2009, 93 mph to 84 mph. In 2012, his changeup is still 84 mph, but the biggest problem for Lincecum has been that he has lost velocity off his fastball. He is sitting under 91 mph, so that changeup is not nearly as effective. Read the rest of this entry
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