Advertisements

The Washington Nationals Offense – Post Rendon At 2B + Going Forward

Like us on Facebook here

Saturday, June.29/2013

The Nationals still rank next to last in the NL in runs per game, but it was known weeks ago that all the bad from April and May would take a long time to correct. The Nationals however are on the way to correcting it, and when analyzing the current team that is on the field it is important to look at the team that is currently taking the field. Since inserting at second base the Nats offense has scored 72 runs in 18 games, an average of four runs a game. That is much better than the overall season average of 3.55 and much better than the average with Espinosa at second of 3.40.

The Nationals still rank next to last in the NL in runs per game, but it was known weeks ago that all the bad from April and May would take a long time to correct. The Nationals however are on the way to correcting it, and when analyzing the current team that is on the field it is important to look at the team that is currently taking the field. Since inserting at second base the Nats offense has scored 72 runs in 18 games, an average of four runs a game. That is much better than the overall season average of 3.55 and much better than the average with Espinosa at second of 3.40.

By David Huzzard (Nationals Correspondent via Citizens of Natstown.com – view website here): 

Numbers before June.27/2013

Not surprisingly replacing a .158/.193/.465 hitter with a .354/.402/.887 guy – has had a marketable difference. The Nats offense hasn’t yet turned the corner, for in June, the Nationals left fielders have hit .228/.293/.616.

Surprisingly that isn’t the worst in baseball but it is pretty darn close. Soon the Nationals are going to replace those paltry numbers with the numbers of Bryce Harper who at the time he was placed on the DL was hitting .287/.386/.973.

Think about the Nats line-up for a second and then think about it with three under .600 OPS players removed and , Harper, and Ramos inserted. Without those three in the line-up the Nationals were running out an offense that featured three below replacement level hitters. Factor in injuries to Werth and it was even worse for a time period. In fact from the time Harper ran into the wall in LA and Werth came off the DL the Nationals offense averaged 3.15 runs a game.

Think about the Nats line-up for a second and then think about it with three under .600 OPS players removed :(Espinosa, Suzuki  and  Bernadina), with incoming Harper, Ramos and Rendon all inserted and you have to smile a bit :). Without those three in the line-up ,the Nationals were running out an offense that featured all as below replacement level hitters. Factor in injuries to Werth –  and it was even worse for a time period. In fact from the time Harper ran into the wall in LA and Werth came off the DL – the Nationals offense averaged 3.15 runs a game.

That is going to create another massive improvement in the Nationals offense and lost in all the talk about Harper and Rendon is the fact that Kurt Suzuki since May 15 has hit .189/.243/.469.

Replacing the struggling Suzuki with the power hitting Wilson Ramos isn’t going to have as big a difference as replacing (Bernadina with Harper) – or (Espinosa with Rendon) – but it is going to make a difference.

If it isn’t clear yet just how much not having their best players playing together has effected the Nationals then you should seek medical advise. With Rendon in the line-up the Nationals are averaging four runs a game.

Jayson Werth has something to do with that but he hasn’t had near the impact that Anthony Rendon has had over Espinosa.

When Harper returns his impact is going to be even bigger, and if the Nats can ever get Denard Span going like he was in April again then suddenly we aren’t looking at one of the worst offenses in the league but one of the best, and when considering that it is important to look at how the Nats have played with everyone they expected to be on the field on the field.

Good news for us is we have a sampling of that. The bad news is it is extremely small. The last time the Nationals had anything close to their regular line-up on the field was April 15.

That means the regular expected line-up played a grand total of 13 games together, and in those games they happened to average 4.3 runs a game, and that was with Adam LaRoche off to a slow start and Danny Espinosa still at second base.

The Nats have 25 of their remaining 85 against teams that are currently over .500 and nine of those are against the Braves.

The Nats recently jettisoned Henry Rodriguez and Zach Duke, who had allowed a third of the bullpen’s runs, the have placed Dan Haren on the DL, who allowed nearly a third of the starters runs, and are getting key players healthy.

Add all of this together with more games at Nats Park than on the road, and the soft part of the schedule and the Nats are poised for a big second half.

It is up to them whether they take advantage of it or not, but if they do then they may not be as out of this thing as it is thought.

 It is near impossible to make much of anything out of a 13 game sampling, but asking the Nationals to scored 4.5 runs a game once Harper returns doesn't seem out of the question. Perhaps the mark the Nationals should aim for should be a bit lower, but with their pitching somewhere between the 4.0 and 4.5 mark is enough to play over .500 baseball from now until the end of the season, and when you consider that the Nationals have more home games than road games left on the schedule (are a .595 team at home) and the tough part of the schedule is out of the way.

It is near impossible to make much of anything out of a 13 game sampling, but asking the Nationals to score 4.5 runs a game once Harper returns doesn’t seem out of the question with this revamped lineup.  Perhaps the mark the Nationals should aim for should be a bit lower, but with their pitching somewhere between the 4.0 and 4.5 mark is enough to play over .500 baseball from now until the end of the season, and when you consider that the Nationals have more home games than road games left on the schedule (are a .595 team at home) and the tough part of the schedule is out of the way. The club is at 40 – 39 right now, 5.5 Games Behind Division Leader Atlanta with 83 Games left to play. ( 43 at Home, 40 on the Road, and 48 versus the NL East – with a heavy dose of Miami, Philadelphia, New York – and many head to head games with Atlanta to make up ground!)

*** The views and opinions expressed in this report are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of mlbreports.com and their partners***

A big thank-you goes out to our ‘Nationals Correspondent’ David Huzzard for preparing today’s featured article.  David  is a Pro bono sports writer for Citizens of Natstown, We Love DC, and Blown Save Win. He is also the Co-host of The Citizens of Natstown Podcast.  David is from Fairfax, Va.  You can follow him on Twitter and talk about the game of baseball.  

a    david huzzard

Don’t forget to also follow the Citizens of Natstown on Twitter too.   MLB Reports has teamed up with Citizens of Natstown – to deliver the best Nats coverage we can to as many readers possible.  

a     citizens of natstown

Visit the links for their 1st annual Citizens of Natstown Book:

Barnes and Noble Link here

Amazon Link here

Apple/ITunes Link here

For just $3 – you will receive all the information to go ahead on the 2013 season to your favorite reading device -plus reflect on a 98 Win year in 2012.  Don’t forget to bring your #Natitude! – #LetTeddyWinin2013 and rock #Natstown!

Please e-mail us atmlbeports@gmail.com with any questions and feedback.   To subscribe to our website and have the daily Reports sent directly to your inbox, click here and follow the link at the top of our homepage.

Advertisements

About chuckbooth3023

I played competitive baseball until 18 years old and had offers to play NCAA Division 1 University Baseball at Liberty University. Post-concussion symptoms from previous football and baseball head injuries forced me to retire by age 19. After two nearly made World Record Attempts in 2008, I set a New World Record by visiting all 30 MLB Parks (from 1st to last pitch) in only 24 Calendar Days in the summer 0f 2009. In April of 2012, I established yet another new GWR by visiting all 30 Parks in only 23 Calendar Days! You can see the full schedule at the page of the www.mlbreports.com/gwr-tracker . In 2015, I watched 224 MLB Games, spanning all 30 MLB Parks in 183 Days. Read about that World Record Journey at https://mlbreports.com/183in2015/229sked2015/

Posted on June 29, 2013, in The Rest: Everything Baseball and tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , . Bookmark the permalink. Comments Off on The Washington Nationals Offense – Post Rendon At 2B + Going Forward.

Comments are closed.

%d bloggers like this: