MLB 50 Free Agent Predictions
Posted by jgluck777
Free Agent Predictions
By Jordan Gluck (Free Agency Correspondent) Follow @JGluck777
Follow MLB Reports On Twitter Follow @mlbreports
These are my personal predictions on where the top free agents will sign. This is the same kind of list of the top 50 free agents made by our friends at mlbtraderumors.com.
Please keep in mind there will be trades this offseason so holes will be filled that way as well (I believe the Cardinals will trade for a SS).
I am not going to estimate any dollar figures in this specific article but I do expect some overpayments this year.
Robinson Cano 2013 Highlights
Without further adieu = this is the list y’all can scold me on.
1. Robinson Cano, Tigers
Anyone surprised? The tigers have a hole at second with Omar Infante moving on and I can see this as the final piece of the puzzle.
Owner Mike Illitch has stated his desire to win a championship before he passes away and this could be the piece to finally get them there. By signing Cano they would forfeit their 1st round pick.
2. Jacoby Ellsbury, Mariners
The Mariners have plenty of money available to spend even though their owner unfortunately passed away. Ellsbury is a west coast kid and fits right into a hole for the Mariners. They forfeit their 2nd round pick.
3. Shin-Soo Choo, Rangers
I feel that the Rangers will take a run at Ellsbury but will fall short. Choo would slot in nicely with the Rangers as he can play any outfield position although he is best suited for a corner spot. They forfeit their 1st round pick.
4. Brian McCann, White Sox
The White Sox already flexed their financial muscle with the signing of Jose Abreu in October but have a large hole behind the plate.
They only forfeit their 2nd round pick as compensation – which means signing one of the 14 Qualified FA’s that more enticing.
5. Masahiro Tanaka, Yankees
The posting fee doesn’t go against the luxury tax so this shouldn’t hinder their ability to get under the $189 million dollar ceiling. Tanaka is the only potential young Ace in this class and based on the performance of Yu Darvish and his past record in Japan I believe he is worth the gamble.
6. Ervin Sanatana, Twins
The Twinkies were last in starters era last year with the only team to be above 5 earned runs per game allowed. Even though Santana was tendered they will not lose their first round pick because they were a bottom 10 team last year. They will have to forfeit their second round selection though.
7. Matt Garza, Royals
The Royals have not made the postseason since they won the World Series in 1985 and have a good chance to make it this year. Garza would make for a nice 1-2 punch with Shields at the top of the rotation and improve postseason odds.
8. Hiroki Kuroda, Yankees
Kuroda is tendered and I see him retiring, returning to Japan, or playing another season in pinstripes. The Yankees are embarrassingly thin at starting pitcher this year so he is very important to this club.
9. A.J. Burnett, Pirates
Burnett feels comfortable in Pit and would highly prefer to stay with the Pirates. I feel this is a nice fit.
10. Mike Napoli, Red Sox
Napoli has stated his desire to stay with the Red Sox he was a perfect fit during their World Series Championship season last year and I feel he is a great complement to that club.
11. Ubaldo Jimenez, Phillies
I just have a feeling that with the pressure on Ruben Amaro and some room in the payroll he is destined to make some dumb decisions to save his job where the Phillies are really no-where near contention and covered in bad contracts. The Phillies do need starting pitching however and Jimenez is one of the best on the market. The Phillies forfeit a 2nd round pick.
12. Carlos Beltran, Rockies
The Rockies would like to move the reigning NL batting title champion Michael Cuddyer to first base to replace the retiring Todd Helton. The Rockies could use a switch hitter like Beltran in the middle of a pretty good lineup. As a hitter playing at Coors field would be a nice draw, unfortunately it is the opposite for pitchers. The Rockies forfeit a 2nd round pick.
13. Curtis Granderson, Mets
The Mets have a plethora of holes to fill specifically in the lineup, which is quite bare. Granderson can handle the pressure of playing in the big apple and will enjoy his salary. The Mets forfeit their 2nd round pick.
14. Stephen Drew, Twins
The Twins have needs all over the diamond but luckily they have one of the best farm systems in the game headed by top prospect Byron Buxton. The Twins could be looking at a situation like Jayson Werth where you sign someone long term and the youth grows around them. The Twins currently don’t have a high ceiling Short Stop in their system They forfeit their 3rd round pick.
15. Jarrod Saltalamacchia, Angels
The Halos have spent on the free agent market for the past couple of years now and it has not worked out favorably. This maybe the last year for GM Jerry Dipoto to save his job so he will try to tweak some things with his team.
16.Scott Kazmir, Braves
I see Tim Hudson going elsewhere so this would be his replacement.
17. Nelson Cruz, Rangers
I think staying with the Rangers is the smartest thing for him. He is tied to compensation and I don’t believe clubs would be very willing to give up their first round pick to sign a 33yr old who is coming off of a drug related suspension.
18. Omar Infante, Yankees
One of the most underrated players in the game. He will be the replacement for Cano and can also play some 3rd base in case of Arods suspension being held up in any capacity.
19. Joe Nathan, Angels
The Angels bullpen was woeful the past couple of years and if they want to turn around there fortunes that’s going to have to change.
20. Ricky Nolasco, Giants
The giants lack starting pitching depth as we all found out last season. Nolasco is nothing special but can be a serviceable starter.
21.Jhonny Peralta, Pirates
I can’t imagine they wont fix the biggest weak spot on their team. I can see them giving Peralta a 1-year chance for him to prove it wasn’t all the drugs. It would be the perfect bridge to Alen Hanson (who I’m not all that high on).
22. Bartolo Colon, Indians
The Tribe need a starter to replace the departing Kazmir and Jimenez. I feel Colon would be cheaper than you’d expect because of his PEDs and weight issues. If he doesn’t sign in Cleveland, he will probably go back to Oakland for even less cash.
23. Bronson Arroyo, Mariners
24. Mike Morse, Orioles
While the Nationals should be kicking the tires on the once proud Washington player, the Orioles will sneak and covet him for depth at OF and the DH position
25. Grant Balfour, Tigers
The one real weak spot to the Tigers has been their Pen I feel the aged Balfour would be a nice help and bridge to Bruce Rondon.
The Rest Of The Bunch
- 26. Joaquin Benoit, Cardinals
The Cardinals don’t have many needs at all but I feel that the bullpen just needs a little bit of a touchup. With moving some of their Relief Core back to the Rotation, and added Veteran presence would help.
- 27. Scott Feldman, Twins
They are desperate for starting pitching and while Feldman isn’t a star he can be average.
- 28. Kendrys Morales, Mariners
The tender they threw on him will basically kill his free agency this year. The Mariners need some power anyway.
- 29.Carlos Ruiz, Red Sox
Chooch can be a nice bridge to Ryan Lavarnway and can prove to be effective with his bat.
- 30. Josh Johnson, Marlins
This one has more too it than meets the eye. JJs agent has stated that he wants to pitch in a pitchers park to rebuild his value. This is the kind of deal Jeffrey Loria loves too.
Also remember that he used to pitch for the Marlins and they have a excellent defensive shortstop in Adeiny Hechavarria and center fielder in Jake Marisnick while having one of the most pitcher friendly stadiums in the league.
He will most likely want to go to a bad team so he gets traded midseason and will not be eligible for a tender which will increase his price tag on the open market next season. An effective JJ will also give the Fish a dangerous rotation… until he is traded.
- 31. Tim Hudson, Mets
The Mets are flush with cash and Hudson could replace a hole created by Matt Harvey’s elbow.
- 32. Fernando Rodney, Indians
- 33. A.J. Pierzynski, Phillies
They need a stopgap to bridge to Tommy Joseph who I believe will have a rebound year.
- 34. Dan Haren, Brewers
The Brewers quietly have one of the best if not the best offense in the senior circuit but what they don’t have much is pitching. Haren could have a big rebound season with these guys.
- 35 Jason Vargas, Rockies
The Rockies have had a hard time recruiting pitchers to pitch at Coors Field. I feel though that success this past year by Tyler Chatwood, Jorge De La Rosa, and Jhoulys Chacin will help convince pitchers otherwise. Also remember that there will be incredible run support in Colorado this year.
- 36.Suk-min Yoon, Blue Jays
He pitched this past year in Korea and will most likely come to MLB this year. I don’t know much about him but the Blue Jays season was ruined the past couple of years based on their pitching depth getting shattered.
- 37. James Loney, Athletics
One of the few holes on a good A’s team was 1st base. Loney had a breakout season with the Rays this past year and I feel he can be a positive to the Athletics.
- 38. Phil Hughes Giants
Hughes could try for a back bounce season of his own with one for the Giants as well.
- 39. Corey Hart, Rays
They have signed Casey Kotchman and James Loney and have had excellent production from them in recent years as breakouts. Corey Hart had knee surgery and this would be a gamble but I wouldn’t be surprised to see him have a good year.
- 40. Edward Mujica, Astros
The Astros are a young rebuilding team with plenty of young talent. It is important those young starters confidence aren’t crushed by a bad bullpen.
- 41. Nate McLouth, Mariners
He would add more offense to a Mariner team in need of it.
- 42. Juan Uribe, Dodgers
Had a good year with the Dodgers last year and could be a placeholder till Chase Headley hits free agency in a year.
- 43 Paul Maholm, Reds
This is a pretty good reds team but they have a lack of southpaws on the pitching staff. With the exception Tony Cingrani they have no other potential lefty starters. Maholm would be a good number 5 pitcher on a quality team.
- 44. Joe Smith, Mets
Joe Smith would be a nice reliever to add to a below par bullpen. The Mets I think will make moves this winter.
- 45. Justin Morneau – Brewers
They need a first baseman as a bridge to Hunter Morris. Morneau could also provide veteran leadership to a team looking to get back on the right path.
- 46. Jesse Crain, Astros
Same thing with Mujica as the Astros have to build confidence in their young starters.
- 47. Brian Wilson, Rockies
The Rockies need someone at the back of their bullpen to replace the hurt Rafael Betancourt.
- 48. Jason Hammel, Blue Jays
He can slide into the back of the Blue Jays starting 5 and give them a boost and some depth to hopefully remain competitive this year.
- 49. Roy Halladay Nationals
I feel the Nationals can afford to roll the dice on Doc and if it works out it could mean into late October for this team.
The Phillies are always going to be in the race for his services, although they may not buck up enough dough for him.
- 50. Chris Young, Reds
Will need a veteran CF to replace the departing Choo. Chris Young would come as a much more affordable alternative.
*** The views and opinions expressed in this report are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of mlbreports.com or their partners.***
A big thank-you goes out to our ‘Prospects/Baseball Operations/Free Agent Correspondent’ Jordan Gluck for preparing today’s featured article. Jordan wants to be a MLB President of baseball operations one day. H
e has grown up in south Florida all of his life after moving there when he was two months old. Jordan grew up a FLORIDA Marlins fan but lost his devoting allegiance when they moved to Miami.
He is a senior in high school and will be going to college next year. He will have a heavy focus on roster evaluations, prospects, and the business of baseball! You can follow Jordan on twitter Follow @JGluck777
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About jgluck777Aspiring President of Baseball Operations for a MLB Franchise/ Venture Capitalist
Posted on November 12, 2013, in Free Agency and tagged @jgluck777, @MLBreports on twitter, a.j. burnett, a.j. pierzynksi, adeiny hechavarria, bartolo colon, Brian McCann, brian wilson, Bronson Arroyo, byron buxton, carlos beltran, carlos ruiz, chris young, corey hart, curtis granderson, dan haren, Edward Mujica, ervin santana, felix hernandez, fernando rodney, Free Agency MLB 2014, free agents 2014 MLB, grant balfour, hiroki kuroda, hisashi iwakuma, hunter morris, jacoby ellsbury, jake marisnick, james loney, jason hammel, Jason Vargas, jefrrey loria, jhonny peralta, joe nathan, joe saunders, Joe Smith, josh johnson, juan uribe, justin morneau, kendrys morales, masahiro tanaka, mike illitch, mike napoli, MLB Qualifying Offer List, nate mclouth, nelson cruz, new york yankees, omar infante, paul maholm, phil hughes, rafael betancourt, ricky nolasco, robinson cano, roy halladay, scott feldman, scott kazmir, shin-soo choo, st louis cardinals, stephen drew, suk-min yoon, tim hudson, ubaldo jimenez. Bookmark the permalink. 2 Comments.