Odds To Win The 2016 NL MVP In The MLB: Best And Worst Bets
Hunter Stokes (MLB Reports Part _Owner – Chief Writer) Follow @stokes_hunter21
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Much like the ‘Senior Circuit’ itself, the contenders for the 2016 NL MVP is very top heavy. Bryce Harper, Andrew McCutchen, Paul Goldschmidt and Giancarlo Stanton are the top 4 favorites to win the Award.
Harper at +200 is not a foregone conclusion, and as just 2/1 odds, the number is not great to wager. I do think the man will win 5 of the next 10 MVP Awards, so I am not placing that mark in the bad value either.
Giancarlo Stanton would have a great chance to win the honor if he could stay healthy – with the Marlins being over .500 for the first time since 2008. It is possible the big slugger could bash out 10 more Home Runs to the next day.
Andrew McCutchen is a perennial contender who should also be in the mix this season. If the Pirates win 90 games again, which I project them to, then Cutch should have another top 5 finish.
Paul Goldschmidt at +550, with a chance for the D’Backs to be in the fight all year could finally be the defining moment for the guy who has finished 2nd in the voting for the last 2 years he has played a full year.
I wouldn’t put down any money until the +1400 number I see for Buster Posey. This is the best value on the board, and for the 2012 winner, he should also be in the running.
I believe Harper will crush 35 – 40 Homers again. and his Walk total should be just as high. I think it may take a 50 – 60 PT drop in Batting Average for anyone to have a chance against him this year.
Stanton could blast 50 HRs and slug over .600 himself, however that would still be tough to crack an OPS over 1.000
If Stanton does get hurt, which seems to happen every season, this opens the door for a guy like Goldschmidt to challenge for a Triple Crown.
One of these years “Goldy” will hit the 40 HR plateau.
I am still picking Harper for his 2nd straight MVP here.
Extremely down on Jason Heyward being in the top 15 ranked players for this category. I actually would have Dexter Fowler to put up better numbers than him,, and his two teammates Bryant and Rizzo would have more of a shot.
I was surprised to see that Clayton Kershaw never even made this list. The guy did win the 2014 MVP Award, and has cracked the top 10 in each of the last 3 campaigns, yet he is not even placed here? He will be leaned on even more heavily than before with Zack Greinke not working as the #2 Starter on the Dodgers.
Speaking of Los Angeles. I am not buying into the Yasiel Puig factor. He has regressed each season since his Rookie year, and needs a serious attitude adjustment – otherwise he may go to the status of “Jose Guillen, Milton Bradley and Carl Everett.” All guys that were talented but had seriously crippling mindsets.
ODDS TO WIN THE 2016 NL MVP
Best Bets Odds Value = Blue Bold
Worst Bets Odds Value = Red Bold
Bryce Harper, WSH +200
Andrew McCutchen, PIT +400
Paul Goldschmidt, ARI +550 (3)
Giancarlo Stanton, MIA +600 (4)
Kris Bryant, CHC +1000
Anthony Rizzo, CHC +1200
Buster Posey, SF +1400 (1)
Yoenis Cespedes, NYM +2500 (2)
Nolan Arenado, COL +2500 (5)
Joey Votto, CIN +2500 (4)
Jason Heyward, CHC +3500 (1)
Yasiel Puig,L AD +3500 (2)
Starling Marte, PIT +4000 (3)
Adrian Gonzalez, LAD +5000 (5)
A.J. Pollock, ARI +5000
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Posted on March 23, 2016, in gambling 101 and tagged 2016 NL MVP Candidates, adrian gonzalez, Andrew McCutchen, anthony rizzo, bryce harper, buster posey, carl everett, clayton kershaw, giancarlo stanton, jason heyward, joey votto, jose guillen, kris bryant, la dodgers, milton bradley, nolan arenado, paul goldschmidt, starling marte, yasiel puig, zack greinke. Bookmark the permalink. Comments Off on Odds To Win The 2016 NL MVP In The MLB: Best And Worst Bets.