Odds To Win The 2016 MLB World Series
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After the 1st week of action the gamblers have spoken. The Cubs are solidifying their status as the favorite. Despite a slow week – the Jays are still tied with the Royals for the favorites in the Junior Circuit.
They finally have pegged KC at the right mark. In fact, I have no problem with the top 5 odds listed at all.
The first place I have found value is with the Nationals. They went 3 – 1 in the 1st week. and will throw both Max Scherzer and Stephen Strasburg 2 times each this week versus the Braves ( 4 game series) and Phillies (3 game series). I could see this team winning at least 5 games, which would put them at 8 – 3 or better after next Sunday. Bet them now before their odd jumps to +800.
To begin the year the NL East was rail thin in difference. and with Washington jumping out to a bit better of a start than New York – coupled with the cupcake schedule this week. they are a great value on the board.
Detroit is going to my favorite selection of the week. They win 3 of 4 games, have solid offense – and yet maintain their same odd from last week, when all of the AL West clubs did not have a winning record except for the A’s, and the AL Central and AL East had the usual culprits only playing okay (in addition to Baltimore).
While I received better value at betting the O’s to win the American League Pennant in my preseason picks (At +2800, which is now what they are listed at for the World Series following their 5 – 0 start.) Listen I am happy I made those picks, and the ALCS win was the way to go versus the +5000 bet they had – as I think all AL clubs would be underdogs in the Fall Classic against the top 5 favorites.
Baltimore did have the luxury of playing 5 home games against a bad Twins club. and the Rays are not all everyone had said either. Lets see how they do on the road against the Red Sox and Rangers this week. I am not putting them on the bad odd board either, as I believe they can hold their own all year on the fringe of a playoff spot.
I am also loving the new odd for the Cards/Bucs/and Astros on this list.
Houston is 2 – 4, however the A’s are leading the struggling division – and the ‘Stros started with 6 games on the road. Having said this for A.J. Hinch‘s squad hosts the Royals for 4 games and the Tigers for 3, with Dallas Keuchel only throwing in one start Holding off betting them this week.
The Cards on the other kick off a homestand with the Brewers and Reds. BET THEM NOW. They rescued their week by sweeping Atlanta. With the Cards too, they have shown in the past they only need to make the playoffs via a Wild Card spot to go far anyway.
Pittsburgh does have a couple of games against the Tigers this week, but also end up against the Brewers at the end of the week as well. A 4 – 2 beginning doesn’t feel as great with dropping 2 of 3 to the reds, right after they swept St. Louis, but this team is solid.
Cincinnati accumulated 5 of 6 wins at Great American Ballpark and they will be put back in their place for their efforts this week by visiting Wrigley Field and Busch Stadium. Enjoy the winning record while it lasts Reds fans. To go from +15000 to +4000 is a stretch considering this club should still lose 90+ games. Nice they swept the Phillies, and won a series versus Pittsburgh. but lets stay in reality.
I am not buying into the A’s 4 – 3 start either. The offense does not look good. The rotation and bullpen have made the grade so far. It is important to see they have also played all of their games at O.co and Safeco thus far, and did lose the series to the White Sox. Oakland should not be ranked higher than about +5000 where the Rays are.
The Brewers are 3 – 3, and could be .500 all year and finish 10 games out of the postseason. Not a justifiable move to have them go from +12500 to +7500 based on splitting 6 games at home to start the season. Lets see their odd next week when they have faced St. Louis for 4 and Pittsburgh for 3 on the road. Back to the bottom of the heap next week.
The Dodgers are a lot better than I gave them credit for last week. It must have stung to lose 3 out of 4 to the Giants, after blanking the Padres for the 1st 3 games of the season, but there is a ton of optimism here. Yasiel Puig looks good, and their rotation lasted one round of starts. With Arizona not looking that good, they will have plenty of games to get fat on the D’Backs, Padres and Rockies.
The Angels only lose +300 on the board after a 2 – 4 week at home.. Wrong guys…
Odds To Win 2016 World Championship
Blue – Good Value
Red – Bad Value
LAST WEEKS odds in Bracket
Chicago Cubs +550 (+600)
SF Giants +850 (+900)
Toronto Blue Jays +1000 (+800)
KC Royals +1000 (+1300)
Boston Red Sox +1100 (+1000)
Washington Nationals +1100 (+1100) (2)
NY Mets +1200 (+1100)
LA Dodgers +1400 (+1300) (5)
NY Yankees + +1400 (+1600) (5)
Houston Astros +1600 (+1300)
St. Louis Cards +1600 (3)_
Pittsburgh Pirates +1600 (+1600) (4)
Texas Rangers +1600 (+1600)
Arizona Diamondbacks +2500 (+1800) (4)
Detroit Tigers +2200 (+2000) (1)
Cleveland Indians +2200 (+2000)
Seattle Mariners +2800 (+2500)
LA Angels +2800 (+2500) (5)
Chicago White Sox +2800 (+3500)
Baltimore Orioles +2800 (+5000)
Oakland A’s +4000 (+7500) (2)
Cincinnati Reds +4000 (+15000) (1)
Miami Marlins +5000 (+5000)
TB Rays +5000 (+5000)
Milwaukee Brewers +7500 (+12500) (3)
Minnesota Twins +8000 (+5000)
SD Padres +9000 (+8000)
Colorado Rockies +9000 (+25000)
Philadelphia Phillies +25000 (+35000)
Atlanta Braves +40000 (+17500)
Odds courtesy of bet365.com
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Posted on April 11, 2016, in gambling 101 and tagged A.J. Hinch, al central, AL East, AL West, All 30 MLB Teams, American league, arizona diamondbacks, Atlanta Braves, baltimore orioles, bet365.com, boston red sox, busch stadium, chicago cubs, chicago white sox, cincinnati reds, cleveland indians, colorado rockies, dallas keuchel, detroit tigers, great american ballpark, houston astros, jordan zimmermann, kansas city royals, la angels, la dodgers, max scherzer, miami marlins, miguel cabrera, milwaukee brewers, minnesota twins, national league, new york mets, new york yankees, NL Central, NL east, nl west, oakland athletics, philadelphia phillies, pittsburgh pirates, pnc park, rogers centre, san diego padres, san francisco giants, seattle mariners, st louis cardinals, stephen strasburg, tampa bay rays, texas rangers, toronto blue jays, washington nationals, wrigley field, yasiel puig. Bookmark the permalink. Comments Off on Odds To Win The 2016 MLB World Series.