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New York Mets Payroll In 2016 + Contracts Going Forward

New York Mets

Chuck Booth (Owner/Lead Analyst): 

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So you are the New York Mets, and you have just lost the World Series, what is next?  First off, you have several Free Agents walking out the door that you may not be able to re-sign.  Most notably Yoenis Cespedes and Daniel Murphy.

Forget about the postseason in which the man was banged up, Cespedes was one of the biggest reasons you even made it to the playoffs to begin with.  The Mets should try to sign him.

Daniel Murphy carried you through two rounds of the postseason – but looked horrible in the field during the World Series.  So what is the prognosis on his status with the club?  Let him walk… His playoff numbers, coupled with a high need for second baseman in the Majors may well skyrocket his next deal.

At first glance though, this is not the end of the world for the Wilpon led New York franchise.  The entire Starting Staff could be composed of team controllable salaries.  Bartolo Colon is a Free Agent now too, but maybe he would sign a small guaranteed contract with incentives.

Yoenis Cespedes is a superstar player that has shown he loves the New York spotlight. With some progressive thinking, and a great amount of their young pitching superstars under team control for several years, the Mets have the wherewithal to sign the big Cuban OF. It is my idea that they outbid everyone to sign him, and then trade Curtis Granderson to create enough room in the OF, so that he can move over to a permanent spot in RF in Flushing Meadows.

Yoenis Cespedes is a superstar player that has shown he loves the New York spotlight. With some progressive thinking, and a great amount of their young pitching superstars under team control for several years, the Mets have the wherewithal to sign the big Cuban OF. It is my idea that they outbid everyone to sign him, and then trade Curtis Granderson to create enough room in the OF, so that he can move over to a permanent spot in RF in Flushing Meadows.

Matt Harvey, Noah Syndergaard, Jacob deGrom, Steven Matz and Jon Niese are all under contract for 2016, and only Niese (just over $9 MIL) makes any significant dollars.  Harvey will be eligible for 1st Year Arbitration as well, but this is still not a great bounty for a rotation next campaign.

Lest we forget Zach Wheeler should join the staff in the second half of the 2016 year, after he comes back from Tommy John Surgery.

There are only 5 players under a current contract – including David Wright ($20 MIL), Curtis Granderson ($16 MIL), Michael Cuddyer ($12.5 MIL, ouch!), Jon Niese ($9.05 MIL) and Juan Lagares ($2.5 MIL) equal $60 MIL for the lot.

The franchise is still playing Carlos Beltran ($3.14 MIL), Bobby Bonilla ($1.69 MIL), Bret Saberhagen (250K) a total of another $5.1 MIL next season.  That has the club up to $65 MIL.

Juan Uribe, Eric O’Flaherty, Tyler Clippard and Kelly Johnson are also pending Free Agents, and are unlikely to be retained.

This club has enough cash to spend on 2 offensive threat bats, retain a great Starting Staff and an above average Relief Core next year.

The prognosis is good for the club to be competitive for the next 3 – 4 years while all their Pitching is under Team Control..

Guaranteed Contracts/POS/AGE:

David Wright – 3B (32) – He will earn $87 Million from 2016 – 2020, including $20 MIL for the next 3 campaigns, followed by $15 MIL in 2019 and $12 MIL in 2020.

Curtis Granderson – OF (34) – He will earn $16 MIL in 2015, $15 MIL in 2016 and is a Free Agent in 2017.  May be perfect trade candidate, especially if the club wants to take a shot at Cespedes longterm.

Michael Cuddyer – OF/1B (36) – Earns $12.5 MIL in 2016 and is a Free Agent in 2017.

Jon Niese – SP (29) – He earns a shade over $9 MIL in 2016, before a couple of Team Options ($10 MIL in 2017, and $11 MIL in 2018).  Look for him to be possibly traded next year, or the Mets may decline his Options for the following 2 years.

Juan Lagares – CF (26):  Makes $2.5 MI, before it grows to $4.5 MIL in 2017, $6.5 MIL in 2018 and $9.0 MIL in 2019, before hitting Free Agency.  He will likely be the Starting CF next year no matter what.

Arbitration Eligible/POS/AGE

1st Year

Matt Harvey – SP (26):  This should be a nice bump in salary for the electric young arm.  Potentially in the $7 – $8 MIL range.  Harvey has two more remaining years on of Arbitration before he would be a Free Agent in 2019.

Jeurys Familia – CL (26):  Despite his 3 Blown Saves in the World Series the guy was money all year.  He will earn a nice little bump in cash for his 2016 contract.  Look for between $3 – $4 MIL for the deal next season..

Carlos Torres – RP (33):  He won’t receive much of a raise, but look for a settlement of near $1.5 MIL for the campaign next year.

Josh Edgin – RP (28):  He will be coming off a Tommy John Surgery and may be released is my prediction.

Anthony Recker – C (32):  A backup Catcher who may be jettisoned as well.  Johnny Monell may be given the chance to back up d’Arnaud.

Total Money for this Category – $12 – $13 MIL Total Team Payroll now sits at $72 – 73 MIL.

2nd Year Arb Eligible/POS/AGE:

Lucas Duda – 1B/OF (29):  Duda made $4.2 MIL and had a nice season for the 2nd straight year.  He will be sure to make around $7 – $8 MIL for the upcoming 2016 campaign.  Duda becomes a Free Agent in the 2018 year after one more season of eligibility in 2017.

Jenrry Mejia – RP (26):  Following a 2nd suspension for banned substances this may be the end for Mejia with the Mets.  He made $2.6 MIL in 2015.  The club should think long and hard about retaining him since he may be suspended yet one more time.  Mejia is Arb eligible in 2017 and 2018, before he would become a Free Agent in 2019.

Addison Reed – RP (26):  After blowing up a little in the postseason I would be surprised to see this guy retained by the team.  It is a simple case of economics.  Reed made $4.88 MIL last year, and rarely do guys take pay cuts in Arbitration.

Total salaries for this category – $7.5. Total Team Payroll would be $80 – $81 MIL.

3rd year Arbitration Eligible players are Eric Young Jr. and Ruben Tejada.  I doubt the Mets will want to retain Young Jr.

The bad luck injury to Tejada maybe caused him some earnings for 2016, however the club should keep him for the last year of his Arbitration.  Tejada may just be the Second Baseman for next year.  If not, he is also a back up option for Wright if he gets injured.  Tejada at 26 is still going to be part of the Mets next year, before becoming a Free Agent in 2017.

Total Contracts from this category – $2.5 MIL. Total Team Payroll after this category would be $83.0 to $84.0 MIL.

Team Control Players/AGE/POS:

Wilmer Flores – 24 (SS):  He has one more year of team control, is Arbitration Eligible from 2017 – 2019 and would be a Free Agent in 2020.

Travis d’Arnaud – 26 (C): He has one more year of team control, is Arbitration Eligible from 2017 – 2019 and would be a Free Agent in 2020.

Zack Wheeler – 25 (SP): He has one more year of team control, is Arbitration Eligible from 2017 – 2019 and would be a Free Agent in 2020.

Jacob deGrom – 27 (SP): He has two more years of team control, is Arbitration Eligible from 2018 – 2020 – and would be a Free Agent in 2021.

Noah Syndergaard – 23 (SP): Contract Status not updated yet, but will be not be a Free Agent until at least 2021.

Michael Conforto – 22 (OF): Contract Status not updated yet, but will be not be a Free Agent until at least 2021.

Steven Matz – 24 (SP):  Contract Status not updated yet, but will be not be a Free Agent until at least 2021.

Sean Gilmartin – 25 (RP): Contract Status not updated yet, but will be not be a Free Agent until at least 2021.

Hansel Robles – 25 (RP):  Contract Status not updated yet, but will be not be a Free Agent until at least 2021.

Kevin Plawecki – 24 (C): Contract Status not updated yet, but will be not be a Free Agent until at least 2021.

Rafael Montero – 25 (RP):  He has two more years of team control, is Arbitration Eligible from 2018 – 2020 – and would be a Free Agent in 2021.

Erik Goeddel – 26 (RP): He has two more years of team control, is Arbitration Eligible from 2018 – 2020 – and would be a Free Agent in 2021.

Dilson Herrera – 2B (21):  He has two more years of team control, is Arbitration Eligible from 2018 – 2020 – and would be a Free Agent in 2021.

Dario Alvarez – RP (26): He has two more years of team control, is Arbitration Eligible from 2018 – 2020 – and would be a Free Agent in 2021.

Eric Campbell – 1B/3B (28):  He has two more years of team control, is Arbitration Eligible from 2018 – 2020 – and would be a Free Agent in 2021.

15 – 17 entry level contracts will add around $8 MIL to the payroll.  This would mean the total payroll would go to around $92 – $94 MIL.

If you are the Mets, you are supposed to be a big market.  Coming off a World Series Birth should cause you to bump up your salary for the next few years.  It would not be unfathomable to have a Team Payroll in the $120 MIL range for next year.

This club should really try to sign Cespedes, and then trade Granderson for an offset in payroll.  At 2 Yrs/$31 MIL, and based on his great year and playoffs, Grandy has nice value on the market right now.  You could potentially net some Bullpen or middle infield prospects in return.

It the MLB Reports belief that the Mets would stand to benefit greatly from inking Cespedes to a big contract, even if it surpasses $25 MIL a year for 5  or 6 years.  The time to strike is now while the club has the Starting Pitching horses all under team control.

If you don’t end up with Cespedes, the team will be devoid of a great middle of the order presence.

Another option for this team would be to sign a guy that opposed them in the World Series. I am talking about Ben Zobrist. A guy who can play all Outfield and Infield positions (except C) would be a great asset to covet based on their current roster structure.

The Michael Cuddyer signing of last year kills this club this season.  If that albatross deal was not on the docket this season, the squad may have been able to run with Cespedes and Grandy for a couple years, with Conforto in Left.  But that contract kills that chance.  Cuddyer will be a part-time OF, or at best platoon with a young Conforto next year.

Lagares looks to be the starting CF as of right now.

So where should the team allocated their Free Agent Dollars?  Bullpen…Maybe, but some teams do better when they construct the club with their own assets.

Your Starting Staff is just fine.  If David Wright ends up with an injury, you are pretty much screwed anyway.  d’Arnaud is decent enough at Catcher, while Duda has good numbers for a First Baseman.

Really the money should be spent on Cespedes (or like OF)  – Chris Davis may be a great fall back.  Zobrist leads the list of top guys that are middle infielders.  Murphy would be a great re-sign if another GM doesn’t whisk him away with a big contract. 

Matt Harvey is the only Starting Pitcher that has even hit Arbitration out of Syndergaard, Matz, deGrom and Wheeler. He asserted himself as the pitcher the club wanted this postseason. With 3 years left in Arbitration, it will likely cost the club between $33 - $39 MIL for his services the next 3 campaigns. I highly doubt the Mets will want to pay him a $200 MIL plus contract he will be seeking beyond that.

Matt Harvey is the only Starting Pitcher that has even hit Arbitration out of Syndergaard, Matz, deGrom and Wheeler. He asserted himself as the pitcher the club wanted this postseason. With 3 years left in Arbitration, it will likely cost the club between $33 – $39 MIL for his services the next 3 campaigns. I highly doubt the Mets will want to pay him a $200 MIL plus contract he will be seeking beyond that.

*** The views and opinions expressed in this report are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of mlbreports.com and their partners***

I am happy to be back at the helm of the MLB Reports, after completing my record 224 Games in the MLB Trip in 2015.  It was the 4th time I have seen all 30 MLB Parks since 2008.  During that time away I was fortunate to do 100 Media Interviews and be named the Baseball Blogger Alliance President.

Interview on CSN Philly during the month of July.

Interview on CSN Philly during the month of July.

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About chuckbooth3023

I played competitive baseball until 18 years old and had offers to play NCAA Division 1 University Baseball at Liberty University. Post-concussion symptoms from previous football and baseball head injuries forced me to retire by age 19. After two nearly made World Record Attempts in 2008, I set a New World Record by visiting all 30 MLB Parks (from 1st to last pitch) in only 24 Calendar Days in the summer 0f 2009. In April of 2012, I established yet another new GWR by visiting all 30 Parks in only 23 Calendar Days! You can see the full schedule at the page of the www.mlbreports.com/gwr-tracker . In 2015, I watched 224 MLB Games, spanning all 30 MLB Parks in 183 Days. Read about that World Record Journey at https://mlbreports.com/183in2015/229sked2015/

Posted on November 3, 2015, in MLB Payroll and Contracts and tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , . Bookmark the permalink. 1 Comment.

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