2012 AL and NL Rookie of the Year Predictions

Sunday November 11th, 2012

Sam Evans: Even though it may seem as if all of baseball is already focused on 2013, some of the major awards for the 2012 MLB Regular Season have yet to be announced. The AL and NL Rookie of the Year awards will be announced on Monday. Bryce Harper, Wade Miley and Todd Frazier are the finalists for the National League. Mike Trout, Yoenis Cespedes and Yu Darvish are the last three in the American League. I predict that Bryce Harper and Mike Trout will be the two players rewarded for their outstanding rookie seasons by taking home the hardware.

Wade Miley is twenty-five years old and he will turn twenty-six on Tuesday. Todd Frazier is twenty-six. Bryce Harper played the 2012 season at the age of nineteen. Harper’s age is an important reason why he should be chosen as the rookie of the year. Playing at such a high level at such a young age in this era is quite amazing.

Another reason why I believe Harper will be chosen as the Rookie of the Year is the effect he has had on baseball and the crazy amount of media he has generated. Harper plays with so hustle and consistently gives his greatest effort on the field. The media has loved him for his playing ability and at times been rough on him for his maturity problems. In the end, any press is good press and Harper’s relationship with the media should make him a favorite to win the award.

When it comes to numbers, Harper again separates himself from the other candidates. While it is useless to try to compare pitchers and hitters, Harper’s 4.9 WAR trumped Wade Miley’s 4.8. Harper stole fifteen more bases than Todd Frazier, hit seven more homers than him and played better defense according to sabermetrics (9.9 Fld to -1.9.). Harper had a more productive season than Frazier and he was more valuable to his team than Miley. Therefore, Bryce Harper will be named the 2012 National League Rookie of the Year. The first of many awards to come in this phenom’s great career ahead.

Over in the American League, Yoenis Cespedes and Yu Darvish both had some pretty amazing seasons. However, Mike Trout had a season not only worthy of the American League Rookie of the Year but possibly the AL MVP as well. Trout’s 10.0 WAR was more than both Cespedes’s 3.1 and Darvish’s 5.1 combined. 10.0 WAR was the most posted by a hitter in a single-season since Barry Bond’s 2004 season.

Without Mike Trout, the Angels probably wouldn’t have been a .500 baseball team. If it weren’t for Trout, a lot of people in Anaheim wouldn’t still have their jobs. Mike Trout might have just had the best rookie season baseball has ever seen and he did it in only 139 games. If Mike Trout is not the AL ROY, Usain Bolt can’t outrun Bengie Molina in the 100 meters.

All six of the above named players had tremendous seasons. However, Bryce Harper and Mike Trout rose above the rest to excel past all expectations set for them and are the favorites for the AL and NL Rookies of the Year. This is one year where results met the hype. The two most talked about rookies in years both came through in the clutch. Major League Baseball couldn’t be more excited as the Trout/Harper era has officially begun.


(*The views and opinions expressed in this report are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of*)

***Today’s feature was prepared by Sam Evans, Baseball Writer.  We highly encourage you to leave your comments and feedback at the bottom of the page and share in the discussion with our readers.  You can also follow Sam on Twitter. (@RJA206)***

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About samevans87

I love writing, talking, watching, and playing baseball. I am a baseball writer for MLB Reports and Fish Stripes. "No game in the world is as tidy and dramatically neat as baseball, with cause and effect, crime and punishment, motive and result, so cleanly defined." -Paul Gallic

Posted on November 11, 2012, in The Rest: Everything Baseball and tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , . Bookmark the permalink. Leave a comment.

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