The Blue Jays Won The John Farrell Trade With The Red Sox
Tuesday November 6th, 2012
Jake Dal Porto: OK, maybe it’s not big deal that the Boston Red Sox pulled a fast one on the Toronto Blue Jays, in a trade where they acquired ex-Blue Jays’ manager John Farrell. This whole conundrum is minor in terms of the impact it will make on both teams. But the Jays could have done a lot better in terms of the talent they received back, to say the least.
According to multiple reports, the Red Sox craved John Farrell deeply. So with that in mind, you would have to think that they would have gone above and beyond to snatch him from Toronto. Yet, they did not need to use maximum effort to obtain him, trading just Mike Aviles in compensation.
Aviles isn’t an entirely blank asset. He complied a .663 OPS in 2012, including a career-high 13 home runs and 60 runs batted in. On the same note, he is far from a star, which is precisely why the Blue Jays should have set their sights a tad higher. If Boston really wanted Farrell at the helm, they would have probably been willing to exchange a player (or players) with higher ceilings. Or more simply, a player with room to grow, instead of a veteran whose best years are most likely behind him, a la Aviles.
While there is a certain extent as to how much the Jays could’ve demanded for Farrell, they now have very little to show for him, especially considering that they dealt Aviles two weeks later to the Indians in exchange for Esmil Rogers. Instead of a back up shortstop at best, Toronto now gets the mighty task to try and repair a wobbly pitcher in Rogers. But this isn’t such a bad situation for the Blue Jays.
In four up and down years, Rogers has compiled a 5.95 earned run average over 114 games with 22 of them being starts. The book on Rogers is that he is obnoxiously wild, but still has the potential to make something of himself at 27 years-old. Over his four-year career, his walk per nine rate checks in at four per nine innings. That is indeed high.
In Rogers’s defense, he has pitched at the hitters’ friendly Coors Field for the majority of his career. Coors can affect the break on certain pitches and it obviously doesn’t suppress many fly balls from sailing over the fences. So for a pitcher, especially an unproven one like Rogers, it doesn’t have many positive aspects, as you can clearly see.
But all in all, the Blue Jays are rolling the dice with Rogers. When you look at it, though, flipping Aviles for Rogers isn’t such a bad transaction because Rogers boasts more potential.
At best, Aviles was probably going to back up Yunel Escobar at shortstop in Toronto. Perhaps he would have filled a temporary void at second base with Kelly Johnson set to test the free agent waters. On the other hand, Rogers is a make or break commodity. He could transform into something worthwhile, or he could simply follow the same dreadful path that he has taken since he broke into the majors. It is not such a big deal, rather than the fact that Rogers boasts a higher ceiling.
While the Blue Jays try to craft some mischievous plan to turn Rogers into a dominant something, the Red Sox are probably laughing. But hey, they haven’t had much to laugh about in recent years.
By making Aviles seem average, Farrell on the other hand starts to appear like a Hall of Fame manager, which he certainly is not. It’s quite evident from Escobar’s actions that Farrell did not have much of a grip on a young clubhouse. This will certainly not bode him well with the Red Sox and the treacherous media that picks apart every decision that a manager makes.
See, where minor problems were overlooked in Toronto, minor problems in Boston generally made the headlines in the Boston Globe. Yes, some of the problem creators are gone (Josh Beckett and Carl Crawford), but anything short of a winning season is not accepted in Boston despite a stripped down roster. And at the moment, Farrell has few reasons to believe that his team will compete in 2013.
The Red Sox might think that Farrell is the man for the job. But in reality, no man in the man for the job with a roster that has too many holes. Meanwhile, Farrell will look to prove the baseball world wrong, much like Bob Melvin, Buck Showalter, and Davey Johnson did in 2012.
(*The views and opinions expressed in this report are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of mlbreports.com*)
Jake Dal Porto is a Baseball Writer with MLB reports and a student from the Bay Area. Jake’s favorite sports moment was when the Giants won the World Series back in 2010. He loves to use sabermetrics in his work. He thinks they are the best way to show a player’s real success compared to the basic stats such as ERA, RBIs, and Wins. Jake also enjoys interacting and debating with his readers. Follow him on Twitter: Follow @TheJakeMan24
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Posted on November 6, 2012, in MLB Teams: Articles and Analysis and tagged baseball, Bob Melvin, boston red sox, buck showalter, carl crawford, davey johnson, david ortiz, Esmil Rogers, john farrell, jose bautista, josh beckett, kelly johnson, mike aviles, mlb, toronto blue jays, trade. Bookmark the permalink. 7 Comments.