Blog Archives

Sunday MLB Insider Report: Our Views on the Latest Baseball News

 

Sunday August 28, 2011

 

 

MLB reports:  Here is our weekly look at Major League Baseball and the latest news, together with analysis and opinions:

First our condolences to the Flanagan family, as the baseball world learned of the loss of ex-Orioles and Jays pitcher Mike Flanagan.  Mike was a baseball lifer, having played the game and remained active as a coach, broadcaster and executive.  The part of the ordeal that makes the story most tragic is how quickly speculation and then reports surfaced that his death was a suicide.  In this age of social media, it is difficult to impossible to mask the facts behind a story.   When rumors begin that are untrue, it is then often too difficult to bury them when they are later proven untrue.  Once a story is put out into the world on the internet, it often remains there in people’s minds, if fact or faction.  So when we think of Mike Flanagan, let’s remember him for the star pitcher that he was in the later 1970s and all the contributions he made to the game in all different capacities.  Without having walked in his shoes, none of us could ever understand what was in his mind and the factors that led to his unfortunate passing.  We cannot change the past.  So when remembering Mike Flanagan, let’s remember him for his role in the game and not for the manner in which he passed away.  I’m sure the Flanagan family would want it that way.

From a sad story to a literally bizarre tale, Lenny Dykstra is in the news once again.  And for all the wrong reasons, again.  The former World Series hero for the New York Mets and Philadelphia Phillies apparently was arrested for soliciting women on Craig’s List for fake jobs and then exposing himself to them.  Looking to hire women for roles such as assistants and cleaning women, Nails according to reports has hit a new low.  Once heralded as a business genius in business magazines, for his many business ventures including a string of car washes, Dykstra is now bankrupt and at the bottom of the barrel.  I had a reader write in that questioned why ex-players like Dykstra and Flanagan pull stunts to get themselves into the news and cannot get away from the limelight.  After my jaw dropped and blood boiled, I took some time to think about this comment.  Overall, my response is that there is a difference between Flanagan, Dykstra and a publicity hound like Jose Canseco.  Mike Flanagan passed in an unfortunate manner, but I think any reasonable person would not associate his death with a publicity stunt.  Flanagan was a troubled soul but in no way looking for attention.  Rather he was moving away from attention, likely looking for peace.  To say that Flanagan was seeking publicity is extremely disrespectful to his legacy and family that was left behind.  In the case of Dykstra, if the recent allegations are true, I also do not believe that he was seeking attention.  To commit such crude and strange acts indicates that the man is disturbed and in need of professional assistance.  Perhaps in some ways it is a cry for help, in other ways he may just have a giant ego and believes that he can do whatever he wants without repercussions.  But it is extremely unlikely that Dykstra was hoping his actions would be publicized to the world and bring his name back to the spotlight.  In a way it all comes back to Jose Canseco.  In his truest form, Canseco only acts in a manner so that he will get his name into the public spotlight.  From reality shows, boxing matches, independent baseball games, tell all books etc, Canseco’s singular purpose is to get attention.  So while there are many ex-athletes out there in the world, let’s not all be so quick to group them into the Jose Canseco category.  Some may have troubles, some may keep clean and we will never hear about them.  But just because a story emerges about an ex-MLB player, let’s not be so quick to think that all of them are publicity hounds.  Some want the exact opposite and enjoy their private time since their careers have finished.

 Don’t look now Texas Rangers fans, but the Angels are hot on the heels of your team.  The Rangers’ lead in the AL West is down to a mere 2.0 games with the Angels suddenly on fire.  In their last 10 games respectively, the Rangers are 3-7 while the Angels are a mirror opposite 7-3.  With the teams set to face-off today against each other, the gap could close even more.  It seems that the Angels have caught fire at the right time, while the Rangers have cooled off.  The Rangers are still scoring runs at a large clip, as they normally do in August in Arlington.  But while the Rangers pitching is starting to fall short, the Angels pitching is on fire.  Led by dual aces Jeff Weaver and Dan Haren, the Angels pitching looks unstoppable at this point.  The Rangers will be tough to beat, with one of the best offenses in baseball led by Josh Hamilton, Ian Kinsler, Nelson Cruz, Michael Young and Mike Napoli.  They also have a very deep end of the bullpen led by closer Neftali Feliz.  But as the San Francisco Giants showed last year, strong pitching can beat good hitting to win at all.  The Rangers have the bats and the Angels have the arms.  While the Angels have some good bats, including Torii Hunter and Mike Trumbo, they are nowhere close to the level of the Rangers.  It will be an AL West dogfight right to the end of the season.  Baseball fans everywhere look forward to the September AL West showdown.

I read a really good article this week on the Sports Illustrated site.  It was a look at the large contract signed by Jered Weaver and the Angels and analyzing the rationale behind it.  The article made many strong points that I wanted to touch upon.  While many analysts have argued that Weaver left tens of millions of dollars on the table, such is not always the case.  Looking at the worst case scenarios of such a deal, the article brought up the Carlos Zambrano deal in Chicago and Brandon Webb not signing a contract with the Diamondbacks.  Zambrano signed at the time a “team friendly” deal which the Cubs are now working very hard to get out of.  On the flip side, Brandon Webb did not end up signing a long-term deal in Arizona and ended up getting hurt and costing himself millions.  I would throw in as well the failure of Nomar Garciaparra to sign a long-term deal with Boston that ended up costing him millions due to later injuries suffered and likely saving the team in the long run.  In the case of starting pitchers, you never know when one will get injured and waiting until free agency could result in injuries and lost wages overall.  So while some view Weaver as having lost millions, others could look at it as gained millions and take the sure road to a rich contract and not gambling on what the future could bring.  The bottom line is that Weaver is comfortable where he is and being paid handsomely to play the game he loves at home.  Both the team and player are happy with the deal and everyone wins as a result.  If Weaver gets injured or falters, the player will look as the victor.  If Weaver dominates over the next five years, the team will appear as coming ahead.  Without looking into a crystal ball, we will say that this was a fair deal for a player not yet eligible for free agency and we will call it a tie.  As Chone Figgins in Seattle, Adam Dunn in Chicago and Jeff Weaver also in Seattle can attest, the highest dollar isn’t necessarily the best one for a baseball career.  Staying in a productive situation can often best further a baseball career and lead to the most years played and quite often, the most dollars overall earned as a result.

Finally, one of our favorite baseball topics:  prospects.  From the explosion in exposure of the MLB draft to the countless websites devoted to tracking baseball prospects, baseball fans are hot on the heels of future “stars’ like never before.  In addition to the social media available reporting on prospects, teams have pressure to develop and call-up prospects at a quicker pace due to the dollar amounts involved.  With top prospects earning bigger bonuses than seen back in the day, executives are feeling the heat to rushing these bonus babies to the majors.  So the combination of big bucks and fan pressure is resulting in prospects climbing early to the majors at very young ages.  So while Brett Lawrie may appear to be an early success for the Jays, teammate Travis Snider has failed to reach his potential yet and is doing the trek from the minors to the majors and back.  Alex Gordon similarly came to the majors with a mountain of expectations and took many years to develop.  Colby Rasmus burnt out in St. Louis for many reasons and found his way to Toronto.  Matt LaPorta was traded by the Brewers to the Indians in the C.C. Sabathia trade and has failed to live up to Indians’ fans expectations thus far.  But on the flip side we see a Paul Goldschmidt come up with the Diamondbacks with little fanfare around the majors and find success.  We can look at hit and miss prospects all day, but my point is as follows.  Baseball prospects take the longest to develop out of all the major sports.  While the NBA and NFL do not have a minor league system per say and the NHL has one minor league level, Major League Baseball has several minor league stops.  It is rare to impossible for a baseball prospect to make it to the show without spending time in the minors.  While most baseball prospects realistically need 2-4 years in the minors to develop their game, many top prospects are being rushed like never before.  I do not see this as a positive in the game and in many cases a hinderance to the development of the players.  But with the baseball media machine at full blast and money being thrown at top prospects at record high levels, I cannot see the rushing of top prospects stopping any time soon.  But I think we all need to step away for a moment and really think about what is best for these players careers.  For every Brett Lawrie, there will be hundreds of failed prospects that will take time to develop.  Alex Gordon this year is one of the few lucky ones, that has been able to turn around his career.  But it took a position change and many failed attempts to get to this point.  Analyzing and watching prospects is one of my guilty habits, I will admit it.  I just hope that major league teams will give their top prospects the tools and ability to succeed, rather than set them up for failure.  It is a fine line and one that many teams are still learning to walk on.

 

 

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Ten Things About Mike Leake and His Jump to the Majors

Saturday June 4, 2011

On the Reports, we will be occasionally featuring an up-and-coming baseball writer that has come to our attention and share their work with you, the readers.  Part of our mandate at MLB reports is to provide the best baseball coverage and analysis in the business.  MLB reports ultimately is designed to expose our readers to the world of baseball and the stories, facts, insights and profiles behind it.  In order to meet this goal, we would like to give exciting young writers the chance to showcase their talents and provide a fresh pool of ideas to our site.  In today’s feature, we are excited to have the Hall of Very Good as our guest writer with their feature post on Mike Leake.  Putting aside Leake’s legal troubles this year, the HOVG took a look at Mike Leake’s major league debut and his jump directly from college to the show.  If you are a fan of statistics and baseball data, you will love this one.  Enjoy! 

Hall of Very Good (Guest Writer for MLB Reports):  Heading into the 2010 season, many baseball analysts and writers seemed to be split as to which hotshot National League rookie will be taking home the Rookie of the Year award following this season.

And why wouldn’t they be?

In our nation’s capital, Stephen Strasburg has the makings of being every bit as impactful in his inaugural season for the Nationals as Fernando Valenzuela was when he made the Dodgers starting rotation in 1981 or “Doc” Gooden was three seasons later for the Mets.

Down in Atlanta, Jason Heyward became, with one swing of the bat, just the 104th Major Leaguer since 1895 to go yard in his first career plate appearance.

One guy who wasn’t in any discussions was Reds starting pitcher Mike Leake, and dude was on the cusp of doing something that neither Strasburg nor Heyward could accomplish…beginning his career on a Major League roster.

When he took the mound against the Chicago Cubs Sunday, the 22 year-old righty became the first starting pitcher to leapfrog the Minors since Jim Abbott did it in 1988 for the Angels.

Here is some more stuff you might not have known about skipping the Minors and starting your career in the show.

$2,900,000
After being selected eighth overall by Cincinnati in last year’s draft…Arizona State’s Mike Leake received a $2.9 million signing bonus.  By comparison, the top pick, Stephen Strasburg, received a $7.5 million dollar bonus by putting his John Hancock on the dotted line for Washington.

2000
Do you remember where you were September 30, 2000?  Maybe you were bumping around town listening to “Minority” by Green Day.  Perhaps you were waiting in line to purchase tickets for “Remember the Titans.”  Me?  I was at the theatre enjoying “Best in Show”.  True story.  But if you were Xavier Nady of the Pittsburgh Pirates, you were making your Major League debut and, in turn, becoming the last guy to jump the Minors until Mike Leake accomplished the feat.

84
Since 1915, 84 players have made the jump to the Major Leagues without stopping over in the Minors.  However, since 1965 (the last year of the “Bonus Baby”…more on that next) only 22 guys have made the leap.

57
Of the aforementioned 84 who made the jump straight to the Majors, 57 were deemed “Bonus Babies”.  A “Bonus Baby” was the group of amateur baseball players who went straight to the Major Leagues between the years 1947-1965.  In accordance with the Bonus Rule, any amateur player who had received more than $4,000 in bonuses, entered into a contract.  These players’ teams were required to keep them on the 40-man roster for a full season, preventing the player from spending time in the Minors. Notable “Bonus Babies” include Hall of Famers Al Kaline, Harmon Killebrew, Sandy Koufax and Jim “Catfish” Hunter.  In 1965…Major League Baseball instituted the draft.

39
It should be no surprise that the position that has the most players to skip the Minors is pitcher.  On Sunday, Mike Leake became the 39th pitcher to make the jump and the first since Ariel Prieto did it in 1995 for the Oakland A’s.

12
And speaking of the A’s (intentional segue!)…when they sent pitcher Mike Morgan to the hill in 1978 for him to make his debut, it marked the first of 12 teams for the righty.  And you guessed it, those 12 teams makes Morgan the most-traveled of all players that made the jump straight to the Majors.

8
While it is far too soon to determine if Mike Leake is more Mike Morgan than Sandy Koufax, one thing is certain…only eight of the players that skipped the Minors have found themselves in Cooperstown.  The four “Bonus Babies” (Kaline, Killebrew, Koufax and Hunter), George Sisler, Mel Ott, Bob Feller and Dave Winfield.

7
Mike Leake became just the seventh member of the Cincinnati Reds to make the jump straight to the Majors.  Other teams that have had a slew of players skip the Minors, the Pittsburgh leads all with nine call-ups…Baltimore has eight.

3
Over the last 50 years, Arizona State has produced the most players to make the jump from college to the pros…three (Eddie Bane, Bob Horner and Mike Leake). Of the three, third baseman Horner is also in an elite group among sluggers.  In July 1986 (a full 16 months before Leake was born), Horner became just the eleventh player in Major League history to slug four home runs in a single game.

∞ (infinity)
In what was probably the worst pitching debut of any pitcher to have skipped the Minors, Jerry Walker failed to get an out in his inaugural outing.  Walker, fittingly, walked the first two batters he faced back on July 6, 1957.  The third, he greeted with a wild pitch and subsequently, he was then yanked. Unfortunately both batters he walked ended up circling the bases and left Walker with an ERA of infinity.

Mike Leake fared much better.

In six and two-thirds innings of work, the young righty gave up only one run on four hits good for a 1.35 ERA.  He did channel Walker by walking seven, but he also struck out five.  Leake also added two hits to become the first Reds pitcher to produce two hits in his debut since Benny Frey on Sept. 18, 1929.

Cincinnati beat Chicago 3-1.

 

***Thank you to the Hall of Very Good for preparing today’s feature article on Mike Leake and his jump directly to the Major Leagues.  You can follow the Hall of Very Good on Twitter.***

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