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Odds To Win The 2014 MLB World Series (Kansas City Vs San Francisco) + Prediction Time

Kansas City is making the most of their 1st playoff appearance since winning the World Series in 1985.  The club has won 8 straight games over 3 series, and have shown they have power in their lumbering, homering in most of their games.  They have a slight advantage with their Relief Core, and must amp up their speed game again versus the Giants in order to win the 2014 Fall Classic.  KC has home field advantage with the AL having won the ALL - Star Game.  I personally think this is a hinderance, based on the way the team plays on the road.  Whatever I feel, the oddsmakers have listed them as the Favorite.

Kansas City is making the most of their 1st playoff appearance since winning the World Series in 1985. The club has won 8 straight games over 3 series, and have shown they have power in their lumber, homering in most of their games. They have a slight advantage with their Relief Core, and must amp up their speed game again versus the Giants in order to win the 2014 Fall Classic. KC has home field advantage with the AL having won the ALL – Star Game. I personally think this is a hinderance, based on the way the team plays on the road. Whatever I feel, the oddsmakers have listed them as the Favorite.

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

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I awoke this morning to a text stating that the Giants were the longshots in the MLB World Series this year at +100 when I placed my wager.

Kansas City was a -120 Favorite in the early morning Friday.

I exclaimed ‘yes’ because I was hoping for a nice odd for the NLCS Champs.

Chuck Booth and I stand to win $1477.50 on KC to win the World Series based on a $20 (50/1 Bet) and a $6 (80/1 Bet).

San Francisco was also the subject of my 1st bet on the Fall Classic to start the year.  It was a 25/1 Odd back in January of this year, and we threw down $14 each.

Now since we could win $1477 on the Royals, and just $389 on the Giants, came the hedge bet for $500 on SF at Even money.

So we can win $1389.00 each on the Giants, and now $1477 still on KC.

The difference being, that we only had to wager $25 aggregate on the ALCS Champs.

The bet assures us of over $1000 each profit for the year.

Already, since the morning line, the odds have shifted to SF -105, to KC -115.   I am not surprised, as the Sharps have spoken. 

Read the rest of this entry

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As Of Right Now – The Yankees Are A Mess For 2015: End Of The Year ‘State Of The Union’

With almost $100 MIL tied  up in contracts for Sabathia, A-Rod, Teixeira and  a potential Tommy John Surgery candidate in Masahiro Tanaka, this New York squad is in some deep trouble for next season.  Despite the recent playoff misses, and injury prone players brought in by Brian Cashman, the club saw fit to grant him a 3 year extension last week

With almost $100 MIL tied up in contracts for Sabathia, A-Rod, Teixeira and a potential Tommy John Surgery candidate in Masahiro Tanaka, this New York squad is in some deep trouble for next season. Despite the recent playoff misses, and injury prone players brought in by Brian Cashman, the club saw fit to grant him a 3 year extension last week

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

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Let me get this straight…The ‘Bronx Bombers’ have missed the playoff for 2 years straight and no one has lost their jobs?  Man how times have changed in Yankees land.

If George Steinbrenner were alive still right now, the twitter and social media world would be trending his name for all of October.

Since when is it acceptable to miss the playoffs, underachieve and spend to the best payroll in the American League?

Firing Kevin Long is not going to solve the hit crisis the club has.

Before any of you throw daggers at our site, we have had this stance for a couple of years now.

The 1st mistake was to not get under the Luxury Tax Threshold this season.  That was soon followed by inking Brett Gardner to a 4 Year Deal, when you have such a similar player in the Outfield like Jacoby Ellsbury. Read the rest of this entry

It Has Been Bizarro World In the MLB All Year For 2014: The Playoffs Are No Different

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Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

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The Royals and O’s in the ALCS??? with KC halfway to running the table on the whole playoffs – winning 6 straight games – and looking like the reincarnation of the 1927 Yankees?

The Braintrust of the New York Yankees, (and some fans) are happy with a 84 win season – following an 85 win campaign the previous year – to miss the postseason for the 2nd season in a row, but lock the GM for 3 years?&*!@!

The Pirates made a 2nd consecutive playoff spot??  

Jose Altuve and Justin Morneau led their respective leagues in Batting Average??

Okay so it has definitely been a bizarre year in the Majors.  While I am happy to see the game return to more athleticism and talent (not aided by steroids), the game has never been any harder to predict.

As a professional handicapper I realized this much a long time ago about baseball.  You never bet the favorite, and always take the value. Read the rest of this entry

Royals Win Game 1 Of The ALCS And Are The New World Series Favorite: Betting Lines For Postseason Wagering

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Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

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The Royals continue to shock the world with newfound power and late inning heroics, Based their 5th straight playoff win, they took a 1 – 0 ALCS advantage on the Baltimore Orioles in last nights contest for the ALCS.

I woke up this morning to see they are the new favorite to win the World Series at +210.  The Cards are 2nd at +250, Giants are 3rd at +280, and bringing up the rears are the O’s at +333.

Furthermore to our point of drastic odds change with one game, the Royals are now -170 favorites to the win the American League Championship Series, compared to the Orioles +150 odd.

If you wanted to bet Baltimore, the time for value is right now.  Kansas City will lose a game eventually, and the time to pounce is probably today.  Of course I have been saying that about the Royals all postseason, but the odd is inviting for Baltimore. Read the rest of this entry

NLCS Preview: Cardinals vs Giants In A Battle For Decade Supremacy!

Its all about the Pennants in the LCS Round,  The Cards are competing in their 4th straight NLCS, and 9th out of 14 years,  while the GIants are in the series for the 3rd time in 5 years, and have never lost a playoff series under head coach Bruce Bochy.

It’s all about the Pennants in the LCS Round, The Cards are competing in their 4th straight NLCS, and 9th out of 14 years, while the GIants are in the series for the 3rd time in 5 years, and have never lost a playoff series under head coach Bruce Bochy.

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

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I am not going to preview this from an analyst angle because our “Lead Podcast Personality”  Paul Francis Sullivan ‘AKA Sully’ does a brilliant 20 minute podcast that he does daily, and he has described this matchup beautifully.

I will post the podcast at the end of the article.

Instead,  I am looking at this series as a professional handicapper sense.

Opening Odds

STL -135

SF, +115

I have to give the nod to the Giants for value on this one. If you go down the rosters, the St. Louis franchise is a smidge better on the talent level, however how can you bet against San Francisco when they have won 8 straight playoff series from 2010 – 2014.

The Giants have also won 4 of 5 games in this year’s playoff. Read the rest of this entry

Brian Wilson Exercises His 2015 Player Option + Hopes To Rebound Like 2nd Half Of 2014 Indicated

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Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

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Brian Wilson has let the Dodgers know he is picking up his 2015 Player Option for $9.0 MIL.

The character Reliever, did not have a great season with Los Angeles, however he straightened it out in the 2nd half, and added a 1/3rd of an inning in the Postseason, to run his lifetime total to 18 scoreless innings to start his playoff career.

The man has a proven playoff pedigree and it baffled me on the reluctance to use the bearded fellow.  Maybe we will find out his was really hurt, from what seemed to plague him from the 1st half.

Clayton Kershaw aside, no one had a worse trip to Australia and back then Wilson. as he came back with injuries to his back and neck, stemming from the quick turnaround flight after playing 2 games in Sydney.

The 32 Year Old Wilson posted a 5.66 ERA – and a 1.847 WHIP prior to the ALL – Star Break in 30.1 IP.

Post ALL – Star he was more familiar to what he has authored in career, having a 3.00 ERA and a 1.147 WHIP in his last 18.1 IP.

Wilson came to the Dodgers in August of 2013, after he recovered from a 2nd Tommy John Surgery that had sidelined him since April of 2012. Read the rest of this entry

A Disappointing End and the Road Ahead For The Nationals

MLB reports:

An Article by http://www.citizensofnatstown writer David Huzzard. @davidhuzzard on twitter.

Originally posted on Citizens of Natstown:

The corpse of the Nats 2014 season isn’t even cold and it’s time to look ahead to the off-season. I sat and listened to the final game of the Nats season in pitch darkness as the thunder echoed and the storm raged outside my windows. Charlie and Dave’s voices guided me to the bitter bloody end as the Washington Nationals slit their own wrist on the field in San Francisco. Gio Gonzalez botched a comebacker and then faked out Rendon as he first went for and then peeled away from a bunted ball. Matt Williams went to his 8th best reliever in a critical spot after the Nats had tied the game and it all blew up.

The Nats shouldn’t be judged by the playoff series. The 162 games they played before that were far more important than those four. It is hard to deny that Adam LaRoche and Jayson Werth’s bats…

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Odds To Win The 2014 ALCS + NLCS In The MLB

Camden Yards will see home games in the ALCS for the 1st ga

Camden Yards will see home games in the ALCS for the 1st time since the 1997 season.  Buck Showalter has a decisive edge in the managerial department over the Royals skipper Ned Yost.  The O’s are the new owners of home field advantage all the way throughout the postseason now, as the top seed left in the American League.

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

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The Dog Days Of October

The 4 teams in the League Championship Series were all underdogs in the last round.

When you also factor the Wild Card Games were both won by the Giants and Royals, (both not being the favorite), it marks the 1st 6 rounds of this postseason go to the “Dogs”.

Baltimore defeating the Tigers was probably the least surprising as the other clubs winning against their opponents.  Again via a sweep of the 3 straight Cy Young Winners is impressive though.

The Nationals and Cards losing to the Giants and Cardinals had a lot to do with playoff pedigree with the teams moving on, as they handled the pressure better than the two upstart clubs. Read the rest of this entry

Odds To Win The 2014 MLB World Series For The Final Four In The MLB Playoffs

The Orioles are the favorite to win the World Series among the last 4 remaining teams.  The O's will have Chris Davis back in Game #4 of the ALCS, and have to be happy they are playing the Royals.  It has lined up nicely for Baltimore to take out the 'Cinderella' KC Squad.

The Orioles are the favorite to win the World Series among the last 4 remaining teams. The O’s will have Chris Davis back in Game #4 of the ALCS, and have to be happy they are playing the Royals. It has lined up nicely for Baltimore to take out the ‘Cinderella’ KC Squad.

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

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After licking my wounds for the last rounds  0 – 4 predictions of series, I am laughing all the way to the bank.

While I still picked the Nationals, Tigers, Angels and Dodgers because I thought they would win their last round best of 5’s, I never took the bait to bet any of these clubs.

I was sitting on bets I made earlier in the year.  Back in January, I wrote an article proclaiming the Giants at 25/1 (Can win $400) a great steal. I bet the Royals at 50/1 and 80/1 (I can win $1500 if they take the WS) and I bet the O’s at 50/1 and 20/1 (with a potential win total of $720).

So even though I took a header on my picks, I have put myself in a great position of profit for the remainder of the playoffs..

To hedge the series, I have wagered the Baltimore Orioles and Cards to win the LCS’s for $134 wager, that pays +213 or $414.  It ensures me to make a profit regardless of the outcome. Read the rest of this entry

Odds To Win The 2014 MLB World Series Oct.3, 2014

The Orioles last won the World Series in 1983, and were closest next in the 1997 ALCS, before being ousted by the Indians.

The Orioles last won the World Series in 1983, and were closest next in the 1997 ALCS, before being ousted by the Indians. With having a 1 – 0 series lead on the Tigers, they have tied the Washington Nationals as the co-favorites for the World Series odds.  Stay clear of betting them or Washington.  The value is bad.

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

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With Baltimore taking a 1 – 0 advantage on the Tigers yesterday, the oddsmakers now have them tied with the Nationals for the best odds to win the World Series.

I don’t agree with this at all.  If you still like the Detroit club, the time to bet is right now.  Justin Verlander has a proven playoff track record, and the squad has David Price and Max Scherzer in Games 3 and 4, with Max Scherzer back for a potential game #5.

You always see these swings on a 1 game basis in the postseason.

The Dodgers will only be at this clip for 1 day too.  If you want to put some cabbage on them, do it before Clayton Kershaw takes the hill and wins tonight.

The Angels are trailing their series vs the Royals, and are +145 underdogs as opposed to KC holding a LDS odd of -175 over LAA.  Despite this, the Royals are not favored higher than the "Halo's" on the odd for the World Series.  Keep in mind the Royals are a better road team, while the Angels won 46 games on the road and 52 at home.

The Angels are trailing their series vs the Royals, and are +145 underdogs as opposed to KC holding a LDS odd of -175 over LAA. Despite this, the Royals are not favored higher than the “Halo’s” on the odd for the World Series. Keep in mind the Royals are a better road team, while the Angels won 46 games on the road and 52 at home.  Take the odd of +145 for this series versus Kansas City.  They throw Matt Shoemaker tonight, and will still be able to throw Jered Weaver one more time.  Tonight’s game has the Angels are a -152 favorite – whereas the Royals pay +135 if they win tonight.

Kansas City is favored to win the series versus the Angels at -175, to LAA’s +145, but are still a bigger longshot to win the World Series.  

My advice:  plunk some money down on the LAA for the ALDS series at that mark.  It was a close game last night, and the Royals will not make it easy on themselves in the series.

I would still wait on the St. Louis team if you wish to bet them at all, as well as the Giants.  Both teams have a tough nature to knock off, as their World Series in 3 of the last 4 years indicates.

You think the odds are high now, wait if they lose tonight’s games.  It will jump to near +1400 or +1600.  Wait a day for those guys.

Updated Odds To Win The World Series For All 9 Playoff Clubs.

T1. BAL +400

T1. WSH +400

3. LAD +425

4. LAA +650

5. KC +700

6. DET +750

T7. STL +900

T7. SF +900

 

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Please note that it is illegal in most U.S. States to gamble

Odds are courtesy of www.bet365.com

*** The views and opinions expressed in this report are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of mlbreports.com and their partners***

A Big thanks goes out to our chief writer Hunter Stokes for preparing today’s feature post.

For all of the Rosters, Depth Charts, State of the Unions and Salaries Posts that we do, please visit our dedicated page link here.

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Royals Vs Angels Preview 2014 ALDS

The Angels are finally back in the postseason after a couple of years absence.  They have the best 1 - 9 lineup in the AL, an extremely deep and revamped Bullpen, and starters like Jered Weaver and C.J. Wilson have lots of playoff experience.  Add a roster full of World Series heroes of not so long ago, and it could be a recipe for a long postseason run.  They also have the luck of the draw with playing the Royals in the 1st Round, with only having to face James Shields once, while their top duo of Jered Weaver and Matt Shoemaker are slated to tow the hill in 4 of the 5 games.

The Angels are finally back in the postseason after a couple of years absence. They have the best 1 – 9 lineup in the AL, an extremely deep and revamped Bullpen, and starters like Jered Weaver and C.J. Wilson have lots of playoff experience. Add a roster full of World Series heroes of not so long ago, and it could be a recipe for a long postseason run. They also have the luck of the draw with playing the Royals in the 1st Round, with only having to face James Shields once, while their top duo of Jered Weaver and Matt Shoemaker are slated to tow the hill in 4 of the 5 games.

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

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No time to rest for the tired and weary.  After an emotional, and jaw dropping game for the Royals on Tuesday night, they will fly to Anaheim to meet the top seeded  Los Angeles Angels in the LDS Round.

You have to realize that Mike Scioscia is running the gauntlet on the running prowess of Kansas City even as we speak,

There will be no 2 – 3 or extra jackrabbit’s for the Royals squad, who were definitely aided by a lax Roster enforcement for Wild Card play, and also by the early game injury to Geovany Soto.

Chris Iannetta and Hank Conger will have to be ready for the speed demon club, that features several guys who can swipe bags on a whim.

If there is one thing going for Kansas City right now it is rhythm of repetition having played on Tuesday, while the Halo’s have been licking their chops in Orange County all week at the beach.

The Angels clinched so early, it would have been about 15 days since they have played a meaningful game in Game #1. Read the rest of this entry

Odds To Win The 2014 MLB World Series, LDS Odds + NLWC Odds (All 9 Playoff Teams)

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Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

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Man Alive what a game last night.  I was torn in so many directions, I may need an x-ray to make sure I have no ligaments busted up this AM, like Coco Crisp and Geovany Soto experienced.

Last evening was a perfect example of how betting with a hedge can totally benefit your plight, when you are sitting nice with some favorable bets made from a good value standpoint..

I have published many articles on this site, raving about the Royals from even before the season began during 2014.  Now I picked Oakland to win last night’s contest, but financially I had a lot to gain on the Kansas City club advancing.

You see back in May, when the squad was struggling, I posted a $20 wager on them to win the World Series for a 50/1 odd.  I then put some more cabbage on them at 80/1 a few months later amidst a losing streak.

In all, I stand to win the most on KC, out of any AL club I have left.

Now, I only can win $285 on the Angels to win the Fall Classic, which would only break me about even for the year.

As stated in a blog yesterday, the Tigers net me a return of $894, and the Orioles, will bounce my bank account to the tune of $804.

I was able to speculate when the teams would all be at their max peak earlier in the year.

Based on the mere fact, the A’s only paid me around $260 for the World Series, I bet them to win $50 to start the night at +100 for the Wild Card Game..  I couldn’t believe they were underdogs to start the game, but glad for it. 

Once Oakland took a 2 – 0 led on Brandon Moss‘s 1st HR, I wagered $22 (In Play) on KC – for a return of $86 if they won.  This would have won me my money back plus a small profit.  This continued all night…. Read the rest of this entry

Odds To Win The 2014 MLB World Series (All 10 Playoff Teams)

The Washington Nationals/Montreal Expos franchise still has never appeared in the World Series.  That didn't stop the oddsmakers from giving them the #1 favorite status heading into the playoffs today.  They are the deepest team on both offense and defense, and only lack postseason experience.  The Stephen Strasburg decision of a few years  back, will never be put to rest until this club wins a title.  Despite them being favored, I am not sure the ranking is justified, as the Dodgers reside in the same league.

The Washington Nationals/Montreal Expos franchise still has never appeared in the World Series. That didn’t stop the oddsmakers from giving them the #1 favorite status heading into the playoffs today. They are the deepest team on both offense and defense, and only lack postseason experience. The Stephen Strasburg ‘decision’ of a few years back, will never be put to rest until this club wins a title. Despite them being favored, I am not sure the ranking is justified, as the Dodgers reside in the same league.

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

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It is time to place your bets on the World Series. The Washington Nationals are your favorites to win the whole thing at +450.  The Tigers, Angels and Dodgers are both next at all tied for +500.

To round out the teams in sequence…5 –  Baltimore is at +700, 6 –  St. Louis at +900, 7 – Oakland at +1100, 8 – San Fran at +1400, and the Royals and the Bucs are the biggest odds on the board at +1600 for 9th.

At first glance I see the pattern.  The Nationals are the most deep team across the board, with having all 4 starters as potential aces in Stephen Strasburg, Jordan Zimmermann, Gio Gonzalez and Doug Fister.

Each one of the players in the positional lineup, were over right near of plus.400 for Slugging Percentage, and this doesn’t even include Ryan Zimmerman – who will be an awesome bat off the bench at least to start. Read the rest of this entry

MLB Reports Playoff Predictions 2014

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Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

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The playoffs are upon us, and since we had such a great year predicting a lot of stuff, both Chuck Booth and I are putting our postseason prognostications up.

In other blogs we will take a look at the series and everything, but this is just pure bets.

American League

American League Wild Card Game

Oakland -104 @ Kansas City -106 (Jon Lester @ James Shields)

Chuck – Oakland, Hunter, Oakland

Read the rest of this entry

Even With The Awesome Farewell To Jeter, There Are Others Who Are Hanging Up The Cleats This Year

Paul Konerko announced that the 2014 season will be his last. Konerko has 439 career HR, 1412 RBI, and 6 All Star appearances in his 18 year career. What will most likely not be a HOF career, will certainly go down as one of the best in White Sox history. Konerko was the direct replacement for Frank Thomas.  Konerko is only 16 HRs behind Thomas for the White Sox franchise record.  While he will not reach that mark, his role may increase now with some DH AB.  Konerko, now 38, was a 1998 trade acquisition - with OF Mike Cameron going back the other way.  while Cameron was a nice Major Leaguer in his time.  Konerko should have his number retired by the club, and is the current active leader for HRs hit for just one team.

Paul Konerko announced that the 2014 season will be his last. Konerko has 439 career HR, 1412 RBI, and 6 All Star appearances in his 18 year career. What will most likely not be a HOF career, will certainly go down as one of the best in White Sox history. Konerko was the direct replacement for Frank Thomas.He is only 16 HRs behind Thomas for the White Sox franchise record. Konerko, now 38, was a 1998 trade acquisition – with OF Mike Cameron going back the other way. while Cameron was a nice Major Leaguer in his time. Konerko should have his number retired by the club, and is the 2nd active leader for HRs hit for just one team.(432 HRs) to Albert Pujols (having hit 445 HRs with STL).  His 3 Slash Line for his career is .279/.354/.487 – and he has collected 2340 hits.

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

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1st off, mad respect to Derek Jeter, for giving everyone a last night to remember on Thursday.  He embodied what a class act superstar should be his whole career.

The MLB world is fully justified to praise him as much as they want. So the ‘hater’s’ will just have to suffer.

I am happy to see a lot of our brethren of website writers all chime in some of the other guys hanging them up too.

Paul Konerko is about us unheralded as their is for a near Hall of Famer these. days.  He is second actively when it comes to HRs for a select team, with his total of 432 bombs for the White Sox.  Only Albert Pujols‘s 445 HRs for the Cards is more.

Only David Ortiz has hit over 400 HRs for one active team besides Pujols and Konerko..

It is only too bad, that the big 2005 World Champion, saw a lot of his power evaporate before he passed Frank Thomas‘s career mark of 448 big fly’s for the franchise.

Still, #14 will be missed, and I definitely will be watching on my computer, with it being “Paul Konerko Day” today (Saturday Sept.27th) at Us Cellular Field. Read the rest of this entry

B.J. Upton And Dan Uggla Were The Biggest Reasons Why Wren Was Shown The Door!

The Brothers Upton both were acquired in the 2012 offseason by the Atlanta Braves.  This was a risk for the organization, and while Justin has played extremely well in condensed pockets, Upton is quickly establishing himself as one of the worst contracts ever signed in Major League Baseball.  a .197/.276/.310 3 Slash Line - with 20 HRs and 60 RBI in 902 AB is simply abysmal.  The Braves brass should send him to the Winter Leagues this off-year, to correct his problems.

The Brothers Upton both were acquired in the 2012 offseason by the Atlanta Braves. This was a risk for the organization, and while Justin has played extremely well in condensed pockets, B.J.Upton, now 30,  is quickly establishing himself as one of the worst Free Agent contracts ever signed in Major League Baseball. with a .197/.276/.310 – Braves 3 Slash Line – with 20 HRs and 60 RBI in 902 AB during his 1st 2 years as a Brave is simply abysmal. The club’s brass should send him to the Winter Leagues this off-year, to correct his problems.  Justin Upton, 27, has fared much better in his 2 seasons, with an OPS of .822, 54 HRs and 162 RBI for his 1108 AB. The worst part about this is that the younger brother only has 1 more year left on his deal in 2015, making $14.5 MIL, while B.J. has 3 more years left on his deal, paying him a sum of over $46 MIL for the duration.

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

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I started writing for this website about a year ago.  One of my first articles I put forth was one centered around the albatross contracts that were B.J. Upton and Dan Uggla.

True to prior blogs written here at the MLB Reports, the older Upton’s Free Agent contract of 5 YRs/$75 MIL will go down as one of the worst deals ever consummated on the open market.

You add the $15 AAV (Average Annual Value) to Uggla’s $11 MIL, and you are forking out over $26 MIL a year – for what are horrific numbers.

The genesis of my theory was simply the team would not recover financially, or be able to cover up any mistakes/injuries that may come to the club.

Atlanta has been one of the best franchises in the MLB for the last 24 years.  Even after the organization claimed 14 straight NL East titles, they only took about 5 years to reload the troops for another wave of success.

Since the end of the 2012 year though, the franchise has seen Chipper Jones retire, longtime Catcher Brian McCann move on to New York, and former Brave great Tim Hudson move out to the San Francisco Giants. Read the rest of this entry

Odds To Win The 2014 MLB World Series Currently

 I am fully expecting the Pirates to lock down the 2nd wild card in the National League.  I b

I am fully expecting the Pirates to lock down the 2nd wild card in the National League. I think 86 wins is the magic #

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

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Last time I did the Odds to win the World Series was the last time I am doing worst odds this year, and furthermore, I am not touching the best value bets for the next few weeks, until the playoffs begin.

I had a subpar week at 5 – 5, after several red hot weeks.  The Cardinals and Orioles took great strides in the wins, while I was wrong in predicting a slight retraction for the Angels and Bucs on the loss side.

The Blue Jays actually have played well in September, but have still fallen in odds because of hot streaks for other clubs.

Kansas City has come back to the pack a little.

I was fully wrong on thinking the Braves would take a run at least a playoff spot.

I forecasted the M’s, Yankees and Brewers to go into a bit of a dry spell. Read the rest of this entry

Stop Praising The Yankees For 2014! + Someone Should Be Held Accountable For This Disaster!

The Yankees can't stop themselves from spending!!  A self-imposed cap of under $189 MIL was shot when injuries began to mount.  The club should have packed it in for the year, with nothing but a hope and a prayer. Now because they couldn't fall under the Salary Tax Threshold, it will take a miracle to reach underneath this mark before the 2016 CBA.  Welcome to financial hell Yanks, and your team is old - and have no Starting Pitcher's above the #5 slot to begin 2015, and your payroll is already nearing $200 MIL.

The Yankees can’t stop themselves from spending!! A self-imposed cap of under $189 MIL was shot when injuries began to mount. The club should have packed it in for the year, traded veterans near the deadline, with nothing but a hope and a prayer to make the playoffs. Now because they couldn’t fall under the Salary Tax Threshold, it will take a miracle to reach underneath this mark before the 2016 CBA. Welcome to financial hell Yanks, and your team is old – and have no Starting Pitcher’s likely above the #5 slot to begin the 2015 season currently on your 40 man roster under contract, and your payroll is already nearing $175 MIL on just 17 players as it is.  Despite all of this, the Yankees are set to offer Cashman an extension?  Are they for real?

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

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I am sick and tired of hearing all this praise being bestowed on Brian Cashman for the job he is done.

I will not lump Joe Girardi into this conversation,  Heck, he has done a great job manipulating the roster he has been given.  With the amount of  injuries (which happens to old players – hello!) the Yanks are lucky they are not cellar dwelling with the Red Sox.

Back near the Trade Deadline, Chuck Booth explained the “Pinstripers” were foolish to not take advantage of a seller’s market, giving them the ability to deal some veterans – in order to get under the $189 MIL Luxury Tax Threshold.  They were 47 – 47 at the ALL – Star Break. Read the rest of this entry

The Nationals Are Not The Team You Think They Are

 All of the Nats starting position players last night have an BA of .244 (low with Cabrera) or better (.299 highest (in Span), .300 OBP (low .304 (Desmond), high .383 (Werth) or more, and most important – is that all 8 have an SLG % north of .400 (.401 Ramos is low and LaRoche highest at .468, While those numbers aren’t good for one player, the depth of the team is that good. Span is going to score a 100 runs. The 2 – 5 hitters, Rendon, Werth, LaRoche and Desmond will all near 20 HRs and 90 RBI – while Harper and Ramos surely would have belted 20 HRs each if not for injury. Their 8 hitter, Cabrera, has a career OPS of .742. These guys have the lengthiest offense in the NL. That is not even talking about their Pitching, which may be their biggest asset…

All of the Nats starting position players last night have an BA of .244 (low with Cabrera) or better (.299 highest (in Span), .300 OBP (low .304 (Desmond), high .383 (Werth) or more, and most important – is that all 8 have an SLG % north of .400 (.401 Ramos is low and LaRoche highest at .468, While those numbers aren’t good for one player, the depth of the team is that good. Span is going to score a 100 runs. The 2 – 5 hitters, Rendon, Werth, LaRoche and Desmond will all near 20 HRs and 90 RBI – while Harper and Ramos surely would have belted 20 HRs each if not for injury. Their 8 hitter, Cabrera, has a career OPS of .742. These guys have the lengthiest offense in the NL. That is not even talking about their Pitching, which may be their biggest asset…

David Huzzard (www.citizensofnatstown.com Writer):

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Pick up a newspaper or turn on local sports radio and any conversation about the Nats will eventually devolve to how they are a team of guys all pulling in one direction and doing whatever it takes to win.

The picture being painted is the Nationals as a team of grit and heart and hustle but most importantly a team.

There is a belief that the Nationals have no star players and if you isolated yourself to local coverage it’s easy to believe that but then you’d also believe that the Capitals and Wizards have no star players either and the only star player in Washington DC worthy of praise is Kirk Cousins.
Read the rest of this entry

Current Odds To Win The 2014 MLB Divisions

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Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

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My record was 2 – 4 in establishing the best odds in the Division  for value last week, however it is a lot different throwing down bets on the Division on this time of year.

I went 2 – 1 in the National League – and 0 – 3 in the American League with the Yankees, Mariners and Indians all being further underdogs, despite New York and Cleveland having okay weeks.

Atlanta fell further off the Division with scoring 1 run in their last 28 innings, including having been no – hit – than shutout by the Phillies in back to back contests.

San Fran and St. Louis helped me not be abysmal with prognosticating  – with registering my only 2 wins..  

The A’s have gone from being favored to win the AL West at a -140 clip, to a +400 underdog.  I am selecting this as the best wager of the week. Oakland has a penchant for awesome runs in the last 3 weeks of the campaign, as they did in 2012 and 2013.

Picking up Adam Dunn should help compensate for the lack of offense the team lost with Yoenis Cespedes.

I also was big on St. Louis last week, and will continue to ride that truck. as the Brewers are probably done in the Division.  I hate the loss of Carlos Gomez to injury…and where is Ryan Braun?

The Giants are one of the hottest NL teams, while Clayton Kershaw is making a brilliant case for NL MVP.

There is no money to be made in the AL and NL East.

If you are wishing to wager on the Tigers or Royals, there is nice value there.

I am still of the mindset that the Indians at 20/1 odds – and trailing within 5 games is a good longshot stab for a pick. Read the rest of this entry

Odds To Win The 2014 MLB World Series Currently + Best/Worst Value Bets

Cardinals

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

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Another week has passed – and it is time to get serious in our World Series picks.

To start off, I have eliminated 13 teams from the chance to win a World Series.  These clubs include: BOS/CWS/MIN/TEX/HOU/PHI/NYM/COL/SD/ARI/CIN/CHC/TB.

Miami is very close to being put on that list.  Tampa Bay is 9.5 Games Behind the playoff bar, and simply have too many teams to pass to even qualify for the 2nd Wild Card.

I had yet another wicked week of picking value, going 4 – 1, and only suffering a loss because I picked the Jays to go up in their odds.  They were only my 5th favorite on the list.

To my surprise, the Mariners have gone up in the odds, despite being just 3 – 5 in their last 8 games.  Oakland finally fell out of the favorites spot for the 1st time in months.  I was right on this one too.

I also had the fall of the Brew Crew last week.  I did get thwarted on a winning week by the Giants reeling off a 7 – 1 record in their last 8 games.

Kansas City moved up as a favorite as well, but that was a fluke coming off a losing week of baseball.  Still I will take the win.  They are still tied for 9th in odds with San Francisco.

The Royals have a better chance of winning the AL Central, than the Giants have in catching the Dodgers in the NL West.  Having said that, the Giants have taken a nice lead on the 1st position in the Wild Card.

I am still not hot on Milwaukee, and figure them to drop right out of the Central – and fully expect Atlanta to come up for the 2nd Wild Card slot now.

The Cardinals are in  great shape to make another September run with Yadier Molina back behind the plate, and I am locking them down as my favorite pick this week for value. KC is #2 on my faves list.

Baltimore should be rated higher for the very reason they own the biggest division lead.

Finally I like the longshot odd for the Blue Jays.  Out of the teams outside the periphery of the Wild Card Race, these guys are probably the most capable of stringing a lot of wins if their offense becomes hot.

At +3000, the Braves have a nice payout sitting out there.  Yes they can’t score right now, but the Marlins, Phillies and Mets will be the predominant schedule of these guys. and they also play the Nats some more.  They could squeak into a playoff spot.

I think the Angels have jumped too much on the favorites side, and may recede towards Oakland in the next few weeks.  I am banking on Seattle to drop some more in the Standings.

The Brewers are in a free fall, and have played to below .500 since the start of May.

Finally….The Yankees will be lucky to complete the year at .500 Read the rest of this entry

HR Streaks Of 2 Or More In MLB – 2014: (Ike Davis + Joey Bats Only Guys With Active Ones)

Chris Carter is bashing his way to the top of all HR charts again in 2014 - after a sub par start to the campaign.  He has 6 streaks of 2 or more HRs, and has added 6 multiple HR affairs to his resume - and all done in the last 90 days or so.  Carter sits in 6th with 25 HRs on the year, but don't be surprised if he takes a run at the lead by years end.  Carter, 27, belted 29 HRs last campaign - and should well surpass with 45 Houston games left.  Oerhaps if the team were looking to deal him - his value is never higher, but this guy is legit.

Chris Carter is bashing his way to the top of all HR charts again in 2014 – after a sub par start to the campaign. He has 6 streaks of 2 or more HRs, and has added 6 multiple HR affairs to his resume – and all done in the last 100 days or so. Carter sits tied for 2nd in the AL with 33 HRs on the year, but don’t be surprised if he takes a run at the lead by years end. Carter, 27, belted 29 HRs last campaign – and could well surpass with 40 is he keep his pace up.

Through Aug 28, 2014 

All Streaks Of 2 or more in 2014.

*** Denotes Active Streak

5 Games

caleb joseph

***Caleb Joseph, Orioles – Aug 3 – 9

Devin Mesoraco, Reds, June 18 – June 24

2nd HR Steak For Mesoraco Read the rest of this entry

Multi HR Games In The MLB – 2014: (Ellsbury, Posey + Duda With Efforts This Week)

Lucas Duda is providing the Mets with everything they wished he would.  With 26 HRs on the year, he is tied for 3rd in the NL, and he has also driven 76 RBI amidst a .249/.355/.476

Lucas Duda is providing the Mets with everything they wished he would. With 26 HRs on the year, he is tied for 3rd in the NL, and he has also driven 76 RBI amidst a .249/.355/.476,  The Mets 1b has also had 2 Multi HR Games (including this weeK) – and has had  different HR Streaks.

Multi HR Games in MLB 2014

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For Games Played Through Aug 28th, 2014 (Jacoby Ellsbury/Buster Posey with last 2 HR games – Aug 26th, 2014, Lonnie Chisenhall last with 3 HR Game – June 9th, 2014 Last 4 HR game – Josh Hamilton – May 8, 2012)

LM Otero/AP

LM Otero/AP

Lonnie Chisenhall (3 HR Game) June 9th

Chris Davis, Orioles (3 HR Game) May 20th

Ryan Braun – Brewers (3 HR Game) – April.8th

Read the rest of this entry

Current Odds To Win The 2014 MLB Divisions + The Week Ahead For The Contenders

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Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

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Based on last week’s 4 – 1 – 1 record for picking the best valued odds on the 6 Divisions, I am sticking with the same teams for value again as nothing has really changed.

My only loss for picking the selections, was that Atlanta dropped from +700 to +1000.  I broke even with none of the NL West odds changing.

My AL East pick of the Yankees proved worthy – as they went from +1000 to +800.

My AL Central wager of the week was Cleveland, and they jumped from +2500 to +1800.

The Biggest registered bet was on the Mariners, shaving off a +3500 to a now +2500.  This is the only prognostication I actually put real money on down.

It was a clean sweep for me to win on the American League.

I was 1 – 1 – 1 in the National League.  My St. Louis to rise as a favorite worked in plotting the week.  They are now tied with the Brewers for the odds to win the NL Central.

The Cardinals came up just enough to break me with a .500 record for NL picks.

I have eliminated the Jays and Rays from the Divisional races.  Any double digit deficit will result in this automatically for the rest of the campaign.  

Read the rest of this entry

Yanks Finish 30th In The 2014 MLB ‘Runs Scored” Survivor

The Yankees moved within 2.5 games of the Mariners for the 2nd Wild Card spot, but more importantly, finished their 11th different run variation from 0 - 10 last night, and became the 30th team to do so this year.  We will see you all in 2015!!  Thanks for reading along.

The Yankees moved within 2.5 games of the Mariners for the 2nd Wild Card spot, but more importantly, finished their 11th different run variation from 0 – 10 last night, and became the 30th team to do so this year. We will see you all in 2015!! Thanks for reading along.

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

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The New York Yankees had played 129 games – and finally registered exactly 8 runs in any contest this year – with an 8 – 1 drubbing over Kansas City last night – in a potentially crucial Wild Card matchup against one of the teams they maybe vying for a playoff spot with. 

Why is this important?

Because the Bronx Bombers are the 30th team to complete their quest to score precisely 0 – 10 runs in 11 different variations in the MLB.

Atlanta was the 29th club to finish their mission, and they were done this at the 98 games mark – which was 31 matches ) faster than the “Pinstripers”.

Scoring 8 runs in a game was one of the tougher things to do for all other teams yes, but this Yanks lineup has doled out nearly $130 MIL in player contracts for the 2014 season on their offense alone.

The hitting has been pathetic to say the least – until the last 4 games.  Joe Girardi should win manager of the year for this team even posting a winning record thus far.

Having 4 major Starting Pitching injuries should spell doom for any club, however that hasn’t been the problem with this squad.

Acquired/Organizational Pitchers Brandon McCarthyShane GreeneDavid PhelpsChase WhitleyChris Capuano have peace-mealed a solid effort for the Starting Rotation.

It has been the 1 – 9 batters that have caused this franchise to struggle this campaign.  Nevertheless, they finally pushed across the required amount.  They are the last team to finish, and it happened 4 months and 2 days from when the Giants 1st finished their quest on Apr.23, 2014.

The Rays were the 1st AL club to finish 2 days later – and the Braves were the 29th club to do this – and that was done on July.20, 2014.

Read the rest of this entry

Odds To Win The 2014 MLB World Series Currently + Best/Worst Value Bets

The Braves, Indians, Nats and Angels were among the movers up the favorite lis this week, while the Pirates, Yankees, Blue Jays, Reds and Rays a;l took the plunge down the list.

The Braves, Indians, Nats and Angels were among the movers up the favorite lis this week, while the Pirates, Yankees, Blue Jays, Reds and Rays a;l took the plunge down the list.

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

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Another week has passed – and it is time to get serious in our World Series picks.

To start off, I have eliminated 11 teams from the chance to win a World Series.  These clubs include: BOS/CWS/MIN/TEX/HOU/PHI/NYM/COL/SD/ARI+CHC.

It has been a great handicapping year for yours truly, but that could all unravel in the next few weeks.  I had a 6 – 1 – 3 record for best value bets.

As for the entire season, my bets have been plugging away at a great clip.

My best move was to hammer the KC Royals for a $20 wager at 50/1, then hit them for a $7 wager when they rose to 80/1 about 5 weeks ago.

Another highlights was placing $75 on the Tigers when they were at 11/1 odds after a slow 1st week.

I also managed to throw down some nice cabbage on the O’s at a 50/1 odd in May, but also to get them at 6/1 for the Division just after the Jays went on their win rampage – courtesy of Edwin Encarnacion.

Last week I took advantage of a Braves 40/1 odd that presented itself.

I also have heavy bets on the Blue Jays and Angels (got them both at 20/1 – although the Canadian club is looking like a bad selection now.)

For other fringe teams, I also might have lost when plunking down some money on the Yankees at 40/1 last week.

I hit up the Rays pretty good at the start of the season, but more so when they were on fire before trading away David Price.

I will probably lose about $80 on them overall, but I could stand to win in the 2K range, if they could pull a miracle run.

I wagered on the Indians and Bucs back in the 80/1 odds days, and that looks okay…I also hit up the Reds with a big $25 bet at 66/1 odd, which looked nice at the ALL – Star Break, but doesn’t look so good now.

Last week I also made a bet on the Brewers at +1800, before they went down to the same odd the Cards did.

I have never put money on Oakland, Seattle, Washington, St. Louis or Los Angeles to win the World Series because the value has never been there…

On a small note, I did place a $10 bet on the Mariners to win the AL West with a 35/1 odd.  They could make some serious ground if the A’s and Angels split a 4 game series this week, and they continue to roll.

Overall, I am happy with my year recaps, and at least I may be able to hedge some of these bets for a yearly profit at the end of the campaign. Read the rest of this entry

How All Of The O’s Pitchers Were Acquired: 2014 Roster Tree Explains That The Staff Was Created By Deft Transactions!

Chris Tillman continues to assert himself as one of the emerging great arms in the American League.  The 26 Year Old RHP is 26 - 12 in his last 38 game decisions with a mid 3 ERA.  Not bad when you consider he and Adam Jones were brought to Maryland for former Draft Pick Erik Bedard, (who is barely hanging on to professional baseball - and was hurt or average in his Seattle days).  That deal and the Tommy Hunter and Chris Davis/for Koli Uehara deals kickstarted the renaissance of this historic club.

Chris Tillman continues to assert himself as one of the emerging great arms in the American League. The 26 Year Old RHP is 26 – 12 in his last 38 game decisions with a mid 3 ERA. Not bad when you consider he and Adam Jones were brought to Maryland for former Draft Pick Erik Bedard, (who is barely hanging on to professional baseball – and was hurt or average in his Seattle days). That deal and the Tommy Hunter and Chris Davis/for Koli Uehara deals kickstarted the renaissance of this historic club.  The O’s made the postseason for the 1st time in 15 years during he 2012 campaign, and now possess a massive lead in the AL East with 35 games to go.  The O’s management and brass can take stock in a job well done in building this current group of ballplayers.

How All Of The Orioles Pitchers Were Acquired:

By Chuck Booth Lead Baseball Analyst/Website Owner) & Nick Delahanty (MLB Reports Featured Writer):

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The Orioles made a swift and blunt move last off season, when they traded their 2012 and 2013 Closer Jim Johnson for Jemile Weeks.

The club took some flak in virtually discarding a 101 save man over the last few years to save some money.  Johnson was awarded $10 MIL for the year, and has flamed out in Oakland and Detroit since. Those dollars are about what the team receives collectively as a unit.

The team was also lambasted for the signing/not signing of Grant Balfour, because a sketchy physical.  Again, they have looked good in the transaction.

The O’s have done a great job building their Bullpen and Rotation.

Chris Tillman was part of the now extremely lopsided deal, which saw Adam Jones for Erik Bedard  several years back.

That coupled with some waiver claims (T.J. McFarland as a Rule 5 Draft Picks) and former team draft picks – converting in to late inning arms (Brian Matusz and Closer Zach Britton), and you have seen a brilliant molding of a Relief Core.

Darren O’Day was claimed off of waivers from Texas, in the same campaign the club also fleeced the Rangers, with the Chris Davis/Tommy Hunter deal for Koji Uehara.

Ryan Webb was actually optioned to the Minors, despite decent numbers, while clearing a path for Andrew Miller, as part of a deal from Boston.  Miller is one of the better LHP out of the pen in the last year.

The team has supplanted the rotation, with a few key Free Agents over the years, starting with Wei-Yin Chen, and Miguel Gonzalez.

Kevin Gausman represents the only starter right now that was drafted by the team originally.

Bud Norris was brought into Baltimore for a couple of former draft picks and a 2014 RD A compensation pick.

The other significant 2013 deal for the staff  – was dealing a Minor Leaguer for Brad Brach.

The Ubaldo Situation

Looking at the numbers, Buck Showalter has the right idea in taking Jimenez out of the rotation.Regardless of the contract figures, Jimenez has failed to be that ace that the Orioles expected to get  when he signed his 4 YR $50 MM dollar contract in the winter.

It’s time to let Jimenez take some time to figure things out, as hopefully skipping a start or two will give him time to work on his mechanics to help get him back on track.

This is also familiar territory for the Orioles, as Showalter and crew have had some good success  sending guys to the bullpen.

Remember, Zach Britton and Tommy Hunter, two of the best arms in the Orioles’ bullpen this season, were starters that struggled, but once they were shifted to the bullpen they seemed to have figured it out and have been very reliable throughout the season.

Maybe Jimenez can find a role in the pen that could help the team clinch a playoff spot. Read the rest of this entry

August MLB Interleague Results: AL Also 6 Wins Away From 11th Straight Year Clinch

 

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Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

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The National League is on the verge of falling to the American League for the 11th straight season.  Heading into play Saturday, with the only contest being Orioles @ Cubs, the AL holds a 145 – 123 advantage on the NL for the 2014 calendar year.

This is a decade plus of ownership of the Junior Circuit over the Senior Circuit. 

The National League actually has not fared too badly in August so far, winning 28 out of 60 games.

For those people who don’t like Interleague all, there are no more days on the schedule this year with multiple games.  In a lot of cases, they are not even games on the getaway days of Monday’s Thursday’s (which are the only 2 days to not have the 30 teams in action.)

Interleague has been a good thing for the game of baseball…. I would argue that the premise of playing teams that you don’t normally is good for the growth of baseball. Read the rest of this entry

For The Most Part – The Top Salaried Players (#1 – #25 In The MLB Are Certainly Not Playing Like It!

Prince Fielder

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

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Some of the highest paid athletes are really struggling to earn their keep.  Even if A – Rod were playing, it is quite possible he would be a shell of his former self, and way overpaid.

You add in the horrific injury riddled years for Joey Votto and Prince Fielder, and you are talking about a lot of dough for players not even in uniform presently.

Then there is a productive hitter like Troy Tulowitzki, who can’t remain on the field, despite putting up world caliber numbers when he is in the lineup.

Joe Mauer and Matt Kemp have also dealt with injuries and timing issues at the plate, but they still could turn it around for the tail end of the season – and going forward.

Justin Verlander tops the list of the paying the man too late in the game, and this will not bode well for the Free Agent Max Scherzer.

You also have aging veterans that are helping their teams win games like Albert Pujols and Adrian Gonzalez, but they are also not where they were at the time all of that cash was thrown their way.

Miguel Cabrera and Mike Trout‘s deal don’t even start yet on this list, and somehow I think they will do alright.

Robinson Cano has looked decent in the 1st of a 10 year deal, but lets reassess this in 2018…

The Yankees have a huge problem on their hands with their representatives out of these players.

Mark Teixeira only has power left, and can hardly stay on the field, while CC Sabathia may be done as a top of the end starter.

Masahiro Tanaka was lights out in his time in New York this year, however he could be facing Tommy John Surgery soon, and may cost the franchise a lot of money to sit out.

Not even the Jacoby Ellsbury deal has reason for them to feel comfort.  His numbers are similar to the ones he put up in Boston, yet he will see his speed evaporate over the years going forward.

This is part 1 of a 2 part blog series on player contracts. Tomorrow we address players 26 – 50. Read the rest of this entry

Daniel Lucius “Doc” Adams Selected As SABR’s 19th Century Overlooked Baseball Legend

adams

Daniel Lucius “Doc” Adams Selected as SABR’s 2014

19th Century Overlooked Baseball Legend

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By Roger & Cathy Ratzenberger (Special Guest Writers): (Visit  Roger’s website here)

Daniel Lucius “Doc” Adams (1814 – 1899) has been selected as the 19th Century Overlooked Baseball Legend by the Society for American Baseball Research (SABR). This recognition comes in the bicentennial of his birth.

Each year SABR honors a 19th century player, manager, executive or other baseball personality not yet inducted into the National Baseball Hall of Fame in Cooperstown, New York.

Adams’ contributions to the game include the creation of the shortstop position and heading the baseball governing body that established key aspects of today’s baseball game including nine players per team, the nine-inning game, ninety feet between bases and catching the ball on the fly.

Adams was born in Mont Vernon, New Hampshire on November 1, 1814. He graduated from Yale in 1835 and Harvard Medical School in 1838. In 1839, he moved to New York where he established his own medical practice. Read the rest of this entry

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