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Current Odds To Win The 2014 MLB Divisions: Betting The Longshots The Only Value Left

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Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

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Well its another banner prognostication period for me.  Last time we checked on the Divisions, I had the Rays, Angels, Royals, Nationals, Dodgers and Pirates as the best value plays.

I wasn’t expecting Tampa to trade David Price at that point, so I will lose that wager.  I also lost the Bucs value pick, even though they were better odds for the most part of the 3 weeks until the losing streak started.

Overall, the Royals jumped from +800 to just +125 as they skyrocketed up the Division – and now have amassed a 2 game lead over Detroit.

The Dodgers actually had some value 3 weeks ago at -225.  Hope you put some cabbage on them, because now they are -800.

The same can be said for Baltimore, pole-vaulting from +160 – all the way to -900.  They are the biggest favorite in any AL Division.

Washington has played great baseball in the last 21 days, opening up a 6 game lead in the NL East.  They blitzed from -190, to now being -1600.  That odd is not worth wagering anymore..

Los Angeles (on AL Side) have taken over the lead in the AL West by a half game on Oakland, and are still a +125 underdog, to the A’s -150 mark.

It was still good enough to venture from +175 to +125 now, and make me a 4 – 2 prediction selector for the last 3 weeks in duration.  Let’s have it this time around.  If I don’t feel a team has a chance at the Division, i will leave them off the lists.

Read the rest of this entry

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Odds To Win The 2014 MLB World Series Currently + Best/Worst Value Bets

 

Toronto olunged from +1600 - +4500 in one week.  Even though they have welcomed back EE back, still not sure about their chances in a growing tough AL for playoff spots..

Toronto plunged from +1600 – +4500 in one week. Even though they have welcomed back EE back, still not sure about their chances in a ‘growing tough’ AL for playoff spots..

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

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Another week has passed – and it is time to get serious in our World Series picks.

To start off, I have eliminated 11 teams from the chance to win a World Series.  These clubs include: BOS/CWS/MIN/TEX/HOU/PHI/NYM/COL/SD/ARI/CHC.

It was a banner week of predicting teams coming and going for yours truly…As bad value of the week I had Toronto (went from +1600 to +4500) as my worst pick..

San Francisco was 2 on the bad list (went from +1400 – +1800)

Oakland was 3rd on the bad list (went from +375 – +450)

Detroit was 4th on the bad list (went from +500 – +650)

St. Louis was 5th on the bad list (went from +1100 – +1400)

A perfect 5 – 0, with the odds lines going way in reverse. Read the rest of this entry

KC/TOR/SEA/MIA All Trying To Break Long Playoff Droughts: Last Appearances In October For Each Squad

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Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

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Kansas City has rolled into the 3 quarter mark with a slim AL Central lead on the Detroit Tigers, and may finally stare down their best chance to make the playoffs since winning the World Series Title.

The Royals playoff futility is the ‘clubhouse leader’ in the MLB by 8 years.  The Toronto Blue Jays have not yielded a postseason berth since winning back to back World Series in 1992 and 1993.

Both of these two AL clubs have not made it to October baseball since the 1994 strike (the last 2 remaining clubs).

Toronto starts play today at 63 – 59, and have their best look at the playoffs since the team had Roy Halladay and A.J. Burnett back in 2007 – 2008.

The Canadian franchise had more of an excuse for years – competing with the Red Sox and Yankees when the economics 1st went out of whack during these two AL Beast 8 combined Titles, 10 ALCS appearances and all Division Titles but two during the last 20 years (Tampa Bay in 2008, 2010 being the exception. Read the rest of this entry

Odds To Win The 2014 MLB World Series Currently + Best/Worst Value Bets

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Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

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Another week has passed – and it is time to get serious in our World Series picks.

To start off, I have eliminated 12 teams from the chance to win a World Series.  These clubs include: BOS/CWS/MIN/TEX/HOU/MIA/PHI/NYM/COL/SD/ARI/CHC.

Having said this, the Rays season also may be 10 seconds from a toetag.  We will see how they fare this week.

Last weeks selections I was 3 – 1 – 1 for the best odds to wager on.  The Cardinals moved up slightly, and the Nats made a big move up the list thanks to a Braves 8 game losing streak.

I also won with the Dodgers going from +700 to +600.  The only odd I lost was an Angels club going from +1000 – +1000

On the worst odds bets last week I went 3 – 1 – 1. I had the Rays plummeting quickly as my top selection, and I was right on the money, and they plunged from +5000 – to now +10000.  I also pegged the Braves bad road trip, and Yankees fall from grace on the value.

The only odd I lost was the A’s going from +400 to now +375. For the record, I still hate the value, and would surely peg the Dodgers as the #1 team (ranked wise) to win the World Series.

LA holds a 3.5 Games lead on the Giants, who are free-falling.  The Dodger Blue club will also beat up NL West cupcakes of the Padres, Rockies and D’Backs.

While their +600 is about the right odd, I can’t place them in the best wagers for value. Read the rest of this entry

Total AL Plus/Minus Of BB/SO On Offense + Pitching

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By Chuck Booth (Lead Baseball Analyst/Website Owner):

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Baseball is a game full of stats and numbers.  Sabermetrics aside, one thing that I fully believe takes to win baseball games is superior pitching, and still having some plate discipline.

Of course it you can compensate for a lack of patience at the plate, with some big Home Runs, than you still may make out just fine.

While doing some research on the Oakland A’s, I looked at AL offensive and defensive Walk to Strikeout totals on both sides of the field.

I believe this is a relevant look at how good a team is faring.

Right away, the Rays and Orioles stick out in this blog, because the Rays were number 1 for this category, and the O’s are 14th, yet have the 3rd best record in the AL, and lead the AL East by 5 games currently.

Read the rest of this entry

The Biggest Stretch Of Interleague Has Arrived In the 2014 MLB Season

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Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

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Here we go….Starting tonight, there is a season 7 games for Interleague in the next two days, and are several more game lists on the docket for the next 15 days (46 Games in all)..

Highlighted by tonight’s LA Series, the Battle of Ohio, the 2013 World Series, and MLB Trade Deadline dance partners BOS @ STL.

Yes, there also duds on the itinerary, as I am sure there are not too many people pining for a Astros @ Phillies series, or a Padres @ Twins, or even the Royals in the desert to take on the D’Backs,

The one other set of games to pique one’s interest is the Braves stumbling into Safeco Field on a 6 game losing streak – and having the daunting task to face Felix Hernandez this evening. 

Good luck fella’s, a high strikeout team, facing the best AL Pitcher, (which is a rarity), and in one of the worst hitting ballparks with Seattle. This could be an ugly night.

The fans could not need air conditioning with the amount of wind generated by bats missing balls. Read the rest of this entry

Odds To Win The 2014 MLB World Series Currently + Best/Worst Value Bets

The Tigers should be a unanimous choice for the 1 odd to win the World Series.  It is only because the A's have to contend with the Angels, and all NL Divisions are close.

The Tigers should be a unanimous choice for the 1 odd to win the World Series. It is only because the A’s have to contend with the Angels, and all NL Divisions are close. I would take Detroit’s rotation and 1 – 9 lineup over Oakland in a series right now, with the A’s possessing a better Bullpen as their only advantage.

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

Follow The MLB Reports On Twitter 

With the trade deadline coming and going, the new odds have been posted to win the “Fall Classic.”

The consensus among bettors is that the Athletics and Tigers by virtue of their trades are the top favorites.

1st off, there is no way the A’s should be rated higher than Detroit.  The Angels are just 1 game behind Oakland, which would force them into the Wild Card Game.

The ‘Motown Boys’ hold a 5 game lead on their nearest Division rival Kansas City, therefore should be a heavier rated club.

Detroit has a playoff pedigree of going to three straight ALCS’s, and the A’s haven’t won a playoff series since 2006.

I am not putting down the A’s, the odds are just so low, that it is not worth a wager.

Tampa Bay is also a big longshot.  They should be pegged worse than what they are right now.  David Price is not on the squad anymore, and the +5000 is based on the run they did when he was on their staff.

The Rays have climbed from +13000 all the way to +5000 in about a 6 week stretch, however this team is more likely to finish around the .500 mark for the rest of the year. Read the rest of this entry

MLB Schedule Week 19 – 2014 – AUG 4TH – AUG 10TH (94 Games)

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MLB Scheduling Week 19 – 2014

Day + Date     Away and Home, Times Start In EST

 

Week 19

Monday, Aug.04/2014 (6 Games)

1.  Angels @ Dodgers 10:10 (Interleague)

2.  Reds @ Indians 7:05

3.  Tigers @ Yankees 7:05

4.  Giants @ Mets 12:10

5.  Rays @ Athletics 10:05

6.  Rangers @ White Sox 8:10

Read the rest of this entry

Current Odds To Win The 2014 MLB Divisions

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Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

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With the trade deadline lurking this week, you have to factor this in when you are making bets.

I would be shocked if the Rays trade David Price before July.31, 2014.  This team has erased so many deficits since 2008, and they have been the best team in the league for the last 25% of the year.

I would also predict the Royals to add a bat for the last 2 months.

Pittsburgh has a lot of money in their wallets for a few salary dumps even if they have to wait for the non-waiver deadline.

Cincinnati is fading fast and needs to wheel and deal for some replacement help.

St. Louis has never played well without Molina, and while I love the A.J. Pierzynski addition, they must not stay stagnant here.

The Yankees should break the bank on several more trades now that they are going to be Luxury Tax Abusers yet again!

The Braves should do a deal, yet they have been hampered by all of the payroll B.J. Upton and Dan Uggla eat up.  Maybe 2014 is not their year.

Read the rest of this entry

How All Of The Indians Hitters Were Acquired: 2014 Roster Tree Shows A Good Job Done By The Organization

Francona took over a team that ended up 68-94 after being competitive for the first couple of months of the 2012 season.  The team also added some key FA talent., but Francona  cultivated the attitude of this young team all the way to a playoff birth and a AL Manager Of The Year Award.  His offense was a big reason why the team was able to do this, and are competitive again in 2014 with virtually the same roster.

Terry Francona took over a team that ended up 68-94 after being competitive for the first couple of months of the 2012 season. The team aadded some key offensive FA talent in 2013., but Francona also cultivated the attitude of this young team all the way to a playoff berth and an AL Manager Of The Year Award. His club’s offense was a big reason why the team was able to do this, and the team is competitive again in 2014 with virtually the same roster – and nice power threats.

How All Of The Indians Hitters Were Acquired:

By Chuck Booth (Lead Baseball Analyst/Website Owner):

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When we look at how this offense was put together, we saw a lot of decent draft picks, a few nice trades sprinkled in, and a few Free Agents signed along the way.

With Francisco Lindor coming along the way, this is probably the swan song for SS Asdrubal Cabrera, however one can’t forget this franchise fleeced the Mariners for the asset that was Eduardo Perez. to obtain his services.

Cabrera has had a nice stay in Cleveland, with 2 ALL – Star Selections, one Silver Slugger – and has provided nice defense for the last 8 years.

It wasn’t the 1st time Cleveland won out in a trade with Seattle.  Does Anybody remember Shin-Soo Choo for Ben Broussard?

As you will see in a future Pitchers Roster Tree for the “Tribe”, Cleveland has Josh Outman, Trevor Bauer and Bryan Shaw for the original Perez deal now. Read the rest of this entry

How All Of The White Sox Hitters Were Acquired – 2014 Roster Tree: A Nice Job By The Brass To Revamp The Offense

Paul Konerko announced that the 2014 season will be his last. Konerko has 439 career HR, 1409 RBI, and 6 All Star appearances in his 18 year career. What will most likely not be a HOF career, will certainly go down as one of the best in White Sox history. Konerko was the direct replacement for Frank Thomas.  Konerko is only 16 HRs behind Thomas for the White Sox franchise record.  While he will not reach that mark, his role may increase now with some DH AB.  If Dunn is traded later in the year, he may see some more Plate Appearances as well.  Konerko, now 38, was a 1998 trade acquisition - with OF Mike Cameron going back the other way.  while Cameron was a nice Major Leaguer in his time.  Konerko should have his number retired by the club, and is the current active leader for HRs hit for just one team.

Paul Konerko announced that the 2014 season will be his last.  He has 439 career HR, 1409 RBI, and 6 All Star appearances in his 18 year career. What will most likely not be a HOF career, will certainly go down as one of the best in White Sox history. Konerko was the direct replacement for Frank Thomas. Konerko is only 16 HRs behind the 2014 “Hall Of Fame Inductee” for the White Sox franchise record. While he will not reach that mark, his role may increase now with some DH AB If Dunn is traded later this week.   Konerko, now 38, was a 1998 trade acquisition – with OF Mike Cameron going back the other way to Cincinnati. While Cameron was a nice Major Leaguer in his time. Konerko should have his number retired by the club, and is the current active leader for HRs hit for just one team.  He will soon hand the reigns of the team over to Jose Abreu and CO.

How All Of The White Sox Hitters Were Acquired:

By Chuck Booth (Lead Baseball Analyst/Website Owner):

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The White Sox have done a fantastic job of reassembling their young offensive core in the last year.

Signing International Free Agent Jose Abreu has expedited the time in which the franchise will have to wait to be competitive again.

Paul Konerko is in his last year in the Majors, and his 17th season with the Pale Hose.

The 38 Year Old is the active leader in HRs with 1 current club (432 Hrs), and has been the foundation for the Southsiders for the time he has donned the uniform. Read the rest of this entry

Current Odds (AL/NL) To Win The MLB League Championships In 2014

The American League has a lot more parity than the National League this year - with about 12 teams in contention for the playoffs, as opposed to about 8 realistic chances for the NL.  The Tigers should be the ultimate favorite for this odd with the chance of the Angles catching the A's, but overall, they assessed decent odds across the board in the junior circuit.  The wheelhouse for value is within the middle teams.

The American League has a lot more parity than the National League this year – with about 12 teams in contention for the playoffs, as opposed to about 8 realistic chances for the NL. The Tigers should be the ultimate favorite for this odd with the chance of the Angles catching the A’s, but overall, they accessed decent odds across the board in the junior circuit. The wheelhouse for value is within the middle teams like the Royals, Indians, Rays and Orioles.

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

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As you will see in the odds at the end of this point, the NL top 5 teams are not worth betting for the League Odds, but rather the World Series. 

I alluded to this earlier in the year.

For example, the Dodgers are +700 to win the World Series, but are favored at just +275.  This is almost 2.5 times the amount.  In essence, you would need the Dodgers to pay +140 in the Fall Classic, to make the same as winning the LCS, than betting them for the WS.

LA would probably be a great matchup versus any of the AL teams, and likely favored against all except for the Tigers.  The pitching staff is too strong.

The AL has  3 teams totally eliminated from even thinking about playoffs in my view, with the White Sox on the cusp of the threshold.

Give me the Orioles at +1000 any time, as they may have an easier time winning the AL, than in a World Series matchup. 

I also love the value of the Indians and Royals, as both teams are within earshot of the 2nd Wild Card leading Yankees and Blue Jays. and just behind the Mariners.

Like we have discussed so often, the AL Central should have the easiest strength of schedule down the last 60 games or so. Read the rest of this entry

MLB Schedule Week 18 – 2014 (96 Games)

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MLB Scheduling Week 18 – 2014

Day + Date     Away and Home, Times Start In EST

Week 18

Monday, July.28/2014 (10 Games)

1.  D-Backs @ Reds 7:10

2  Brewers @ Rays 7:10 (Interleague)

3.  Yankees @ Rangers 8:05

4.  Athletics @ Astros 8:10

5.  Phillies @ Mets 7:10

6.  Pirates @ Giants 10:15

7.  Padres @ Braves 12:10

8.  Blue Jays @ Red Sox 7:10

9.  Nationals @ Marlins 7:10

  1. Rockies @ Cubs 8:05 Read the rest of this entry

MLB Schedule – August, 2014 (421 Games)

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MLB Scheduling 2014

Day + Date     Away and Home, Times Start In EST

Aug 2014

Friday, Aug.01/2014 (15 Games)

1.  Angels @ Rays 7:10

2.  Braves @ Padres 10:10

3.  Cubs @ Dodgers 10:10

4.  Reds @ Marlins 7:10

5,  Rockies @ Tigers 7:08 (Interleague)

6.  Royals @ Athletics 9:35

7.  Brewers @ Cardinals 8:15

8.  Twins @ White Sox 7:10

9.  Yankees @ Red Sox 7:10

  1. Phillies @ Nationals 7:05
  2. Mariners @ Orioles 7:05

  3. Giants @ Mets 7:10

  4. Rangers @ Indians 7:05

  5. Blue Jays @ Astros 8:10

  6. Pirates @ D-Backs 9:40 Read the rest of this entry

Current 2014 MLB Team Payrolls: Trade Deadline Manuevering

Clayton Kershaw is the highest paid player on the highest payroll of the Majors with the Dodgers.  Los Angeles is currently sitting at nearly $240 MIL for total team payroll, and will enter the 2nd year of their Luxury Tax Threshold Penalty, where they will pay a 30% surcharge on any monies spent over $189 MIL.  As it stands right now, the club will pay somewhere north of $15 MIL this year.  If the Dodgers are in penalty again for 2015, they will pa 40% of any cash over the Threshold.  Abusers of the tax for 4 years and beyond pay $50%.  With their payroll this year, it would cost Los Angeles over $25 MIL if they were at that limit.

Clayton Kershaw is the highest paid player on the highest payroll of the Majors with the Dodgers. Los Angeles is currently sitting at nearly $240 MIL for total team payroll, and will enter the 2nd year of their Luxury Tax Threshold Penalty, where they will pay a 30% surcharge on any monies spent over $189 MIL. As it stands right now, the club will pay somewhere north of $15 MIL this year. If the Dodgers are in penalty again for 2015, they will pa 40% of any cash over the Threshold. Abusers of the tax for 4 years and beyond pay $50%. With their payroll this year, it would cost Los Angeles over $25 MIL if they were at that limit.

By Chuck Booth (Lead Baseball Analyst/Website Owner):

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2014 Team Salaries Rank  (In Millions)

1. LAD – $239.8 ( 2nd time abuser – Luxury Tax Penalty at 30% over $189 MIL = $15.24 MIL to be added at the end of the year.) (1st in NLW)

2. NYY – $200.0 ( 4 or more time abuser – Tax Penalty at 50% over $189 MIL for an additional $5.5 MIL to be added at end of the year.) (1st In ALE)

3. PHI – $177.4 (1st in NLE)

4. DET – $163.0 MIL (1st in ALC)

5. BOS – $157.9 (2nd in ALE)
Read the rest of this entry

MLB ALL – Star Break Report Cards – National League

The best letter grade we gave out was to the Milwaukee Brewers,  The team pole vaulted out to a fast start, and despite other clubs having a lot more talent than this bunch, young players have emerged for the Brew Crew.  Even with recent play, the other teams have had injury trouble while Milwaukee is relatively healthy.

The best letter grade we gave out was to the Milwaukee Brewers, The team pole vaulted out to a fast start, and despite other clubs having a lot more talent than this bunch, young players have emerged for the Brew Crew. Even with recent play, the other teams have had injury trouble while Milwaukee is relatively healthy.  Still with 4 clubs within 3.5 games or better in the NL Central, this should be a dogfight to the bitter end.

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

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Division             GBL Letter Grade

NL EAST

T1.  WSH 51 – 42: – (C+)

Have dealt with a plethora of injuries to Bryce Harper, Ryan Zimmerman, Wilson Ramos, Adam LaRoche and Doug Fister.

Jayson Werth had a nice hot streak right before the end of the 1st half.

The team with limited flaws has just not taken off like it should.

Gio Gonzalez hasn’t found his form yet.

T1.  ATL 52 – 43: – (B-)

This team has a nice 14 – 6 stretch to end the 1st half.

When you consider the club has withstood year ending injuries to Kris Medlen, Brandon Beachy and Gavin Floyd.

Dan Uggla and B.J. Upton are making 25% of the team payroll and are posting anemic numbers.  The older Upton has done better in the last 10 games.

Evan Gattis and Freddie Freeman have kept the team afloat, and whenever Justin Upton hits, this team wins.

A great patchwork job done by the Starting Pitchers replacements.  Aaron Harang and Alex Wood have done spade work.

Still one of the best Bullpens in the game. Read the rest of this entry

MLB Teams Pitching Payroll vs Positional Players Payroll In 2014

The Dodgers are the new kings of spending money on payroll in the MLB.  They already spend the most money their Pitching Staff, are the only team well over the $200 MIL mark, and are also creeping up on the New York Yankees for position player spending.  With the Bronx Bombers not in a playoff spot currently, the Dodgers may pass the Pinstripers by adding salary to their lineup, or by New York deciding to trade a few players from their position lineup.

The Dodgers are the new kings of spending money on payroll in the MLB. They already spend the most money their Pitching Staff, are the only team well over the $200 MIL mark, and are also creeping up on the New York Yankees for position player spending. With the Bronx Bombers not in a playoff spot currently, the Dodgers may pass the Pinstripers by adding salary to their lineup, or by New York deciding to trade a few players from their position lineup.

By Chuck Booth (Lead Baseball Analyst/Website Owner):

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The LA Dodgers have 5 quality Starting Pitchers, and a bevy of former Closers in their Relief Core.

The boys who play their home games at Chavez Ravine, would fit into the top half of entire team payrolls for the majors with each of their pitching and offense separately.

If the Yankees trade 1 or 2 hitters before the Deadline, or the Dodgers add an offense player to their depth, they will hold the #1 spot in both distinctions.

New York, Detroit, Philadelphia, Washington, Boston and both of the Los Angeles franchises are in the top 10 in each. Read the rest of this entry

MLB Schedule Week 17: July 21 – 27 (98 Games)

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MLB Scheduling 2014

Day + Date     Away and Home, Times Start In EST

Week 17

Monday, July.21/2014 (12 Games)

1.  Orioles @ Angels 10:05

2.  Royals @ White Sox 8:10

3.  Dodgers @ Pirates 7:05

4.  Marlins @ Braves 7:10

5.  Rangers @ Yankees 7:05

6.  Giants @ Phillies 7:05

7.  Red Sox @ Blue Jays 7:07

8.  Reds @ Brewers 8:10

9.  Indians @ Twins 8:10

  1. Nationals @ Rockies 8:40
  2. Tigers @ D-Backs 9:40 (Interleague)

  3. Mets @ Mariners 10:10 (Interleague) Read the rest of this entry

Odds To Win The 2014 World Series Currently + Best/Worst Value Bets

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Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

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The record for predicting odds last week was 4 – 3 – 3.

The Rays have kept chipping away at their odds, by having a 4 – 2 week.  At +8000 for the World Series, this is still tremendous value.  I actually like the +1800 for the division even better.

Baltimore is holding onto a firm grasp of the AL East (4 games over TOR – and 5 Games over NYY), so how the hell do the oddsmakers have the Blue Jays favored slightly more than the O’s.

I will take the win, and leave the Birds as a best pick this week. I was amazed to see the Jays maintained a +1400 clip despite having a pitiful week, and see the injuries continue to rise. Read the rest of this entry

The Latest Odds To Win Each MLB Division In 2014 With Full Analysis

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Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

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AMERICAN LEAGUE

AL EAST

Analysis:  Last month I had the Orioles as my favorite for the Division at +650, and now they are at +130.  

With recent injuries to several Blue Jays and Yankees key personnel, and the continued struggles of Tampa Bay and Boston, this is a no-brainer.

Baltimore has a 3 game lead on Toronto and a 4 game lead on the Bronx Bombers.

With the Bronx Bombers missing 4/5ths of their rotation, I actually believe the Rays are in better position to win the AL East. Read the rest of this entry

MLB Schedule Week 16 – ALL Star Game + 46 Games: July 14 – 20, 2014

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MLB Scheduling 2014

Day + Date     Away and Home, Times Start In EST

ALL STAR Break July.14th – July.17th @ Target Field – Minneapolis MN

Week 16

Monday, July.14/2014

HR DERBY – Target Field 7 PM

Tuesday July.15/2014

All Star Game – Target Field 8 PM

Wednesday, July.16/2014

No Games Scheduled

Thursday, July.17/2014

No Games Scheduled Read the rest of this entry

Odds To Win The 2014 World Series Currently + Best/Worst Value Bets

 The Rays are not strangers to being out of the playoff picture by 9 or 10 games at this point in the season.  At 100/1 Odds right now, you can pick them for a massive value wager.  Put 10 bucks on them, and then bet against them tonight for a wager of $12, taking Jason Vargas and KC at  - 113.  If they lose tonight, you are up about 60 cents, and still have the bet for the whole year.  Keep betting like this all week, bet to win $10 a night versus them.   If this team goes 4 - 1 or 5 - 0 for the rest of the week, they are in the hunt. 3 - 2 is still okay.  If the club goes 2 - 3 or worse, they may heat up the David Price chatter over the All - Star break.

The Rays are not strangers to being out of the playoff picture by 9 or 10 games at this point in the season.- and ultimately qualifying for a spot with a huge run in the 2nd half of the year.  At 100/1 Odds right now, you can pick them for a massive value wager. Put 10 bucks on them, and then bet against them tonight for a wager of $12, taking Jason Vargas and KC at – 113. If they lose tonight, you are up about 60 cents, and still have the bet for the whole year. Keep betting like this all week, bet to win $10 a night versus them. If this team goes 4 – 1 or 5 – 0 for the rest of the week, they are in the hunt.- and you may be down $30 – $40, but the worth is still there for the World Series odd, and the team could be kept together with a run.   3 – 2 is still okay. If the club goes 2 – 3 or worse, they may heat up the David Price chatter over the All – Star break.

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

Follow The MLB Reports On Twitter

It was a 4 – 4 – 2 predicting record for the week,  however I nailed the top bet and worst bet on the board.  The Reds continue to battle in the NL Central, and now have gone up to +3500.  Currently they are tied with Pittsburgh and for 14th best odd.

I think the value is right about where it should be.

Crazy enough on the Brewers, they are now the 10th favored team to win the WS- while the Cards have shot up to 7th on the board.  This despite the Brew Crew still possessing a 4 game lead on the Red Birds.

Weird enough, I won the Boston Red Sox value pick, even though they are plummeting down the standings faster than any other AL East team.  They have no business being 17th on the list.

If you are a believer in the Rays making a comeback like they seem to do every year. they are at 1000/1 to win the Fall Classic.  They will be my best value play for the year.

Another absurd notion is that the Orioles are +2000, while the Blue Jays sit at +1400 now to win the World Series.  Talking about no pulse for what is happening.  Encarnacion is hurt, Baltimore has a 3 game lead, and expect a big 2nd half from Chris Davis. Read the rest of this entry

What is ‘My Favorite Baseball Game’ Ever Attended?: A New Method To Historically Score As A Ballpark Fan

 

yankee stadium

By Josh Robbins (Special Guest Writer And Co – Creator for The Factor12 Rating Pitching Metric.)

The Factor 12 (F12) is an analytic measurement utilizing league average performance to compare the value of all MLB pitchers on 60ft6in.com.

 “Bill James has a pitcher stat called game score. So, I renamed my stat, “My Favorite Game.”

What is My Favorite Game?

Baseball fans often rekindle memories of their favorite games using anecdotal stories.  The accounts are often muddled by faint and inaccurate details lost over time.

My Favorite Game is intended to provide an unbiased statistical analysis using a points-based system to properly assign a value to every MLB game attended.

Here’s the breakdown of each event: Read the rest of this entry

30 MLB Team Power Rankings: Week 15 – 2014

The Atlanta Braves were hovering around .500, and in serious jeopardy of watching the Nationals blow by them with a healthy roster.  Instead, they are the biggest mover of the week, riding a 9 game win streak.   All of this coming on the heels of losing Evan Gattis for awhile.

The Atlanta Braves were hovering around .500, and in serious jeopardy of watching the Nationals blow by them with a healthy roster. Instead, they are the biggest mover of the week, riding a 9 game win streak. All of this coming on the heels of losing Evan Gattis for awhile.

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

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*** Denotes Division Leaders

Records are before play Thursday July.06, 2014

RK Team   Last Wk Rnk  ()      Current Rec –  Last 10 Days Rec

1.  ***Oakland A’s (1) 54 – 33:  6 – 3  The A’s are the only team that has an above .600 Win Percentage.

What is not to like.  They have the best record since 2012, are even better over the last 2 years (July 2012, July 2014, about .615 Baseball), have won 2 AL West in a row as well.

Added to the fold is a great trade bringing in Jeff Samardzija and Jason Hammel, and not yielding anything from the current MLB Roster in return.

2. ***Detroit Tigers (2) 48 – 36: 6 – 4: Tigers beat the better teams, and have troubles with the lesserlites.

Emergence of J.D. Martinez is a major bonus for a team starving for OF help.  Still need more Bullpen arms.

Great division for opponents down the 2nd half. Read the rest of this entry

MLB Week 15 Schedule: July 7th – July 13th, 2014: (101 Games)

Home Of Sully Baseball + #WOB, #SullyMetrics, Baseball Analysis (Audio + Written, Roster Trees, Salaries, Org. Depth Charts,+ State Of The Unions + Stats + Wicked Daily Content,) + the best coverage on the 2014 MLB schedule in the world.)   We are not your average "Cookie Cutter" Website.  Also our motto is "THE TRUTH STINGS LIKE A CATCUS!"

Home Of Sully Baseball + #WOB, #SullyMetrics, Baseball Analysis (Audio + Written, Roster Trees, Salaries, Org. Depth Charts,+ State Of The Unions + Stats + Wicked Daily Content,) + the best coverage on the 2014 MLB schedule in the world.) We are not your average “Cookie Cutter” Website. Also our motto is “THE TRUTH STINGS LIKE A CATCUS!”

Week 15

MLB Scheduling 2014

Day + Date     Away and Home, Times Start In EST

Monday, July.07/2014 (14 Games)

1.  Braves @ Mets 7:10

2.  Orioles @ Nationals 7:05 (Interleague)

3.  White Sox @ Red Sox 7:10

4.  Cubs @ Reds 7:10

5.  Astros @ Rangers 8:05

6.  Royals @ Rays 7:10

7.  Yankees @ Indians 7:05

8.  Pirates @ Cardinals 8:15

9.  Blue Jays @ Angels 10:05

  1. Phillies @ Brewers 8:10
  2. Padres @ Rockies 8:40

  3. Marlins @ D-Backs 9:40

  4. Twins @ Mariners 10:10

14.  Giants @ Athletics 10:05 (Interleague) Read the rest of this entry

Odds To Win The 2014 World Series Currently + Best/Worst Value Bets

I Have hammered this point to a fault, and sound like a broken record, but look at the proof.  The Cincinnati squad has reeled off 4 wins in a row, 7 out of 10, climbing within  a game of the playoff bar.  With a winning pedigree over the last several years, how are they tied for 16th only in odds to win the World Series with Boston?

I Have hammered this point to a fault, and sound like a broken record, but look at the proof. The Cincinnati squad has reeled off 4 wins in a row, 7 out of 10, and have climbed within a game of the playoff bar. With a winning pedigree over the last several years, how are they tied for 16th only in odds to win the World Series with Boston?  Give me the Redlegs any day with their 42 – 38. and a healthy team for the 1st time all year, and many ALL – Star toting the uniforms.  I nailed the odd when it was +6600, so I am definitely on the bandwagon for a hot team, that is still paying great value.  If they make poststeason, you can extensively hedge if need be with starting base that high.

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

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So I have finally had a sub-par week for predicting World Series Odds.  My worst selection was putting faith in the Royals, only to see them jump from +2500 – +3300, and the Red Sox plunged a +700 mark to +4000 from +3300.

It was somewhat diffused by picks for Baltimore to shoot upwards as a favorite, and I am still miffed at the Reds receiving no love at all.

Cincy has won 4 in a row and 7 – 10, and are climbing heavily into the Wild Card Race with the Dodgers and Cardinals.

With how fast the Giants are coming back to LA in the NL west, it may be these three teams fighting it out for 2 berths, with the loser of the Nats/Braves division, SF, and the Bucs still right in the loop.

Right now the oldest professional baseball team is playing some great baseball, have a fully healthy squad for the first time all season, and we are talking about a club who has made the playoffs in 3 of the last 4 years.

Billy Hamilton has batting over .300 since the end of April, and now Brandon Phillips and Jay Bruce are coming around, and it is only a matter of time before Joey Votto gets right.

Todd Frazier has been one of the best baseball players in the NL this campaign, and is currently tied for 3rd in NL HRs.

Devin Mesoraco is almost averaging an RBI per game, and is slugging .627 as a Catcher, with 14 HRs and 40 RBI in 47 Games Played.

Aroldis Chapman is lighting the lamp with 100 MPH. Jonathan Broxton is filthy. and the Starters are throwing the ball.

This is not the same team that started 3 – 8.  Look the hell out in the 2nd half.  Certainly they should not be tied for the 16th favorite on the odds board. Read the rest of this entry

MLB Schedule 2014 Week 14 – June.30 – July.6

Home Of Sully Baseball + #WOB, #SullyMetrics, Baseball Analysis (Audio + Written, Roster Trees, Salaries, Org. Depth Charts,+ State Of The Unions + Stats + Wicked Daily Content,) + the best coverage on the 2014 MLB schedule in the world.)   We are not your average "Cookie Cutter" Website.  Also our motto is "THE TRUTH STINGS LIKE A CATCUS!"

Home Of Sully Baseball + #WOB, #SullyMetrics, Baseball Analysis (Audio + Written, Roster Trees, Salaries, Org. Depth Charts,+ State Of The Unions + Stats + Wicked Daily Content,) + the best coverage on the 2014 MLB schedule in the world.) We are not your average “Cookie Cutter” Website. Also our motto is “THE TRUTH STINGS LIKE A CATCUS!”

Ballpark Chaser Guides Links Courtesy of http://www.ballparkchasers.com:

Also do yourself a favor and read this blog on the 30 MLB Park Pass-Port here

Before You read the Month Schedule, here are 30 Links to Ballpark Chaser Guides, that will aid you in your road trip quests. Read the rest of this entry

30 MLB Team Power Rankings: Month Of June 2014

Welcome to your new World Series Favorite. according to the oddsmakers.  I see their rationale.  The A's have the best record in the Majors, and also the biggest lead within their Division.  Oh yeah..this club has back to back West Titles, and a deep lineup in a parity league that is the AL.  While I don't endorse them as the favorite for the World Series right now (based on predicting playoffs solely), there is no doubt I ranked them #1 in power rankings

Welcome to your new World Series Favorite. according to the oddsmakers. I see their rationale. The A’s have the best record in the Majors, and also the biggest lead within their Division. Oh yeah..this club has back to back West Titles, and a deep lineup in a parity league that is the AL. While I don’t endorse them as the favorite for the World Series right now (based on predicting playoffs solely), there is no doubt I ranked them #1 in power rankings

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

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*** Denotes Division Leaders

Records are before play Thursday June.26, 2014

RK Team   Last Wk Rnk  ()      Current Rec –  Last 31 Days Rec

1.  ***Oakland A’s (2) 48 – 30:  17 – 10:  The A’s are still the best team in the Majors for the last 2 1/2 years.  Coco Crisp on another hot spell.

Josh Donaldson and Brandon Moss both in the top 5 for HRs, and Sonny Gray/Scott Kazmir among several starters for ERA, WHIP and quality starts.

Yoenis Cespedes has the power numbers to be a perfect complement to the top guys, and the bar can always be raised higher.

Sean Doolittle is authoring one of the greatest Bullpen efforts ever for a Closer. A 53/1 Strikeout to Walk ratio is beyond filthy.

2.  ***Detroit Tigers (3) 42 – 32: 14 – 13:  A nice rebound after they dropped out of 1st place temporarily.

Victor Martinez and J.D. Martinez will exceptional June’s, and Miguel Cabrera is still on pace for 130 RBI.

Justin Verlander and Max Scherzer had sub-par starts, but look to correct themselves now.

Joe Nathan is making the late innings nervous for Tiger’s fans, after they had to endure Joaquin Benoit, Phil Coke, Jose Veras and Jose Valverde over the last few years. Read the rest of this entry

ATR (Ask The Reports) Returns For One Day Here: June 25th, 2014

Home Of Sully Baseball + #WOB, #SullyMetrics, Baseball Analysis (Audio + Written, Roster Trees, Salaries, Org. Depth Charts, Historical Series for All 30 Clubs + State Of The Unions + Wicked Daily Content,) + tyhe best coverage on the 2014 MLB schedule in the world.   We are not your average "Cookie Cutter" Website.  Also our motto is "THE TRUTH STINGS LIKE A CATCUS!"

Home Of Sully Baseball + #WOB, #SullyMetrics, Baseball Analysis (Audio + Written, Roster Trees, Salaries, Org. Depth Charts, Historical Series for All 30 Clubs + State Of The Unions + Wicked Daily Content,) + tyhe best coverage on the 2014 MLB schedule in the world. We are not your average “Cookie Cutter” Website. Also our motto is “THE TRUTH STINGS LIKE A CATCUS!”

By Chuck Booth (Lead Baseball Analyst/Website Owner):

Follow MLB Reports

As our website has increasingly adapted to changes both suggested by our readers and writers, we are forever changing our content on our little space carved out on the interwebs.

So for a little bit of nostalgia, I add an installment of a previous segment we once had, called ATR (Ask The Reports).

Q:  I noticed you pulled down the HR leaderboard pages and placed them on a website called www.30mlbteamsreports.com, is this the same ownership of that site?

CB:  Absolutely, I purchased the domain www.30mlbteamsreports.com  to help control some of the amount of stuff we post at http://www.mlbreports.com.  In some cases, we will post some of our work on both websites from now on. Read the rest of this entry

The AL Has Been Dominating The NL During Interleague For Over A Decade Now

After 7 years of Interleague, the AL trailed the season series 4 - 3, and the overall games mark 853 - 833 (.506).  Since 2004 it has been 10- years straight of AL beatdowns, winning each campaign for Won - Loss record - 1437 - 1206 (.544).

After the 1st 7 years of Interleague, the AL trailed the season series 4 – 3, and the overall games mark 853 – 833 (.506). Since 2004 it has been 10 years straight of AL beatdowns, winning each campaign for Won – Loss record, with a clip of  1437 – 1206 (.544).  Despite a promising start of 26 – 17 this season for the Senior Circuit, the AL has reeled off a 63 – 45 run, to hold an overall mark of 80 – 71 (.530) – which is slightly above the Lifetime mark of .524 baseball

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

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The American League holds a decisive ALL – Time Record on the National League in Interleague play – and perhaps that is why a lot of traditional fans hate the concept even more.

Heading into play in 2014, the AL has won the last decade straight of seasonal play (10 years), and now possess an overall yearly record of 13 – 4 over the Senior Circuit.

It wasn’t always this dominant for the Junior Circuit. 4 of the 1st 7 campaigns were taken by the NL, however ever since the start of 2004, the American League has routinely speedbagged their opposition league.

Read the rest of this entry

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