Blog Archives

Current Odds To Win The 2014 MLB Divisions + The Week Ahead For The Contenders

A AMERICAN LOGO

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

Follow The MLB Reports On Twitter 

Based on last week’s 4 – 1 – 1 record for picking the best valued odds on the 6 Divisions, I am sticking with the same teams for value again as nothing has really changed.

My only loss for picking the selections, was that Atlanta dropped from +700 to +1000.  I broke even with none of the NL West odds changing.

My AL East pick of the Yankees proved worthy – as they went from +1000 to +800.

My AL Central wager of the week was Cleveland, and they jumped from +2500 to +1800.

The Biggest registered bet was on the Mariners, shaving off a +3500 to a now +2500.  This is the only prognostication I actually put real money on down.

It was a clean sweep for me to win on the American League.

I was 1 – 1 – 1 in the National League.  My St. Louis to rise as a favorite worked in plotting the week.  They are now tied with the Brewers for the odds to win the NL Central.

The Cardinals came up just enough to break me with a .500 record for NL picks.

I have eliminated the Jays and Rays from the Divisional races.  Any double digit deficit will result in this automatically for the rest of the campaign.  

Read the rest of this entry

About these ads

Odds To Win The 2014 MLB World Series Currently + Best/Worst Value Bets

The Braves, Indians, Nats and Angels were among the movers up the favorite lis this week, while the Pirates, Yankees, Blue Jays, Reds and Rays a;l took the plunge down the list.

The Braves, Indians, Nats and Angels were among the movers up the favorite lis this week, while the Pirates, Yankees, Blue Jays, Reds and Rays a;l took the plunge down the list.

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

Follow The MLB Reports On Twitter 

Another week has passed – and it is time to get serious in our World Series picks.

To start off, I have eliminated 11 teams from the chance to win a World Series.  These clubs include: BOS/CWS/MIN/TEX/HOU/PHI/NYM/COL/SD/ARI+CHC.

It has been a great handicapping year for yours truly, but that could all unravel in the next few weeks.  I had a 6 – 1 – 3 record for best value bets.

As for the entire season, my bets have been plugging away at a great clip.

My best move was to hammer the KC Royals for a $20 wager at 50/1, then hit them for a $7 wager when they rose to 80/1 about 5 weeks ago.

Another highlights was placing $75 on the Tigers when they were at 11/1 odds after a slow 1st week.

I also managed to throw down some nice cabbage on the O’s at a 50/1 odd in May, but also to get them at 6/1 for the Division just after the Jays went on their win rampage – courtesy of Edwin Encarnacion.

Last week I took advantage of a Braves 40/1 odd that presented itself.

I also have heavy bets on the Blue Jays and Angels (got them both at 20/1 – although the Canadian club is looking like a bad selection now.)

For other fringe teams, I also might have lost when plunking down some money on the Yankees at 40/1 last week.

I hit up the Rays pretty good at the start of the season, but more so when they were on fire before trading away David Price.

I will probably lose about $80 on them overall, but I could stand to win in the 2K range, if they could pull a miracle run.

I wagered on the Indians and Bucs back in the 80/1 odds days, and that looks okay…I also hit up the Reds with a big $25 bet at 66/1 odd, which looked nice at the ALL – Star Break, but doesn’t look so good now.

Last week I also made a bet on the Brewers at +1800, before they went down to the same odd the Cards did.

I have never put money on Oakland, Seattle, Washington, St. Louis or Los Angeles to win the World Series because the value has never been there…

On a small note, I did place a $10 bet on the Mariners to win the AL West with a 35/1 odd.  They could make some serious ground if the A’s and Angels split a 4 game series this week, and they continue to roll.

Overall, I am happy with my year recaps, and at least I may be able to hedge some of these bets for a yearly profit at the end of the campaign. Read the rest of this entry

August MLB Interleague Results: AL Also 6 Wins Away From 11th Straight Year Clinch

 

Interleague_Logo

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

Follow The MLB Reports On Twitter

The National League is on the verge of falling to the American League for the 11th straight season.  Heading into play Saturday, with the only contest being Orioles @ Cubs, the AL holds a 145 – 123 advantage on the NL for the 2014 calendar year.

This is a decade plus of ownership of the Junior Circuit over the Senior Circuit. 

The National League actually has not fared too badly in August so far, winning 28 out of 60 games.

For those people who don’t like Interleague all, there are no more days on the schedule this year with multiple games.  In a lot of cases, they are not even games on the getaway days of Monday’s Thursday’s (which are the only 2 days to not have the 30 teams in action.)

Interleague has been a good thing for the game of baseball…. I would argue that the premise of playing teams that you don’t normally is good for the growth of baseball. Read the rest of this entry

Sully Baseball Daily Podcast – August 22, 2014

yazposter

It is Carl Yastrzemski’s birthday. While waiting to get a haircut, I remembered the summer of 1979 where I eagerly watched Yaz’s 3,000 hit chase.

That and some reflections on this episode of The Sully Baseball Daily Podcast.

Kennys Vargas, Brandon McCarthy, Clayton Kershaw, Buster Posey, David Price, Justin Ruggiano, Zach Walters and Tyson Ross all added to their totals for Who Owns Baseball?

Read the rest of this entry

For The Most Part – The Top Salaried Players (#1 – #25 In The MLB Are Certainly Not Playing Like It!

Prince Fielder

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

Follow The MLB Reports On Twitter

Some of the highest paid athletes are really struggling to earn their keep.  Even if A – Rod were playing, it is quite possible he would be a shell of his former self, and way overpaid.

You add in the horrific injury riddled years for Joey Votto and Prince Fielder, and you are talking about a lot of dough for players not even in uniform presently.

Then there is a productive hitter like Troy Tulowitzki, who can’t remain on the field, despite putting up world caliber numbers when he is in the lineup.

Joe Mauer and Matt Kemp have also dealt with injuries and timing issues at the plate, but they still could turn it around for the tail end of the season – and going forward.

Justin Verlander tops the list of the paying the man too late in the game, and this will not bode well for the Free Agent Max Scherzer.

You also have aging veterans that are helping their teams win games like Albert Pujols and Adrian Gonzalez, but they are also not where they were at the time all of that cash was thrown their way.

Miguel Cabrera and Mike Trout‘s deal don’t even start yet on this list, and somehow I think they will do alright.

Robinson Cano has looked decent in the 1st of a 10 year deal, but lets reassess this in 2018…

The Yankees have a huge problem on their hands with their representatives out of these players.

Mark Teixeira only has power left, and can hardly stay on the field, while CC Sabathia may be done as a top of the end starter.

Masahiro Tanaka was lights out in his time in New York this year, however he could be facing Tommy John Surgery soon, and may cost the franchise a lot of money to sit out.

Not even the Jacoby Ellsbury deal has reason for them to feel comfort.  His numbers are similar to the ones he put up in Boston, yet he will see his speed evaporate over the years going forward.

This is part 1 of a 2 part blog series on player contracts. Tomorrow we address players 26 – 50. Read the rest of this entry

MLB Schedule Week 22: Aug 25 – Aug 31, 2014 (93 Games)

mlbreportslogo

MLB Scheduling Week 22 – 2014

Day + Date     Away and Home, Times Start In EST

Week 22

Monday, Aug.25/2014 (9 Games)

1.  Rockies @ Giants 10:15

2.  Marlins @ Angels 10:05 (Interleague)

3.  Brewers @ Padres 10:10

4.  Athletics @ Astros 8:10

5.  Cardinals @ Pirates 7:05

6.  Rays @ Orioles 7:05

7.  Nationals @ Phillies 7:05

8.  Red Sox @ Blue Jays 7:07

9.  Rangers @ Mariners 10:10

Read the rest of this entry

Current Odds To Win The 2014 MLB Divisions: Betting The Longshots The Only Value Left

A AMERICAN LOGO

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

Follow The MLB Reports On Twitter 

Well its another banner prognostication period for me.  Last time we checked on the Divisions, I had the Rays, Angels, Royals, Nationals, Dodgers and Pirates as the best value plays.

I wasn’t expecting Tampa to trade David Price at that point, so I will lose that wager.  I also lost the Bucs value pick, even though they were better odds for the most part of the 3 weeks until the losing streak started.

Overall, the Royals jumped from +800 to just +125 as they skyrocketed up the Division – and now have amassed a 2 game lead over Detroit.

The Dodgers actually had some value 3 weeks ago at -225.  Hope you put some cabbage on them, because now they are -800.

The same can be said for Baltimore, pole-vaulting from +160 – all the way to -900.  They are the biggest favorite in any AL Division.

Washington has played great baseball in the last 21 days, opening up a 6 game lead in the NL East.  They blitzed from -190, to now being -1600.  That odd is not worth wagering anymore..

Los Angeles (on AL Side) have taken over the lead in the AL West by a half game on Oakland, and are still a +125 underdog, to the A’s -150 mark.

It was still good enough to venture from +175 to +125 now, and make me a 4 – 2 prediction selector for the last 3 weeks in duration.  Let’s have it this time around.  If I don’t feel a team has a chance at the Division, i will leave them off the lists.

Read the rest of this entry

The Bullet Version Of Monday’s MLB Games + Craig Kimbrel Is Filthy!

Season high 7 game winning streak - including 3 straight walk off hits at Nats Park.  They hold a 6 game lead over 2nd place Atlanta, and the Nationals haven't even hit full stride with several key players not maximizing on their talent level.  With a weaker NL East schedule down the stretch, they just may hold home field advantage by season's end in the National League.

Season high 7 game winning streak – including 3 straight walk off hits at Nats Park. They hold a 6 game lead over 2nd place Atlanta, and the Nationals haven’t even hit full stride with several key players not maximizing on their talent level. With a weaker NL East schedule down the stretch, they just may hold home field advantage by season’s end in the National League.

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

Follow The MLB Reports On Twitter 

Erik Kratz smacked 2 HRs and now has 23 HRs in just 472 AB.  Thats a HR for every 20.52 AB or would equal about 29 Bolts in a 600 AB campaign.  The guy is 34 so that is not likely to happen… but smart move on KC’s part to bring him in.  Beats the alternative for what they had.

Washington is starting to heat up, and if you play them into late and extra innings, any of their hitters can beat you right now.  This does not bode well for Atlanta.

Everybody just back off of Trevor Rosenthal, as all young relievers go through this.  Besides what is a season if the Cardinals didn’t changeup their Closer at least once…

Everyone also needs to take a chill pill on the A’s missing Yoenis Cespedes so much it has destroyed the unity of the offense.  Teams go through stretches where they don’t play well.  It is just 17 games of a sample size so far. Read the rest of this entry

Odds To Win The 2014 MLB World Series Currently + Best/Worst Value Bets

 

Toronto olunged from +1600 - +4500 in one week.  Even though they have welcomed back EE back, still not sure about their chances in a growing tough AL for playoff spots..

Toronto plunged from +1600 – +4500 in one week. Even though they have welcomed back EE back, still not sure about their chances in a ‘growing tough’ AL for playoff spots..

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

Follow The MLB Reports On Twitter 

Another week has passed – and it is time to get serious in our World Series picks.

To start off, I have eliminated 11 teams from the chance to win a World Series.  These clubs include: BOS/CWS/MIN/TEX/HOU/PHI/NYM/COL/SD/ARI/CHC.

It was a banner week of predicting teams coming and going for yours truly…As bad value of the week I had Toronto (went from +1600 to +4500) as my worst pick..

San Francisco was 2 on the bad list (went from +1400 – +1800)

Oakland was 3rd on the bad list (went from +375 – +450)

Detroit was 4th on the bad list (went from +500 – +650)

St. Louis was 5th on the bad list (went from +1100 – +1400)

A perfect 5 – 0, with the odds lines going way in reverse. Read the rest of this entry

KC/TOR/SEA/MIA All Trying To Break Long Playoff Droughts: Last Appearances In October For Each Squad

kansas-city-royals-logo

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

Follow The MLB Reports On Twitter 

Kansas City has rolled into the 3 quarter mark with a slim AL Central lead on the Detroit Tigers, and may finally stare down their best chance to make the playoffs since winning the World Series Title.

The Royals playoff futility is the ‘clubhouse leader’ in the MLB by 8 years.  The Toronto Blue Jays have not yielded a postseason berth since winning back to back World Series in 1992 and 1993.

Both of these two AL clubs have not made it to October baseball since the 1994 strike (the last 2 remaining clubs).

Toronto starts play today at 63 – 59, and have their best look at the playoffs since the team had Roy Halladay and A.J. Burnett back in 2007 – 2008.

The Canadian franchise had more of an excuse for years – competing with the Red Sox and Yankees when the economics 1st went out of whack during these two AL Beast 8 combined Titles, 10 ALCS appearances and all Division Titles but two during the last 20 years (Tampa Bay in 2008, 2010 being the exception. Read the rest of this entry

How All Of The Dodgers Hitters Were Acquired: 2014 Roster Tree

Yasiel Puig was signed as an International Free Agent in 2012.   The 22 Year old phenom exploded onto scene in the National League - 3 Slashing .319/.381/.925 - with 19 HRs, 42 RBI and 66 Runs Scored in his 104 Games Played.  He was a big part of the team winning the Division - and he will be a mainstay for years - being signed until 2018.

Yasiel Puig was signed as an International Free Agent in 2012 (7 YRs/$42 MIL).. He was 22 Years old last year when he exploded onto scene in the National League in 3 Slashing .319/.381/.544 – with 19 HRs, 42 RBI and 66 Runs Scored in his  1st 104 Games Played. In 2014, he has been a tad better all around year: (.313/.397/.529 – with 13 HRs and 55 RBI thus far), but has clubbed 53 Extra Base Hits (31 – 2B and 9 3B to go with his HRs) – which is about 10 more extra base knocks  than in 2014, whereas the rest of the numbers are pretty identical.

How All Of The Dodgers Hitters Were Acquired:

By Chuck Booth (Lead Baseball Analyst/Website Owner):

Follow MLB Reports On Twitter

At the MLB Reports, we intend to show you the Roster Tree for the Los Angeles Dodgers – and how they assembled their current roster for hitting and Pitching.  It will work in a six degrees of separation like format.

Once we figure out the origin of how many trades going back in time it takes to see where the tree started, it will be time to dissect how the team fared on the deals.

If a player has never left the organization at all, the tree will be easy – as it will just be the year they were drafted or signed.

For all of the Rosters, Depth Charts, State of the Unions and Salaries that we do, please visit our dedicated page link here. Read the rest of this entry

How All Of The Rockies Hitters Were Acquired: 2014 Roster Tree – Injuries + A Coors Field Factor

carlos gonzalez

How All Of The Rockies Hitters Were Acquired:

By Chuck Booth (Lead Baseball Analyst/Website Owner):

Follow MLB Reports On Twitter 

The Rockies are one of the weirdest franchises around in the game of baseball today.

Thin air, humidors, pitcher who struggle, however where they are one of the most dynamic teams is in fantasy baseball.

I have said it before and will say it again…I would love to watch games at Coors Field 81 times a year.

For everyone that loves offense, then watching this squad bash the ball around is awesome. Unfortunately the hitters have had a tough problem staying healthy in recent years.

Carlos Gonzalez and Troy Tulowitzki are world class players.  Both would be in the running for NL MVP every year, it is just they can’t maintain in the lineup.

When you look at the roster, it is composed mostly of draft picks. Read the rest of this entry

Odds To Win The 2014 MLB World Series Currently + Best/Worst Value Bets

kansas-city-royals-logo

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

Follow The MLB Reports On Twitter 

Another week has passed – and it is time to get serious in our World Series picks.

To start off, I have eliminated 12 teams from the chance to win a World Series.  These clubs include: BOS/CWS/MIN/TEX/HOU/MIA/PHI/NYM/COL/SD/ARI/CHC.

Having said this, the Rays season also may be 10 seconds from a toetag.  We will see how they fare this week.

Last weeks selections I was 3 – 1 – 1 for the best odds to wager on.  The Cardinals moved up slightly, and the Nats made a big move up the list thanks to a Braves 8 game losing streak.

I also won with the Dodgers going from +700 to +600.  The only odd I lost was an Angels club going from +1000 – +1000

On the worst odds bets last week I went 3 – 1 – 1. I had the Rays plummeting quickly as my top selection, and I was right on the money, and they plunged from +5000 – to now +10000.  I also pegged the Braves bad road trip, and Yankees fall from grace on the value.

The only odd I lost was the A’s going from +400 to now +375. For the record, I still hate the value, and would surely peg the Dodgers as the #1 team (ranked wise) to win the World Series.

LA holds a 3.5 Games lead on the Giants, who are free-falling.  The Dodger Blue club will also beat up NL West cupcakes of the Padres, Rockies and D’Backs.

While their +600 is about the right odd, I can’t place them in the best wagers for value. Read the rest of this entry

Sully Baseball Daily Podcast – August 10, 2014

LISA BLUMENFELD/GETTY IMAGES

LISA BLUMENFELD/GETTY IMAGES

It is time for The Sunday Request on The Sully Baseball Daily Podcast.

Oh there was a whopper of a long game LAST night.

It is an up all night and up early episode of The Sully Baseball Daily Podcast.

James Shields, Mike Trout, Mike Fiers, David Peralta, Max Scherzer, Shin-Soo Choo, Freddie Freeman and Aaron Harang all added to their totals for Who Owns Baseball?

Read the rest of this entry

How All Of The A’s Hitters Were Acquired: 2014 Roster Tree Shows Incredible Beane Trading Record

041514%20MLB%20athletics%20josh%20donaldson%202%20LN%20PI_vadapt_955_medium_11

How All Of The Athletics Hitters Were Acquired:

By Chuck Booth (Lead Baseball Analyst/Website Owner):

Follow MLB Reports On Twitter 

Truthfully this blog took me forever to do the research for, simply because the A’s GM Billy Beane has been so proactive at the trading helm.

From flipping Mark Mulder several years ago which fetched Dan Haren as part of the haul, to the massive deal with Dan Haren sent to the D’Backs, he added enough depth to pull off several other moves.

Yes, along the way he may have been burned by Colorado for Carlos Gonzalez, but in a the Dbacks deal still is paying off.

The Roster deals include several Oakland draft picks being flipped for current A’s.

Nick Swisher was traded for Gio Gonzalez, who in turn the club can thank for the Catching tandem of Derek Norris and John Jaso as assets received from Swisher initially.

Jaso was brought back in a 3 way deal from Washington, where the A’s sent the SP back to the team they traded Gio Gonzalez for.

Ryan Sweeney (another player brought in for the Swisher) was packaged with Andrew Bailey to obtain Josh Reddick. Read the rest of this entry

Sully Baseball Daily Podcast – August 9, 2014

Christopher Hanewinckel-USA TODAY Sports

Christopher Hanewinckel-USA TODAY Sports

Sometimes baseball can act as a safe outlet for hate, bitterness and other unsavory emotions that we all have but are not proud of.

My dislike of the Arizona Diamondbacks is a perfect example of that.

It is a hate filled episode of The Sully Baseball Daily Podcast.

Carlos Beltran, Hisashi Iwakuma, David Peralta, Nathan Eovaldi, Carlos Santana, Adrian Gonzalez and Madison Bumgarner all added to their totals for Who Owns Baseball?

Read the rest of this entry

How All Of The Reds Hitters Were Acquired: 2014 Roster Tree – Cincy Has Done This Old School

Get used to seeing more of Billy Hamilton swiping bases in the 2nd half.  If he keeps up his pace after about the 110 game mark, he will end the year stealing 70+ bases and scoring 90+  Runs.  He has hit for his best BA ever as a professional in the last 3 months, and is a big reason why the Reds are  on the fringe of contention as we speak.

Get used to seeing more of Billy Hamilton swiping bases in the 2nd half. If he keeps up his pace after about the 110 game mark, he will end the year stealing  nearly 70 bags and scoring 80+ Runs. He has hit for his best BA ever as a professional in the last 3 months, and is a big reason why the Reds are on the fringe of contention as we speak.  There is no doubt the 2nd RD Draft Pick  in 2009 is the odds on favorite to win the NL Rookie Of The Year in 2014.  Something our website predicted this spring.

How All Of The Reds Hitters Were Acquired:

By Chuck Booth (Lead Baseball Analyst/Website Owner):

Follow MLB Reports On Twitter

In Cincy, you are either Drafted, or signed as a Free Agent usually.  Other than Brandon Phillips, and his injury replacement Kristopher Negron, all other members of the offense were either drafted or signed as a Free Agents.

This shows a remarkable history of selecting amateur players with the likes of: Joey Votto, Jay Bruce, Todd Frazier, Devin Mesoraco, Billy Hamilton, Chris Heisey and Zack Cozart.

Add that in with some Free Agent signings like Ryan Ludwick, Brayan Pena, Ramon Santiago, and you are left with an instant team, add water and stir.

The club signing Jack Hannahan maybe wasn’t such a great idea, but then again, the bench hasn’t been that great this year either, with the exception of a nice job as the backup backstopper in Pena.

The bench has not performed well, and has been needed profusely with injuries to Votto and Phillips.

Still, you have to commend the organization on its draft history.  I mean the Blue Jays hardly have developed any Infielders in the last 10 years other than Adam Lind.

Sorry to dig on the Canadian squad, but they still only have Lind as a draft pick currently playing in their lineup.

This is not an article on Toronto, but before I depart with them on my mind, they receive full credit for fleecing the Pirates, and the Reds here, for snatching Jose Bautista and Edwin Encarnacion, for a few years of Scott Rolen at the end of his career.

EE also couldn’t be a DH in the NL, and his defense anywhere was not that average back then anyway. Read the rest of this entry

The Biggest Stretch Of Interleague Has Arrived In the 2014 MLB Season

Interleague_Logo

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

Follow The MLB Reports On Twitter 

Here we go….Starting tonight, there is a season 7 games for Interleague in the next two days, and are several more game lists on the docket for the next 15 days (46 Games in all)..

Highlighted by tonight’s LA Series, the Battle of Ohio, the 2013 World Series, and MLB Trade Deadline dance partners BOS @ STL.

Yes, there also duds on the itinerary, as I am sure there are not too many people pining for a Astros @ Phillies series, or a Padres @ Twins, or even the Royals in the desert to take on the D’Backs,

The one other set of games to pique one’s interest is the Braves stumbling into Safeco Field on a 6 game losing streak – and having the daunting task to face Felix Hernandez this evening. 

Good luck fella’s, a high strikeout team, facing the best AL Pitcher, (which is a rarity), and in one of the worst hitting ballparks with Seattle. This could be an ugly night.

The fans could not need air conditioning with the amount of wind generated by bats missing balls. Read the rest of this entry

Odds To Win The 2014 MLB World Series Currently + Best/Worst Value Bets

The Tigers should be a unanimous choice for the 1 odd to win the World Series.  It is only because the A's have to contend with the Angels, and all NL Divisions are close.

The Tigers should be a unanimous choice for the 1 odd to win the World Series. It is only because the A’s have to contend with the Angels, and all NL Divisions are close. I would take Detroit’s rotation and 1 – 9 lineup over Oakland in a series right now, with the A’s possessing a better Bullpen as their only advantage.

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

Follow The MLB Reports On Twitter 

With the trade deadline coming and going, the new odds have been posted to win the “Fall Classic.”

The consensus among bettors is that the Athletics and Tigers by virtue of their trades are the top favorites.

1st off, there is no way the A’s should be rated higher than Detroit.  The Angels are just 1 game behind Oakland, which would force them into the Wild Card Game.

The ‘Motown Boys’ hold a 5 game lead on their nearest Division rival Kansas City, therefore should be a heavier rated club.

Detroit has a playoff pedigree of going to three straight ALCS’s, and the A’s haven’t won a playoff series since 2006.

I am not putting down the A’s, the odds are just so low, that it is not worth a wager.

Tampa Bay is also a big longshot.  They should be pegged worse than what they are right now.  David Price is not on the squad anymore, and the +5000 is based on the run they did when he was on their staff.

The Rays have climbed from +13000 all the way to +5000 in about a 6 week stretch, however this team is more likely to finish around the .500 mark for the rest of the year. Read the rest of this entry

MLB Schedule Week 19 – 2014 – AUG 4TH – AUG 10TH (94 Games)

mlbreportslogo

MLB Scheduling Week 19 – 2014

Day + Date     Away and Home, Times Start In EST

 

Week 19

Monday, Aug.04/2014 (6 Games)

1.  Angels @ Dodgers 10:10 (Interleague)

2.  Reds @ Indians 7:05

3.  Tigers @ Yankees 7:05

4.  Giants @ Mets 12:10

5.  Rays @ Athletics 10:05

6.  Rangers @ White Sox 8:10

Read the rest of this entry

Sully Baseball Daily Podcast – August 1, 2014

253770_10150660096860537_6391055_n

The trade deadline has come and gone, but the seasons for the Red Sox and Mets are still lost this year.

No better time to talk with comedian and rabid Mets fan Poppi Kramer and talk about the day’s events.

It is a misery loves company episode of The Sully Baseball Daily Podcast.

Follow Poppi Kramer on Twitter by clicking HERE.

Clayton Kershaw, Nolan Reimold, Ben Revere, Yordano Ventura, Neil Walker, Tom Koehler, Bud Norris and Michael Brantley all added to their totals for Who Owns Baseball?

Read the rest of this entry

Sully Baseball Daily Podcast – July 31, 2014

(Boston Herald Staff photo by Stuart Cahill)

(Boston Herald Staff photo by Stuart Cahill)

I woke up this morning by a text from my Red Sox loving friend Kenny Mack that Jon Lester and Jonny Gomes were dealt to the A’s for Yoenis Cespedes.

Good morning.

Kenny and I discussed the move and the legacies of both teams. We sometimes got off topic.

It is a trade deadline episode of The Sully Baseball Daily Podcast.

Follow Kenny Mack on Twitter by clicking HERE.

Matt Kemp, Zack Greinke, Corey Kluber, Nick Castellanos, Brad Hand, Felix Hernandez, Justin Upton and Josh Willingham all added to their totals for Who Owns Baseball?

Read the rest of this entry

Beane Acquires Lester + Gomes For Cespedes: Then Acquires Fuld For Millone

Jon Lester, 30, is in the last year of his contract, which will make him around $4 MIL for the last 2 months of the 2014 season.  While there is no way he signs with Oakland past this campaign, this is a calculated move to land a playoff assassin that can front a franchise a #1 starter for a playoff series - or as the pitcher in a Play in Wild Card game should the Angels run the A's down for the AL West.  Much like Samardzija, the Athletics brass knows these guys could never be acquired via Free Agency, and have the wherewithal to know that inking longterm aces to deals past the age of 30 is just not in the cards for the franchise.  The A's were put in the position to rent them because of Beane's nice deals to build the organization's depth.

Jon Lester, 30, is in the last year of his contract, which will make him around $4 MIL for the last 2 months of the 2014 season. While there is no way he signs with Oakland past this campaign, this is a calculated move to land a playoff assassin that can front a franchise a #1 starter for a playoff series – or as the pitcher in a Play in Wild Card game should the Angels run the A’s down for the AL West. Much like Samardzija, the Athletics brass knows these guys could never be acquired via Free Agency, and have the wherewithal to know that inking longterm aces to deals past the age of 30 is just not in the cards for the franchise. The A’s were put in the position to rent them because of Beane’s nice deals to build the organization’s depth. Lester features a 2.11 ERA in 76.2 IP worth of work in the Post season lifetime.  Lester is 10 – 7, with a 2.52 ERA in 143.2 IP this season in 21 Game Starts.

By Chuck Booth (Lead Baseball Analyst/Website Owner):

Follow MLB Reports On Twitter

Billy Beane has been adamant about his team winning the World Series in 2014, and he fired yet another salvo on the July 31st deadline.

The A’s GM acquired Jon Lester and Jonny Gomes for the popular Cuban OF Yoenis Cespedes.

Lets have the finances out of the way 1st.

Jon Lester, 30,  is in the last year of his contract, and will be a Free Agent after this year. 

There is no shot at the man signing with the Athletics after this year. however the A’s will receive a compensatory pick for giving him a qualifying offer following 2014.

The LHP wll make approximately $4 MIL the rest of the season.

Yoenis Cespedes, 28,  is signed through the 2015 at $10.5 MIL per year the next 2 seasons, and will become a Free Agent after next year. 

As per the article 20B section of the CBA, he negotiated that he would be free and clear once his original 4 YRs/$36 MIL deal with the A’s was completed – prior to the 2012 campaign.

The 2013 and 2014 HR Derby winner will make just south of $3.3 MIL for the rest of this year.

Jonny Gomes 33, will make about $1.5 MIL for the duration of the 2014 year, and will become a Free Agent this winter. Read the rest of this entry

Sully Baseball Daily Podcast – July 30, 2014

BARRY CHIN/BOSTON GLOBE STAFF

BARRY CHIN/BOSTON GLOBE STAFF

Trade Deadline hysteria is heating up. Jon Lester was scratched from his next start and everyone is panicking.

I give my latest thoughts on potential landing spots for the big trade chips less than 48 hours before the trade deadline passes.

It is a waiver free episode of The Sully Baseball Daily Podcast.

Cole Hamels, Brett Gardner, Alex Cobb, Matt Kemp, J.P. Arencibia, Scott Feldman, Freddie Freeman, Stephen Strasburg and Homer Bailey all added to their totals for Who Owns Baseball?

Read the rest of this entry

Current Odds To Win The 2014 MLB Divisions

A AMERICAN LOGO

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

Follow The MLB Reports On Twitter 

With the trade deadline lurking this week, you have to factor this in when you are making bets.

I would be shocked if the Rays trade David Price before July.31, 2014.  This team has erased so many deficits since 2008, and they have been the best team in the league for the last 25% of the year.

I would also predict the Royals to add a bat for the last 2 months.

Pittsburgh has a lot of money in their wallets for a few salary dumps even if they have to wait for the non-waiver deadline.

Cincinnati is fading fast and needs to wheel and deal for some replacement help.

St. Louis has never played well without Molina, and while I love the A.J. Pierzynski addition, they must not stay stagnant here.

The Yankees should break the bank on several more trades now that they are going to be Luxury Tax Abusers yet again!

The Braves should do a deal, yet they have been hampered by all of the payroll B.J. Upton and Dan Uggla eat up.  Maybe 2014 is not their year.

Read the rest of this entry

Sully Baseball Daily Podcast – July 27, 2014

"<strong

It is time for The Sunday Request on The Sully Baseball Daily Podcast.

Jon Lester will probably not be a member of the 2015 Boston Red Sox. We all know that. So how should the Red Sox prepare for it?

And how will Red Sox fans react to Lester as a member of the Yankees NEXT year?

Nori Aoki, Clayton Kershaw, Martin Prado, Chris Sale, Gio Gonzalez, Justin Verlander, Seth Smith and Carlos Santana all added to their totals for Who Owns Baseball?

Read the rest of this entry

Current Odds (AL/NL) To Win The MLB League Championships In 2014

The American League has a lot more parity than the National League this year - with about 12 teams in contention for the playoffs, as opposed to about 8 realistic chances for the NL.  The Tigers should be the ultimate favorite for this odd with the chance of the Angles catching the A's, but overall, they assessed decent odds across the board in the junior circuit.  The wheelhouse for value is within the middle teams.

The American League has a lot more parity than the National League this year – with about 12 teams in contention for the playoffs, as opposed to about 8 realistic chances for the NL. The Tigers should be the ultimate favorite for this odd with the chance of the Angles catching the A’s, but overall, they accessed decent odds across the board in the junior circuit. The wheelhouse for value is within the middle teams like the Royals, Indians, Rays and Orioles.

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

Follow The MLB Reports On Twitter

As you will see in the odds at the end of this point, the NL top 5 teams are not worth betting for the League Odds, but rather the World Series. 

I alluded to this earlier in the year.

For example, the Dodgers are +700 to win the World Series, but are favored at just +275.  This is almost 2.5 times the amount.  In essence, you would need the Dodgers to pay +140 in the Fall Classic, to make the same as winning the LCS, than betting them for the WS.

LA would probably be a great matchup versus any of the AL teams, and likely favored against all except for the Tigers.  The pitching staff is too strong.

The AL has  3 teams totally eliminated from even thinking about playoffs in my view, with the White Sox on the cusp of the threshold.

Give me the Orioles at +1000 any time, as they may have an easier time winning the AL, than in a World Series matchup. 

I also love the value of the Indians and Royals, as both teams are within earshot of the 2nd Wild Card leading Yankees and Blue Jays. and just behind the Mariners.

Like we have discussed so often, the AL Central should have the easiest strength of schedule down the last 60 games or so. Read the rest of this entry

MLB Schedule Week 18 – 2014 (96 Games)

mlbreportslogo

MLB Scheduling Week 18 – 2014

Day + Date     Away and Home, Times Start In EST

Week 18

Monday, July.28/2014 (10 Games)

1.  D-Backs @ Reds 7:10

2  Brewers @ Rays 7:10 (Interleague)

3.  Yankees @ Rangers 8:05

4.  Athletics @ Astros 8:10

5.  Phillies @ Mets 7:10

6.  Pirates @ Giants 10:15

7.  Padres @ Braves 12:10

8.  Blue Jays @ Red Sox 7:10

9.  Nationals @ Marlins 7:10

  1. Rockies @ Cubs 8:05 Read the rest of this entry

MLB Schedule – August, 2014 (421 Games)

mlbreportslogo

MLB Scheduling 2014

Day + Date     Away and Home, Times Start In EST

Aug 2014

Friday, Aug.01/2014 (15 Games)

1.  Angels @ Rays 7:10

2.  Braves @ Padres 10:10

3.  Cubs @ Dodgers 10:10

4.  Reds @ Marlins 7:10

5,  Rockies @ Tigers 7:08 (Interleague)

6.  Royals @ Athletics 9:35

7.  Brewers @ Cardinals 8:15

8.  Twins @ White Sox 7:10

9.  Yankees @ Red Sox 7:10

  1. Phillies @ Nationals 7:05
  2. Mariners @ Orioles 7:05

  3. Giants @ Mets 7:10

  4. Rangers @ Indians 7:05

  5. Blue Jays @ Astros 8:10

  6. Pirates @ D-Backs 9:40 Read the rest of this entry

Current 2014 MLB Team Payrolls: Trade Deadline Manuevering

Clayton Kershaw is the highest paid player on the highest payroll of the Majors with the Dodgers.  Los Angeles is currently sitting at nearly $240 MIL for total team payroll, and will enter the 2nd year of their Luxury Tax Threshold Penalty, where they will pay a 30% surcharge on any monies spent over $189 MIL.  As it stands right now, the club will pay somewhere north of $15 MIL this year.  If the Dodgers are in penalty again for 2015, they will pa 40% of any cash over the Threshold.  Abusers of the tax for 4 years and beyond pay $50%.  With their payroll this year, it would cost Los Angeles over $25 MIL if they were at that limit.

Clayton Kershaw is the highest paid player on the highest payroll of the Majors with the Dodgers. Los Angeles is currently sitting at nearly $240 MIL for total team payroll, and will enter the 2nd year of their Luxury Tax Threshold Penalty, where they will pay a 30% surcharge on any monies spent over $189 MIL. As it stands right now, the club will pay somewhere north of $15 MIL this year. If the Dodgers are in penalty again for 2015, they will pa 40% of any cash over the Threshold. Abusers of the tax for 4 years and beyond pay $50%. With their payroll this year, it would cost Los Angeles over $25 MIL if they were at that limit.

By Chuck Booth (Lead Baseball Analyst/Website Owner):

Follow MLB Reports On Twitter

2014 Team Salaries Rank  (In Millions)

1. LAD – $239.8 ( 2nd time abuser – Luxury Tax Penalty at 30% over $189 MIL = $15.24 MIL to be added at the end of the year.) (1st in NLW)

2. NYY – $200.0 ( 4 or more time abuser – Tax Penalty at 50% over $189 MIL for an additional $5.5 MIL to be added at end of the year.) (1st In ALE)

3. PHI – $177.4 (1st in NLE)

4. DET – $163.0 MIL (1st in ALC)

5. BOS – $157.9 (2nd in ALE)
Read the rest of this entry

Follow

Get every new post delivered to your Inbox.

Join 19,703 other followers

%d bloggers like this: