KC Up 1 – 0 In ALCS, But Jays At +115 Still?! Plus Mets/Cubs Preview + NLCS Prediction

Royals blank the Jays, take a 1 – 0 lead, and are set to face David Price, who doesn’t have an all – time best playoff record, and are just slight favorites currently. I think this is a wrong odd. I would have at -160 or higher. Thanks also to a preseason bet I had with Toronto, I am throwing down $150 on the Royals to win the series – for $111 profit right now. I also had the KC squad at the onset of the series for a nice +135 odd.
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Seriously, I have picked on bet365.com for a couple of years now. I am happy the Jays made it to the final four – as I had a preseason bet on them to win the World Series for $30 – At 20/1 Odds…However they just made it so easy to hedge bet this again.
I already had $50 plunked down on the series with a lofty +135 clip for the Royals to start this best of 7. Again, I harken back to KC hosting 4 of the potential 7 games, and also yielding no Lefties out of their Starters.

David Price, shown here with our Junior Reporter Haley Smilow is a great pitcher, and a good guy, however his playoff record is not looking great as of right now. With the LHP hitting the open market – he could go a long way to earning some mass millions with a couple of stellar performances in the ALCS.
Now that the defending AL Champs have gone up 1 – 0, all of sudden they are remote favorites at -135. Wrong odd fellas. I am now going to throw down an extra $150 on this – which will net me a profit of $111.61 on that. Add the $67.5 added for the other bet – and it would be a nice $179.21 mark.
I so hope the series will go 7 games, and the Royals will win it in a walkoff, so that my article last week can be proved right on the importance of the #1 seed shouldn’t have been lost on the Canadian franchise.
In fact, you could say by this game being played last night at Kauffman instead of the Rogers Centre played a big factor. I can certainly think of a few Jays balls hit to the warning track that would have been ideal to fly away at their park.
Also, think of the home crowd advantage with the bizarre Game 5 ending of the ALDS vs the Rangers. The Jays need David Price to step up – or going down 2 – 0 could have a lot of Canadian fans really nervous.
The pressure is on the Toronto ‘hired assassin.’ We are talking about Millions of Dollars potentially being won or lost on his pending Free Agent deal if Price either falters or delivers.
Just to show you how stupid that KC Royals line is, they are up 1 – 0 – and have the same odd as the Cubs (before they have to go on the road for four of the 7 games).
I also won the Game 5 wager of the Mets beating the Dodgers. Despite throwing out an additional $15 on the Dodgers @ +600 for a World Series Win wager in case of a loss, I still am up $52.5 on that caper.
For the National League Championship Series – I got to stick with those guys from Flushing Meadows. Having Matt Harvey start game 1 is clutch. So again, the Mets host four of the 7 games at Citi Field – and are underdogs in this series? Seriously??
The New York squad has more hit and miss pitchers than the Cubs, and despite Jake Arrieta being out of this world and lined up to pitch Games 2 and 6, I am not sure Chicago has any other guys on the staff the Mets will fear.
NLCS Line:
Chicago -135, NY Mets +115.
BY the way here, Matt Harvey is a -125 favorite in tonights game against Jon Lester. Crazy that the oddsmakers think that game 2 is such a shoe in for Arrieta – that they are the favorites. A 2 – 3 – 2 format does have a lot to do with both the Royals and Mets as underdogs.
This should give further credence to my proposed change of a 2 – 4 – 1 format for the better record team hosting Games 3 – 6. The majority of series are ended in Games 4, 5 or 6 anyway. It is too easy for a team to split the 1st 2 games, and then the lower record team has three in a row.
Completely dumb that at any point the lower seed has more home dates in a series. Keep your eyes on this win.
Game #1 is critical for the New York Mets to take. Harvey can really make a statement by winning.
The reason I like New York in this best of 7 is I think they will split, then have the availability to throw Jake deGrom and Noah Syndergaard in Games 3 and 4, then comeback with Matt Harvey in a potential Game 5 as well.
If it goes true to form. I see it shaking down like this. Mets win Game 1, Cubs win Game 2. Those 3 pitchers listed ahead will 2 of 3 versus Jason Hammel, Liam Hendriks and a 2nd game from Lester.
The series should be 3 – 2 Mets win Arrieta starts in Game 6. The Cubs will likely win that one, and a 7th game would then come down to Syndergaard or DeGrom against Hammel or Hendricks at Citi Field. Advantage New York.
Lester must take both starts in this series for the Cubs to win in my opinion. I am just not banking on that right now.
Mets will win in 7 Games…

Jake Arrieta can’t win this series alone. One could say that with as strong as the Mets Starting Staff is, they may very well need Jon Lester to win both of his starts too. Arrieta will toe the hill on Games #2 and #6 while Lester is on the bump for Game 1 and potentially Game #5. JARED WICKERHAM/GETTY IMAGES
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Posted on October 17, 2015, in gambling 101 and tagged ALCS odds, citi field, david price, Jacob DeGrom, jason hammel, jon lester, kansas city royals, kauffman stadium, liam hendricks, matt harvey, new york mets, NLCS odds, Noah Syndergaard, rogers centre, toronto blue jays. Bookmark the permalink. 1 Comment.







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