Odds To Win The MLB 2016 World Series + Best And Worst Bets
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The Nationals asserted themselves on this leaderboard thanks to a quick start. They were my 2nd best bet last week at +1100. Now the odd at +650 is not worth any money at all.
Since Washington was able to play so well, this has created the perfect storm to put some more cash on the Mets. At +1300, New York is just begging for a wager.
The strength of schedule to which the Nats have played has definitely factored in. 2 series versus the Braves and Marlins and one against the Phillies already, Dusty Baker‘s club has had about a ‘cupcake itinerary’ as you possibly could find.
It gets better for the District’s squad, as they go home for another series with Philadelphia – that comes on the heels of a weekend Interleague series versus the Twins.
If Washington wins those 2 series, they should be about 15 or 16 wins after 22 games. They should cement themselves in the playoffs with an easy NL East opponents schedule all year. I just want to see them play some tougher clubs.
While Washington is leading the Division, they have yet to face the NL reigning pennant winners. The division win could come down to the 19 contests between the two clubs.
Terry Collins‘ team has 16 straight games versus squads with losing records. While the Giants are capable of contending all year, New York should be able to match them well for pitching.
Dodgers fans should be happy with their 10 – 6 start here. They also have a winnable stretch in the next 2 weeks, with Colorado, Arizona, Miami and Tampa coming up to oppose them.
Okay, maybe the Giants wont catch Los Angeles just yet here, however both of these teams should gain traction of the D’Backs – who host a9 game homestand versus the Cardinals and Pirates upcoming to start.
Arizona does get a reprieve with hosting the Rockies to end that homestand (*maybe not so easy), before they embark on a 9 game roadtrip versus the Marlins and Braves – however they must go to Coors Field to end their travel.
A tough 7 game homestand at Chase Field ensues with games versus the Giants – and then the return of Aroldis Chapman to the Yankees. The Snakes then have to hit Busch Stadium and PNC Park. If they are .500 in this lengthy schedule of games – it has to be success, and I will be shocked to see it happen.
For those reasons, I have them as the worst odd on the board right now. Just the same, both the Giants and Dodgers are on the best bets list.
A battle in the AL Central has emerged, yet I am still not sold on the White Sox. They were one of the biggest movers and shakers up the board, however to have them favored ahead of the Tigers by a +400 clip – despite one game separating them in the standings makes me put Detroit on the good value wager side, and the Pale Hose on the bad.
Detroit continues to be one of my favorite plays here. Jordan Zimmermann has solidified the Starting Staff, and just wait when Miguel Cabrera gets hot, or Justin Upton carries the club for a week like he has done for all of the teams he has played for. Still bet these guys.
The A’s, Reds and Brewers have all played better than predicted, but they are listed higher on the odds here than they should be.
My final team I like where they are positioned are the Cardinals. While losing 2 out of 3 to the Cubs, St. Louis is still 8 – 4 over their last 12 games, and if they make it to the playoffs even as a Wild Card – they could do some damage in the postseason.
Odds To Win 2016 World Championship
Blue – Good Value (# Rank in parenthesis)
Red – Bad Value (# Rank in parenthesis)
LAST WEEKS odds in Bracket
Chicago Cubs +450 (+550)
Washington Nationals +650 (+1100)
Toronto Blue Jays +1000 (+1000)
KC Royals +1200 (+1000)
NY Mets +1300 (+1200) (1)
Boston Red Sox +1400 (+1100)
Texas Rangers +1400 (+1600)
SF Giants +1400 (+850) (2)
LA Dodgers +1400 (+1300) (5)
Arizona Diamondbacks +1500 (+2500) (1)
Chicago White Sox +1600 (+2800) (2)
St. Louis Cards +1800 (+1600) (4)_
Houston Astros +2000 (+1600)
Detroit Tigers +2000 (+2200) (3)
Pittsburgh Pirates +2200 (+1600) (4)
Cleveland Indians +2500 (+2200)
NY Yankees + +2800 (+1400)
Seattle Mariners +3000 (+2800)
LA Angels +3300 (+2800)
Baltimore Orioles +2800 (+5000)
Oakland A’s +3300 (+4000) (3)
TB Rays +4000 (+5000)
Colorado Rockies +4500 (+9000)
Cincinnati Reds +5000 (+4000) (4)
Miami Marlins +7000 (+5000)
Milwaukee Brewers +7000 (+7500) (5)
SD Padres +7500 (+9000)
Minnesota Twins +9000 (+8000)
Philadelphia Phillies +20000 (+25000)
Atlanta Braves +30000 (+4000)
Odds courtesy of bet365.com
*** The views and opinions expressed in this report are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of mlbreports.com and their other partners.***
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Posted on April 21, 2016, in gambling 101 and tagged A.J. Hinch, al central, AL East, AL West, All 30 MLB Teams, American league, arizona diamondbacks, Atlanta Braves, baltimore orioles, bet365.com, boston red sox, busch stadium, chicago cubs, chicago white sox, cincinnati reds, cleveland indians, colorado rockies, dallas keuchel, detroit tigers, great american ballpark, houston astros, jordan zimmermann, kansas city royals, la angels, la dodgers, max scherzer, miami marlins, miguel cabrera, milwaukee brewers, minnesota twins, national league, new york mets, new york yankees, NL Central, NL east, nl west, oakland athletics, philadelphia phillies, pittsburgh pirates, pnc park, rogers centre, san diego padres, san francisco giants, seattle mariners, st louis cardinals, stephen strasburg, tampa bay rays, texas rangers, toronto blue jays, washington nationals, wrigley field, yasiel puig. Bookmark the permalink. Comments Off on Odds To Win The MLB 2016 World Series + Best And Worst Bets.