Author Archives: MLB reports

Dear Mr. Manfred: Shifts, Trying To Help Offense – How About 9 Fielders And 8 Hitters In Both AL + NL?

Under my proposed format of 9 fielders, with only 8 hitters - eliminating both the pitcher and DH from entering the box, having 8 batters only in every lineup would allow players such as Mike Trout a helluva lot more Plate Appearances in a full year.

Under my proposed format of 9 fielders, with only 8 hitters – eliminating both the pitcher and DH from entering the box, having 8 batters only in every lineup would allow players such as Mike Trout a helluva lot more Plate Appearances in a full year.  The National League would stand to gain almost a quarter of a run, and the American League would also knock off its worst hitter from each squad.  So how do you do this with the players union?  Offer a 26 man roster (with 25 activated for each game).  Creating 30 new jobs would be a better way than having the NL adopt the DH into their game.  That would not go well, and longtime would throw a conniption fit.  The best way to uniform both leagues is to go with a lineup of 8 guys.

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

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I like the way Rob Manfred came out blazing Sunday on heels of his 1st 24 hours as commissioner.  I agree completely that we need more offense infused into the game.

Whether any of us like or not, the ;PED’ era while it was going, was at least fun to watch on the offensive side of it.  I have even talked to fans that in my shop that would love for them not to be illegal – so we could see that HR’s creep up again.  I can’t say I would go that far, but the recent trend of Runs scored on the decline is alarming.

I grew up in the 80’s, and if there were any season that has been similar to that timeframe, last season was. Pitching, speed, defense and clutch hitting was the key to winning in that decade, and there was a degree of parity that existed too.

I am still stunned that more people can tell the real reason why games take so long.  How about Strikeouts at an ALL – Time rate?  This is the biggest factor, and it is not even debatable.  You add in the “Moneyball” concept of taking a pile of pitches, combined with tonnes of pitching changes, instant replay, TV time out, and players going through per pitch rituals that would make golf’s Sergio Garcia seem like a speed demon in contrast, and no wonder why games take forever. Read the rest of this entry

Ichiro Suzuki Maybe Older, But He Is a Perfect 4th OF/PH

a a ichiro suzuki-3

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

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Okay so Ichiro Suzuki doesn’t possess as much speed as he once did, or even hit .320 like he routinely did for the Mariners.  Plus yes, there is virtually no power…however he hit .284 last season, and for a 4th OF or Pinch Hitter in the Senior Circuit, that would be much likened.

I was sitting there last month debating on whether the Mariners should give him a call for a return to Seattle, considering they tried signing   Franklin Gutierrez (hurt all of 2014, which was the biggest waste of a $MIL ever by M’s mgmt – considering the guy already burned the squad for 120 games missed in 2013) and employed friggin Endy Chavez for much of the 2014 year.

I am giving Jack Z. and the Mariners some chops for picking up Justin Ruggiano and Seth Smith instead in the last 30 days, but the point was, Ichiro may not have wanted to return to the PAC NW anyway even though he could have helped that club as they were constructed then.

Have you seen some of the 4th OF and PH that still have jobs in the Majors?  Heck yeah… give me a guy who can put the bat on the ball still.

Suzuki is a great contact hitter even at his age, and he will likely see some AB roaming the outfield for the Marlins this year.  I love Giancarlo Stanton, but it is not like he ever plays 162 games straight on the diamond. Read the rest of this entry

The MLB Reports Own State Of The Union (SOTU) – 2015 Address

Home Of Sully Baseball + #WOB, #WOO, #WOWS #SullyMetrics, Baseball Analysis (Audio + Written, Roster Trees, Salaries, Org. Depth Charts,+ Roster Trees + TJ Surgery Tracker + Wicked Daily Content,) +  We are not your Cutter" Website.  Also our motto is "THE TRUTH STINGS LIKE A CATCUS!"

Home Of Sully Baseball + #WOB, #WOO, #WOWS #SullyMetrics, Baseball Analysis (Audio + Written, Roster Trees, Salaries, Org. Depth Charts,+ Roster Trees + TJ Surgery Tracker  – MLB Park Roadtripping + Wicked Daily Content,) + We are not your Cutter” Website. Also our motto is “THE TRUTH STINGS LIKE A CATCUS!”

What We are Up To This Campaign + Going Forward

The MLB Reports will be updating lots of posts for the 2015 schedule as it sits right now for the next 2 weeks.  We will have all 26 weeks listed in 7 day increments from during the year.  I will try to update those as much as possible.

I will do an all 2430 game schedule on 1 page post once.  I will not update it that much though, this will be for mostly pre-season planning for most ballpark goers,

I will also compile a month to month schedule around the last week of each month.  The MLB or ESPN still need to follow in the nhl.com’s footsteps and make these possible.  I do like the ESPN 7 day module for any time frame.  I still think they should have a 179 days module and a month module.

We will also be featuring our Interleague Master Schedule with updated start times.  We already have a master grid of all 30 clubs and who they play in league versus league combat this season.  Keep in mind of the special 4 day window in which Interleague has 15 – 2 home and 2 away games against one other club from Monday June 15th to Thursday June 18th, 2015.  In essence a back to back – home and home series. Read the rest of this entry

Max Scherzer’s $185 MIL Deal (Inflation Pro-Rated) Puts Him 11th In MLB History For Top Contracts

Scherzer's 7 Year/$210 MIL deal is actually worth $185 against the cap, and we are giving him the same for the ALL-Time Contracts. This sum puts him just behind Derek Jeter for 11th in MLB History. Jon Lester and he are the only 2 men to enter the top 50 this year after 7 players made the cut last off year. Cabrera, Cano, Kershaw, Tanaka, Ellsbury,Trout and Choo all have made the chart since the end of the 2013 World Series.  The deal called for a $50 MIL signing bonus. The 2013 former AL Cy Young winner, will make $15 MIL in deferred salary for the next 14 seasons.  The 30 Year Old, will join the NL's best club of 2014, as far as wins are concerned, bringing in a 96 - 66 record.  The RHP has led the AL in wins the last 2 years (21 Wins and 18 Wins respectively), and has compiled a 55 - 15 (.786 Winning Percentage) since the start of the 2012 campaign.

Scherzer’s 7 Year/$210 MIL deal is actually worth $185 against the cap, and we are giving him the same for the ALL-Time Contracts. This sum puts him just behind Derek Jeter for 11th in MLB History. Jon Lester and he are the only 2 men to enter the top 50 this year after 7 players made the cut last off year. Cabrera, Cano, Kershaw, Tanaka, Ellsbury, Trout and Choo all have made the chart since the end of the 2013 World Series. The deal called for a $50 MIL signing bonus. The 2013 former AL Cy Young winner, will make $15 MIL in deferred salary for the next 14 seasons. The 30 Year Old, will join the NL’s best club of 2014, as far as wins are concerned, bringing in a 96 – 66 record. The RHP has led the AL in wins the last 2 years (21 Wins and 18 Wins respectively), and has compiled a 55 – 15 (.786 Winning Percentage) since the start of the 2012 campaign.

The highest contracts in MLB history (Red means Active Contract)

 1. Giancarlo Stanton, $325, 000, 000 (2015 – 2027)

*2. Alex Rodriguez, $275,000,000 (2008-17)

*** With A-Rod’s suspension in 2014, he forfeited $22.13 MIL bucks, so it will now end up 10 YRs/$252.87 MIL for the duration of his deal.  You can’t tell me he will be worth 40% of what the Yankees will be paying him next year, and all the way till the end of 2017.

3. Alex Rodriguez, $252,000,000 (2001-10)

*4. Miguel Cabrera $248,000, 000 (2016 – 2023)

Go see #25.  He has the 4th and 25th top contracts of ALL – Time.  This contract doesn’t start until 2016.

*5Albert Pujols, $250,000,000 (2012-21)

*6. Robinson Cano$240,000,000 (2014 – 2023) Read the rest of this entry

Odds To Win The 2015 World Series (Don’t Bet The Cubs Despite Of Back To The Future 2 Prediction)

Max Scherzer now is in the front of the best Starting Rotation in the National League in some time.  His signing has made the Nationals the leading favorite to win the 2015 World Series  This would mean the Expos/Nats franchise would make and win their 1st Fall Classic since Montreal joined the Major Leagues in 1969.  Only their franchise and the Mariners have yet to make an appearance in the World Series.

Max Scherzer now is in the front of the best Starting Rotation in the National League in some time. His signing has made the Nationals the leading favorite to win the 2015 World Series This would mean the Expos/Nats franchise would make and win their 1st Fall Classic since Montreal joined the Major Leagues in 1969. Only their franchise and the Mariners have yet to make an appearance in the World Series.

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

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Max Scherzer has tipped the scale to the Nats being the World Series favorite, whereas we left them in December, with them being tied with the Dodgers as the lowest odds to win the Fall Classic in 2015.

Not only did he affect his new team, he affected his old team of the Tigers to drop from +950 to +1100 now.  The Mets also dipped from +3300 to +3500 on the news yesterday.

There is no doubt the Nationals are the best team in the National League now, and could very well improve on their 2014 win total of 96.  Look for them to continuously punch the Phillies in the neck this year, and should beat up the Atlanta Braves pretty well across the board too.

There is no doubt in my mind this should be Washington’s season to go to the dance.  I don’t think the Dodgers are as strong with their offense losing Dee Gordon and Hanley Ramirez, while adding Joc Pederson potentially, and stalwart 2B Howie Kendrick.

The Cardinals best 3 players of Adam Wainwright, Yadier Molina and Matt Holliday are another year older, and one of these years someone will take them out in the playoffs.  When you add in all 5 NL Central teams being competitive, it could beat them up over the regular season a little,

After all, it also an odd year, do don’t expect the Giants to make the Post Season.  But seriously, San Francisco has lost Pablo Sandoval and Michael Morse, while adding Nori Aoki and Casey McGehee.  I can’t see this being an upgrade at all.  Don’t forget the club also will not have Ryan Vogelsong either, while there are massive question marks surrounding the health of Matt Cain and pitching effectiveness of Tim Lincecum.

Tim Hudson is another year older, and Jake Peavy looked like he was hanging from a thread to finish the playoffs. Read the rest of this entry

Dear Santa: All AL Teams 2015 Wish List (By The Fans)

santa claus

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

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Okay, so it is time to ask old Saint Nick, for some help for teams in the MLB to have their wishes come true.

New York Yankees:

Can someone please knock some sense into the brass in the Bronx to realize they are the friggin Yanks?  Since we can’t bring the “Boss” back to kick some ass, maybe a losing season would force the team to pilfer the payroll, and believe it or not, if Cashman behaves himself before Spring Training, the club could get under the Luxury Tax Threshold this year with a few Trade Deals, and go an attack the 2016 Free Agent core of Jason Heyward, Jordan Zimmermann, David Price and Johnny Cueto

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Would it be too much to ask if the team could just release Alex Rodriguez?  There is no way he should hit his 660th HR in Pinstripes.  Release him before that day, or way prior, and don’t pay him that dumb $6 MIL Bonus.  He ain’t worth it.  Also don’t want him passing Lou Gehrig for the RBI list ALL – Time in a New York uniform either. Read the rest of this entry

Odds To Win The 2015 World Series (CWS Best Value Currently)

white-sox-logo-white

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

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We are back from an extended period of not writing articles here at the MLB Reports to weigh in on the World Series Odds for next campaign.

As we did last year, we will update this as a weekly segment for the next 10 months until the winner is crowned.

I can tell you right now, the favorites based on so-called “winning the offseason” hardly ever pay off.  If that were the case, the Yankees would have been crowned last year, with spending $503 MIL on 10 Free Agents, or also the Rangers would have been second with bringing in Prince Fielder and Shin Soo-Choo.

The odds doled out for free wheeling Padres and Cubs are my top two picks to stay clear of wagering with the value currently constituted.  There are two teams in a similar view, not given enough credit.

The White Sox are looking decent in the AL Central, and play in the fairest of the Division in the American League, boast a 1 – 2 that can battle you with Chris Sale and Jeff Samardzija, while inking Free Agents Adam LaRoche and David Robertson gives the team nice depth all around,

The ‘Southsiders’ are definitely much improved in every facet heading into 2015.,  To say the Cubs, with their exuberant youth has more of a chance to win the 2015 title is not justified without seeing them perform on the field yet. Read the rest of this entry

Russell Martin Inks A Deal With The Jays (5 YRs/$82.5 MIL) In A Classic Overpay

 

Russell Martin is a great game caller - and has been on teams making the playoffs in 6 of the last 7 years between LAD/NYY and Pit.  He will turn 32 before next season, and has logged 1163 Games in the Majors as a backstopper.  Signing him to a 5 Year deal, at $16.5 MIL per annum is not wise..

Russell Martin is a great game caller – and has been on teams making the playoffs in 6 of the last 7 years between LAD/NYY and Pit. He will turn 32 before next season, and has logged 1163 Games in the Majors as a backstopper. Signing him to a 5 Year deal, at $16.5 MIL per annum is not wise..

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

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Jays Acquire Russell Martin

I get it, the guy may help you for the next 2 years, but to spend $82 MIL on a 5 year contract for a Catcher north of 30, who doesn’t have 20 HRs per year is beyond stupid.

Keep in mind, you are now paying him more cash than you pay Jose Bautista and Edwin Encarnacion,  Those were steals for deals on signings, but that will be now trumped by Martin.

I will say the man will help the Pitching Staff in the future years.  Honestly though, this team needed to sign an ace pitcher like Max Scherzer or Jon Lester, and at the least, a proven innings eater like James Shields.  Now you have effectively killed that chance.

The Blue Jays better hope that Justin Smoak can fill the bill at DH in a tandem with Dioner Navarro or Juan Francisco in the upcoming year, because as it stands right now, they are very heavy at the Right Handed side of their lineup.

Bautista, Encarnacion and Lawrie are all right handed, as is the newly acquired Catcher.

They still don’t have a bonafide LF yet, with Melky Cabrera as a Free Agent, and Dalton Pompey is just 22, to be given the reigns as a permanent CF is not 100% ironclad. Read the rest of this entry

Stanton’s Deal Will Set Off A Collective Groan For Small To Mid Market Clubs

Giancarlo Stanton;s new 13 Year Deal worth $325 MIL has got to be a red flag for other small to mid market franchises who are looking to extend their own talent.  Everything is a cumulative effect on another when a deal like this goes down.  Many teams are going to be asked to grant contracts of more than 10 plus years, and for ridiculous sums of money.

Giancarlo Stanton’s new 13 Year Deal worth $325 MIL has got to be a red flag for other small to mid market franchises who are looking to extend their own talent. Everything is a cumulative effect on another when a deal like this goes down. Many teams are going to be asked to grant contracts of more than 10 plus years, and for ridiculous sums of money.

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

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Giancarlo Stanton signing his whopper of a deal has to be shaking the foundation of all but the many low to mid level market’s boots.  He just raised the bar on what young franchise players will make in terms of years and dollars,  Not good.

Arizona you better thank the lord you inked Paul Goldschmidt before he took off in his career,.  The same can be said for Andrew McCutchen in Pittsburgh and Chris Sale in Chicago.  All among the better valued deals in the game right now.

These 3 would all enter in the top 25 contracts of ALL – Time if they were Free Agents on the open market presently…. Meaning at least $135 MIL for a deal in the 6 to 7 year window. Read the rest of this entry

Baseball News Of The Week, Baseball News Of The Weak, Baseball News That Wreaks

Joe Maddon signing with the Cubs to skipper the club for the next 5 years is the biggest story of the hotstove so far.  He is also the clubhouse leader of adult beverages bought, although we will still give the consumed adult beverage lead to Madison Bumgarner

Joe Maddon signing with the Cubs to skipper the club for the next 5 years/at $5 MIL per annum is the biggest story of the hotstove season so far. He is also the clubhouse leader of adult beverages bought, although we will still give the consumed adult beverage lead to Madison Bumgarner.

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

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Welcome to the new offseason segment.  I will try to do this once again.  It has been a slower winter than the previous two years, however it is starting to pick up.

Anybody miss the live action yet?  Yes there is still the Japan exhibition series and the Arizona Fall League,  but for the people like myself, I live and die for the major league action.

I would much rather watch Major League Baseball any day of the week.  It is not that I begrudge anyone for attending Minor League attendance, heck in some campaigns, the Minor Leagues have outdrawn the MLB.

This will be sort of like the good, the bad and the ugly from (insert show here). Read the rest of this entry

It Is Time For The MLB To Eliminate Defensive Shifts + Why I Won’t Use Sabermetrics In My Posts

shifting

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

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I am all for a good game of chess on the baseball field, but when one wonders how come games are 4 hours, you have to add defensive shifts into the mix.

Other big sports such as the NFL, NHL and even the NBA have implemented rules in order to preserve offense in the game.

It is time to make a rule having the 3B and SS not be able to shift over to the 1B and 2B side of the field, and vice versa, before a pitch is thrown.

Credit to MLB Broadcaster Seth Everett , for being one of the only public figures I have heard that has also advocated this thought process.

Defense and technology have come light years ahead in the last 15 years or so, and it is affecting the game. Read the rest of this entry

MLB Reports – Drastic Changes To The Game Going Forward In The Next CBA?

With Bud Selig leaving as commissioner in Jan of 2015, we have given the new guy in charge (Rob Manfred) some ideas to chew on from our top 3 guys at this website.  Agree or disagree with us, at least we are not afraid to speak our mind about the game we all love so much.  We are here to help grow the game.  If we are not hardcore fans, we wouldn't be running this fanbased website.

With Bud Selig leaving as commissioner in Jan of 2015, we have given the new guy in charge (Rob Manfred) some ideas to chew on from our top 3 guys at this website. Agree or disagree with us, at least we are not afraid to speak our mind about the game we all love so much. We are here to help grow the game. If we are not hardcore fans, we wouldn’t be running this fan-based website.

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer):  w/assists to

Paul Sullivan (Sully) (Lead Personality):  &

Chuck Booth (Lead Analyst/Owner): 

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The game of baseball is in decline right? Loved hearing that yet once again from every non-baseball fan.  I tend not to disagree, but to think that no changes going forward is the right call is entirely wrong.

With Bud Selig making his grand exit in 2 months, Rob Manfred has a daunting task of capturing the new age fan, while the core audience grows a little older next year.

Here at the Report we have suggested some radical thought-provoking topics towards how baseball can improve, so I thought I would put them all in one article.

This list coming forth is a compilation of our top personalities – and their stances towards how the game can improve.

In this blog, I am using a lot of (Paul Francis Sullivan) Sully’s ideas.  He is our lead personality on this site, and has the pulse of all sorts of historical and new age references that make sense. 

Listen/Subscribe to his daily podcast The Sully Baseball Daily Podcast.

We will also use some of our Owner/Lead Analyst’s (Chuck Booth) views to add to the puzzle.

Finally, the list is completed by yours truly. Read the rest of this entry

Odds To Win The 2015 MLB World Series

The combatants of the 2014 World Series (KC vs SF) are tied with the Baltimore Orioles for the 6th best odd to win the 2015 title.  I like the odd for the Giants, however I hate it for the Royals.

The combatants of the 2014 World Series (KC vs SF) are tied with the Baltimore Orioles for the 6th best odd to win the 2015 title. I like the odd for the Giants, however I hate it for the Royals.

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

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There is no time for resting on the winter hotstove, there is however time to sit back and digest the odds of who is going to win next year’s title.

I was surprised to see that the Royals have been giving such a low odd to go back to the Fall Classic and win.  They are tied with the Giants/Orioles for the 6th best odd to win a championship.

Hate those odds, just wait until the season starts if you want those teams.

I couldn’t believe the Cubs were rated so high either.  Apparently, the oddsmakers think these guys are going to take a quantum leap – or maybe they like the Back to the Future 2 prognostication of the Cubbies winning the World Series.

Looking at the list, I initially think there is fantastic value in every team 12 – 21, except take out the Marlins, Cubs and Mets out of that lot. Read the rest of this entry

Odds To Win The 2014 MLB World Series (Kansas City Vs San Francisco) + Prediction Time

Kansas City is making the most of their 1st playoff appearance since winning the World Series in 1985.  The club has won 8 straight games over 3 series, and have shown they have power in their lumbering, homering in most of their games.  They have a slight advantage with their Relief Core, and must amp up their speed game again versus the Giants in order to win the 2014 Fall Classic.  KC has home field advantage with the AL having won the ALL - Star Game.  I personally think this is a hinderance, based on the way the team plays on the road.  Whatever I feel, the oddsmakers have listed them as the Favorite.

Kansas City is making the most of their 1st playoff appearance since winning the World Series in 1985. The club has won 8 straight games over 3 series, and have shown they have power in their lumber, homering in most of their games. They have a slight advantage with their Relief Core, and must amp up their speed game again versus the Giants in order to win the 2014 Fall Classic. KC has home field advantage with the AL having won the ALL – Star Game. I personally think this is a hinderance, based on the way the team plays on the road. Whatever I feel, the oddsmakers have listed them as the Favorite.

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

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I awoke this morning to a text stating that the Giants were the longshots in the MLB World Series this year at +100 when I placed my wager.

Kansas City was a -120 Favorite in the early morning Friday.

I exclaimed ‘yes’ because I was hoping for a nice odd for the NLCS Champs.

Chuck Booth and I stand to win $1477.50 on KC to win the World Series based on a $20 (50/1 Bet) and a $6 (80/1 Bet).

San Francisco was also the subject of my 1st bet on the Fall Classic to start the year.  It was a 25/1 Odd back in January of this year, and we threw down $14 each.

Now since we could win $1477 on the Royals, and just $389 on the Giants, came the hedge bet for $500 on SF at Even money.

So we can win $1389.00 each on the Giants, and now $1477 still on KC.

The difference being, that we only had to wager $25 aggregate on the ALCS Champs.

The bet assures us of over $1000 each profit for the year.

Already, since the morning line, the odds have shifted to SF -105, to KC -115.   I am not surprised, as the Sharps have spoken. 

Read the rest of this entry

As Of Right Now – The Yankees Are A Mess For 2015: End Of The Year ‘State Of The Union’

With almost $100 MIL tied  up in contracts for Sabathia, A-Rod, Teixeira and  a potential Tommy John Surgery candidate in Masahiro Tanaka, this New York squad is in some deep trouble for next season.  Despite the recent playoff misses, and injury prone players brought in by Brian Cashman, the club saw fit to grant him a 3 year extension last week

With almost $100 MIL tied up in contracts for Sabathia, A-Rod, Teixeira and a potential Tommy John Surgery candidate in Masahiro Tanaka, this New York squad is in some deep trouble for next season. Despite the recent playoff misses, and injury prone players brought in by Brian Cashman, the club saw fit to grant him a 3 year extension last week

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

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Let me get this straight…The ‘Bronx Bombers’ have missed the playoff for 2 years straight and no one has lost their jobs?  Man how times have changed in Yankees land.

If George Steinbrenner were alive still right now, the twitter and social media world would be trending his name for all of October.

Since when is it acceptable to miss the playoffs, underachieve and spend to the best payroll in the American League?

Firing Kevin Long is not going to solve the hit crisis the club has.

Before any of you throw daggers at our site, we have had this stance for a couple of years now.

The 1st mistake was to not get under the Luxury Tax Threshold this season.  That was soon followed by inking Brett Gardner to a 4 Year Deal, when you have such a similar player in the Outfield like Jacoby Ellsbury. Read the rest of this entry

It Has Been Bizarro World In the MLB All Year For 2014: The Playoffs Are No Different

bizarro world

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The Royals and O’s in the ALCS??? with KC halfway to running the table on the whole playoffs – winning 6 straight games – and looking like the reincarnation of the 1927 Yankees?

The Braintrust of the New York Yankees, (and some fans) are happy with a 84 win season – following an 85 win campaign the previous year – to miss the postseason for the 2nd season in a row, but lock the GM for 3 years?&*!@!

The Pirates made a 2nd consecutive playoff spot??  

Jose Altuve and Justin Morneau led their respective leagues in Batting Average??

Okay so it has definitely been a bizarre year in the Majors.  While I am happy to see the game return to more athleticism and talent (not aided by steroids), the game has never been any harder to predict.

As a professional handicapper I realized this much a long time ago about baseball.  You never bet the favorite, and always take the value. Read the rest of this entry

Royals Win Game 1 Of The ALCS And Are The New World Series Favorite: Betting Lines For Postseason Wagering

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Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

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The Royals continue to shock the world with newfound power and late inning heroics, Based their 5th straight playoff win, they took a 1 – 0 ALCS advantage on the Baltimore Orioles in last nights contest for the ALCS.

I woke up this morning to see they are the new favorite to win the World Series at +210.  The Cards are 2nd at +250, Giants are 3rd at +280, and bringing up the rears are the O’s at +333.

Furthermore to our point of drastic odds change with one game, the Royals are now -170 favorites to the win the American League Championship Series, compared to the Orioles +150 odd.

If you wanted to bet Baltimore, the time for value is right now.  Kansas City will lose a game eventually, and the time to pounce is probably today.  Of course I have been saying that about the Royals all postseason, but the odd is inviting for Baltimore. Read the rest of this entry

NLCS Preview: Cardinals vs Giants In A Battle For Decade Supremacy!

Its all about the Pennants in the LCS Round,  The Cards are competing in their 4th straight NLCS, and 9th out of 14 years,  while the GIants are in the series for the 3rd time in 5 years, and have never lost a playoff series under head coach Bruce Bochy.

It’s all about the Pennants in the LCS Round, The Cards are competing in their 4th straight NLCS, and 9th out of 14 years, while the GIants are in the series for the 3rd time in 5 years, and have never lost a playoff series under head coach Bruce Bochy.

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

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I am not going to preview this from an analyst angle because our “Lead Podcast Personality”  Paul Francis Sullivan ‘AKA Sully’ does a brilliant 20 minute podcast that he does daily, and he has described this matchup beautifully.

I will post the podcast at the end of the article.

Instead,  I am looking at this series as a professional handicapper sense.

Opening Odds

STL -135

SF, +115

I have to give the nod to the Giants for value on this one. If you go down the rosters, the St. Louis franchise is a smidge better on the talent level, however how can you bet against San Francisco when they have won 8 straight playoff series from 2010 – 2014.

The Giants have also won 4 of 5 games in this year’s playoff. Read the rest of this entry

Brian Wilson Exercises His 2015 Player Option + Hopes To Rebound Like 2nd Half Of 2014 Indicated

a brian wilson

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

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Brian Wilson has let the Dodgers know he is picking up his 2015 Player Option for $9.0 MIL.

The character Reliever, did not have a great season with Los Angeles, however he straightened it out in the 2nd half, and added a 1/3rd of an inning in the Postseason, to run his lifetime total to 18 scoreless innings to start his playoff career.

The man has a proven playoff pedigree and it baffled me on the reluctance to use the bearded fellow.  Maybe we will find out his was really hurt, from what seemed to plague him from the 1st half.

Clayton Kershaw aside, no one had a worse trip to Australia and back then Wilson. as he came back with injuries to his back and neck, stemming from the quick turnaround flight after playing 2 games in Sydney.

The 32 Year Old Wilson posted a 5.66 ERA – and a 1.847 WHIP prior to the ALL – Star Break in 30.1 IP.

Post ALL – Star he was more familiar to what he has authored in career, having a 3.00 ERA and a 1.147 WHIP in his last 18.1 IP.

Wilson came to the Dodgers in August of 2013, after he recovered from a 2nd Tommy John Surgery that had sidelined him since April of 2012. Read the rest of this entry

A Disappointing End and the Road Ahead For The Nationals

MLB reports:

An Article by http://www.citizensofnatstown writer David Huzzard. @davidhuzzard on twitter.

Originally posted on Citizens of Natstown:

The corpse of the Nats 2014 season isn’t even cold and it’s time to look ahead to the off-season. I sat and listened to the final game of the Nats season in pitch darkness as the thunder echoed and the storm raged outside my windows. Charlie and Dave’s voices guided me to the bitter bloody end as the Washington Nationals slit their own wrist on the field in San Francisco. Gio Gonzalez botched a comebacker and then faked out Rendon as he first went for and then peeled away from a bunted ball. Matt Williams went to his 8th best reliever in a critical spot after the Nats had tied the game and it all blew up.

The Nats shouldn’t be judged by the playoff series. The 162 games they played before that were far more important than those four. It is hard to deny that Adam LaRoche and Jayson Werth’s bats…

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Odds To Win The 2014 ALCS + NLCS In The MLB

Camden Yards will see home games in the ALCS for the 1st ga

Camden Yards will see home games in the ALCS for the 1st time since the 1997 season.  Buck Showalter has a decisive edge in the managerial department over the Royals skipper Ned Yost.  The O’s are the new owners of home field advantage all the way throughout the postseason now, as the top seed left in the American League.

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

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The Dog Days Of October

The 4 teams in the League Championship Series were all underdogs in the last round.

When you also factor the Wild Card Games were both won by the Giants and Royals, (both not being the favorite), it marks the 1st 6 rounds of this postseason go to the “Dogs”.

Baltimore defeating the Tigers was probably the least surprising as the other clubs winning against their opponents.  Again via a sweep of the 3 straight Cy Young Winners is impressive though.

The Nationals and Cards losing to the Giants and Cardinals had a lot to do with playoff pedigree with the teams moving on, as they handled the pressure better than the two upstart clubs. Read the rest of this entry

Odds To Win The 2014 MLB World Series For The Final Four In The MLB Playoffs

The Orioles are the favorite to win the World Series among the last 4 remaining teams.  The O's will have Chris Davis back in Game #4 of the ALCS, and have to be happy they are playing the Royals.  It has lined up nicely for Baltimore to take out the 'Cinderella' KC Squad.

The Orioles are the favorite to win the World Series among the last 4 remaining teams. The O’s will have Chris Davis back in Game #4 of the ALCS, and have to be happy they are playing the Royals. It has lined up nicely for Baltimore to take out the ‘Cinderella’ KC Squad.

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

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After licking my wounds for the last rounds  0 – 4 predictions of series, I am laughing all the way to the bank.

While I still picked the Nationals, Tigers, Angels and Dodgers because I thought they would win their last round best of 5’s, I never took the bait to bet any of these clubs.

I was sitting on bets I made earlier in the year.  Back in January, I wrote an article proclaiming the Giants at 25/1 (Can win $400) a great steal. I bet the Royals at 50/1 and 80/1 (I can win $1500 if they take the WS) and I bet the O’s at 50/1 and 20/1 (with a potential win total of $720).

So even though I took a header on my picks, I have put myself in a great position of profit for the remainder of the playoffs..

To hedge the series, I have wagered the Baltimore Orioles and Cards to win the LCS’s for $134 wager, that pays +213 or $414.  It ensures me to make a profit regardless of the outcome. Read the rest of this entry

Odds To Win The 2014 MLB World Series Oct.3, 2014

The Orioles last won the World Series in 1983, and were closest next in the 1997 ALCS, before being ousted by the Indians.

The Orioles last won the World Series in 1983, and were closest next in the 1997 ALCS, before being ousted by the Indians. With having a 1 – 0 series lead on the Tigers, they have tied the Washington Nationals as the co-favorites for the World Series odds.  Stay clear of betting them or Washington.  The value is bad.

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

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With Baltimore taking a 1 – 0 advantage on the Tigers yesterday, the oddsmakers now have them tied with the Nationals for the best odds to win the World Series.

I don’t agree with this at all.  If you still like the Detroit club, the time to bet is right now.  Justin Verlander has a proven playoff track record, and the squad has David Price and Max Scherzer in Games 3 and 4, with Max Scherzer back for a potential game #5.

You always see these swings on a 1 game basis in the postseason.

The Dodgers will only be at this clip for 1 day too.  If you want to put some cabbage on them, do it before Clayton Kershaw takes the hill and wins tonight.

The Angels are trailing their series vs the Royals, and are +145 underdogs as opposed to KC holding a LDS odd of -175 over LAA.  Despite this, the Royals are not favored higher than the "Halo's" on the odd for the World Series.  Keep in mind the Royals are a better road team, while the Angels won 46 games on the road and 52 at home.

The Angels are trailing their series vs the Royals, and are +145 underdogs as opposed to KC holding a LDS odd of -175 over LAA. Despite this, the Royals are not favored higher than the “Halo’s” on the odd for the World Series. Keep in mind the Royals are a better road team, while the Angels won 46 games on the road and 52 at home.  Take the odd of +145 for this series versus Kansas City.  They throw Matt Shoemaker tonight, and will still be able to throw Jered Weaver one more time.  Tonight’s game has the Angels are a -152 favorite – whereas the Royals pay +135 if they win tonight.

Kansas City is favored to win the series versus the Angels at -175, to LAA’s +145, but are still a bigger longshot to win the World Series.  

My advice:  plunk some money down on the LAA for the ALDS series at that mark.  It was a close game last night, and the Royals will not make it easy on themselves in the series.

I would still wait on the St. Louis team if you wish to bet them at all, as well as the Giants.  Both teams have a tough nature to knock off, as their World Series in 3 of the last 4 years indicates.

You think the odds are high now, wait if they lose tonight’s games.  It will jump to near +1400 or +1600.  Wait a day for those guys.

Updated Odds To Win The World Series For All 9 Playoff Clubs.

T1. BAL +400

T1. WSH +400

3. LAD +425

4. LAA +650

5. KC +700

6. DET +750

T7. STL +900

T7. SF +900

 

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Please note that it is illegal in most U.S. States to gamble

Odds are courtesy of www.bet365.com

*** The views and opinions expressed in this report are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of mlbreports.com and their partners***

A Big thanks goes out to our chief writer Hunter Stokes for preparing today’s feature post.

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Royals Vs Angels Preview 2014 ALDS

The Angels are finally back in the postseason after a couple of years absence.  They have the best 1 - 9 lineup in the AL, an extremely deep and revamped Bullpen, and starters like Jered Weaver and C.J. Wilson have lots of playoff experience.  Add a roster full of World Series heroes of not so long ago, and it could be a recipe for a long postseason run.  They also have the luck of the draw with playing the Royals in the 1st Round, with only having to face James Shields once, while their top duo of Jered Weaver and Matt Shoemaker are slated to tow the hill in 4 of the 5 games.

The Angels are finally back in the postseason after a couple of years absence. They have the best 1 – 9 lineup in the AL, an extremely deep and revamped Bullpen, and starters like Jered Weaver and C.J. Wilson have lots of playoff experience. Add a roster full of World Series heroes of not so long ago, and it could be a recipe for a long postseason run. They also have the luck of the draw with playing the Royals in the 1st Round, with only having to face James Shields once, while their top duo of Jered Weaver and Matt Shoemaker are slated to tow the hill in 4 of the 5 games.

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

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No time to rest for the tired and weary.  After an emotional, and jaw dropping game for the Royals on Tuesday night, they will fly to Anaheim to meet the top seeded  Los Angeles Angels in the LDS Round.

You have to realize that Mike Scioscia is running the gauntlet on the running prowess of Kansas City even as we speak,

There will be no 2 – 3 or extra jackrabbit’s for the Royals squad, who were definitely aided by a lax Roster enforcement for Wild Card play, and also by the early game injury to Geovany Soto.

Chris Iannetta and Hank Conger will have to be ready for the speed demon club, that features several guys who can swipe bags on a whim.

If there is one thing going for Kansas City right now it is rhythm of repetition having played on Tuesday, while the Halo’s have been licking their chops in Orange County all week at the beach.

The Angels clinched so early, it would have been about 15 days since they have played a meaningful game in Game #1. Read the rest of this entry

Odds To Win The 2014 MLB World Series, LDS Odds + NLWC Odds (All 9 Playoff Teams)

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Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

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Man Alive what a game last night.  I was torn in so many directions, I may need an x-ray to make sure I have no ligaments busted up this AM, like Coco Crisp and Geovany Soto experienced.

Last evening was a perfect example of how betting with a hedge can totally benefit your plight, when you are sitting nice with some favorable bets made from a good value standpoint..

I have published many articles on this site, raving about the Royals from even before the season began during 2014.  Now I picked Oakland to win last night’s contest, but financially I had a lot to gain on the Kansas City club advancing.

You see back in May, when the squad was struggling, I posted a $20 wager on them to win the World Series for a 50/1 odd.  I then put some more cabbage on them at 80/1 a few months later amidst a losing streak.

In all, I stand to win the most on KC, out of any AL club I have left.

Now, I only can win $285 on the Angels to win the Fall Classic, which would only break me about even for the year.

As stated in a blog yesterday, the Tigers net me a return of $894, and the Orioles, will bounce my bank account to the tune of $804.

I was able to speculate when the teams would all be at their max peak earlier in the year.

Based on the mere fact, the A’s only paid me around $260 for the World Series, I bet them to win $50 to start the night at +100 for the Wild Card Game..  I couldn’t believe they were underdogs to start the game, but glad for it. 

Once Oakland took a 2 – 0 led on Brandon Moss‘s 1st HR, I wagered $22 (In Play) on KC – for a return of $86 if they won.  This would have won me my money back plus a small profit.  This continued all night…. Read the rest of this entry

Odds To Win The 2014 MLB World Series (All 10 Playoff Teams)

The Washington Nationals/Montreal Expos franchise still has never appeared in the World Series.  That didn't stop the oddsmakers from giving them the #1 favorite status heading into the playoffs today.  They are the deepest team on both offense and defense, and only lack postseason experience.  The Stephen Strasburg decision of a few years  back, will never be put to rest until this club wins a title.  Despite them being favored, I am not sure the ranking is justified, as the Dodgers reside in the same league.

The Washington Nationals/Montreal Expos franchise still has never appeared in the World Series. That didn’t stop the oddsmakers from giving them the #1 favorite status heading into the playoffs today. They are the deepest team on both offense and defense, and only lack postseason experience. The Stephen Strasburg ‘decision’ of a few years back, will never be put to rest until this club wins a title. Despite them being favored, I am not sure the ranking is justified, as the Dodgers reside in the same league.

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

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It is time to place your bets on the World Series. The Washington Nationals are your favorites to win the whole thing at +450.  The Tigers, Angels and Dodgers are both next at all tied for +500.

To round out the teams in sequence…5 –  Baltimore is at +700, 6 –  St. Louis at +900, 7 – Oakland at +1100, 8 – San Fran at +1400, and the Royals and the Bucs are the biggest odds on the board at +1600 for 9th.

At first glance I see the pattern.  The Nationals are the most deep team across the board, with having all 4 starters as potential aces in Stephen Strasburg, Jordan Zimmermann, Gio Gonzalez and Doug Fister.

Each one of the players in the positional lineup, were over right near of plus.400 for Slugging Percentage, and this doesn’t even include Ryan Zimmerman – who will be an awesome bat off the bench at least to start. Read the rest of this entry

MLB Reports Playoff Predictions 2014

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Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

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The playoffs are upon us, and since we had such a great year predicting a lot of stuff, both Chuck Booth and I are putting our postseason prognostications up.

In other blogs we will take a look at the series and everything, but this is just pure bets.

American League

American League Wild Card Game

Oakland -104 @ Kansas City -106 (Jon Lester @ James Shields)

Chuck – Oakland, Hunter, Oakland

Read the rest of this entry

Even With The Awesome Farewell To Jeter, There Are Others Who Are Hanging Up The Cleats This Year

Paul Konerko announced that the 2014 season will be his last. Konerko has 439 career HR, 1412 RBI, and 6 All Star appearances in his 18 year career. What will most likely not be a HOF career, will certainly go down as one of the best in White Sox history. Konerko was the direct replacement for Frank Thomas.  Konerko is only 16 HRs behind Thomas for the White Sox franchise record.  While he will not reach that mark, his role may increase now with some DH AB.  Konerko, now 38, was a 1998 trade acquisition - with OF Mike Cameron going back the other way.  while Cameron was a nice Major Leaguer in his time.  Konerko should have his number retired by the club, and is the current active leader for HRs hit for just one team.

Paul Konerko announced that the 2014 season will be his last. Konerko has 439 career HR, 1412 RBI, and 6 All Star appearances in his 18 year career. What will most likely not be a HOF career, will certainly go down as one of the best in White Sox history. Konerko was the direct replacement for Frank Thomas.He is only 16 HRs behind Thomas for the White Sox franchise record. Konerko, now 38, was a 1998 trade acquisition – with OF Mike Cameron going back the other way. while Cameron was a nice Major Leaguer in his time. Konerko should have his number retired by the club, and is the 2nd active leader for HRs hit for just one team.(432 HRs) to Albert Pujols (having hit 445 HRs with STL).  His 3 Slash Line for his career is .279/.354/.487 – and he has collected 2340 hits.

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

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1st off, mad respect to Derek Jeter, for giving everyone a last night to remember on Thursday.  He embodied what a class act superstar should be his whole career.

The MLB world is fully justified to praise him as much as they want. So the ‘hater’s’ will just have to suffer.

I am happy to see a lot of our brethren of website writers all chime in some of the other guys hanging them up too.

Paul Konerko is about us unheralded as their is for a near Hall of Famer these. days.  He is second actively when it comes to HRs for a select team, with his total of 432 bombs for the White Sox.  Only Albert Pujols‘s 445 HRs for the Cards is more.

Only David Ortiz has hit over 400 HRs for one active team besides Pujols and Konerko..

It is only too bad, that the big 2005 World Champion, saw a lot of his power evaporate before he passed Frank Thomas‘s career mark of 448 big fly’s for the franchise.

Still, #14 will be missed, and I definitely will be watching on my computer, with it being “Paul Konerko Day” today (Saturday Sept.27th) at Us Cellular Field. Read the rest of this entry

B.J. Upton And Dan Uggla Were The Biggest Reasons Why Wren Was Shown The Door!

The Brothers Upton both were acquired in the 2012 offseason by the Atlanta Braves.  This was a risk for the organization, and while Justin has played extremely well in condensed pockets, Upton is quickly establishing himself as one of the worst contracts ever signed in Major League Baseball.  a .197/.276/.310 3 Slash Line - with 20 HRs and 60 RBI in 902 AB is simply abysmal.  The Braves brass should send him to the Winter Leagues this off-year, to correct his problems.

The Brothers Upton both were acquired in the 2012 offseason by the Atlanta Braves. This was a risk for the organization, and while Justin has played extremely well in condensed pockets, B.J.Upton, now 30,  is quickly establishing himself as one of the worst Free Agent contracts ever signed in Major League Baseball. with a .197/.276/.310 – Braves 3 Slash Line – with 20 HRs and 60 RBI in 902 AB during his 1st 2 years as a Brave is simply abysmal. The club’s brass should send him to the Winter Leagues this off-year, to correct his problems.  Justin Upton, 27, has fared much better in his 2 seasons, with an OPS of .822, 54 HRs and 162 RBI for his 1108 AB. The worst part about this is that the younger brother only has 1 more year left on his deal in 2015, making $14.5 MIL, while B.J. has 3 more years left on his deal, paying him a sum of over $46 MIL for the duration.

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

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I started writing for this website about a year ago.  One of my first articles I put forth was one centered around the albatross contracts that were B.J. Upton and Dan Uggla.

True to prior blogs written here at the MLB Reports, the older Upton’s Free Agent contract of 5 YRs/$75 MIL will go down as one of the worst deals ever consummated on the open market.

You add the $15 AAV (Average Annual Value) to Uggla’s $11 MIL, and you are forking out over $26 MIL a year – for what are horrific numbers.

The genesis of my theory was simply the team would not recover financially, or be able to cover up any mistakes/injuries that may come to the club.

Atlanta has been one of the best franchises in the MLB for the last 24 years.  Even after the organization claimed 14 straight NL East titles, they only took about 5 years to reload the troops for another wave of success.

Since the end of the 2012 year though, the franchise has seen Chipper Jones retire, longtime Catcher Brian McCann move on to New York, and former Brave great Tim Hudson move out to the San Francisco Giants. Read the rest of this entry

Odds To Win The 2014 MLB World Series Currently

 I am fully expecting the Pirates to lock down the 2nd wild card in the National League.  I b

I am fully expecting the Pirates to lock down the 2nd wild card in the National League. I think 86 wins is the magic #

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

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Last time I did the Odds to win the World Series was the last time I am doing worst odds this year, and furthermore, I am not touching the best value bets for the next few weeks, until the playoffs begin.

I had a subpar week at 5 – 5, after several red hot weeks.  The Cardinals and Orioles took great strides in the wins, while I was wrong in predicting a slight retraction for the Angels and Bucs on the loss side.

The Blue Jays actually have played well in September, but have still fallen in odds because of hot streaks for other clubs.

Kansas City has come back to the pack a little.

I was fully wrong on thinking the Braves would take a run at least a playoff spot.

I forecasted the M’s, Yankees and Brewers to go into a bit of a dry spell. Read the rest of this entry

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